The Daily bets, Banter & Accumulators thread III

mailburner

mailburner wrote: »

hernandez anytime 15/8

rarely lets me down, huge value that
scored in 7 of last 9

mailburner wrote: »

lee gregory anytime 5/4

scored in each of his last 6


couple of mad accums but greg fgs/hern fgs/north would be a nice 101/1

both misfiring tonight

Lasagna Diarra

Dio On The Doubles wrote: »

Knew as soon as the goal went in that was him off

Yea unlucky he decided to behave today:/

Dio On The Doubles

Dio On The Doubles wrote: »

Benfica v Zenit tomorrow

http://ie.soccerway.com/matches/2016/02/16/europe/uefa-champions-league/benfica/fk-zenit-sankt-petersburg/2176176/head2head/

This is the ref

http://ie.soccerway.com/referees/gianluca-rocchi/44750/

according to this site (Ref appointments not listed on soccerway yet)

http://footballrefereeing.blogspot.ie/



Last time Benfica and Zenit met in the Champions league was the group stage in 2014. There was a red card in each meeting.

This is the referee's red card form in general




This is his red card form in Europe






Yes it's the cagey first leg but with those stats it's impossible for me to ignore the prices on red card in this game.

Taken main stake on Sending off in game @3.95 on Betfair (Had to get some of my stake matched @3.85. best priced @3.5 on sky outside of that)

Taken smaller stake on Both teams to have a red card @23.00 on Powers

Taken smaller again on

Red card in the first half @11.00

Zenit red card @5.00

Benfica red card @7.00 ....all on Powers

Verratti didnt come in for me, sorry Mail.. Luiz booked and all and I ignored him with a view to backing him next week.


However the @3.95 main bet for a red card up above here came in! And the @5.00 for Zenit red. 89 th minute and third encounter in a row they've had a red. Delighted!

Will be all over this next leg again plus Luiz card.. Screw it prob Verratti too!

9de5q7tsr8u2im

away night tomorrow night lads in the champo

shmeee

shmeee wrote: »

Nice few games around tonight.


Oxford United V Northampton Town

As already picked up here, Northampton look like cracking value tonight and the money is coming for them now.

I'm taking them to score over 1.5 goals @ 2/1 (bet365/coral/betfair)

They have scored 2+ goals in 7 out of their last 8 games. Oxford haven't won in last 4 games at home and in 3 of them games have conceded 2+ goals.

The 2/1 looks like value to me.

Single bet.






Fourfold 2.73 @ Boyles, had nice punt on this one. Looks solid.

Oxford v Northampton
Total Northampton Goals Over 0.5

Hull v Brighton
Total Hull Goals Over 0.5

Benfica v Zenit
Total Benfica Goals Over 0.5

Hartlepool v Notts County
Total Notts County Goals Over 0.5

Northampton win 1-0.

Well in those on the win market, should have just done the obvious.

And Hull let down the fourfold :mad:

Bad night after such a good few days.

mailburner

Dio On The Doubles wrote: »

Verratti didnt come in for me, sorry Mail.. Luiz booked and all and I ignored him with a view to backing him next week.

was getting ready to pounce on luiz had verrati not started
either way 5/2 on luiz shouldve been taken when the next best was 6/4

Dio On The Doubles

Lasagna Diarra wrote: »

Yea unlucky he decided to behave today:/

Could tell the last ten mins he was out there he had no interest in chasing lads down. Cheers for the advice on it earlier today anyway Las, much appreciated.

Dio On The Doubles

mailburner wrote: »

was getting ready to pounce on luiz had verrati not started
either way 5/2 on luiz shouldve been taken when the next best was 6/4

Gonna be lumping him next leg. Huge odds tonight on him, is hard to stomach me passing him up.

mailburner

mailburner wrote: »

don't look at the lower leagues a whole lot but northampton are running away with league two and were 9/4 away to orient which was insane value given their current form...so many leagues to look at, its hard to keep track

so they play away to oxford tomorrow night who are third and whos home form reads 6-6-2
recent home form in the league reads DLWDD

Northampton away form 9-3-2
northampton have won 12 of their last 13 games in the league, have covered the hcap in last three

current odds are oxford 23/20 northampton 11/4
makes no sense to me

this is far and away the most ive ever staked on a league two game and have only staked more all year on soton dc (away to pool)
the price on northampton seems like insane value


main bets
northampton dc 3/4 365
northampton 11/4 365

small bets
northampton ht/ft 11/2
northampton -1 8/1
northampton -2 25/1
stan james

it took a pen but a 1-0 win for northampton

Dio On The Doubles

shmeee wrote: »

Well in, cracking shout! Took his time to flash a red.

Cheers Shmeee, I was starting to write it off and checked the price on the exchange which gave me a new hope. At 85 mins it was @2.52 for red. That is a terrible price that late. I thought there must be one in the post. Then in it came.

DoctaDee

Dio On The Doubles wrote: »

Cheers Shmeee, I was starting to write it off and checked the price on the exchange which gave me a new hope. At 85 mins it was @2.52 for red. That is a terrible price that late. I thought there must be one in the post. Then in it came.

Crackin homework Dio .. well done

DoctaDee

DoctaDee wrote: »

While youse make yer fortunes on the CL tonight .. I'm looking to +1.5 team goal accum Southend/Scunthorpe/Northampton & York @ 116/1

Dud .. 2/4 Southend never at the races .. and in hindsight the Northampton game was too big a game for both sides to be anything but a cagey affair

Dio On The Doubles

DoctaDee wrote: »

Crackin homework Dio .. well done

Cheers Docta, keep my nose clear of the Scots u20 for a wee while now and hopefully hold onto it

Chelsea PSG corners gotta be a serious lump next game too, big corner count second leg last time out. Alternative lines will be hit too.

That red card for both teams Benfica Zenit gotta be worth a tenner too.

magherakid

magherakid wrote: »

Hibs v Hearts Over 2.5 Goals 1/1

no joy

DoctaDee

Dio On The Doubles wrote: »

Cheers Docta, keep my nose clear of the Scots u20 for a wee while now and hopefully hold onto it

Chelsea PSG corners gotta a serious lump next game too, big corner count second leg last time out. Alternative lines will be hit too.

That red card for both teams Benfica Zenit gotta be worth a tenner too.

Duly noted brother

Dio On The Doubles

DoctaDee wrote: »

Duly noted brother

Shag it am just gonna back every market going. Can't lose

Lasagna Diarra

Lasagna Diarra wrote: »

under 2.5 in PSG vs Chelsea @ 1.62

it's the game of the season for both teams, it should be a tight game

kinda sucks losing an unders bet because of a player who usually has horrendous finishing:(

shmeee

23.45 KO
River Plate V Palmeiras
Over 2.5 Goals @ 5/4 PP

Copa Libertadores game on in a few mins. On a look back over stats this game could see a few goals, looks like a bit of value.

Smaller stake on over 3.5 @ 3/1 PP

shmeee

shmeee wrote: »

23.45 KO
River Plate V Palmeiras
Over 2.5 Goals @ 5/4 PP

Copa Libertadores game on in a few mins. On a look back over stats this game could see a few goals, looks like a bit of value.

Smaller stake on over 3.5 @ 3/1 PP

2-2 after 64 minutes!

seanhynes

Meanwhile in 1 of the other copa games indepenediente Santa Fe couldn't score and battered from start to finish ,one of those horrible games your robbed because of dreadful finishing cerro hadn't a sniff all game yet came away with 1 point,goina swerve this comp a while it costs you more often than not

inforfun

seanhynes wrote: »

Meanwhile in 1 of the other copa games indepenediente Santa Fe couldn't score and battered from start to finish ,one of those horrible games your robbed because of dreadful finishing cerro hadn't a sniff all game yet came away with 1 point,goina swerve this comp a while it costs you more often than not

Always keep an eye on that competition.
Mostly because of the teams competing in it, playing weak(er) line ups in their own league before Copa matches.

Shanotheslayer

Gents,

I know not many of you guys use the gambling thread other than football betting side,

But if you could give me some advice regarding this would be really appreciated:


http://www.boards.ie/vbulletin/showthread.php?t=2057562121

buckfasterer

Shanotheslayer wrote: »

Gents,

I know not many of you guys use the gambling thread other than football betting side,

But if you could give me some advice regarding this would be really appreciated:


http://www.boards.ie/vbulletin/showthread.php?t=2057562121

IBAS is your first port of call. Try live chat with them once more threatening this, if it doesn't work then take them. As long as you've as much info as possible like bet receipts, chat logs etc, you should be ok.

EOB32

Thanks for sharing this. Will not be using them again. Hope you get sorted

byronbay2

If anyone fancies Real Madrid tonight, they are available at a best-price 10/11 in PP shops at the moment - max bet €100.

CorkColin

I've double backed tonight:

Real Madrid Win @4/5, Just believe real madrid have a much stronger team albeit lousy away form
Gent vs Wolfsburg First goal after 27th minute @10/11, feel like this will be a close game with no chances being taken early.

€50 returns just over €170

Dio On The Doubles

That's bad form Shano I would be onto IBAS like Buckfasterer says. Such chancers.

Ronaldo threw a wee strop in the press interview yesterday when quizzed about his lack of away goals lately. they also put it to him about how well gelled Barca's front three were and that it seems like the Barca front three get on really well too.

http://www.independent.co.uk/sport/football/european/cristiano-ronaldo-snaps-over-little-kisses-of-barcelona-trio-lionel-messi-neymar-and-luis-suarez-a6877821.html

It's not as sensational as the newspaper headlines suggest but he's definitely annoyed by it.

(video here) http://www.bbc.com/sport/football/35593507

I think tonight's game away to Roma might be a tight game. Spanish sides in general have not won many trips away to Italy.

Real's own away form in the domestic league is not great under Zidane. Ronnie ain't a usual candidate for a card but I think tonight might be frustrating for him, especially with the press walkout yesterday.

I'm taking Ronaldo to be booked @6.5 on Bet Victor.

he's best priced @3.5 on sky outside of it. Slight long shot really but I think tonight it could be a runner.



Also interested in the over 4.5 cards @1.9 that is available.

PopePalpatine

The referee for the Roma-Real Madrid game is Pavel Kralovec. He's refereed four matches in Europe this season, with the card count decreasing each time, with two games with >4.5 cards and two others with <4.5.

Whosthis

buckfasterer wrote: »

IBAS is your first port of call. Try live chat with them once more threatening this, if it doesn't work then take them. As long as you've as much info as possible like bet receipts, chat logs etc, you should be ok.

Aren't IBAS a UK only operation? AFAIK although they claim to be independent they're actually funded by the bookmakers that are registered with them.

There's nothing you can really do, legally speaking.

Try the bookies again, try IBAS, you're pretty much out of options after that.

inforfun

Guys/Girls,

Keep the problem Shano is having to the thread he has opened and linked to?
Will be easier for him as well to have all advice in 1 place instead of cluttered in here with bets.
Thanks