Friday 17th...

Goldcupfav

One bet for me tomorrow. Not a tip just a fancy.
2.00 Lingfield FONTERUTOLI. Two runs ago won over this course and distance off a mark of 55. Held up in last place off the pace made a move 7 horses wide with three furlongs to go and went from nearly last place to first within the distance of a furlong kicked on and won by about a length and a half with Rob Winston not having to get to serious with the horse that was on the 30th of December.
http://www.attheraces.com/VideoConsole/?va=LIN_2013_12_30_08_1545

Watch the race if you can.

Now interesting is the horses next run 9 days ago. Dropped to 1 mile around Lingfield in an apprentice race ran off a mark of 61. Trainers son was on board this day and claimed 7 pound. Was actually in Nubar Boy race the day someone tipped that winner up. Again horse was held up in last place only this time the horse was never put into the race. I seriously suggest you to watch the race horse was an obvious non trier over the shorter distance and finished in 8th place full of running beaten about 2 and a half lengths.
http://www.attheraces.com/VideoConsole/?va=LIN_2014_01_08_07_1540

FONTERUTOLI runs off 58 only 3 pounds higher then his last win here on 30th December. Rob Winston is booked again for the ride and i think this horse looks way overpriced at 9/1. Fav for the race Tiger Reigns looks a big danger having won handy last time around Wolverhampton. Going to check the betting without the fav market in the morning might get 5s or 6s. Any have a look at his last two races if you can. Think a mark of 58 is still winnable for this horse.

Francie Barrett

10/1 this morning, I got on. Favourite's last race wasn't strong at all, so this one is surely in with a chance.

oPATCHo

nice analysis. I'm jump onboard - it's Friday afterall

sting60

Best handicapped horse at Dundalk tonight is Gold Falcon 25/1 8.15.If Ado McGuinness decides to take the handbrake off this will win.The market should be watched because if he drops in price get on.

oPATCHo

BAR DE LIGNE in the 3:20

- AP has a 40% strike rate with trainer
- AP has only raced here 6 times (yet to win there). Must be a reason why he's being dragged over there

I've put him in a double with THE BLUE DOG.

UrbanSea

Backed the well handicapped Star of Aragon tonight in a weak race at Dundalk 6/1

Backstreet Moyes

Anybody on Prince of Burma today?

UrbanSea

Nuts102 wrote: »

Anybody on Prince of Burma today?

Missed the price so leaving it, hope it's well beaten and backed next time but I think he has about ten pound in hand

BQQ

oPATCHo wrote: »

BAR DE LIGNE in the 3:20

- AP has a 40% strike rate with trainer
- AP has only raced here 6 times (yet to win there). Must be a reason why he's being dragged over there

I've put him in a double with THE BLUE DOG.

He's riding Discovery Bay in the race before that. (14:45)
Was held up in a slow-run race by will kennedy last time, so they've booked a proper jockey this time.
Was 2nd to Willows saviour two starts back beaten only a few lengths.
Willows saviour went on to hack up in the Ladbroke off 9lbs higher.

2/1 looks an absolute gift against this lot.

oPATCHo

oPATCHo wrote: »

BAR DE LIGNE in the 3:20

- AP has a 40% strike rate with trainer
- AP has only raced here 6 times (yet to win there). Must be a reason why he's being dragged over there

I've put him in a double with THE BLUE DOG.

Alex Hammond's tip of the day.

Well, I might aswell write that bet off

oPATCHo

BQQ wrote: »

He's riding Discovery Bay in the race before that. (14:45)
Was held up in a slow-run race by will kennedy last time, so they've booked a proper jockey this time.
Was 2nd to Willows saviour two starts back beaten only a few lengths.
Willows saviour went on to hack up in the Ladbroke off 9lbs higher.

2/1 looks an absolute gift against this lot.

Cheers for the info!

Seeing alot of support for this horse

oPATCHo

CATALYZE backed into 3/1 from 10, return from long absence

BumperD

Goldcupfav wrote: »

One bet for me tomorrow. Not a tip just a fancy.
2.00 Lingfield FONTERUTOLI. Two runs ago won over this course and distance off a mark of 55. Held up in last place off the pace made a move 7 horses wide with three furlongs to go and went from nearly last place to first within the distance of a furlong kicked on and won by about a length and a half with
Rob Winston not having to get to serious with the horse that was on the 30th of December.
http://www.attheraces.com/VideoConsole/?va=LIN_2013_12_30_08_1545

Watch the race if you can.

Now interesting is the horses next run 9 days ago. Dropped to 1 mile around Lingfield in an apprentice race ran off a mark of 61. Trainers son was on board this day and claimed 7 pound. Was actually in Nubar Boy race the day someone tipped that winner up. Again horse was held up in last place only this time the horse was never put into the race. I seriously suggest you to watch the race horse was an obvious non trier over the shorter distance and finished in 8th place full of running beaten about 2 and a half lengths.
http://www.attheraces.com/VideoConsole/?va=LIN_2014_01_08_07_1540

FONTERUTOLI runs off 58 only 3
pounds higher then his last win here on 30th December. Rob Winston is booked again for the ride and i think this horse looks way overpriced at 9/1. Fav for the race Tiger Reigns looks a big danger having won handy last time around Wolverhampton. Going to check the betting without the fav market in the morning might get 5s or 6s. Any have a look at his last two races if you can. Think a mark of 58 is still winnable for this horse.

Not having a bet until tomorrow but enjoyed reading the analysis. Hope it runs well

mailburner

didnt get involved but that second run was hilarious to watch and
probably nothing done about it

Francie Barrett

Cloudante hated the heavy ground lto, interesting to see how it gets on here.

Francie Barrett

Francie Barrett wrote: »

Cloudante hated the heavy ground lto, interesting to see how it gets on here.

:mad:

wins at 10/1 over good/soft.

Whosthis

Is it just me or have a lot of McCain's horses been drifting and winning lately?

UrbanSea

Just had a good bet on Katenko for tomorrow. Night Alliance feared most but the handicapper may have him in his grasp now

midajoh

Guys i got a big shout for G Elliott's 2 horses running at Wolverhampton 6:30 and 7:30

BQQ

BQQ wrote: »

He's riding Discovery Bay in the race before that. (14:45)
Was held up in a slow-run race by will kennedy last time, so they've booked a proper jockey this time.
Was 2nd to Willows saviour two starts back beaten only a few lengths.
Willows saviour went on to hack up in the Ladbroke off 9lbs higher.

2/1 looks an absolute gift against this lot.

Ouch!
What the hell was that?:(:confused:

hucklebuck

UrbanSea wrote: »

Just had a good bet on Katenko for tomorrow. Night Alliance feared most but the handicapper may have him in his grasp now

I must look at NAs rating, backed him last day and he won doing handstands. Yard in very good form today.

Any like The Knoxs here, 28/1, got the impression last time fitness was the issue, the price is right for a trainer who likes to lay them out

Whosthis

hucklebuck wrote: »

I must look at NAs rating, backed him last day and he won doing handstands. Yard in very good form today.

Any like The Knoxs here, 28/1, got the impression last time fitness was the issue, the price is right for a trainer who likes to lay them out

I like the look of it, backed it at 40s and have an IR lay in at 4s.

BQQ

hucklebuck wrote: »

I must look at NAs rating, backed him last day and he won doing handstands. Yard in very good form today.

Any like The Knoxs here, 28/1, got the impression last time fitness was the issue, the price is right for a trainer who likes to lay them out

I had a nibble earlier on the Knoxs.
potential plot, but lack of market support is worrying

Whosthis

Hard work for Mania, jumped quite hesitantly, lowest IR 7.2

Francie Barrett

hucklebuck wrote: »

Any like The Knoxs here, 28/1, got the impression last time fitness was the issue, the price is right for a trainer who likes to lay them out

Sue Smith's horses just seem to stay and stay, I think the sweet spot for backing her horses might just be over bottomless ground.

naughto

oPATCHo wrote: »

BAR DE LIGNE in the 3:20

- AP has a 40% strike rate with trainer
- AP has only raced here 6 times (yet to win there). Must be a reason why he's being dragged over there

I've put him in a double with THE BLUE DOG.

good man nice tip.

hucklebuck

Only saw the last 4 but he was losing lengths, seemed to be the same again. I will add him to my tracker if a tonguestrap hasnt been tried yet.

BQQ

hucklebuck wrote: »

Only saw the last 4 but he was losing lengths, seemed to be the same again. I will add him to my tracker if a tonguestrap hasnt been tried yet.

Would like to see it going the other way round.

oPATCHo

LAWSONS THORNS in the last at Muss.... for s**** and giggles

Backstreet Moyes

midajoh wrote: »

Guys i got a big shout for G Elliott's 2 horses running at Wolverhampton 6:30 and 7:30

Interesting has he had many runners over their. I can;t think of any.

oPATCHo

oPATCHo wrote: »

LAWSONS THORNS in the last at Muss.... for s**** and giggles

... yeah... giggles... lol

midajoh

Nuts102 wrote: »

Interesting has he had many runners over their. I can;t think of any.

I wouldn't know to be honest.One thing i do find a little strange is he has no runners at Dundalk

Francie Barrett

Where did this shout come from? The money for Seismic in particular came in late last night/early this morning.

midajoh

Francie Barrett wrote: »

Where did this shout come from? The money for Seismic in particular came in late last night/early this morning.

It came from a friend of a friend who works in a bookies

oPATCHo

CATALYZE smashed into 2's, from 12/1 apparently

Francie Barrett

midajoh wrote: »

It came from a friend of a friend who works in a bookies

Trainer is a rogue, tipped a horse on RTE a few weeks back, it was backed off the boards and still didn't win. Plenty of times the gamble does get landed though,

midajoh

oPATCHo wrote: »

CATALYZE smashed into 2's, from 12/1 apparently

1st

oPATCHo

midajoh wrote: »

1st

Those backing it late in the day at short odds would have been sweating

xXxkorixXx

anything for dundalk tonight? the hubby likes wishyouwerehere in the second race

carpothepunk

Not sure tonight is the night for Seismic. Prepared for egg on face, though.

Francie Barrett

Small punt on My My My Diliza at 4/1 in the next at Wolverhampton, can see the claimer getting the favourite beat and there isn't much else in the field that looks good enough....

Goldcupfav

Goldcupfav wrote: »

One bet for me tomorrow. Not a tip just a fancy.
2.00 Lingfield FONTERUTOLI. Two runs ago won over this course and distance off a mark of 55. Held up in last place off the pace made a move 7 horses wide with three furlongs to go and went from nearly last place to first within the distance of a furlong kicked on and won by about a length and a half with Rob Winston not having to get to serious with the horse that was on the 30th of December.
http://www.attheraces.com/VideoConsole/?va=LIN_2013_12_30_08_1545

Watch the race if you can.

Now interesting is the horses next run 9 days ago. Dropped to 1 mile around Lingfield in an apprentice race ran off a mark of 61. Trainers son was on board this day and claimed 7 pound. Was actually in Nubar Boy race the day someone tipped that winner up. Again horse was held up in last place only this time the horse was never put into the race. I seriously suggest you to watch the race horse was an obvious non trier over the shorter distance and finished in 8th place full of running beaten about 2 and a half lengths.
http://www.attheraces.com/VideoConsole/?va=LIN_2014_01_08_07_1540

FONTERUTOLI runs off 58 only 3 pounds higher then his last win here on 30th December. Rob Winston is booked again for the ride and i think this horse looks way overpriced at 9/1. Fav for the race Tiger Reigns looks a big danger having won handy last time around Wolverhampton. Going to check the betting without the fav market in the morning might get 5s or 6s. Any have a look at his last two races if you can. Think a mark of 58 is still winnable for this horse.

Ran a stinker sorry for anyone who might have followed..

midajoh

Willamhill Tipster napping ELJOWZAH 8:15 @6/1 could be worth a each-way bet

oPATCHo

Goldcupfav wrote: »

Ran a stinker sorry for anyone who might have followed..

One for the notebook

midajoh

Francie Barrett wrote: »

Small punt on My My My Diliza at 4/1 in the next at Wolverhampton, can see the claimer getting the favourite beat and there isn't much else in the field that looks good enough....

Well done

oPATCHo

WD! ... and it looked like the claimer did get it beat by not kicking on early enough!

Francie Barrett

Francie Barrett wrote: »

Small punt on My My My Diliza at 4/1 in the next at Wolverhampton, can see the claimer getting the favourite beat and there isn't much else in the field that looks good enough....

Love it when a plan comes to fruition! That favourite travelled really well coming around the bend and McClean didn't ask it to produce until the race was over.

sting60

Seismic is 7lbs out of the handicap no trainer in their right mind would go for a touch doing this.

midajoh

Late money coming for Coastal Passage fingers crossed

Motivator

midajoh wrote: »

Late money coming for Coastal Passage fingers crossed

I've just layed him, going to lay the balls off of Seismic in an hour.

oPATCHo

wow... just didnt go