2014 Log

MN16

Will mainly be rugby with the odd other sport thrown in. Aim is to multiply the initial investment times five by the end of the year.

Balance: 20 Units
Profit/Loss: 0
ROI: 0%

MN16

France to win the Six Nations at 11/4. France have an incredible record the year after Lions tours in the Six Nations. Quite like the look of their squad now, decent balance. Favourable draw with two home games to build momentum and England and Ireland in Paris.

Andy Murray to make the semi finals of the Australian Open at 4/5. Looks in decent enough nick despite media reports to the contrary. Biggest threats to this, if he gets past Lopez, will be either Tsonga or Federer in the quarters.

Man City to win the Premiership at 11/10. Tight race this year but fancy City to get over the finishing line. Chelsea will be biggest danger but hard to look past the current form and squad of City.

The NFC to win the Super Bowl at 77/100. Think Seattle will win this outright but this is a bit of a safety bet more than anything else. If Seattle lose, I’d fancy San Fran to avenge last year.

1 unit on the above at 24/1

MN16

A single on tonight’s rugby.

I think the line on the Leinster Ospreys game is a bit too high. I know Osprey’s have nothing to play for but pride can be a major factor. Osprey’s have a great record against Leinster, in the last 10 games, they have won 6 and drawn 1. I expect Leinster to win but think it will be closer than the current cap.

3 units on Ospreys +16 at 9/10

MN16

1 unit on Sunderland at 2/1
3 units on Connacht +23 at 9/10

MN16

Not the best start but hopefully onwards and upwards.

7 units on Australia to beat England in the 2nd T20 at 8/11

MN16

6 units on Ireland -12 at evens

MN16

8 units on Seattle at 21/20

MN16

6 units on over 2.5 goals in Man City - Chelsea at 3/4

MN16

Decent weekend makes up for a relatively poor start. Haven't been great with my reasoning so going to improve that henceforth.

Balance: 25.5 Units
Profit/Loss: +5.5 Units
ROI: 27.5%

I quite like the look of Melbourne this morning in the cricket, they should have too much for Hobart with bat and ball. Bit short for my liking generally but still think it's backable.

9 units on Melbourne Stars at 4/9

MN16

MN16 wrote: »

I quite like the look of Melbourne this morning in the cricket, they should have too much for Hobart with bat and ball. Bit short for my liking generally but still think it's backable.

9 units on Melbourne Stars at 4/9

Quite disappointing really, was too short really.

One for this evening is taking Fulham to see off a distracted Sheffield United side at home.

6.5 Units on Fulham -1 at 31/20

MN16

Think the missing players for Sydney could tip the game in favour of Perth.

10 units on Perth Scorchers at evens.

MN16

Think Real will get a decent result tonight at home. Bale and Ronaldo should both start while considering their record at home against Atletico, think there's decent value to be had in the straight win.

10 units on Real Madrid at 10/11

MN16

Fulham were very disappointing but thankfully Real and Perth came in.

Balance: 29.1 Units
Profit/Loss: +9.1 Units
ROI: 45.5%

MN16

Final of the big bash this morning and I quite like the look of Perth again. At home and third time lucky in the final hopefully. Think they've the more balanced side and the slight edge in attack which will hopefully nuliffy Hobarts impressive batting line up.

9.1 Units on Perth at 4/5

MN16

Good win for Perth this morning.

Balance: 36.4 Units
Profit/Loss: +16.4 Units
ROI: 82%

Rugby League back tonight with Wigan taking on Huddersfield. Think Wigan have been weakened a bit in the break while Huddersfield have improved. Wigan might have one eye on their world challange game next week so fancy Huddersfield on the handicap.

6.4 units on Huddersfield +6.5 at 4/5

MN16

Reckon there'll be plenty of goals today in the early kick off. Liverpools defence hasn't been up to much of late while at the other end Suarez and Sturridge look in great form. Plenty of options for Arsenal as well. Bit shorter than I would have liked but still fancy it.

6 units on over 2.5 goals at 13/20

MN16

Quite fancy Ireland to win today against Wales. Think they'll have too much in the end against a limited (in my opinion) Wales team.

18 units on Ireland at 4/6

MN16

Think Reading should beat Wednesday today. They've been scoring for fun and Wednesday are missing some of their first choice back four.

8 units on Reading at 3/4

MN16

Think Wales will come back strong in the second half, they can't be any worse.

9 units on Wales +12 at 10/11

MN16

Think City will push home their advantage.

10 units on Man City at 9/10

MN16

20 units on Scotland +10 at 10/11

MN16

10.3 units on Swansea at 9/10

MN16

19.7 units on Napoli at 21/20

MN16

14 units on Torino at 4/7

MN16

10 units on Cape Cobras at 11/10

MN16

16.3 units on France -18 at 10/11

MN16

Very mixed weekend. Too many wagers placed for my liking.

Balance: 31.2 Units
Profit/Loss: +11.2 Units
ROI: 56%

MN16

6 units on San Mig Coffee +3.5 at 17/20

MN16

Balance: 36.3 Units
Profit/Loss: +16.3 Units
ROI: 81.5%

Quite like the look of overs in tonight’s Championship game. The corresponding fixture went over earlier in the season. QPR’s last six games have gone over while Derby’s last couple have as well. Both have plenty of options going forward and should be a decent, open game in which I think the over’s is slightly underpriced.

6.3 units on over 2.5 goals at 9/10

MN16

4 units on Denis Istomin at 13/10

MN16

6 units on a double of Cilic to win 2-0 (8/15) and Youzhny to win (8/15)

MN16

10 units on Cornet and Rybarikova in play at 2.1

MN16

10 units on West Ham -1 at 57/20

MN16

Balance: 38.5 Units
Profit/Loss: +18.5 Units
ROI: 92.5%

6 units on over 280.5 runs for Australia in the first innings against SA at 5/6

MN16

6 units on over 194.5 Sri Lanan runs at 5/6

MN16

6 units on under 164.5 runs for Sri Lanka at 5/6

MN16

10.5 units on Del Potro and Gasquet (2-0) at 1.925

MN16

10 units on Gasquet in play at evens

MN16

6 units on over 154.5 points in the Khimki - Siena game at 5/6

MN16

10 units on Arsenal at 6/5

MN16

6 units on Napoli at 27/20

MN16

4 units on Liverpool in play at 29/20

MN16

9 units on under 468.5 Australian runs in the first innings at 5/6

MN16

4.9 units on Gulbis at 11/10

MN16

Balance: 52.8 Units
Profit/Loss: +32.8 Units
ROI: 164%

6.8 units on fall of first SA wicket after 26.5 runs at 5/6

MN16

6 units on Amla over 28.5 runs at 5/6

MN16

10 units on Gasquet at 4/5

MN16

For some reason got paid out on Amla. Very strange but won't complain.

Balance: 41 Units
Profit/Loss: +21 Units
ROI: 105%

If Aus can get AB out early this morning, I don't fancy the SA tail that much.

6 units on under 244.5 SA first inning runs at 5/6

MN16

SA will be desperate for early wickets and think Warner could be vulnerable.

6 units on under 25.5 Warner runs at 5/6

MN16

6 units on fall of second Aus wicket under 44/5 runs at 5/6

MN16

SA runs come in but both Aus one lose. Poor enough picking.

Berdych is in great form so going to have a bit on him to win in straight sets.

9 units on Berdych 2-0 at 19/20