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Laying GetYourTipsOut Picks - Sponsored by Coral

  • 25-06-2013 5:30am
    #1
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,185 ✭✭✭


    Last year I did a log where I followed horse picks solely from Twitter. Back then I tried to find as many people as I could that were good at tipping horses, and bet only on their tips (trying not to let my own opinion alter the picks). In the end, I ended up finding a few decent tipsters, and a few normal guys that post decent tips. The log was a success. I started with €50 and ended with around €80 after less than a month making only €1 bets . I gave up though as it was too much hassle trawling Twitter for tips every day

    GetYourTipsOut was one of these accounts I ended up following at the time. They had a great run, and made +2,000 point oer 2012, and I was along for the ride for a short part of that run

    However, things are not so good now - in fact they are suspiciously bad, NAPs are falling regularly, as are NBs. Daily Doubles are falling apart, and Lucky15 are nothing short of terrible.

    They have 60K+ followers right now, and people are following them blindly, and it seems they are now been steered in the wrong direction

    If fact, I propose that opposing them would be a better option. That is why I am laying their main picks (NAPs, NBs ect) and seeing will I end up in profit.

    This is not solely my idea, as there are two other Twitter accounts that have started up since they started to make "iffy" decisions. This log is just to keep track if level stake lays would actually result in profit.

    Will start with a €50 Bank, and make Approx €2 Liability lays on each horse. That should be enough to not go instantly broke, and get a good idea of their tip quality.

    Will post todays lays in next post.


«1

Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,185 ✭✭✭tinodz


    Current Stats

    Starting Bank €50

    Lay's for 25th June 2013

    Horse Venue Result Winnings Tip Quality
    Green Earth 2:45 Brighton Horse Won (Lose) - Course NAP, Daily NB, Part of Daily Double
    Dairam 3.30 Beverly Horse Won (Lose) - Course NAP
    Reset City 4:00 Beverley Horse Lost (Win) - Course NB, Part of Lucky 15
    Kian's Delight 7:05 Newton Abbot Horse Lost (Win) - Course NAP, Part of Lucky 15
    Imperial Glance 8:00 Newbury Horse Lost (Win) - Course NAP, Daily NAP, Part of Daily Double
    Squeeze My Brain 8:35 Newbury Horse Lost (Win) - Course NB, Part of Lucky 15

    Slight update. Removing some selections. Some prices are too big to lay (with my bank) - so sticking to horses in the Lucky 15 and Daily Double


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,185 ✭✭✭tinodz


    Results for 25th June 2013

    p0GQem8.png
    +2.80

    Thoughts

    Even though I am only up a bit, I think this is a good start. This actually could have been a much better day if I layed at better odds. I layed the early morning prices, and quite a few of the horses went off much lower - but I was stuck with the worse odds.

    Today their Daily NAP lost, which was also part of Daily Double. It is pretty regular for one part of their daily double to lose. The Lucky 15 also returned nothing

    I will try to make some alterations tomorrow -mainly making sure i lay at better odds - and my Bank should go up.

    Live and learn.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,185 ✭✭✭tinodz


    Lay's for 26th June 2013

    Horse Venue Result Tip Quality
    Ennistown 4:25 Salisbury Horse Lost (Win) Course NAP, Daily NB, Part of Daily Double
    Daylight 8:10 Bath Horse Lost (Win) Course NAP, Daily NAP, Part of Daily Double

    Might add more - who knows!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,687 ✭✭✭stingerro


    Interesting idea, good luck. In the past - when doing research for tipsters - I considered to find a few doing terribly and laying their selections. But problem was - there was no poor tipster who would post his bets long term :). He either disappeared or reset his blog :(.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,185 ✭✭✭tinodz


    LWbnyk1.png
    +€1.90

    Thoughts

    Both legs of the Daily double Lost today. Sadly, as you can see by my Bank amount above, I was not able to make a lay on the second horse (Bath 8:10), as I was busy all day, so I am only up the €2 (minus the Betfair 5%) on the lay for the earlier race.

    The bank keeps slowly going up - so I cannot complain. Bath 8:10 was a 4 horse race - and I have no idea why any reputable tipster would pick a tactical race like that for one of their best bests of the day.

    Onto tomorrow. Thanks stingerro, hope things keep going well.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,185 ✭✭✭tinodz


    Lay's for 27th June 2013

    Horse Venue Result Tip Quality
    Winning Express 3:40 Warwick - Course NAP, Daily NAP, Part of Daily Double
    Aglaophonos 9:10 Leicester - Course NAP, Daily NB, Part of Daily Double

    Will add more (likely horses from their Lucky 15). No Lays made yet. Depending on the odds, might try to Lay each horse for €3 tomorrow


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,185 ✭✭✭tinodz


    I cannot edit above, but one was a loss and the other was a NR. I layed for €4.70 and lost so my Bank is not back to €50.00

    Laying today....

    2.05 Newcastle | Jack Dexter (Course NAP) Horse Won - LOSE
    5.15 Curragh | Coach House (Course Nap. In Daily Double) Horse Lost - WIN
    5.35 Newmarket | Great Timing (Course NP. In Daily Double) Horse Won - LOSE

    Sorry I cannot do a table. Posting on a phone.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,185 ✭✭✭tinodz


    Bank is now €46.88 now

    All above lays had a liability of €5.

    Only one was a winner


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,185 ✭✭✭tinodz


    Rushing to lay Centered 3:30


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,185 ✭✭✭tinodz


    Did not get there in time. Good news though, as Centered won.

    Will most certainly be laying the second part of the Daily Double though - WINDSOR 7.30 ONE PEKAN


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  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 2,475 ✭✭✭carpothepunk


    You must be a follower of Kris's? Haha. These lads are clowns. I reccomended them to anyone I could, but all they care about now is there affiliations etc. Cowboys. I have been laying the naps for a few months now.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,185 ✭✭✭tinodz


    ONE PEKAN did lose btw... but again was not on - had to be away from PC near off. Grabbing the Betfair App for my phone now to stop this from happen all the time - I could be up in the €60-€70 with all the lays I missed in the last few days!
    You must be a follower of Kris's? Haha. These lads are clowns. I reccomended them to anyone I could, but all they care about now is there affiliations etc. Cowboys. I have been laying the naps for a few months now.

    I stumbled into Kris last year too (when doing the log to find the tipz on Twitter). Seem a pretty cool guy, and I chatted with him a few times - he seems to know his stuff, along with the other guys that share picks with him. Although, I feel you need a pretty big bank to befit from all the tips/info posted.

    I definitely see him and other trying to take down GTYO - is part of the reason I started this.


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 2,475 ✭✭✭carpothepunk


    Kris and Seanie are two of the nicest chaps, gents. Do you follow Seanie? So consistent over here.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,185 ✭✭✭tinodz


    Kris and Seanie are two of the nicest chaps, gents. Do you follow Seanie? So consistent over here.

    I back a few of Seanie picks too, has some amazing EW picks :D

    Would love to follow all picks, but have to pick and chose myself.

    Anyways, I just layed

    FOOTSTEPSINTHERAIN (19:40 Chepstow) - The GYTO NAP

    ...lets see how this goes


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,185 ✭✭✭tinodz


    Lay successful! Bank: €52.93


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 2,475 ✭✭✭carpothepunk


    Seanie is a good friend so I follow him. Kris texts me on his decent ones too. I think its VHT, Value Horse Tips, are an excellent service too.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,185 ✭✭✭tinodz


    Seanie is a good friend so I follow him. Kris texts me on his decent ones too. I think its VHT, Value Horse Tips, are an excellent service too.

    I only know everyone on Twitter - probably chatted with Kris the most (simply as he is the most active on Twitter). There is about a dozen or so guys I chat with, all seem like an awesome group of guys - regardless of their tips - who are all great to talk to.

    One thing I did noticed last year was there are quite a lot of idiots on Twitter too - so it is great to see some standup guys on there.

    Apart from them though, there does seem to be more than a few people noticing that something is up with GTYOs pick right now (and for the past few months). No Tipster can be litinly this terrible - something is really fishy with them.

    BTW, Did not lay Net Whizz (GYTO NB) - as I forgot! He lost too!

    GYTO ARE HORRIBLE


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,185 ✭✭✭tinodz


    Small stakes lay on Trucanini Haydock 5:20 - GYTO NAP


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,185 ✭✭✭tinodz


    yoac7nd.png

    No, the horse nearly pulled the arms off the jockey, and had nothing left for the finish...

    Bank = €55.21


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,185 ✭✭✭tinodz


    I have already layed

    On Stage (5.25 Warwick) and Mankini (4.45 Doncaster). NAP and NB respectively,

    Around a €5 liability on both - at least on should lose :p


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,185 ✭✭✭tinodz


    Mankini won, so going for a double lay on On Stage...

    might as well try and make things interesting!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,185 ✭✭✭tinodz


    One Stage wins!

    Daily Double wins!

    Bank: €40.00

    You win today GYTO!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,185 ✭✭✭tinodz


    8.20 Pique Sous (NB)
    8.00 Tenor 10/11 (NAP)

    ...both part of daily double.

    Laying!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,185 ✭✭✭tinodz


    Tenor loses - and is unplaced

    Pique Sous also lose - is third

    Bank: €57.93

    I win today GYTO!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,185 ✭✭✭tinodz


    They are EXPERTS!

    6YZEilY.png


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,185 ✭✭✭tinodz


    Did not make time to lay the GYTO NAP today - was Limerick 2.05 Bob Le Beau. It lost... I am shocked!

    Laying the NB selection though - Bellewstown 4.55 Derg Princess


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,185 ✭✭✭tinodz


    Derg Princess has to be pulled up about a mile from home - was injured

    Lay won, but cannot celebrate with a horse getting injured.

    Bank: €61.85


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,185 ✭✭✭tinodz


    Might lay both of these - both are part of the daily double.

    AYR 5.00 NORMAL EQUILIBRIUM
    RIPON 8.20 BONDESIRE

    They are more high priced than usual - so wary of risking low return for the usual €10 lay.#

    Also, I think Derg Princess was put down after yesterday's race. Pity :(


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,185 ✭✭✭tinodz


    Decided to leave alone NORMAL EQUILIBRIUM at 5:00 - however, if it does win I will lay the 8:20 horse.

    If the 5:00 loses I will just move onto tomorrow.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,185 ✭✭✭tinodz


    NORMAL EQUILIBRIUM did not even place - I should stop inserting my own opinion into this, and lay their **** picks


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,185 ✭✭✭tinodz


    Daily Double is...

    Pontefract 3.00 Danehill Flyer
    Uttoxeter 9.15 Vinnie My Boy

    Layed 3:00 already... will lay the 9:15 closer to off


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,185 ✭✭✭tinodz


    Guess what?

    Bank €68.03


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 2,475 ✭✭✭carpothepunk


    Haha, I love to see this :)


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,185 ✭✭✭tinodz


    Got a lay in on Vinnie My Boy just now

    Was @ 1.88 on BetFair when I got the lay in... my lay only has a liability of €8.03 - so not going mad. Would be nice to break a €75 Bank if (or when) it comes in though.

    Even if I was making my own decisions here - and not laying blindly - I would not be a fan of a odds on shot in a 3 Mile race with 12 Runners


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,185 ✭✭✭tinodz


    Vinnie My Boy finished about 8th (of 12 runners)

    bse05j6.png

    This feels like cheating!

    I still feel sorry for the people blindly following these feckers


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,185 ✭✭✭tinodz


    In case anyone is interested, someone, who has more sense than me, has been keeping track of GYTOs 6 main picks a day (Daily Double + Lucky 15) since June 10th on a nice table. See it here

    If anyone wants to have a bit of fun with this, but does not want to lay, then Bet365 offers a "Not to Win" betting option for most horse races. You could create a Lucky 63 (with all 6 main picks on it not to win) for 5c a line - (€3.15 total) and there is a chance you could have a nice win off it.- even if all don't come in.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,185 ✭✭✭tinodz


    Not laying 5.20 Jontleman today. Price is too big to risk it. Laying
    Worcester 6.40 On The Bridge (their NAP) though.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,185 ✭✭✭tinodz


    On The Bridge has lost... words fail me.

    Bank: €82.82 (What a lovely symmetrical number!)


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,185 ✭✭✭tinodz


    Newmarket

    2.10 Sir John Hawkins 9/4 (NB)
    4.25 Montiridge (NAP)

    Will lay both - although no lay made yet.

    First is around a 2/1 shot, so not much to win in laying. Second it well under Evens, so could be a nice winner. Both lays should have around a €10 Liability.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,185 ✭✭✭tinodz


    Sir John Hawkins lost - regretfully, he drifted like crazy before the off and I did not lay him. Did not want to risk €10 to win just €4


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,185 ✭✭✭tinodz


    Montiridge won. But there was a NR in the race. Anyway,..

    Bank: 74.99


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,185 ✭✭✭tinodz


    Newmarekt...

    2.10 Rizeena (NB)
    2.40 Sky Lantern (NAP)

    I feel like doing something big tomorrow... LORD HELP ME


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,185 ✭✭✭tinodz


    Okay, settled on nothing mad. Just laying both above for around €10 libility each- both are very tight favs

    No need to ruin Bank on something silly :)


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,185 ✭✭✭tinodz


    Rizeena loses, so now on to Sky Lantern

    Bank €73.64 ... but have the €10 in for Sky Lantern to lose.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,185 ✭✭✭tinodz


    Sky Lantern loses - although there was a stewards inquiry. Result upheld.

    ZJbjWWa.png

    Thanks GYTO!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,185 ✭✭✭tinodz


    GYTO have not yet posted their tips for today - my life is incomplete! :(


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,185 ✭✭✭tinodz


    Still nothing from GYTO.

    Apart from their NAP/NB, they had their most shocking day ever yesterday. They ended up -62.3 points across all cards. Not 100% sure of this, but I think that means around 80% of all their tips yesterday were duds.

    Must be some serious panic for them today!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,185 ✭✭✭tinodz


    Hamilton 8.50 Special Meaning (NAP)
    Salisbury 8.35 Kohlaan (NB)

    Nice late races - will lay both later in the day. Hopefully the prices trim up a bit


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,185 ✭✭✭tinodz


    Also, did a small stakes "Not To Win" Lucky 15 based on GYTO Lucky 15 - just to see what happens.

    yc0nZcr.png

    This does not use my Bank - it was made on Bet365


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,185 ✭✭✭tinodz


    Two lays made on above horses - only €5 liability each this time. Would be nice to break €100 barrier (will do that if both come in)


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