Aintree Day 3 - 09/04

Shane732

The big one tomorrow -

However, what do people think of the treble... Yorkhill, Douvan and Thistlecrack - it's paying 1.78 on Paddy Power at the moment. Is there any chance that it'll go to evens?

I'm licking my wounds after today.

Shane732

Can actually get 1.95 with Betway

longshotvalue

Shane732 wrote: »

The big one tomorrow -

However, what do people think of the treble... Yorkhill, Douvan and Thistlecrack - it's paying 1.78 on Paddy Power at the moment. Is there any chance that it'll go to evens?

I'm licking my wounds after today.

Evens on any treble is madness. Avoid..

Shane732

aidankkk wrote: »

Evens on any treble is madness. Avoid..

They are unbackable otherwise.

Mgoraf

Fox Norton w/o douvan for me

Shane732

Think I might give the bet a miss with Ruby out.

PM me nudes

Shane732 wrote:

They are unbackable otherwise.

Then don't back them

Francie Barrett

Ruby hairline fracture to the wrist, obviously out tomorrow.

blackcard

Cheltenham takes a lot out of horses, I would be laying against that trio

ShaneU

Long House Hall in the first will probably be my only bet

PM me nudes

Nina takes the ride on Sir Des Champs

Peintre Celebre

Good bet e/w on Dell Arca at 20s

Francie Barrett

If anything beats Douvan tomorrow, it'll be Alisier D'Irlande. Aintree was the target for this fella, so if there's any chink in Douvan's armour or signs of fatigue, my horse should pick up the pieces. It'll be fascinating to see how these two go up against each other tomorrow, both have trounced the opposition over fences and both will probably want to go off and make all. Douvan a clear favourite given what it's done, but 9/1 Alisier is very good value.

posturingpat

Francie Barrett wrote: »

If anything beats Douvan tomorrow, it'll be Alisier D'Irlande. Aintree was the target for this fella, so if there's any chink in Douvan's armour or signs of fatigue, my horse should pick up the pieces. It'll be fascinating to see how these two go up against each other tomorrow, both have trounced the opposition over fences and both will probably want to go off and make all. Douvan a clear favourite given what it's done, but 9/1 Alisier is very good value.

You'd think Paul will be happy enough to sit in behind AD and get a nice toe into the race. AD been very impressive but can't see him troubling Douvan unless he's well off his best but good luck.

jimjamcos

O'Faolains Boy Day!

Francie Barrett

posturingpat wrote: »

You'd think Paul will be happy enough to sit in behind AD and get a nice toe into the race. AD been very impressive but can't see him troubling Douvan unless he's well off his best but good luck.

True, but I get the feeling that Willie might just be chasing that Champion Trainer title and has sent a few horses over that may not be 100%. Also, you have to take into account that while Douvan has won doing proverbial handstands, the opposition it has beat has been weak enough. Think that Alisier is definitely a step above anything encountered so far and will present a different challenge. If it sets an electric early pace, that'll be something that Douvan hasn't encountered before, and if the pace is strong, Douvan (which can make mistakes in jumping) might make some errors along the way. Lots of if's, I know, but people backing Douvan into 1/7 would want lobotomizing.

2 for me in the National. Hadrians Approach 66-1 and Morning Assembly 22-1

Ben Gadot

I'm a bitter bollox so I hope one of the Mullins hot pots loses....again.

I've a love of the sport but I just don't like Mullins/Walsh. The dicking around with Vautour at Cheltenham is a prime of example of why I have disdain for them.

Thistlecrack is a horse that I can sit back and just marvel at without a bet.

Backstreet Moyes

Francie Barrett wrote: »

True, but I get the feeling that Willie might just be chasing that Champion Trainer title and has sent a few horses over that may not be 100%. Also, you have to take into account that while Douvan has won doing proverbial handstands, the opposition it has beat has been weak enough. Think that Alisier is definitely a step above anything encountered so far and will present a different challenge. If it sets an electric early pace, that'll be something that Douvan hasn't encountered before, and if the pace is strong, Douvan (which can make mistakes in jumping) might make some errors along the way. Lots of if's, I know, but people backing Douvan into 1/7 would want lobotomizing.

Please stop if he was better than Sizing John he would have run in Cheltenham.

Francie Barrett

Nuts102 wrote: »

Please stop if he was better than Sizing John he would have run in Cheltenham.

De Bromhead had already committed Sizing John to the Arkle before Alisier Dirlande even jumped a fence, doubt Henry wanted to run two in the same race.

Wicklow Brave

Awful card from a betting POV. If In Doubt is so short and ones I'd fancy in the handicaps, the ground has gone against. The three Grade Ones are dire betting heats. I love watching awesome horses but a bit more competition we could do with. Yorkhill I am quite fond of, I'll enjoy watching him. Douvan I think is a tad overrated. Before Cheltenham I read ''Min might be as good as Vautour but he's not as good as Douvan'' and ''Douvan is the best I've owned''. Eh, since when is Douvan better than Vautour?

Anyway, my National picks are (and only bets of the day):
Morning Assembly
Ucello Conti
Many Clouds
Kruzhlinin

gazza1

TheTorment wrote: »

2 for me in the National. Hadrians Approach 66-1 and Morning Assembly 22-1

Backed both of them myself along with Gallant Oscar
BOL

shmeee

Francie Barrett wrote: »

If anything beats Douvan tomorrow, it'll be Alisier D'Irlande. Aintree was the target for this fella, so if there's any chink in Douvan's armour or signs of fatigue, my horse should pick up the pieces. It'll be fascinating to see how these two go up against each other tomorrow, both have trounced the opposition over fences and both will probably want to go off and make all. Douvan a clear favourite given what it's done, but 9/1 Alisier is very good value.

Same thinking as myself.

Been following this lad all season now and tomorrow I'll be having a nice bet on him w/o @ 10/11 and a smaller punt e/w.

He will be fresh and primed for tomorrow.

BorneTobyWilde

Panic attack. But my picks for Gran Nat

Vieux Lion Rouge
Buy Wise
Unioniste
Le Reve
Kruzhlinin

Johner

Douvan is in a different league to the likes of Alisier D'Irlande. He's going to set it up nicely for Douvan tomorrow.

mountgomery burns

AFC in the first at 25/1 worth a small punt I think.

dickenson famous5

Backed first lieutenant 40s think he will run well

Backstreet Moyes

Many Clouds
Morning Assembly
Rocky Creek
Sir De Champs

jimjamcos

Morning Line:

Tanya: "Are any horses coming in for support?"

Bookie Rep: "Yes, (names 10 horses) are.

National Daylight Robbery Day. Lol

posturingpat

jimjamcos wrote: »

Morning Line:

Tanya: "Are any horses coming in for support?"

Bookie Rep: "Yes, (names 10 horses) are.

National Daylight Robbery Day. Lol

had to Laugh at Leon Blanche saying they went 11/1 Many Clouds,got bowled over,went 10/1 got bowled over and now he's 8/1.Now seriously if you were serious about taking him on it'd take colossal sums of money to move him 3 points from 11/1 to 8/1 in the space of about an hour in the morning :rolleyes:

Johner

Many Clouds
Saint Are
The Druids Nephew

Shanee.

posturingpat wrote: »

had to Laugh at Leon Blanche saying they went 11/1 Many Clouds,got bowled over,went 10/1 got bowled over and now he's 8/1.Now seriously if you were serious about taking him on it'd take colossal sums of money to move him 3 points from 11/1 to 8/1 in the space of about an hour in the morning :rolleyes:

10s on Betfair for as much as you like. The reason I hate punting with Boyles they are continually the worst prices on practically every f*cking horse

byronbay2

jimjamcos wrote: »

Morning Line:

Tanya: "Are any horses coming in for support?"

Bookie Rep: "Yes, (names 10 horses) are.

National Daylight Robbery Day. Lol

Yeah. Of all races, you HAVE to get your GN bets on in the morning and take the best price - you will be absolutely rogered at SP.

7mm of rain overnight puts me off the topweights now. Could be a gruelling "Red Marauder" type race, so need a dour stayer. Two against the field for me are Gallant Oscar (18/1) and Goonyella (22/1).

Francie Barrett

Anyone looking at the last race? Nabucco at 25/1 surely a nice price? Back down in trip and over a flat track which should suit breeding. Not keen on the pilot, but I'd say John would love to sign off his training career with a win at Aintree.

PM me nudes

Gone for Ucello Conti at 33s

krustydoyle

Gonna chance a few quid ew on Ivan Grozny in the last

posturingpat

krustydoyle wrote: »

Gonna chance a few quid ew on Ivan Grozny in the last

Slight concern about the ground for him but he's one i'll be backing too, looked to be coming with a nice run at Cheltenham but didn't enjoy the hill,flatter track should suit and good rider booked in a weaker race than he's been competing since his return.

jimjamcos

With OFB out I've gone for

Morning Assemly (main bet) 25/1
Druids Nephew 16/1
Gallant Oscar 20/1
Home Farm 100/1 ew 6places Betvictor

Peintre Celebre

I thought Ivan might be a Galway hurdle horse

mailburner

many clouds ew
the druids nephew ew
gallant oscar win
the last samurai ew

worst national card I can remember from a betting point of view

posturingpat

Peintre Celebre wrote: »

I thought Ivan might be a Galway hurdle horse

That hill at Galway is savage and he's a bit keen in his races, don't think he'd like it too much after tanking through the race personally.

Megager

Anyone think squouateur might do well on the softer ground in the first today?
Longer trip though. Might chance small ew

big dar

paddy power have a 5 euro matched bet in the star this morning for the first race . Can you do an each way or is it win only . Any experience with these matched bets

oPATCHo

squouateur - I'm on him

mailburner

on squouateur and arpege in the first 9s+10s both ew
having a feeling we'll see a much improved performance from squouateur today

this and the national the only betting races for me

BorneTobyWilde

National is full of multiple horses from big trainers. Would like to see more small yards competing .

krustydoyle

Powers doing a special for a limited time in the shops

Yorkhill
Douvan
Thistlecrack

Treble pays evens
Max €100 per customer

PM me nudes

Been evs in stan james all morning and still is

shmeee

krustydoyle wrote: »

Powers doing a special for a limited time in the shops

Yorkhill
Douvan
Thistlecrack

Treble pays evens
Max €100 per customer

No one should do this special, if you are doing this bet, do it like a normal treble. Douvan is drifting slightly and any drift at all on any of the others will make it better than evens.

Powers trying to get punters in as if its a great enhancement but it isn't one bit.

Best prices currently.

Peintre Celebre

People backing Kings Palace must have a real aversion to money

BumperD

posturingpat wrote: »

had to Laugh at Leon Blanche saying they went 11/1 Many Clouds,got bowled over,went 10/1 got bowled over and now he's 8/1.Now seriously if you were serious about taking him on it'd take colossal sums of money to move him 3 points from 11/1 to 8/1 in the space of about an hour in the morning :rolleyes:

Used to be 100k to move a point but that was before internet betting, I guess the market is bigger now