Odds for the Gameweek

bored_newbie

There aren't many games left but it is sometimes useful to look at the odds to help decide who starts and who's on the bench (or who to bring in).
I'm starting a thread in the hope that it will get updated by anyone with a bit of spare time.

This week's Clean Sheet odds from PP:

Swansea 2.87 Everton 3.3
Southampton 1.8 Hull 5
Sunderland 2.87 Crystal Palace 2.87
Tottenham 2.4 Aston Villa 6.5
West Brom 2.8 Leicester 3.6
West Ham 2.8 Stoke 3.6
Burnley 6.5 Arsenal 2.29
QPR 8 Chelsea 2
Man Utd 3.5 Man City 3.6
Liverpool 2 Newcastle 7.5

Ranking them in order...

1 Southamton 1.8
2 Liverpool Chelsea 2
3 Arsenal 2.29
4 Spurs 2.4
5 West Brom West Ham 2.8
6 Sunderland Crystal Palace Swansea 2.87
7 Everton 3.3
8 Man Utd 3.5
9 Man City Stoke Leicester 3.6
10 Hull 5
11 Aston Villa Burnley 6.5
12 Newcastle 7.5
13 QPR 8


Anytime Goalscorer:

H Kane1.66
Giroud1.83
D Sturridge2.00
L Remy2.00
A Sanchez2.20
D Drogba2.37
R Sterling2.37
M Balotelli2.37
W Rooney2.40
S Aguero2.40
R Soldado2.50
E Adebayor2.50
S Berahino2.50
E Hazard2.50
B Gomis2.60
G Pelle2.62
S Mane2.62
F Borini2.75
R Lambert2.75
D Welbeck2.75
D Sakho2.80
R Van Persie2.80
B Ideye3.00
R Lukaku3.00

patmac

bored_newbie wrote: »

There aren't many games left but it is sometimes useful to look at the odds to help decide who starts and who's on the bench (or who to bring in).
I'm starting a thread in the hope that it will get updated by anyone with a bit of spare time.

[

Anytime Goalscorer:

H Kane1.66
Giroud1.83
D Sturridge2.00
L Remy2.00
A Sanchez2.20
D Drogba2.37
R Sterling2.37
M Balotelli2.37
W Rooney2.40
S Aguero2.40
R Soldado2.50
E Adebayor2.50
S Berahino2.50
E Hazard2.50
B Gomis2.60
G Pelle2.62
S Mane2.62
F Borini2.75
R Lambert2.75
D Welbeck2.75
D Sakho2.80
R Van Persie2.80
B Ideye3.00
R Lukaku3.00
No Austin?

bored_newbie

Sorry, not sure why he's not there. He's 5/2

spock.

Paddy Power and their terrible odds :rolleyes:
Kane is 2.10 to score with bwin

remoteboy

Surprised Benteke isn't on that list. 6 goals in his last 5 matches playing against a Spurs defence that's only kept two clean sheets since January.

menoscemo

bored_newbie wrote: »

Sorry, not sure why he's not there. He's 5/2

5/2 = 3.5

bored_newbie

Thanks, and Benteke is 3.75.

Paully D

Good idea for a thread.

If it were possible to play every gameweek based on bookmakers odds (i.e, start every defender ranked at the top of the clean sheet list, start every striker listed at the top of the anytime goalscorer charts) you wouldn't be too far off a great ranking I'd imagine.

Only critique I would make is it's probably better to use Oddschecker to list the best price.

FHFC

Further to the feedback thread which we never heard of again putting the odds like this into a general Gameweeek buildup thread would be a good idea rather than another thread.

Iused2likebusts

FHFC wrote: »

Further to the feedback thread which we never heard of again putting the odds like this into a general Gameweeek buildup thread would be a good idea rather than another thread.

We could just use this thread for the odds every week

bored_newbie

Crystal Palace 2.4 West Brom 3.75
Everton 2.2 Burnley 5
Leicester 3 Swansea 3.75
Stoke 3.3 Southampton 2.6
Chelsea 2.37 Man Utd 4.5
Man City 2 West Ham 10
Newcastle 3.75 Tottenham 3

In Order:
1 Man City 2
2 Everton 2.2
3 Chelsea 2.37
4 Crystal Palace 2.4
5 Southampton 2.6
6 Leicester Tottenham 3
7 Stoke 3.3
8 Newcastle West Brom Swansea 3.75
9 Man Utd 4.5
10 Burnley 5
11 West Ham 10

CSF

Paully D wrote: »

Good idea for a thread.

If it were possible to play every gameweek based on bookmakers odds (i.e, start every defender ranked at the top of the clean sheet list, start every striker listed at the top of the anytime goalscorer charts) you wouldn't be too far off a great ranking I'd imagine.

Only critique I would make is it's probably better to use Oddschecker to list the best price.

You'd probably have an average enough ranking tbh. The likes of Berahino, Austin, Benteke would probably never have come into play, and it'd have taken quite a while for the likes of Southampton defenders and Kane to do so.

Iused2likebusts

CSF wrote: »

You'd probably have an average enough ranking tbh. The likes of Berahino, Austin, Benteke would probably never have come into play, and it'd have taken quite a while for the likes of Southampton defenders and Kane to do so.

And the way this season has gone the striker most likely to score that a lot of us captain has nearly always blanked.

CSF

Iused2likebusts wrote: »

And the way this season has gone the striker most likely to score that a lot of us captain has nearly always blanked.

From what ive noticed, the price brackets typically depend on the team the player plays for rather than form and the other things we take into account when picking a team

Would be confident enough that anyone in the top 1-2% would be well able to beat the bookie if it weren't for the hefty margins.

FHFC

CSF wrote: »

From what ive noticed, the price brackets typically depend on the team the player plays for rather than form and the other things we take into account when picking a team

Would be confident enough that anyone in the top 1-2% would be well able to beat the bookie if it weren't for the hefty margins.

The only thing that odds are much good for is picking defenders, clean sheet odds are more about the team and opposition form. For who is likely to score or assist is more about the individual form and the odds more reflect the team and the players position as you said.

CSF

FHFC wrote: »

The only thing that odds are much good for is picking defenders, clean sheet odds are more about the team and opposition form. For who is likely to score or assist is more about the individual form and the odds more reflect the team and the players position as you said.

Even then, I don't find there's any in depth analysis to it, until stats are glaringly obvious ie. Southampton now.

Lemlin

This died a death but was a good thread I thought. Anyone have odds for this week? I've to pick 3 defenders from Skrtel, Terry, Schlupp, Alder and Duff and also a goalkeeper from Ospina/Schmeichel.

At the minute I'm thinking of going Ospina, Skrtel, Terry, Schlupp but would be interested in seeing the odds.

km79

Lemlin wrote: »

This died a death but was a good thread I thought. Anyone have odds for this week? I've to pick 3 defenders from Skrtel, Terry, Schlupp, Alder and Duff and also a goalkeeper from Ospina/Schmeichel.

At the minute I'm thinking of going Ospina, Skrtel, Terry, Schlupp but would be interested in seeing the odds.

would be very helpful this week alright if someone would oblige!
clean sheets and goalscorer odds

jimmii

Clean sheet odds are easy to post from Ladbrokes you can go looking for goalscorer odds though thats obvious a lot bigger!

FHFC

From William Hill, sorted in order.

5/6 Man Utd
5/6 Chelsea
17/20 Liverpool
23/20 Southampton
23/20 Arsenal
8/5 Leicester
8/5 Swansea
17/10 West Ham
21/10 Everton
11/5 Aston Villa
11/5 Stoke
23/10 Man City
5/2 Sunderland
13/5 Burnley
16/5 Newcastle
4/1 Tottenham
4/1 Hull
11/2 West Brom
11/2 Crystal P
13/2 QPR

jimmii

I'll post some of the players I have and ones I am looking at to score this is the best price odds:

RVP 6/5 (most bookies have him odds on though)
Hazard 13/10
Aguero Evs
Kane 7/4
Giroud 29/20
Sanchez 8/5
Tekkers 13/8

km79

FHFC wrote: »

From William Hill, sorted in order.

5/6 Man Utd
5/6 Chelsea
17/20 Liverpool
23/20 Southampton
23/20 Arsenal
8/5 Leicester
8/5 Swansea
17/10 West Ham
21/10 Everton
11/5 Aston Villa
11/5 Stoke
23/10 Man City
5/2 Sunderland
13/5 Burnley
16/5 Newcastle
4/1 Tottenham
4/1 Hull
11/2 West Brom
11/2 Crystal P
13/2 QPR

hhhhmmmm tricky to choose between alder schlupp and bellerin
looking back at bellerin and I've benched him last 3 games 7 6 6
and I'll prob do it again this week !

km79

jimmii wrote: »

I'll post some of the players I have and ones I am looking at to score this is the best price odds:

RVP 6/5 (most bookies have him odds on though)
Hazard 13/10
Aguero Evs
Kane 7/4
Giroud 29/20
Sanchez 8/5
Tekkers 13/8

I'd love to take a punt on rvp again
aguero evens ......interesting

jimmii

km79 wrote: »

hhhhmmmm tricky to choose between alder schlupp and bellerin
looking back at bellerin and I've benched him last 3 games 7 6 6
and I'll prob do it again this week !

Especially with Alder possibly playing in midfield with Schneidlin out presumably he won't be pushing forward much but you would think it would increase his chances of getting into goal scoring positions.

jimmii

km79 wrote: »

I'd love to take a punt on rvp again
aguero evens ......interesting

Yeh if it wasn't for the DGW in 37 be a lot easier to take an RVP shaped punt for a while! Was a little surprised Aguero was so short he's as short as 8/11 with Betfred and PP! PP are super scabby on City Ladbrokes are Evens on Aguero and 6/4 on Bony while PP are 8/11 on Aguero and Evens on Bony!!

Lemlin

jimmii wrote: »

I'll post some of the players I have and ones I am looking at to score this is the best price odds:

RVP 6/5 (most bookies have him odds on though)
Hazard 13/10
Aguero Evs
Kane 7/4
Giroud 29/20
Sanchez 8/5
Tekkers 13/8

I'm not good with odds. Am I right in thinking Aguero is shorter odds than Hazard?

Smartguy

Correct

spock.

Lemlin wrote:

I'm not good with odds. Am I right in thinking Aguero is shorter odds than Hazard?

Yea in order it's Aguero Hazard Giroud Sanchez Benteke Kane

PARlance

7/1 for a QPR CS is one of the craziest prices I've seen in a while.

I'd gladly see them concede (a bucket full) but I can't see how they priced that.

FHFC

spock. wrote: »

Yea in order it's Aguero RVP Hazard Giroud Sanchez Benteke Kane

Now now.

Invincible

Lemlin wrote: »

I'm not good with odds. Am I right in thinking Aguero is shorter odds than Hazard?

Your stake is always the figure on the right of the /
Your return is on the left of the /

Example 6/4, put down 4 to win 6+ your stake.

4/6, put down 6 to win 4+ your stake.

Divide figure on left of / by figure on right to bring to decimal odds, might be easier to interpret.