The Daily bets, Banter & Accumulators thread III

eh i dunno

All 10 prem teams to score 25/1

Fowler87

Pato anytime @ 9/4

PopePalpatine

mailburner wrote: »

siggy anytime looks value at 3s imo
3 goals in last 4

doing payet at 3s, looks a decent price and lastly pelle anytime at 6/4..be surprised if he doesnt find the net against newcastle


on that note I'm backing against villa/newc for obvious reasons
soton/bourne double showing up as 3.61 which I ain't turning down

will wait till morning to see if there's any enhancements available first

pp might do the city/soton/palace....hoping it's city soton bourne though

Thank you based Siggurdsson!

seanhynes

seanhynes wrote: »

Mauro Icardi anytime 11/10 and inter over 1.5 team goals 8/11 fancy them to win comfortably

1/2 , they won 0-1 with an icardi header...

9de5q7tsr8u2im

LuckyDude12 wrote: »

Arsenal
Crystal Palace
4.30 Stake: Large

Took crystal palace 7/5 @ h/t to win it,
Do or die palace!!

Loafing Oaf

Come on Chelsea what are ye at?:mad:

eh i dunno

eh i dunno wrote: »

All 10 prem teams to score 25/1

8 from 10 wasnt bad....

magherakid

mailburner wrote: »

gregory anytime 5/4 both in flying form

https://twitter.com/MillwallFC/status/718828989494796288

https://twitter.com/MillwallFC/status/718829376788426752

mailburner

mailburner wrote: »

fancy far too much

main bet pelle anytime 6/4 bwin...its newcastle

siggy anytime 3s bwin

bourne/soton double 5/2

couple of small bets on
grigg anytime 5/4
gregory anytime 5/4 both in flying form

would be nice if they all obliged first also :pac:

jesus :eek:

had visitors so only seeing this now...very happy :pac:

magherakid

Super well in mail

Lasagna Diarra

Lasagna Diarra wrote: »

Guingamp DC @ 1.62

Here's the PSG squad for this game, they're resting all their key players
Gardiens : Trapp, Sirigu
Défenseurs : Marquinhos, Kimpembe, Doucouré, Kurzawa, Van der Wiel, Aurier
Milieux : Matuidi, Rabiot, Stambouli, Nkunku, Rimane
Attaquants : Lucas, Augustin, Ongenda, Meïté, Taufflieb

**** Guingamp are losing 2-0 to PSG's reserves :mad:

****ers, more money on Toulouse then

Loafing Oaf

Loafing Oaf wrote: »

To hell with football anyway.:P This week, I'll be mostly focusing on the Masters and the Grand National.

Get in Rule the World!:p

Masters a total washout though...

mailburner

Griezmann seems to score every week in la liga yet I either never back him or never think about him till he scores

Mr. Green

Real Sociedad -vs- Barcelona, Real Sociedad +1 @ 2.010

28.11.15 PRI Barcelona Real Sociedad 4 : 0
09.05.15 PRI Barcelona Real Sociedad 2 : 0
04.01.15 PRI Real Sociedad Barcelona 1 : 0
22.02.14 PRI Real Sociedad Barcelona 3 : 1
13.02.14 COP Real Sociedad Barcelona 1 : 1

&

Real Sociedad -vs- Barcelona, Real Sociedad -0.5 @ 6.240

Lasagna Diarra

Lasagna Diarra wrote: »

Toulouse @ 1.78

absolute must-win game, they've had decent results since their new coach came in

Lasagna Diarra wrote: »

TNS to win
Portadown DC
@ 1.79

TNS will clinch the title with a win today, it's their last home game of the season and I'm sure they'd prefer to celebrate winning the title at home than away.
Portadown have lost their last 5 games

double boom

Colash

Barcelona you are absolutely killing me . My luck lately is seriously draining me .. A break is seriously needed

Mr. Green

Mr. Green wrote: »

Real Sociedad -vs- Barcelona, Real Sociedad +1 @ 2.010

28.11.15 PRI Barcelona Real Sociedad 4 : 0
09.05.15 PRI Barcelona Real Sociedad 2 : 0
04.01.15 PRI Real Sociedad Barcelona 1 : 0
22.02.14 PRI Real Sociedad Barcelona 3 : 1
13.02.14 COP Real Sociedad Barcelona 1 : 1

&

Real Sociedad -vs- Barcelona, Real Sociedad -0.5 @ 6.240

1:0

djhaxman

Colash wrote: »

Barcelona you are absolutely killing me . My luck lately is seriously draining me .. A break is seriously needed

Yeah I hear you. Outside of Spurs and Chelsea, Barcelona are the team who have wrecked the most bets for me. Got sucked in by the decent odds on them tonight and got punished for it.

mailburner

hadnt the balls to go near rs despite barca being poor enough recently
really like athletico even more now...think 5/2 is big or dc 3/4 worth a bigger stake surely

A_Sober_Paddy

mailburner wrote: »

hadnt the balls to go near rs despite barca being poor enough recently
really like athletico even more now...think 5/2 is big or dc 3/4 worth a bigger stake surely

What about Real for the LaLiga, they are 5 points off and if Barca continue to play like tonight they will be in trouble

mailburner

A_Sober_Paddy wrote: »

What about Real for the LaLiga, they are 5 points off and if Barca continue to play like tonight they will be in trouble

I looked at odds and saw real and athletico at 14s and got very excited by this
but then I saw this


17.04. 19:30 Barcelona Valencia
20.04. 19:00 Dep. La Coruna Barcelona
23.04. 19:30 Barcelona Gijon
30.04. 19:30 Betis Barcelona
08.05. 19:00 Barcelona Espanyol
15.05. 19:00 Granada CF Barcelona


If carlsberg did title run ins.....

Mr. Green

Before the match, Barcelona had very little time, I will write now:

Quarter-finals

06.04. 21:45 Paris SG-Manchester City 2 : 2 - heroic draw
06.04. 21:45 Wolfsburg-Real Madrid 2 : 0 - unreal win
05.04. 21:45 Barcelona-Atl. Madrid 2 : 1 - very difficult win
05.04. 21:45 Bayern Munich-Benfica 1 : 0 - difficult match

8 top-club
09/04


19:30 Manchester City 2 - 1 West Brom - 1.33-5.50-11.00 very difficult win (West Brom to score@2.08) (AH + 1.25 interesting)
18:00 Guingamp 0 - 2 Paris SG - 3.10-3.30-2.38 easy win (disappointing French football)
19:30 Wolfsburg 1 - 1 Mainz - 2.15-3.50-3.40 difficult match (big odd, interesting)
17:00 Real Madrid 4 - 0 Eibar - 1.17-8.00-15.00 easy win (small odd, dont play)
19:15 Espanyol 1 - 3 Atl. Madrid - 5.50-3.50-1.73 difficult match (interesting but this is a Athletico)
21:30 Real Sociedad 1 - 0 Barcelona - 6.50-4.20-1.50 loss favs (very interesting stats)
20:30 Academica 1 - 2 Benfica - 15.00-5.25-1.25 very difficult win (small odd, dont play)
16:30 VfB Stuttgart 1 - 3 Bayern Munich 12.00-6.50-1.22 - (small odd, dont play)

& spain train (treble Real+Atl.Madrid+ Barca) 1.17*1.73*1.5=3.0 (easy win? - I don't believe )

Where odds (1.17 - 1.33) outsiders scored in three of four matches.
Where odds (1.5 - 1.73) outsiders win one of two matches

Europe League

Quarter-finals

07.04. 22:05 Ath Bilbao-Sevilla 1 : 2 -difficult match
07.04. 22:05 Braga-Shakhtar 1 : 2- difficult match
07.04. 22:05 Dortmund-Liverpool 1 : 1- heroic draw (last chance to Pool)
07.04. 22:05 Villarreal-Sparta Prague 2 : 1 - difficult match

17:00 Valencia-Sevilla 2.40-3.50-2.88
21:30 Ath Bilbao- Rayo Vallecano 1.57-4.00-6.00
22:30 Braga-Moreirense 1.44-4.00-8.00
17:00 Stal Dniprodzerzhynsk-Shakhtar 11.00-6.00-1.20
16:30 Schalke-Dortmund 4.50-4.00-1.73
18:00 Liverpool-Stoke City 1.65-4.00-6.00
19:15 Villarreal-Getafe 1.50-4.00-7.50
20:30 Sparta Prague-Pribram 1.20-6.50-13.00

These 5 games I will be very interesting. Especially Ath Bilbao, Villarreal, Liverpool

Any opinions, advice welcome.

inforfun

A Vallecano\Stoke +0,5 double looks interesting...

I like your thinking as always Mr. Green and i dont know if you know about the research Raymond Verheyen did a few years ago.
Mostly based on CL & EL teams it was crystal clear that when teams played on Thursday, they were losing points on Sunday against opposition you would not expect them to lose points against for the simple fact they would score less goals than they would normally do after at least 3 days rest

Period: From 2001/2002 till 2010/2011
Countries: England
Holland
Germany
France
Spain
Portugal
Italy
Competitions: League games
Champions League
Europa League
Total games: 27.002 games
Conclusion: Only 2 recovery days between games is insufficient: unfair play!
All teams win less games after only 2 recovery days: fatigue?
After only 2 recovery days: 70% less goals scored in 60-90min
After only 2 recovery days: 75% more goals against in 60-90min

Full pdf of that research

Used that 2nd conclusion, goal against in the last 30 quite a bit in live betting.

Lasagna Diarra

Marseille @ 1.87

bigboss1986

Arsenal f*cked my accu yesterday so today I go for long shot:

Shalke DC
Sunderland DC
@3.71
Treble:

Sevilla
Sunderland-Leicester over 2.5
Stoke Dc
@15.05
Good luck

inforfun

Guidetti AGS @ 3.1 and 2 or more @ 15

seanhynes

inforfun wrote: »

Guidetti AGS @ 3.1 and 2 or more @ 15

On Nolito in this one 8/5 anytime

mailburner

like firmino anytime at 9/4, looks big if he's back

think pool will take this esp after stoke knocking them out of the cup
when city beat pool..pool beat city a few days later in the league
same applies to watford who arsenal thrashed after being put out of the cup
think this will motivate the pool even more but the europa game might also be a factor

just wondering if that bet will be void if firmino doesnt start with bwin as I wont be around?
not familiar with their rules on that one

magherakid

Double

Basel Team Goals Over 1.5 4/7
Rangers -1 2/5

gstack166

mailburner wrote: »

like firmino anytime at 9/4, looks big if he's back

think pool will take this esp after stoke knocking them out of the cup
when city beat pool..pool beat city a few days later in the league
same applies to watford who arsenal thrashed after being put out of the cup
think this will motivate the pool even more but the europa game might also be a factor

just wondering if that bet will be void if firmino doesnt start with bwin as I wont be around?
not familiar with their rules on that one

If he doesn't play it'll be void, yes. But even if he only gets 30 seconds on the field, you'll lose if he comes on at any time.