Aintree Day 3

Johner

I like Wilde Blue Yonder in the first at 5/1. Ran a decent race in the Supreme to come a staying on 5th and if he jumps round should go very close.

Colonel Sanders

While I'm not sure any of those lining up in the Magull will win a champion chase it's a very competitive race

Hinterland came down too far out to make a call on how he'd have finished but before that had looked a good (second season) novice & I'm gonna take connections deciding to line up in the champion chase as an indication of his ability rather than a judgement on the quality of the field. Think Byrnes' horse might be a bit over rated on the basis of his Irish Arkle win

so Hinterland for me. Hopefully some 7/2 floating around tomorrow

the groutch

Think Thousand Stars is overpriced at 10/1.
Loves the track and have always thought the 2m4f of the Aintree Hurdle was still too sharp for him, hopefully will be more at home over 3m.
Also all the other leading contenders are at the end of a long season, and had tough races at Cheltenham, whereas this is Thousand Stars' Cheltenham.
(The strategy of bypassing Cheltenham has also benefited another Irish trained Aintree specialist in the past, Al Eile).

mailburner

katgary for me to make amends for a very unlucky loss
at the festival

Francie Barrett

National bets.

Monbeg Dude - 25/1
Rocky Creek - 20/1
Lion Ne Bearnai - 40/1
Shakalakaboomboom - 50/1

I see Bill Hills are 12/1 for T43 now, if I hadn't 4 picked, I'd be doing that.

Others.

1:30 - Volnay De Thaix - 8/1
3:25 - Saint Are - 8/1
5:10 - Rainbow Peak - 16/1
5:45 - Modus - 8/1

Feel very good about my National picks this year. Hopefully there's money to be made there.

carpothepunk

Un ace un ace un ace

mdwexford

Agree with the Colonel that Trifolium might be flattered by his Irish Arkle win and he's not that good. Backed Next Sensation at Cheltenham and think I'll give him another go tomorrow because non of the top 3 look amazing to me.

Also think I'll be backing Zarkandar, was surprised they didn't go for the Aintree Hurdle on Friday to defend his crown so Nicholls must fancy really his chances here.

Admittedly he probably prefers taking on AFC rather than The New One but the way that ended up going Zark could well have beaten him.

unitedrover

What are peoples thoughts on Swynmor in the 5.10? ( Urban in particular).

UrbanSea

unitedrover wrote: »

What are peoples thoughts on Swynmor in the 5.10? ( Urban in particular).

Thought his day was the last day he should have won what wasn't a great race if he hasn't got such a poor ride. He jould win around this mark but it's plenty hard tomorrow I'd probably leave him until next season hopefully a bad race around 125 mark.


Duke of Lucca for me tomorrow at 16s. Was wry disappointed he didn't win at Ascot a few runs back but he bumped into a horse who had a tonne in hand, now rated 30lbs higher than that day. Will be very disappointed if he isn't placed

hawaii501

Anyone think Victor Hewgo is a good bet although 7/2 seems a bit skinny.
Beaten less than a length in races against Western Warhorse and Holywell who have franked that form by both winning at the festival and Holywell winning again yesterday.

Gregk961

hawaii501 wrote: »

Anyone think Victor Hewgo is a good bet although 7/2 seems a bit skinny.
Beaten less than a length in races against Western Warhorse and Holywell who have franked that form by both winning at the festival and Holywell winning again yesterday.

Found it hard to choose between Victor Hewgo (who is most likely winner) or Our Mick (who seems like a good bet) went for Mick, so Victor is certainly gona do it!

mailburner

hawaii501 wrote: »

Anyone think Victor Hewgo is a good bet although 7/2 seems a bit skinny.
Beaten less than a length in races against Western Warhorse and Holywell who have franked that form by both winning at the festival and Holywell winning again yesterday.

can't knock that holywell form with the topham winner narrowly
beaten by holywell at chelt also
took that price myself

Johner

Been very impressed with Victor Hewgo so far, his jumping has been brilliant and with his only 2 defeats coming to Western Warhorse and Holywell the form looks rock solid. I think the track will suit and he's on a very decent mark and have backed him at 4/1.

carmanard

Hinterland looks a solid call for the maghull today.. And victor hewgo has to be on the premises if the form behind two subsequent grade one winners is worth it's salt..Have melodic rendezvous, minella for value and drumlee backed e/w, swerving the opener and the bumper as they're way too trappy

Hulk Hands

Zarkandar at 4s is massive. I also cant understand why Trifolium isnt fav in the novice chase. Colbert Station and Kashmir peak later on

carpothepunk

Katgary is a disgusting price

Whosthis

1.40 Newcastle, I have Rio Yuma in my tracker, no notes and can't remember why I put it in, small stakes @14s on the exchange.

Francie Barrett

McCoy wins, odds immediately flip flop with Double Seven now favourite for the national.

newuser89

Why is Wayne Hutchinson not riding more of Alan kings horses
He said a whole back they would share the rides but choc Thornton still seems to get the main rides.
Just don't like the ride he gave Wilde blue yonder
Getting it into bad positions
A more patient ride and I think he could of won

Francie Barrett

newuser89 wrote: »

Why is Wayne Hutchinson not riding more of Alan kings horses
He said a whole back they would share the rides but choc Thornton still seems to get the main rides.
Just don't like the ride he gave Wilde blue yonder
Getting it into bad positions
A more patient ride and I think he could of won

Alan King has said that he leaves it to the owner to pick the rider.

Whosthis

Whosthis wrote: »

1.40 Newcastle, I have Rio Yuma in my tracker, no notes and can't remember why I put it in, small stakes @14s on the exchange.

And............................... its no longer in my tracker.

newuser89

The fact that he isn't 1 of 40 jockeys in the national says it all I suppose

Whosthis

Some ride by Jack Duern.

Gringo180

newuser89 wrote: »

Why is Wayne Hutchinson not riding more of Alan kings horses
He said a whole back they would share the rides but choc Thornton still seems to get the main rides.
Just don't like the ride he gave Wilde blue yonder
Getting it into bad positions
A more patient ride and I think he could of won

I agree I was really impressed with Hutchinson on the ride he gave Balder Success last time out, one of the best rides I have seen all year.

Johner

Hinterland is very weak in the betting.

Francie Barrett

Gringo180 wrote: »

I agree I was really impressed with Hutchinson on the ride he gave Balder Success last time out, one of the best rides I have seen all year.

Another superb ride from Hutch there.

newuser89

And Wayne Hutchison rides balder success to victory
Trifolium didn't jump well

Gringo180

Francie Barrett wrote: »

Another superb ride from Hutch there.

Superb bit of horsemanship again. Love that horse great attitude he has always tries his heart out, he is one to watch out for next year loads of improvement to come I reckon.

Carroller

How many places were paddy payingb?

carmanard

Knew the goose was cooked on hinterland when you see a drift from 11/4 to 11/2, chronic, good performance by the winner though. Makes his run at Sandown all the more puzzling really, clearly just a blip I suppose..

mailburner

afc surely here

cant see what'll beat it but not getting involved at that price

id be happy to have it as the second leg in my lucky 15 with
balder kicking it off

UrbanSea

Have expressed all season I didn't rate at Fishers. Not sure the staying division is all that strong either

mailburner

victor 5s now
that's more like it
hopefully another boost to the holywell form


can't have unioniste off top weight here
just can't see it at all

Whosthis

I've gone with Duke Of Lucca.

Johner

Hewgo, Hewgo, Hewgo.

kksaints

Terrible start to that race.

Juxtapose

Johner wrote: »

Hewgo, Hewgo, Hewgo.

Lets hope so!

Edit : Not a great start

newuser89

Hewgo not travelling
He was in trouble at start from carruthers

mailburner

not looking good at all here

fuk
pulled up

pollocks

Gullinbursti

Juxtapose

Pulled up.. Grr

Johner

Didn't even get a run.

newuser89

Look at start and Carruthers ruined him
No luck

Juxtapose

Whosthis wrote: »

I've gone with Duke Of Lucca.

Nice one

Whosthis

Boom!

mdwexford

UrbanSea wrote: »

Duke of Lucca for me tomorrow at 16s. Was wry disappointed he didn't win at Ascot a few runs back but he bumped into a horse who had a tonne in hand, now rated 30lbs higher than that day. Will be very disappointed if he isn't placed

Great call US.

jimjamcos

Didn't have a bet but Well done Urban!

Mountainlad

Thanks a lot Urban, great call.

jimjamcos

Boyles giving money back on Carruthers

UrbanSea

Cheers lads I've waited a long time for that horse to get a flat track on decent ground. Was sure he would win when runner up to Nifht Allience that time unlucky to bump into one. Have always thought they were mad running him at Cheltenham

newuser89

Should be money back on hewgo
No run for your money
Leaves bad taste in your mouth