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€20,000 treble. the return of the one bet challenge!

  • #1
    Registered Users Posts: 534 ✭✭✭ chompdown


    Here we go again... I got a good run for my money last year with a couple of big return accumulators. Ings, Blackpool, Valencia etc...

    I'm getting involved a bit earlier this season and already placed my bet this morning.

    It's Stuart Beavon to be League 2 top scorer, Blackpool to get relegated from the championship and West Brom to be relegated from the prem. Full details and prices later, but it returns approx €20,000 for a €100 stake.

    Wish me luck!


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Comments



  • Good Luck!




  • good luck again this year, blackpool should definitely go.




  • best of luck chomp

    will be following and hoping it happens




  • Cheers lads.

    Quick reasoning:

    Beavon: Scored 21 goals for Wycombe in 2011/2012 when they were relegated from League One. Signed for Preston and struggled to score but still highly rated by their fans. He's now joined one of the best teams in League Two, and also is back living down South. 34.0 is good value!

    West Brom: Out of the last 5 seasons the team that finished 17th the season before has gone down 4 times out of 5. The one exception was last year - Sunderland. 3.6 represents pretty decent value, although there should be a lot of clubs really struggling this season...

    Blackpool: Like the other two selections, they were stand out best priced with Coral. I haven't been following them since last season when I had them to go down. They were miserably poor, so I've gone for them again. Odds 1.61.

    Beavon @ 34.0
    West Brom @ 3.6
    Blackpool @ 1.61

    Total odds: 197.0 (196/1)
    Stake: £79.60 (approx €100)
    Potential winnings: Approx €19,800.

    Bring on the weekend!




  • Average enough start. West Brom drew at home to Sunderland, which is a poor result, but they were apparently pretty good and probably deserved the win. Blackpool were beaten by Blackburn at home and are now second last.

    Beavon didn't score, although Burton won 2-1, and he's now three goals off the pace. Interesting to see one of their other strikers taking and scoring a pen, so Beavon won't be on them at Burton I reckon...

    Odds will probably be unchanged.

    Games coming up on Tuesday which is always nice!


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  • Odds update...

    Beavon @ 34.0 -> 34.0
    West Brom @ 3.6 -> 3.75
    Blackpool @ 1.61 -> 1.36

    Total odds: 197.0 -> 173.4

    Blackpool's odds tumbled despite only losing 2-1 at home to a decent Blackburn side. West Brom lengthened a little, mainly due to Pulius leaving as manager of Palace, and their odds for relegation shortening quite a bit.

    No change for Beavon, but nice to see Billy Kee leave Burton and sign for Scunthorpe. He's the lad that scored two on Saturday, one a peno, so maybe Beavon will become the peno taker now. That would be a very nice bonus...

    Games tonight for Blackpool and Burton!




  • Well he is off the mark and pool lost.......all good




  • Indeed! Beavon scored a lovely volley and Blackpool were beaten at home by newly promoted Brentford. That was a long trip north for Brentford too...

    Bet looking pretty good so far. I just want to get a good run for my money this season...




  • Beavon @ 34.0 -> 26.0
    West Brom @ 3.6 -> 3.75
    Blackpool @ 1.61 -> 1.33

    Total odds: 197.0 -> 129.68

    Pretty serious drop in the odds already!




  • No goals for Beavon this weekend, but he was apparently Burton's best player in a 1-1 draw. The current top scorer is a winger with 4 goals, but the other realistic challengers are all on 3 goals or less, so he's not too far behind yet..

    Blackppol were beaten and were again very poor.

    West Brom got a pretty good 0-0 draw away to Southampton and judging by their fans forum, they are pretty happy with how they have started. QPR, Burnley and Crystal Palace all rooted to the bottom on zero points, although they have all had a harder opening two games than WBA.

    Here are the odds... Drifted a little because Beavon didn't score...

    Beavon @ 34.0 -> 34.0
    West Brom @ 3.6 -> 3.5
    Blackpool @ 1.61 -> 1.25


    Total odds: 197.0 -> 148.75


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  • I cant see wb being relagated but what do i know, best of luck anyway chief;)




  • palace will defo improve and so will qpr. hope so anyway.

    i still think west brom are a good bet to be relegated. burnley will go so its probably two from palace, qpr, west brom and leicester.

    i think palace will stay up, good luck anyway.




  • Good results for you yesterday chomp, west brom looked terrible. Burton are flying, pity beavon didnt score




  • Cheers Fama, yeah I was following your selections too and you had a great day, especially with Stoke winning!

    As for my selections, Blackpool and West Brom were beaten, but only a booking and no goal for Beavon. It's starting to look like Rose (Bury) and Tubbs (Wimbledon) will be the main threats this year. They're both on four goals, three ahead of Beavon. Early days yet, and a 33/1 shot was never gonna shoot straight to the top of the charts...

    I'm considering adding a €100 accummuator each month now, so I might be back with another during the week...

    Beavon @ 34.0 -> 34.0
    West Brom @ 3.6 -> 2.88
    Blackpool @ 1.61 -> 1.22

    Total odds: 197.0 -> 119.46


    That's the shortest the odds have been so no complaints!




  • Nice to see Beavon signing a permanent 3 year deal with Burton today, so no worries about him being recalled by Preston now.

    Anyway, I plan to make one accumulator per month and here is September's:

    A big dirty sevenfold....

    Rotherham relegation from the Championship: 4.33
    Peterborough League One winners: 9.0
    Burton Albion League Two Promotion: 2.3
    PSG to qualify from their Champions League group: 1.2
    Besiktas to qualify from their Europa League group: 1.44
    Sevilla to win their Europa League group: 1.66
    Salzburg to win their Europa League group: 1.57

    Odds: 403.65
    Stake: £79 (€100)
    Potential winnings: £31,888 (€40,365)




  • Bet 1
    Beavon @ 34.0 -> 41.0

    West Brom @ 3.6 -> 2.88
    Blackpool @ 1.61 -> 1.22

    Total odds: 197.0 -> 144.06

    Bet 2
    Rotherham @ 4.33 -> 4.5
    Peterborough @ 9.0
    -> 7.5
    Burton Albion @ 2.3
    -> 2.25PSG @ 1.2 -> 1.2
    Besiktas @ 1.44 -> 1.44
    Sevilla @ 1.66 -> 1.66
    Salzburg @ 1.57 -> 1.57
    Odds: 403.65
    -> 341.99

    Good wins for Peterborough and Burton Albion this weekend get the Sept accy off to a good start. Beavon was again MOTM but got no goals. Tubbs got 2 and is five clear of Beavon now!

    Rotherham drifted a little as Bet365 offer a standout price of 4.5 for them to go down after they signed Becchio and Clarke-Harris. I expect that price to be lower after next weekend, as they play a very good Bournemouth side away.

    I'm really happy with the Sept selections!




  • Just back from holidays so I can give a bit of an update. Not great results since my last post to be honest...

    Beavon is letting me down big time in Bet 1, and Bet 2 has been a mixed bag so far. Hopes for today: Beavon hat-trick!

    Bet 1
    Beavon @ 34.0 -> 51.0
    West Brom @ 3.6 -> 2.38
    Blackpool @ 1.61 -> 1.20


    Total odds: 197.0 -> 145.66

    Bet 2
    Rotherham @ 4.33 -> 4.33
    Peterborough @ 9.0 -> 10.0
    Burton Albion @ 2.3 -> 1.91
    PSG @ 1.2 -> 1.17
    Besiktas @ 1.44 -> 1.57
    Sevilla @ 1.66 -> 1.44
    Salzburg @ 1.57 -> 1.85

    Odds: 403.65 -> 404.70




  • Another less than inspiring weekend for the selections, some good, some bad but mainly negative. Despite being Burton's best player, Stuart Beavon has only scored one league goal so far this season, and the top two are on 8 and 7, so I think it's effectively a loser already, which is disappointing.

    Also disappointing was Peterborough's defeat away to Yeovil. Thankfully Bristol City failed to win, but they are already 6 points clear. Early days, but as Peterborough are a young side, I would not like to see them get stuck in a bad run.

    To avoid clogging up the thread, I will not comment on Bet 1 again unless Beavon gets closer to the top...

    Odds update:

    Bet 2
    Rotherham @ 4.33 -> 4.0
    Peterborough @ 9.0 -> 13.0
    Burton Albion @ 2.3 -> 2.1
    PSG @ 1.2 -> 1.17
    Besiktas @ 1.44 -> 1.57
    Sevilla @ 1.66 -> 1.44
    Salzburg @ 1.57 -> 1.85

    Odds: 403.65 -> 534.37




  • A nice weekend of results!

    Rotherham were beaten and both Peterborough and Burton picked up 1-0 wins. Beavon scored a lovely volley for Burton. Here are the latest odds... A nice drop from around 500/1 to 307/1.

    European football this midweek.

    Bet 2
    Rotherham @ 4.33 -> 3.0
    Peterborough @ 9.0 -> 11.0
    Burton Albion @ 2.3 -> 1.91
    PSG @ 1.2 -> 1.17
    Besiktas @ 1.44 -> 1.57
    Sevilla @ 1.66 -> 1.44
    Salzburg @ 1.57 -> 1.85

    Odds: 403.65 -> 308.44




  • There were quite a lot of midweek games for me to keep an eye on. It started badly with a 2-0 win for Rotherham (their first one in 5), but Huddersfield and Birmingham also won so not too bad.

    The Euro football worked out pretty well. A fantastic win for PSG against Barca pretty much confirms they will qualify. Salzburg came from a goal down to win 2-1, and both Sevilla and Besiktas scored late equalisers to get away draws.

    The odds have definitely come down but I will update them after the weekend.

    Tonight - Burton Albion at home to Cambridge!


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  • Ok, here we go with an update and news of my 3rd accumulator... It was a good couple of nights for the European stuff but Burton, Peterborough and Rotherham all had the wrong results for me. Drifted a little but still green!

    First the odds for new one - it's a Champions League and Europa League Group Winners.

    Torino @ 1.91
    Dinamo Moscow @ 1.33
    Sevilla @ 1.33
    Dynamo Kyiv @ 1.22
    Zenit to qualify @ 1.53
    Dortmund @ 1.40
    FC Porto @ 1.57

    Total Odds: 13.86
    Stake: €100 (£74)
    Potential winnings: €1,386

    Now, the latest odds for Bet 2

    Rotherham @ 4.33 -> 3.75
    Peterborough @ 9.0 -> 13.0
    Burton Albion @ 2.3 -> 2.2
    PSG @ 1.2 -> 1.07
    Besiktas @ 1.44 -> 1.4
    Sevilla @ 1.66 -> 1.36
    Salzburg @ 1.57 -> 1.67

    Odds: 403.65 -> 364.89




  • Two nice away wins for Burton andd Peterborough today means a nice drop in the odds. It's just a shame that Bristol City got a last minute winner at home to Chesterfield... Here are the odds now. Back on the downward trend :)

    Rotherham @ 4.33 -> 3.75
    Peterborough @ 9.0 -> 10.0
    Burton Albion @ 2.3 -> 1.91
    PSG @ 1.2 -> 1.07
    Besiktas @ 1.44 -> 1.4
    Sevilla @ 1.66 -> 1.36
    Salzburg @ 1.57 -> 1.67

    Odds: 403.65 -> 243.69




  • Rotherham beat Leeds last night to go mid table so that's put a bit of a downer on this weekend's games.

    Although not exactly a bet, I've punted some money on two high risk stocks this week.

    I bought shares of Taipan Resources @25 cent and Oxus Gold @2.1p on Wednesday. Not a lot of money down, but both companies have huge potential.

    Taipan Resources is a junior oil explorer with assets in Kenya, and drill their first of three wells at the end of this year.

    Oxus are locked in arbitration with the Uzbekistan government over gold mines that were confiscated by them. The court's decision is due by year end and will see the share price go to zero or multiples of it's current price.

    If my Europa League bet comes off in December, I will add more shares...

    Speculate to accumulate and all that!




  • Quick Sunday night update of the odds. Big week ahead for Bet 2 and 3.

    Rotherham @ 4.33 -> 5.0
    Peterborough @ 9.0 -> 9.0
    Burton Albion @ 2.3 -> 2.5
    PSG @ 1.2 -> 1.07
    Besiktas @ 1.44 -> 1.4
    Sevilla @ 1.66 -> 1.36

    Salzburg @ 1.57 -> 1.67

    Odds: 403.65 -> 382.75

    Somehow still green, despite Rotherham and Burton Albion odds drifting alot.




  • A very busy weekend and midweek for the two bets. Anothr mixed bag, with the domestic stuff being poor but the euro stuff good.

    I have spotted a cracking bet today, and I'll have to use up the November stake today. Will post more details later in case anyone else wants to get involved before the weekend games.

    Anyway here are the latest odds.

    Bet 3
    Torino @ 1.91 -> 1.5
    Dinamo Moscow @ 1.33 -> 1.1
    Sevilla @ 1.33 -> 1.3

    Dynamo Kyiv @ 1.22 -> 1.53
    Zenit to qualify @ 1.53 -> 1.73

    Dortmund @ 1.40 -> 1.3
    FC Porto @ 1.57 -> 1.57

    Total Odds: 13.86 -> 11.59
    Potential winnings: €1,386

    Bet 2
    Rotherham @ 4.33 -> 5.0
    Peterborough @ 9.0 -> 11.0
    Burton Albion @ 2.3 -> 2.2
    PSG @ 1.2 -> 1.02
    Besiktas @ 1.44 -> 1.15
    Sevilla @ 1.66 -> 1.3
    Salzburg @ 1.57 -> 1.57

    Odds: 403.65 -> 280.86
    Potential winnings: €40,365




  • OK, I know it's still October, but I had to put November's accy on today while the prices were available.

    Here it is:

    Liverpool to finish top 4 @2.0
    Cardiff to finish top 6 @3.5
    Danny Hylton to be L2 top scorer @26.0 :eek:

    Total odds: 182.0
    Stake: €120
    Potential winnings: €21,840

    Hylton currently level at the top with 8 league goals! Get involved!




  • Back to the domestic stuff and another mixed bag, with Hylton going top by himself, but most of the other results were sh1te...

    Bet 4
    Liverpool to finish top 4 @ 2.0 -> 2.25
    Cardiff to finish top 6 @ 3.5 -> 5.0

    Danny Hylton to be L2 top scorer @ 26.0 -> 12.0

    Total odds: 182.0 -> 135.0
    Potential winnings: €21,840

    Bet 2
    Rotherham @ 4.33 -> 5.0
    Peterborough @ 9.0 -> 13.0
    Burton Albion @ 2.3 -> 2.5

    PSG @ 1.2 -> 1.02
    Besiktas @ 1.44 -> 1.15
    Sevilla @ 1.66 -> 1.3

    Salzburg @ 1.57 -> 1.57

    Odds: 403.65 -> 389.04
    Potential winnings: €40,365




  • Another defeat for Peterborough against a team in the relegation zone - that's 5 from 5 I think, means they are miles behind Bristol City and I have given up on that bet. That means Bet 1 and 2 are losers and I'm down to the Europa League accy and the latest one from last week. So to keep the thread clean I will only comment on these from now on.

    Well it was a pretty good weekend that started badly. Liverpool were beaten by Newcastle, but in the 3 o clock kick offs Danny Hylton scored again and missed a late peno. He's two clear of the chasing pack in League 2. Cardiff registered a 3-1 win against a rubbish Leeds side - that's three wins from four games for Russel Slade. It was also nice to see Utd lose to City to help the Liverpool selection.

    I think Liverpool have badly missed Sturridge, and when he comes back from injury I expect Liverpool to push on into the top 4 positions. Cardiff have a very good squad, but the Championship looks extremely tight this year so it's very hard to know if they'll make top 6. This week there's Championship, Europa League and Champions League to keep us entertained... Here's the odds for the domestic treble:

    Bet 4
    Liverpool to finish top 4 @ 2.0 -> 3.25
    Cardiff to finish top 6 @ 3.5 -> 3.75

    Danny Hylton to be L2 top scorer @ 26.0 -> 7.0

    Total odds: 182.0 -> 85.3
    Potential winnings: €21,840




  • Good and bad results in the European games this week. 5 out of the 7 teams got positive results, but Zenit and Torino let me down by losing at home to Leverkusen and away to HJK respectively.

    Luckily Benfica beat Monaco so both Zenit and Torino still have it in their own hands.

    Bet 3
    Torino @ 1.91 -> 2.1
    Dinamo Moscow @ 1.33 -> 1.02
    Sevilla @ 1.33 -> 1.13
    Dynamo Kyiv @ 1.22 -> 1.2
    Zenit to qualify @ 1.53 -> 3.0
    Dortmund @ 1.40 -> 1.05
    FC Porto @ 1.57 -> 1.36

    Total Odds: 13.86 -> 12.44
    Potential winnings: €1,386

    So a slight drop in the odds...


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  • A quiet weekend with the FA Cup 1st round being on, so just Championship and Premier League. Cardiff could only draw and Liverpool lost to Chelsea.

    I'm looking at the "To Finish Top 4" odds here again. Liverpool are best priced 4.0 and Arsenal are best priced 1.5. I find that extremely ridiculous!

    Liverpool have a nice run of fixtures now and I can see that 4.0 price being closer to evens by the time Christmas comes, especially with Sturridge coming back.

    Anyway, here are the odds for that bet:

    Bet 4
    Liverpool to finish top 4 @ 2.0 -> 4.0
    Cardiff to finish top 6 @ 3.5 -> 5.0

    Danny Hylton to be L2 top scorer @ 26.0 -> 7.0

    Total odds: 182.0 -> 140.0

    Potential winnings: €21,840


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