European Goalscorers Log

P.Walnuts

Hey all

I've been contemplating doing a log for a while now, kept putting it off as I'm convinced i'll just bomb as soon as I start recording bets, but gonna give it a go anyway.

Plan is to focus on Eredivisie and Bundesliga anytime goalscorers. Top two leagues for average goals scored (3.24 and 2.86) and I feel there is money to be made as they are often priced very generously. Will probably add in the odd selection from Italy, Spain or England, maybe some CL. But Dutch and German will be the mainstay.

Gonna start off with 52.5 units.

Selection 1

Sheiber AGS @ 3.50 (B365)

Hertha have scored 8 goals in their first 3 games of the season, Sheiber has scored 4 goals in those 3 games. 3.50 is great odds for a in form striker at home, especially against an average Mainz team. Will wait for teams before pulling the trigger just in case.

Stake : 1.75 units

Bank 52.5 -1.75 = 50.75 units

P.Walnuts

P.Walnuts wrote: »

Selection 1

Sheiber AGS @ 3.50 (B365)

No good, Hertha lose 1-3 in a bit of an upset

P.Walnuts

Right not off to a good start, but I had two picks in my head for today and not letting the loss put me off my original plan

Selection 2

te Vedre AGS @ 2.23

Scored 6 in 8 games this season, would of been 7 in 8 only he missed a penalty last week. Hopefully he will be looking to make up for it. Willem II newly promoted and have been a mixed bag.

Stake: 2.5 units

Bank: 50.75 -2.5 = 48.25 units

P.Walnuts

P.Walnuts wrote: »

te Vedre AGS @ 2.23

Scored 6 in 8 games this season, would of been 7 in 8 only he missed a penalty last week. Hopefully he will be looking to make up for it. Willem II newly promoted and have been a mixed bag.

Well that's a stinker of a day, onwards and upwards :pac:

P.Walnuts

Selection 3

Joselu AGS @ 2.75

Too many stats to list, but all point to Hannover scoring lots at home and Hamburg being fairly rubbish. Joselu 3 goals in 3 games this season

Stake: 2 units

Bank: 48.25 -2 =46.25 units

P.Walnuts

P.Walnuts wrote: »

Selection 3

Joselu AGS @ 2.75

Too many stats to list, but all point to Hannover scoring lots at home and Hamburg being fairly rubbish. Joselu 3 goals in 3 games this season

Stake: 2 units

Bank: 48.25 -2 =46.25 units

Just as I feared the moment I start the log, it all falls to ****, oh well will be back again next week.

P.Walnuts

Ok new weekend, hopefully a new start

Selection 4

Di Santo AGS @ 4.00

Scored in both Bremen's away fixtures this season, Bremen scored 6 goals in 3 games, 5 of them coming away from home. Think 4.00 is a big price.

Stake: 1 unit

Bank : 46.25 - 1 = 45.25 Units

P.Walnuts

P.Walnuts wrote: »

Ok new weekend, hopefully a new start

Selection 4

Di Santo AGS @ 4.00

Scored in both Bremen's away fixtures this season, Bremen scored 6 goals in 3 games, 5 of them coming away from home. Think 4.00 is a big price.

Stake: 1 unit

Bank : 46.25 - 1 = 45.25 Units

Winner

A winner at last, penalty but i'll take it

Bank 46.25 + 3 = 49.25

P.Walnuts

Selection 5

Alcacer AGS @ 2.30

Valencia score alot at home, 6 goals in their first two home games. Cordoba don;t ship many but Valencia should be too strong here. Nice odds on Alcacer, 6 in last 10, 3 in last 3.

Stake : 2 units

Bank 49.25 - 2 = 47.25

P.Walnuts

P.Walnuts wrote: »

Selection 5

Alcacer AGS @ 2.30

Valencia score alot at home, 6 goals in their first two home games. Cordoba don;t ship many but Valencia should be too strong here. Nice odds on Alcacer, 6 in last 10, 3 in last 3.

Stake : 2 units

Bank 49.25 - 2 = 47.25

Winner

In after 22 mins

Bank : 49.25 + 2.6 = 51.85

P.Walnuts

Selection 6

Castaignos AGS @ 2.05

Twente socre plenty at home, Utrecht concede plenty away. 5 goals in his last 3 games.


Stake: 2.5 units

Bank: 51.85 - 2.5 = 49.35

P.Walnuts

P.Walnuts wrote: »

Selection 6

Castaignos AGS @ 2.05

Twente socre plenty at home, Utrecht concede plenty away. 5 goals in his last 3 games.


Stake: 2.5 units

Bank: 51.85 - 2.5 = 49.35

Winner

Last minute things beginning to turn!

Bank 51.85 + 2.62 = 54.47 units

Profit/Loss + 1.97 units

P.Walnuts

Ok two quick ones in the EL, didn't think i'd find anything worth betting on tonigt, but couldn't resist these two

Selection 7

Nuzzolo AGS @ 8.00

Top scorer in both the domestic league and europa league ( 8 this season altogether), takes peno's and is somehow 8.00? No idea, but woiuld be criminal not to back it

Stake : 0.5 units

Selection 8

Yarmolenko AGS @ 3.20

An old favourite of mine from last season. Joint top scorer in the league, takes peno's also. Kyiv strong at home.

Stake: 1.5 units

Bank: 54.47 -2 = 52.47

P.Walnuts

P.Walnuts wrote: »

Ok two quick ones in the EL, didn't think i'd find anything worth betting on tonigt, but couldn't resist these two

Selection 7

Nuzzolo AGS @ 8.00

Top scorer in both the domestic league and europa league ( 8 this season altogether), takes peno's and is somehow 8.00? No idea, but woiuld be criminal not to back it

Stake : 0.5 units

Loser

P.Walnuts wrote: »

Selection 8

Yarmolenko AGS @ 3.20

An old favourite of mine from last season. Joint top scorer in the league, takes peno's also. Kyiv strong at home.

Stake: 1.5 units

Bank: 54.47 -2 = 52.47

Winner

Decent night, Yarmolenko is some man

Bank: 54.47 -0.5 + 3.45 = 57.42

Profit/Loss = +4.92 units

P.Walnuts

Selection 9

Ogbeche AGS @ 2.60

Cambuur score fairly well at home, Dordrecht shipped 6 last week and concede on average 2 a game. Ogbeche doesn't have a massively impressive scoring record, but he looks most likely here.

Stake: 2.5 units

Bank: 57.42-2.5 = 54.92

P.Walnuts

P.Walnuts wrote: »

Selection 9

Ogbeche AGS @ 2.60

Cambuur score fairly well at home, Dordrecht shipped 6 last week and concede on average 2 a game. Ogbeche doesn't have a massively impressive scoring record, but he looks most likely here.

Stake: 2.5 units

Bank: 57.42-2.5 = 54.92

Winner

In after 7 mins, Cambuur 2-0 up, on a bit of a roll now

Bank: 57.42 + 4 = 61.42 units

Profit/Loss: +8.92 units

P.Walnuts

Ok I usually don't go near internationals, but this one caught my eye.

Selection 10

Elyounoussi AGS @ 2.60

Norway are pretty average, but Elyounoussi has been in great form for Hoffenheim socring 4 goals in his 6 starts. Malta seem to concede 2/3 goals every home game, and he is also on penalties I think. Looks like a good price

Stake 2.5 units

Bank: 61.42 -2.5 = 58.92 units

duffman13

P.Walnuts wrote: »

Ok I usually don't go near internationals, but this one caught my eye.

Selection 10

Elyounoussi AGS @ 2.60

Norway are pretty average, but Elyounoussi has been in great form for Hoffenheim socring 4 goals in his 6 starts. Malta seem to concede 2/3 goals every home game, and he is also on penalties I think. Looks like a good price

Stake 2.5 units

Bank: 61.42 -2.5 = 58.92 units

Nice results bar the first few bets. I'll follow this one after internationals with small money for interest. Good stuff

P.Walnuts

duffman13 wrote: »

Nice results bar the first few bets. I'll follow this one after internationals with small money for interest. Good stuff

Cheers man

Ye it was a poor start but the tide has hopefully turned

P.Walnuts

P.Walnuts wrote: »

Ok I usually don't go near internationals, but this one caught my eye.

Selection 10

Elyounoussi AGS @ 2.60

Norway are pretty average, but Elyounoussi has been in great form for Hoffenheim socring 4 goals in his 6 starts. Malta seem to concede 2/3 goals every home game, and he is also on penalties I think. Looks like a good price

Stake 2.5 units

Bank: 61.42 -2.5 = 58.92 units

Loser

Norway won 3-0 but none for this man. Should have stayed away

Bank: 58.92 units
Profit/Loss: +6.42 units

P.Walnuts

Got stung last night, but having another poke at the internationals

Selection 11

McGeady AGS @ 2.30

Nothing complicated here, should twice last game in Georgia so his confidence in front of goal should be improved. Also its Gibralter.

Stake: 2 units

Bank : 58.92-2 = 56.92 units

P.Walnuts

P.Walnuts wrote: »

Got stung last night, but having another poke at the internationals

Selection 11

McGeady AGS @ 2.30

Nothing complicated here, should twice last game in Georgia so his confidence in front of goal should be improved. Also its Gibralter.

Stake: 2 units

Bank : 58.92-2 = 56.92 units

Loser

7 goals and McGeady had a few good chances. Not to be, no more internationals for me.

Bank 56.92 units

Profit/Loss: +4.42 units

P.Walnuts

Selection 12

Kramer AGS @ 3.40

Den Haag are fairly rubbish but Kramer has a great scoring record, 6 league goals this season in 9 games. Breda are also rubbish and have conceded 22 goals in 8 games this season, including 8 in their 4 home games.

Stake: 2 units

Bank: 56.92- 2 = 54.92 units

P.Walnuts

P.Walnuts wrote: »

Selection 12

Kramer AGS @ 3.40

Den Haag are fairly rubbish but Kramer has a great scoring record, 6 league goals this season in 9 games. Breda are also rubbish and have conceded 22 goals in 8 games this season, including 8 in their 4 home games.

Stake: 2 units

Bank: 56.92- 2 = 54.92 units

Winner

Back to winning ways Didn;t look good as Den Haag went down to 10 men very early, but Kramer did the business anyway

Bank: 56.92 + 4.8 units = 61.72 units

Profit/Loss: +9.22 units

P.Walnuts

Selection 13

Boymans AGS @ 3.15

Dordrect have conceded 10 goals in their last 2 games and are really struggling, Boymans started the season late due to injury and has only had 2 starts, but has scored in each.

Stake: 2.5 units

Bank: 61.72 - 2.5 = 59.22 units

P.Walnuts

P.Walnuts wrote: »

Selection 13

Boymans AGS @ 3.15

Dordrect have conceded 10 goals in their last 2 games and are really struggling, Boymans started the season late due to injury and has only had 2 starts, but has scored in each.

Stake: 2.5 units

Bank: 61.72 - 2.5 = 59.22 units

Winner

In after 9 mins

Bank: 61.72 + 5.37 = 67.09 units
Total staked: 24.25 units
Profit/Loss: +14.59 units
ROI: 60.16%

P.Walnuts

Selection 14

Kramaric AGS @ 3.75

This one isn't my own courtesy of Infofun on the gambling forum. Rijeka at home to Feyenoord, Kramaric is banging in goals in the league and Feyenoord are not that strong this season, rookie centre half playing too apparently. Price is way to good to turn down

Stake: 1.5 units

Bank: 67.09 - 1.5 = 65.59 units

P.Walnuts

P.Walnuts wrote: »

Selection 14

Kramaric AGS @ 3.75

This one isn't my own courtesy of Infofun on the gambling forum. Rijeka at home to Feyenoord, Kramaric is banging in goals in the league and Feyenoord are not that strong this season, rookie centre half playing too apparently. Price is way to good to turn down

Stake: 1.5 units

Bank: 67.09 - 1.5 = 65.59 units

Winner

Thanks to Infor for this one!

Bank: 67.09 + 4.12 = 71.21 units
Total Staked: 25.75 units
Profit/Loss: 18.61 units
ROI: +72.66%

P.Walnuts

On phone so can't post proper, kramer AGS for den haag @ 2.30, dordrecht awful.

P.Walnuts

P.Walnuts wrote: »

On phone so can't post proper, kramer AGS for den haag @ 2.30, dordrecht awful.

Winner winner

chompdown

Going great! Keep up the good work!

P.Walnuts

P.Walnuts wrote: »

On phone so can't post proper, kramer AGS for den haag @ 2.30, dordrecht awful.

Winner

Forgot to post stake, it was 3.5 units.

Bank: 71.21+ 4.55 = 75.76
Total Staked: 29.25
Profit/Loss:+23.26
ROI +79.52%

P.Walnuts

chompdown wrote: »

Going great! Keep up the good work!

Cheers man, on a good run alright, hope it keeps up

P.Walnuts

Selection 16

El Ghazi AGS @ 2.10

Playing Dordrecht which is the main thing, they leak goals every week, Ajax strong at home in the league. Tough choice which of the Ajax forwards to pick, but El Ghazi has 2 in last 3 and the best price.

Stake: 4 units

Bank: 75.76 - 4 = 71.76 units

P.Walnuts

P.Walnuts wrote: »

Selection 16

El Ghazi AGS @ 2.10

Playing Dordrecht which is the main thing, they leak goals every week, Ajax strong at home in the league. Tough choice which of the Ajax forwards to pick, but El Ghazi has 2 in last 3 and the best price.

Stake: 4 units

Bank: 75.76 - 4 = 71.76 units

Loser

Ajax winning 4-0 and Dordrect down to 10 but none for my man, subbed with 20 mins to go, not happy!

Oh well onto the next, back to an old favourite

Selection 17

Depay AGS @ 2.00

6 goals this season despite missing over a month, on penalties and Den Haag very leaky.

Stake: 4 units

Bank: 71.76 - 4 = 67.76

P.Walnuts

P.Walnuts wrote: »

Loser

Selection 17

Depay AGS @ 2.00

6 goals this season despite missing over a month, on penalties and Den Haag very leaky.

Stake: 4 units

Bank: 71.76 - 4 = 67.76

Winner

Didn't look good as PSV went down to 10, but Depay is probably the best player in the league and showed it! So all in all breaking even for the night with these two, slightly disappointed to be honest

Bank: 71.76 + 4 = 75.76
Total Staked: 37.25 units
Profit/Loss: +23.26 units
ROI: +62.44%

P.Walnuts

Selection 18

Ogbeche AGS @ 3.20

6 goals in his last 10 games, Willem concede almost two goals per game at home. Worry is Cambuur don't score alot away, hopefully that changes today

Stake: 2.5 units

Bank: 75.76 - 2.5 = 73.51 units

P.Walnuts

P.Walnuts wrote: »

Selection 18

Ogbeche AGS @ 3.20

6 goals in his last 10 games, Willem concede almost two goals per game at home. Worry is Cambuur don't score alot away, hopefully that changes today

Stake: 2.5 units

Bank: 75.76 - 2.5 = 73.51 units

Loser

No good

Bank: 73.51 units
Total staked: 39.75 units
Total Profit: +23.26 units
ROI: +58.51%

P.Walnuts

Selection 19

Benzema AGS @ 2.14

Benzema has 8 goals in last 10 games in all competitions, including 2 at Anfield a couple of weeks ago. Liverpool have basically put out a reserve team. No brainer really

Stake: 4 units

Bank: 73.51 - 4 = 69.51 units

P.Walnuts

P.Walnuts wrote: »

Selection 19

Benzema AGS @ 2.14

Benzema has 8 goals in last 10 games in all competitions, including 2 at Anfield a couple of weeks ago. Liverpool have basically put out a reserve team. No brainer really

Stake: 4 units

Bank: 73.51 - 4 = 69.51 units

Winner

Great finish

Bank: 73.51 + 4.33 = 77.84
Total Staked: 43.75 units
Profit/Loss: 27.59 units
ROI: +63.06%

P.Walnuts

Selection 20

Di Santo AGS @ 3.10

Di Santo has 6 goals this season 3 in his last 2, takes penalties too. Main reason for this bet though is Stuggart leak so many goals, 23 in 10 games, 12 in 5 away. Odds look very nice for a striker playing at home against such a defence.

Stake: 2.5 units

Bank: 77.84 - 2.5 = 75.59 units

P.Walnuts

P.Walnuts wrote: »

Selection 20

Di Santo AGS @ 3.10

Di Santo has 6 goals this season 3 in his last 2, takes penalties too. Main reason for this bet though is Stuggart leak so many goals, 23 in 10 games, 12 in 5 away. Odds look very nice for a striker playing at home against such a defence.

Stake: 2.5 units

Bank: 77.84 - 2.5 = 75.59 units

Loser

Selection 20

Castaignos AGS @ 2.15

Twente's top scorer, playing Dordrect, no need to explain when they are involved anymore

Stake: 3.5 units

Bank: 75.59 - 3.5 = 72.09 units

P.Walnuts

P.Walnuts wrote: »

Loser

Selection 20

Castaignos AGS @ 2.15

Twente's top scorer, playing Dordrect, no need to explain when they are involved anymore

Stake: 3.5 units

Bank: 75.59 - 3.5 = 72.09 units

Loser

Feel really hard done by on this one, 4-0 and against 10 men and he didn't score :mad:

Bank: 71.84
Total Staked: 49.75 units
Profit/Loss: 27.59 units
ROI: +55.45%

P.Walnuts

Selection 22

Mkhitaryan AGS @ 8.00

Internationals were not kind last time around, but this is only a small bet which is nicely priced. He is head and shouldrs Armenia's best player, and has scored away against Denmark, Germany and Italy in recent campaigns. On penalties too. Portugal lost to Albania at home last time out, could be nervous at the back

Stake: 0.5 units

Bank: 72.09 - 0.5 = 71.59 units

P.Walnuts

P.Walnuts wrote: »

Selection 22

Mkhitaryan AGS @ 8.00

Internationals were not kind last time around, but this is only a small bet which is nicely priced. He is head and shouldrs Armenia's best player, and has scored away against Denmark, Germany and Italy in recent campaigns. On penalties too. Portugal lost to Albania at home last time out, could be nervous at the back

Stake: 0.5 units

Bank: 72.09 - 0.5 = 71.59 units

Loser

A long shot in truth, didn't come off

P.Walnuts

Selection 23

Milik AGS @ 2.20

Milik has been in great form for both club and country recently 9 goals in last 10 games in all competitions. Ajax average over 2 a game at home, Herenveen have conceded at least 2 in their last 3 away games.

Stake: 3.5 units

Bank: 71.59 - 3.5 = 68.09 units

P.Walnuts

P.Walnuts wrote: »

Selection 23

Milik AGS @ 2.20

Milik has been in great form for both club and country recently 9 goals in last 10 games in all competitions. Ajax average over 2 a game at home, Herenveen have conceded at least 2 in their last 3 away games.

Stake: 3.5 units

Bank: 71.59 - 3.5 = 68.09 units

Winner

A late peno, but a winner is a winner

Bank: 71.59 + 4.2 = 75.79 units
Total Staked: 53.75 units
Profit/Loss: +22.62 units
ROI: +42.77%

P.Walnuts

Selection 24

Chikhaoui AGS @ 3.25

Zurich at home to a Appolon side who have been beaten 4 and 5 nil away form home in the other two group games. Zurich really need a win here to stay alive. Chikhaoui has scored in each of Zurich's last 3 home games, and is on penalties.

Stake: 2.5 units

Bank: 75.79 - 2.5 = 73.29 units

P.Walnuts

P.Walnuts wrote: »

Selection 24

Chikhaoui AGS @ 3.25

Zurich at home to a Appolon side who have been beaten 4 and 5 nil away form home in the other two group games. Zurich really need a win here to stay alive. Chikhaoui has scored in each of Zurich's last 3 home games, and is on penalties.

Stake: 2.5 units

Bank: 75.79 - 2.5 = 73.29 units

Winner

A good time to point out that a player on penalties is one of the major things I look for

Bank: 75.79 + 5.62 = 81.41
Total Staked: 56.25 units
Profit/Loss: +28.24 units
ROI: +50.20%

P.Walnuts

Selection 25

Armenteros AGS @ 2.70

Right so anyone following this log will know I've backed strikers playing Dordrecht fairly regularly, and this is no different. This guy is also on a hot streak scoring 5 in his last 4 games. Funny feeling Dordrect are eventually going to get a result, but still have to be confident of them conceding 1 or 2. Going to wait for teams to be confirmed before backing just in case

Stake: 4 units

Bank: 81.41 - 4 = 77.41 units

P.Walnuts

P.Walnuts wrote: »

Selection 25

Armenteros AGS @ 2.70

Right so anyone following this log will know I've backed strikers playing Dordrecht fairly regularly, and this is no different. This guy is also on a hot streak scoring 5 in his last 4 games. Funny feeling Dordrect are eventually going to get a result, but still have to be confident of them conceding 1 or 2. Going to wait for teams to be confirmed before backing just in case

Stake: 4 units

Bank: 81.41 - 4 = 77.41 units

Winner

In after 6 mins Odds shortened to 2.65, but a very nice winner all the same!

Bank: 81.41 + 6.6 = 88.01 units
Total Staked: 60.25 units
Profit: +34.84 units
ROI: +57.82%