February 2014 Boards forecast contest

M.T. Cranium

The 1981-2010 average IMT for February is 5.2 C

As always, the contest has five regular questions:

1. Predict the IMT (average for Claremorris, Casement, Mullingar, Oak Park and Shannon)

2. Predict the MAX anywhere that Met.ie has a thermometer in action as reported in the Monthly Summary

3. Predict the MIN same basis

4. Predict the PRC as % of normal (winter PRC includes melted equivalents) at the eleven sites that are reviewed in the Monthly Summary from Met-E.

5. Predict the SUN as % of normal at reporting stations (six are usually reviewed in the Monthly Summary from Met-E).

6. Bonus this month: Highest maximum temperature on Valentines' Day which as I am sure you know is Friday the 14th. (8 pts) and add a location for a further bonus of 2 if you're correct, although lone wolf forecasts will earn 4 pts and exclusive pairs will earn 3.

You can now enter this contest at the following location:

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/viewform?formkey=dElyZTJQeUJzVjdnQ1JBcThYdHpCSEE6MQ#gid=1

or you can enter directly on this thread.

The deadline, as usual, will be 0300h on the 2nd (Sunday) after which penalties of 5% per half-day apply.

M.T. Cranium

bump(y road ahead)

Three entries so far, thanks 200m, pauldry and MTC whoever you are.

Don't forget, deadline is Sunday 2nd at 0300h.

Bsal

Done.

Rikand

done

Danno

done

dasa29

Done

jd

done

omicron

Done

Harps

Done

DOCARCH

Done

homolumo

Done

kindredspirit

I wouldn't win an argument .......................but done.

Tae laidir

kindredspirit wrote: »

I wouldn't win an argument .......................but done.

Valencia an interesting choice.

Done!

Joe Public

Done with this weather!

mickger844posts

done

nilhg

done

traecy1

Done

dacogawa

Done

lostinashford

Done

rameire

Doh. Done.

John mac

done. late again

Jpmarn

Done, sorry I'm late.

delw

its' late but done

M.T. Cranium

February 2014 Forecasts


FORECASTER ____________ IMT _ MAX _ MIN _ PRC _ SUN _ Max 14th

M.T. Cranium ____________ 6.3 _ 14.0 _ --4.0 _ 175 _ 090 _ 12.3 Val
nilhg ___________________ 6.3 _ 12.3 _ --3.3 _ 110 _ 100 __ 9.6 Oak
lostinashford_____________ 6.1 _ 14.5 _ --3.3 _ 135 _ 090 _ 10.5 Oak
omicron _________________6.0 _ 13.5 _ --3.0 _ 120 _ 100 __ 9.0 Joh
kindredspirit _____________ 5.9 _ 14.5 _ --3.0 _ 110 _ 098 _ 10.5 Val
dacogawa _______________ 5.8 _ 14.5 _ --5.5 _ 140 _ 100 __ 9.9 Val
mickger844posts _________ 5.8 _ 14.2 _ --3.1 _ 123 _ 090 _ 10.1 Oak
Tae laidir ________________5.8 _ 13.2 _ --4.2 _ 155 _ 105 _ 10.8 She
Danno __________________5.7 _ 14.7 _ --5.1 _ 140 _ 100 __ 8.4 She
waterways ______________ 5.6 _ 13.1 _ --4.5 _ 132 _ 089 _ 12.0 Oak
rameire ________________ 5.6 _ 13.0 _ --4.0 _ 105 _ 095 _ 10.0 Cas
200 motels ______________ 5.5 _ 13.6 _ --4.1 _ 169 _ 065 _ 11.5 Val
jpmarn ___ (-10%) _______ 5.5 _ 13.3 _ --2.9 _ 095 _ 080 _ 10.5 Sha

Con Sensus _____________ 5.5 _ 13.7 _ --4.0 _ 120 _ 095 _ 10.2 Val

melanoma ______________ 5.5 _ 13.2 _ --3.0 _ 115 _ 096 _ 10.3 Oak
DOCARCH _______________ 5.4 _ 15.2 _ --3.2 _ 125 _ 096 _ 13.8 Cas
harps __________________ 5.4 _ 13.9 _ --3.6 _ 130 _ 095 __ 9.6 Val
jd _____________________ 5.4 _ 13.6 _ --5.1 _ 110 _ 089 _ 12.7 Val
Bsal ____________________5.4 _ 12.7 _ --5.0 _ 111 _ 097 _ 10.0 Val
traecy.1 ________________ 5.3 _ 15.4 _ --4.8 _ 130 _ 095 _ 10.8 Val
homolumo _______________5.2 _ 14.0 _ --4.0 _ 110 _ 085 __ 9.1 Oak
rikand __________________ 5.2 _ 13.5 _ --3.5 _ 110 _ 110 __ 9.5 Joh
John mac ___ (-5%) ______ 5.1 _ 14.3 _ --4.5 _ 110 _ 099 _ 13.2 She
pauldry _________________ 5.1 _ 13.0 _ --5.0 _ 143 _ 091 _ 12.0 Val
dasa 29 _________________5.0 _ 13.0 _ --5.0 _ 105 _ 085 _ 12.0 Mul
Joe Public _______________ 4.9 _ 13.9 _ --4.9 _ 139 _ 099 __ 8.9 Val
delw _____ (-10%) _______ 4.6 _ 11.0 _ --2.0 _ 150 _ 085 __ 9.0 Val
________________________________________________

The general consensus is a rather mild, wet and slightly dull month, with the warmest reading on the 14th most likely to be 10-12 in the southwest.

None among us apparently foresees much chance of any severely cold weather before the end of February, the lowest MIN forecast is --5.5 deg.

Good luck to all (except Con).

Joe Public

Soon we might have an average monthly wind speed column.

M.T. Cranium

After one week,

IMT at 5.3 C

PRC at 239% of normal

SUN at 85% of normal

and more wind than an all-candidates meeting.

pauldry

dont think consensus will do too well on the temperature this month.

its heading down more this week

with nine news weather having a snow? at the start

omicron

-4.3 in Mullingar yesterday is prob a new min for the month so far.

Joe Public

Sherkin Island had a 10.3C today according to Ogimet, pipped Valentia by .1

M.T. Cranium

Our consensus was not too shabby then. (10.2 Val)

M.T. Cranium

After two weeks at the halfway point ...

IMT at 4.7 C

PRC at 268% of normal

SUN at 90% of normal