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DAFT report - less than 2000 homes to rent in Dublin!

  • 02-05-2013 5:48pm
    #1
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 514 ✭✭✭liffeylite


    New DAFT report from April says there are fewer than 2000 homes to rent in the capital, the lowest number for 7 years.

    rents are up 5% over the last 12 months and a similar percentage for people sharing houses.

    will NAMA release more homes onto the market to slow this increase?

    Will house builders start to increase the number of new developments in response?


«1

Comments

  • Closed Accounts Posts: 3,876 ✭✭✭Scortho


    liffeylite wrote: »
    New DAFT report from April says there are fewer than 2000 homes to rent in the capital, the lowest number for 7 years.

    rents are up 5% over the last 12 months and a similar percentage for people sharing houses.

    will NAMA release more homes onto the market to slow this increase?

    Will house builders start to increase the number of new developments in response?

    Big question is how many developments in dublin does Nama own?
    I can think if a few but not to the extent that people make it out to be.

    House building will only occur when the cost of land and the cost of building is lower than the sale price.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 734 ✭✭✭Tom_Cruise


    Wow that's quite a few houses still for rent, i wouldn't of imagined it being that many.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 514 ✭✭✭liffeylite


    Tom_Cruise wrote: »
    Wow that's quite a few houses still for rent, i wouldn't of imagined it being that many.

    it really isn't a lot when you consider the population of county dublin is 1.25 million.

    10000 approx new households are formed every year

    in 2009, there were 7000 to rent. in 2012 there were 4000. in 2013, there are less than 2000. if rentals continue at the same rate with the same level of supply and demand, there wont be any to rent this time next year!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    liffeylite wrote: »
    it really isn't a lot when you consider the population of county dublin is 1.25 million.

    10000 approx new households are formed every year

    in 2009, there were 7000 to rent. in 2012 there were 4000. in 2013, there are less than 2000. if rentals continue at the same rate with the same level of supply and demand, there wont be any to rent this time next year!

    Lack of rental property = Rent increases due to raises demand and people want RA decreased


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,729 ✭✭✭Millem


    Gatling wrote: »
    Lack of rental property = Rent increases due to raises demand and people want RA decreased

    Totally agree. I have been in the same property for 4 years and got a big shock recently from a) the very poor quality of homes of offer. "Granny" houses that would normally have just been put on the market for sale, b) the price. Prices seem to have gone up a good 25% since I moved in and c) the competition from fellow renters. I honestly don't know how people on RA find places.


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,658 ✭✭✭Halloween Jack


    An apartment was entered on daft on Monday, advertised at a certain price, the viewing was yesterday. When we arrived at the viewing the owner tells us the price has risen substantially. I walked away pretty much immediately. Thanks daft.


  • Subscribers Posts: 342 ✭✭NicsM


    An apartment was entered on daft on Monday, advertised at a certain price, the viewing was yesterday. When we arrived at the viewing the owner tells us the price has risen substantially. I walked away pretty much immediately. Thanks daft.

    How is that Daft's fault? The landlord realised he could up the rent due to demand and didn't amend the ad accordingly-you can hardly blame Daft for that.

    When I was house-hunting a few months back the level of competiton for apartments was insane, it took us a long time to get somewhere decent for a not too insane price.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,528 ✭✭✭gaius c


    Sorry to break it to you Liffey but the DAFT report is incorrect. Rental numbers for Dublin city have been under 2k for most of 2013 but have recently increased to 2200-2250. Significant enough jump but it may be down to students leaving accom for the summer.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,124 ✭✭✭wolfpawnat


    We are coming into May/June now so a few places will be added with students finishing for the year, that said, I know several that are going home for the summer but still paying rent on their places as they are excellently located and at a reasonable price.

    I fear what the August situation will be. I have noticed apartments like mine are going for over 1100 again now, I fear my lease renewal next month, I can foresee my landlord putting a huge rise on it. Doubt the RA would ever rise to match it!


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,658 ✭✭✭Halloween Jack


    Ninaluna wrote: »
    How is that Daft's fault? The landlord realised he could up the rent due to demand and didn't amend the ad accordingly-you can hardly blame Daft for that.

    When I was house-hunting a few months back the level of competiton for apartments was insane, it took us a long time to get somewhere decent for a not too insane price.

    Sorry, I was sarcastically thanking daft for the timing of the report rather than the antics of the property owner, she mentioned the report when telling us about her change of price.

    If agree with you regarding the levels of competition, although I would say its been tough for a while now. We've ended up moving every year for the last 4/5 years and it has always been competitive. Even with sterling references and such.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,528 ✭✭✭gaius c


    wolfpawnat wrote: »
    We are coming into May/June now so a few places will be added with students finishing for the year, that said, I know several that are going home for the summer but still paying rent on their places as they are excellently located and at a reasonable price.

    I fear what the August situation will be. I have noticed apartments like mine are going for over 1100 again now, I fear my lease renewal next month, I can foresee my landlord putting a huge rise on it. Doubt the RA would ever rise to match it!

    There is a small (at the moment) rent bubble forming in Dublin. There are some extremely daft (he he) asking prices for some very ordinary places. You'll see them pop up on email alerts and if you go back a fortnight later, they are still there which hasn't really been the trend for about a year now. I think some landlords have lost the run of themselves and interpreted "stronger letting market" as meaning they can stick a couple of hundred onto monthly rents. It happened in 08-09 as well and was followed by a big rent crash. It's good for sensible landlords because all the tenants are funneled towards our sensibly priced properties.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,314 ✭✭✭Technoprisoner


    quick....lets all jump on the band wagon and get buy to lets


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 13,992 ✭✭✭✭gurramok


    Don't forget the landlords passing the property tax onto tenants, thats another rise right there which will reflect in tenancies this year onwards.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,306 ✭✭✭Zamboni


    It is appalling that rents are being allowed to rise when there are thousands of vacant properties in Dublin being kept off the market.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,528 ✭✭✭gaius c


    Can we get the inaccurate & misleading thread title updated please?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,513 ✭✭✭Ray Palmer


    Zamboni wrote: »
    It is appalling that rents are being allowed to rise when there are thousands of vacant properties in Dublin being kept off the market.
    How do you know? There is a lot of speculative talk about how much is out there that can be rented out. I don't get how you know there is thousands.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,273 ✭✭✭The Spider


    liffeylite wrote: »
    New DAFT report from April says there are fewer than 2000 homes to rent in the capital, the lowest number for 7 years.

    rents are up 5% over the last 12 months and a similar percentage for people sharing houses.

    will NAMA release more homes onto the market to slow this increase?

    Will house builders start to increase the number of new developments in response?


    Genuine question here, who are NAMA going to release these apartments to?

    My understanding is that they would have to sell them to investors who would then rent them out (open to correction here!) NAMA are obviously going to try get the most money they can for these apartments, that's basic economics, so selling them all at once doesn't make sense.

    Investors will then maximise the return on their investments through rent, I don't think there's going to be a magic bullet release of apartments that will drive prices and rents down, it's known as the property market and any rental property will have to wash it's face, in other words pay for itself and return a profit.

    No investor will go near any apartments that don't, and we're constantly told not to buy apartments as they're not worth it, so an investor can only look at the yield to see if it's worth putting money into.

    NAMA isn't as far as I know set up to be a state landlord.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,452 ✭✭✭thehomeofDob


    I've been watching Daft for properties 1000 or under a month in South Dublin (east of the N11) to Bray, for the past number of months. There has been a significant reduction on the number of properties (Bray used to show 30-40 in all price ranges and it's now down to 17-25); as well as an increase in price on even the most basic places. I earn a decent salary, but renting is become an altogether expensive affair in that you're paying over the odds for less than stellar quality.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 13,992 ✭✭✭✭gurramok


    Ray Palmer wrote: »
    How do you know? There is a lot of speculative talk about how much is out there that can be rented out. I don't get how you know there is thousands.

    Zoom in on Dublin. Assumption is that they are in control of NAMA as they are complete and empty.(Census 2011)
    http://airomaps.nuim.ie/flexviewer/?config=vacantireland.xml

    On this, i'm surprised at the levels of vacancies on the South city, i'm not familiar with those areas, anyone know? (though quite a few in Ballsbridge)

    More info:
    Bank now controls the majority of the 6,000 built but unsold properties within the M50
    http://www.thesundaytimes.co.uk/sto/news/ireland/Business/News/article403471.ece

    http://namawinelake.wordpress.com/2013/03/23/3250-of-namas-irish-homes-are-lying-empty/
    http://www.irishtimes.com/business/economy/ireland/nama-chief-delivers-upbeat-progress-report-1.1336803
    http://www.gordonmrm.ie/article-nama-ceo-on-debunking-the-nama-myths/

    Depending on the date and the figure, its at least 3000 up to 6000. We know what would happen if they were released for rental, rents will tumble.


  • Site Banned Posts: 21 Brownhead


    liffeylite wrote: »
    New DAFT report from April says there are fewer than 2000 homes to rent in the capital, the lowest number for 7 years.

    rents are up 5% over the last 12 months and a similar percentage for people sharing houses.

    will NAMA release more homes onto the market to slow this increase?

    Will house builders start to increase the number of new developments in response?

    House builders are mostly broke and have no finance to construct homes. NAMA will sell off some of its stock. Landlords however will be repossessed in greater numbers with the houses sold to owner occupiers. The rental shortage will continue and become more pronounced. Older properties are being closed down as well.
    It will be hell for tenants.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,033 ✭✭✭who_ru


    and think of the number of BTL gaff in arrears for ages, still being rented out, and LL pocketing cash without making repayments.

    Ireland really is a country where paying your mortgage is optional it seems.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 191 ✭✭PhilMcGee


    My agent got in touch with me yesterday. One of my tenants, on a lease that I was just going to roll over at the current rent, said he wasnt going to pay the current rent anymore and gave an ultimatum. Reduce the rent or he leaves. And he was very aggressive about it, accusing the agent of robbing him and so on.
    Agent says they are getting €75 a month more than the tenant is currently paying for the same apartments in the same building.
    I've told him to tell the tenant the rent is going up by €75 and to give him notice if hes not happy with that. And just to be sure I went looking at ads and there are none vacant at all in the area, which i havent seen in years. There is definitely short supply. And with extra taxes and rent reductions over the years, rents are still only just getting back to what they were in 2000.
    I think there is more upward movements in rents to come.

    NAMA wont release property the way people expect them to. As they do, it will be bought by investors until yields go back to more normal levels. For the moment renting is becoming the more popular option for the average person. For a while it was choice, but I think from now on its going to be more the way things just happen to be.
    Then eventually building can start again when purchase prices rise enough above building costs, but that is a long long way away.

    You can buy apartments now that arent even advertised to the public for €80k and rent them for €800+ . Thats a terrific yield and until that yield reduces, those properties will always be snapped up before they get to joe public.

    I get a list of repossessions every month from some contacts I have in the banks. Some of them that I am interested in looking at are already sold when I call their EA about them.


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 698 ✭✭✭belcampprisoner


    most rental properties don't go on a list its word of mouth


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 191 ✭✭PhilMcGee


    most rental properties don't go on a list its word of mouth

    They cut and paste them into an email and send them to me. I dont know where the list is but it definitely looks like they are from a list to me. They are even numbered and categorized in the cells.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 161 ✭✭nomoreindie


    PhilMcGee wrote: »
    My agent got in touch with me yesterday. One of my tenants, on a lease that I was just going to roll over at the current rent, said he wasnt going to pay the current rent anymore and gave an ultimatum. Reduce the rent or he leaves. And he was very aggressive about it, accusing the agent of robbing him and so on.
    Agent says they are getting €75 a month more than the tenant is currently paying for the same apartments in the same building.
    I've told him to tell the tenant the rent is going up by €75 and to give him notice if hes not happy with that. And just to be sure I went looking at ads and there are none vacant at all in the area, which i havent seen in years. There is definitely short supply. And with extra taxes and rent reductions over the years, rents are still only just getting back to what they were in 2000.
    I think there is more upward movements in rents to come.

    NAMA wont release property the way people expect them to. As they do, it will be bought by investors until yields go back to more normal levels. For the moment renting is becoming the more popular option for the average person. For a while it was choice, but I think from now on its going to be more the way things just happen to be.
    Then eventually building can start again when purchase prices rise enough above building costs, but that is a long long way away.

    You can buy apartments now that arent even advertised to the public for €80k and rent them for €800+ . Thats a terrific yield and until that yield reduces, those properties will always be snapped up before they get to joe public.

    I get a list of repossessions every month from some contacts I have in the banks. Some of them that I am interested in looking at are already sold when I call their EA about them.

    considering how hard it is to repossess properties at the moment and that sellers would look to maximise return,I would have to question the accuracy of what you are posting on the property forums. Please provide some proof of your halycon property investor world by posting these lists online


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 191 ✭✭PhilMcGee


    considering how hard it is to repossess properties at the moment and that sellers would look to maximise return,I would have to question the accuracy of what you are posting on the property forums. Please provide some proof of your halycon property investor world by posting these lists online

    :rolleyes:
    Here we go again.

    As usual, lets take Dublin only, because the rest of the country is basket case as far as property is concerned.
    Would you agree that yields are very high at the moment?
    Would you agree that there are repossessions happening at the moment and more to come?
    Would you agree that rents are rising?
    Would you agree that property prices are if not still falling, at least not rising very fast?
    Put all of these things together and, even if you have no knowledge or experience of the business, you can get some idea of whats happening.
    If you have knowledge and experience of the business you can glean a lot more from this information too.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 514 ✭✭✭liffeylite


    PhilMcGee wrote: »
    My agent got in touch with me yesterday. One of my tenants, on a lease that I was just going to roll over at the current rent, said he wasnt going to pay the current rent anymore and gave an ultimatum. Reduce the rent or he leaves. And he was very aggressive about it, accusing the agent of robbing him and so on.
    Agent says they are getting €75 a month more than the tenant is currently paying for the same apartments in the same building.
    I've told him to tell the tenant the rent is going up by €75 and to give him notice if hes not happy with that. And just to be sure I went looking at ads and there are none vacant at all in the area, which i havent seen in years. There is definitely short supply. And with extra taxes and rent reductions over the years, rents are still only just getting back to what they were in 2000.
    I think there is more upward movements in rents to come.

    NAMA wont release property the way people expect them to. As they do, it will be bought by investors until yields go back to more normal levels. For the moment renting is becoming the more popular option for the average person. For a while it was choice, but I think from now on its going to be more the way things just happen to be.
    Then eventually building can start again when purchase prices rise enough above building costs, but that is a long long way away.

    You can buy apartments now that arent even advertised to the public for €80k and rent them for €800+ . Thats a terrific yield and until that yield reduces, those properties will always be snapped up before they get to joe public.

    I get a list of repossessions every month from some contacts I have in the banks. Some of them that I am interested in looking at are already sold when I call their EA about them.


    some interesting points here. the obvious problem with Dublin when compared to say the UK market, is that because prices have fallen so hugely you would expect rents to fall in a similar pattern.

    this hasn't happened at all.

    so if you buy an apartment for 100k, or even 80k as a repossession as mentioned in the post above. if you can then rent out that flat for 800 euros a month, you have a fantastic profit margin!

    in the uk, if a flat was worth 100k in say Manchester city centre, the rental value would be in line with an average 25yr mortgage payment. so around 450 quid a month.

    however in Dublin, this same property valued at 100k will rent for 1000 euros a month! totally out of kilter.

    I actually think that when a bank enters the irish market that is cash rich and actually lends to people, house prices will go up pretty quickly because there has to be thousands of people in Dublin that could afford a repayment mortgage of say 700 euro a month but are currently paying 1100 a month to rent a similar property.

    the unemployment rate in Dublin is now just under 10% (nationally 14% but this takes into account unemployment rates of 18-19% in parts of the west) Dublin has the lowest unemployment rates in the country and is I believe the 4th highest salaried city in Europe.

    provide these people with access to mortgages at a fair level and the bubble starts over again....


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 191 ✭✭PhilMcGee


    ..


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 37 joehig


    thats cause no ones buying


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 13,992 ✭✭✭✭gurramok


    liffeylite wrote: »
    I actually think that when a bank enters the irish market that is cash rich and actually lends to people, house prices will go up pretty quickly because there has to be thousands of people in Dublin that could afford a repayment mortgage of say 700 euro a month but are currently paying 1100 a month to rent a similar property.

    the unemployment rate in Dublin is now just under 10% (nationally 14% but this takes into account unemployment rates of 18-19% in parts of the west) Dublin has the lowest unemployment rates in the country and is I believe the 4th highest salaried city in Europe.

    provide these people with access to mortgages at a fair level and the bubble starts over again....

    Are you saying individuals are paying 1100 a month or are they sharing with others?
    Those individuals if they exist in said numbers have to have the usual solid job, solid savings record, no debts or bad credit record and substantial deposit ready.

    Source for 10% unemployment rate? By the way emigration has decimated the 15-30 age group.http://www.cso.ie/en/media/csoie/releasespublications/documents/population/2012/popmig_2012.pdf

    Source for 4th highest salaried city in Europe?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 191 ✭✭PhilMcGee


    gurramok wrote: »
    Are you saying individuals are paying 1100 a month or are they sharing with others?
    Those individuals if they exist in said numbers have to have the usual solid job, solid savings record, no debts or bad credit record and substantial deposit ready.

    Source for 10% unemployment rate? By the way emigration has decimated the 15-30 age group.http://www.cso.ie/en/media/csoie/releasespublications/documents/population/2012/popmig_2012.pdf

    Source for 4th highest salaried city in Europe?

    Most people dont have that so must stay renting, keeping supply tight.
    But there are a lot of people who do have the means too and these are the ones that can take advantage.

    I wonder are there figures on that 15 - 30 demographic in Dublin.
    The rest of the country is a basket case and will remain so for a long time. I think Dublin is the only place where there is going to be big economic activity or immigration for years to come. Good news for anybody looking to buy a nice big cheap house down the country in the years to come.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 191 ✭✭PhilMcGee


    liffeylite wrote: »
    some interesting points here. the obvious problem with Dublin when compared to say the UK market, is that because prices have fallen so hugely you would expect rents to fall in a similar pattern.

    this hasn't happened at all.

    so if you buy an apartment for 100k, or even 80k as a repossession as mentioned in the post above. if you can then rent out that flat for 800 euros a month, you have a fantastic profit margin!

    in the uk, if a flat was worth 100k in say Manchester city centre, the rental value would be in line with an average 25yr mortgage payment. so around 450 quid a month.

    however in Dublin, this same property valued at 100k will rent for 1000 euros a month! totally out of kilter.

    I actually think that when a bank enters the irish market that is cash rich and actually lends to people, house prices will go up pretty quickly because there has to be thousands of people in Dublin that could afford a repayment mortgage of say 700 euro a month but are currently paying 1100 a month to rent a similar property.

    the unemployment rate in Dublin is now just under 10% (nationally 14% but this takes into account unemployment rates of 18-19% in parts of the west) Dublin has the lowest unemployment rates in the country and is I believe the 4th highest salaried city in Europe.

    provide these people with access to mortgages at a fair level and the bubble starts over again....



    Rents did drop for a good few years. But now you have a situation where there are major influences on the supply side. There is huge upward pressure on rents.

    I think these things have a huge influence on supply.

    People with property arent selling because they think, rightly or wrongly, that prices are at or very near the bottom.

    Those who couldnt make their properties wash their own faces before, possibly can now or very close to it, so these will not be selling at this point either. These people could even still be on very cheap trackers.

    People renting, who have good deals on rent are more inclined to stay at the moment, because moving will probably mean higher rent.

    People renting, who are waiting for the right time to buy, either cant get the finance or are just still waiting because they want prices to go lower.

    Properties that were on the RAS scheme are leaving in droves because they can get a lot more rent that the RAS gives. So those, living in them are having to move out and rent at the low end, and will stay in them for fear of having to pay more if they move and RA will be too low. That will suck up all the low value properties.


    Then you have

    Landlords can now increase rents because the market as a whole is moving up. This allows them to add in the extra taxes and charges that they are paying.

    Since supply is tight landlords have no problem letting. They can advertise at an increased price and still get it.

    Renters can no longer hold their landlord over a barrel about vacant periods if they leave, so either must leave and take up another property anyway, most likely at the same or higher rent, but they could go for lower in quality and therefore lower rent.

    Yields are abnormally high at the moment attracting investors who will snap up any property on the market at the right price. Looks like these are selling at the right price now.

    Banks are actually lending, but only to people with money already. Those with money have no competition from Joe public so can go in for the easy pickings.

    If you have the ability to get a mortgage you can buy for monthly payments up to half what the rent costs you for some properties. Or the same or less than the monthly payments on an average car.

    Rents are still lower than 2000 levels. Thats a long long time ago now.


    There is a migration on to Dublin. People are moving where the jobs are.

    as an aside, I have a relative who moved up to Dublin instead of commuting from Courtown. Luckily they could commute together. They got rid of one of the cars, which was costing €600 in fuel alone commuting (not including car payments, maintenance, tolls, car tax, insurance, depreciation, which probably come to another couple of hundred a month) and rented a 1 bed apartment for €800, leaving the house in Courtown empty and only for weekends and hols and mnaybe move back someday (they want to keep the house so dont want to sell it. it wouldnt get much anyway). Now they are going to buy a 1 bed apartment because it will only cost them €500 a month in mortgage and they can rent or sell it in the future. They have the deposit already so after that, they are actually saving money month to month and will make back the deposit soon enough.

    Savings would be even more if they had of been commuting separately as a lot of couples do.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 161 ✭✭nomoreindie


    PhilMcGee wrote: »
    :rolleyes:
    Here we go again.

    As usual, lets take Dublin only, because the rest of the country is basket case as far as property is concerned.
    Would you agree that yields are very high at the moment? In parts of Dublin
    Would you agree that there are repossessions happening at the moment and more to come? a tiny amount are happening
    Would you agree that rents are rising? only in part of Dublin (but due to supply being withheld)
    Would you agree that property prices are if not still falling, at least not rising very fast? Still falling, every report shows this
    Put all of these things together and, even if you have no knowledge or experience of the business, you can get some idea of whats happening.
    If you have knowledge and experience of the business you can glean a lot more from this information too.

    You still havent answered my main question about this list of bargain properties that are sold at under current market price.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 191 ✭✭PhilMcGee


    You still havent answered my main question about this list of bargain properties that are sold at under current market price.

    And I wont be answering it either.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 161 ✭✭nomoreindie


    PhilMcGee wrote: »
    And I wont be answering it either.

    I am not surprised as I feel there is a bit of "Walter Mitty" about you and MMAGirl.


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 13,992 ✭✭✭✭gurramok


    Sounds like those bargain properties are at Allsop?

    Anyway talk of a "cash rich foreign bank" entering has just not happened. We already have cash rich foreign owned banks and they have not entered the mortgage market yet, they obviously don't see the market as lucrative or viable for them.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 191 ✭✭PhilMcGee


    I am not surprised as I feel there is a bit of "Walter Mitty" about you and MMAGirl.

    Fair enough. But arent you going off topic.
    I already got reeled into a troll trap in another thread and would like to avoid that here if you dont mind.
    PM me if you want to discuss anything sensible thats off topic for this thread.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,799 ✭✭✭StillWaters


    PhilMcGee wrote: »
    And I wont be answering it either.

    Lists are available to serious cash buyers who have form for buying speedily with cash. I doubt Phil or anyone posting here who has access is going to post them up.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 191 ✭✭PhilMcGee


    gurramok wrote: »
    Sounds like those bargain properties are at Allsop?

    Anyway talk of a "cash rich foreign bank" entering has just not happened. We already have cash rich foreign owned banks and they have not entered the mortgage market yet, they obviously don't see the market as lucrative or viable for them.


    There were one or two of their properties I was interested in but the auction aspect put me off. im not good enough at auctions.

    I agree on cash rich foreign banks. They are out of the game for a good while to come yet. Risk is a dirty word for banks these days and they will go the opposite way.

    Banks will rent to plenty of people at the moment though and that will be those with money in the bank, no negative equity and jobs paying much higher than the average wage.

    I think it will be a long time before someone on the average wage will be able to buy property without years of saving and planning. Its another pressure on rental supply.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 3,876 ✭✭✭Scortho


    The lists do exist.
    You want proof? Have a look at the property price register, and see how many properties on there that sold weren't advertised for selling.

    Employee in a bank is responsible for offloading btls. He knows that Phil has the money, a track record of buying and can close really quickly.
    Why would he waste his time or effort with an ordinary joe-soap when he can get a sale quicker by going straight to the likes of Phil.
    Say he has 50 contacts who he gives the list to containg 50 properties.
    25 are interested and take one each. Now he only has to deal with 25 properties that are being sold by tge bank instead of 50. Have the ordinary joe soaps to deal with and it makes him look good to his superiors, increasing his chances of getting the office in the corner when the manager moves on.

    In a way it's like insider trading. Only no penalties.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,033 ✭✭✭who_ru


    PhilMcGee wrote: »
    My agent got in touch with me yesterday. One of my tenants, on a lease that I was just going to roll over at the current rent, said he wasnt going to pay the current rent anymore and gave an ultimatum. Reduce the rent or he leaves. And he was very aggressive about it, accusing the agent of robbing him and so on.
    Agent says they are getting €75 a month more than the tenant is currently paying for the same apartments in the same building.
    I've told him to tell the tenant the rent is going up by €75 and to give him notice if hes not happy with that. And just to be sure I went looking at ads and there are none vacant at all in the area, which i havent seen in years. There is definitely short supply. And with extra taxes and rent reductions over the years, rents are still only just getting back to what they were in 2000.
    I think there is more upward movements in rents to come.

    NAMA wont release property the way people expect them to. As they do, it will be bought by investors until yields go back to more normal levels. For the moment renting is becoming the more popular option for the average person. For a while it was choice, but I think from now on its going to be more the way things just happen to be.
    Then eventually building can start again when purchase prices rise enough above building costs, but that is a long long way away.

    You can buy apartments now that arent even advertised to the public for €80k and rent them for €800+ . Thats a terrific yield and until that yield reduces, those properties will always be snapped up before they get to joe public.

    I get a list of repossessions every month from some contacts I have in the banks. Some of them that I am interested in looking at are already sold when I call their EA about them.
    so basically the whole process is corrupt despite public money been sloshed around NAMA/Banks - what a country.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 514 ✭✭✭liffeylite


    gurramok wrote: »
    Are you saying individuals are paying 1100 a month or are they sharing with others?
    Those individuals if they exist in said numbers have to have the usual solid job, solid savings record, no debts or bad credit record and substantial deposit ready.

    Source for 10% unemployment rate? By the way emigration has decimated the 15-30 age group.http://www.cso.ie/en/media/csoie/releasespublications/documents/population/2012/popmig_2012.pdf

    Source for 4th highest salaried city in Europe?

    my mistake. now the 2nd highest in the world
    www.therichest.org/.../the-top-10-highest-average-salary-per-country

    the 25 to 35 age group in Dublin which is the prime house buying sector is higher than it has ever been. look at some of the old and new cso stats.

    Dublin is a different beast to the rest of the country and a bank that played its cards right and entered the market strategically would make good profits from dublin. the problem is the market of Ireland is too small to catch the radar of internationals.
    but investors can see the benefits and they are increasing in numbers.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 514 ✭✭✭liffeylite


    liffeylite wrote: »
    my mistake. now the 2nd highest in the world
    www.therichest.org/.../the-top-10-highest-average-salary-per-country

    the 25 to 35 age group in Dublin which is the prime house buying sector is higher than it has ever been. look at some of the old and new cso stats.

    Dublin is a different beast to the rest of the country and a bank that played its cards right and entered the market strategically would make good profits from dublin. the problem is the market of Ireland is too small to catch the radar of internationals.
    but investors can see the benefits and they are increasing in numbers.

    this is a govt stat from 2011, but figures in dublin have faired even better over the last 2 years. but I cant find the info off hand.


    Regional
    There is considerable variance in unemployment rates across the country with the highest rate of unemployment currently in the South-East (18.1%) and the lowest in Dublin (11.5%)


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 191 ✭✭PhilMcGee


    who_ru wrote: »
    so basically the whole process is corrupt despite public money been sloshed around NAMA/Banks - what a country.

    How is it corrupt?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,049 ✭✭✭✭murphaph


    gurramok wrote: »
    Sounds like those bargain properties are at Allsop?

    Anyway talk of a "cash rich foreign bank" entering has just not happened. We already have cash rich foreign owned banks and they have not entered the mortgage market yet, they obviously don't see the market as lucrative or viable for them.
    Once Irish family homes become repossessable we might see some action there. Until then no sane bank will lend into Irish property. Just too risky. German defaulters get repossessed, so long term fixed interest rates of 3% can be had in Germany today.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 78,575 ✭✭✭✭Victor


    I am not surprised as I feel there is a bit of "Walter Mitty" about you and MMAGirl.
    While "Walter Mitty" is hardly the worst name calling, it can only mean the thread descend into retorts and off-topicness. Let's not go there.

    PhilMcGee wrote: »
    I already got reeled into a troll trap in another thread and would like to avoid that here if you dont mind.
    If you have a problem with a post, report it. don't call people trolls.

    Moderator


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 13,992 ✭✭✭✭gurramok


    liffeylite wrote: »
    the 25 to 35 age group in Dublin which is the prime house buying sector is higher than it has ever been. look at some of the old and new cso stats.

    How do you know the age structure of the Dublin population? I haven't seen it in any of the CSO stats. Its certainly decimated for the country as a whole from the link I posted earlier.
    liffeylite wrote: »
    Dublin is a different beast to the rest of the country and a bank that played its cards right and entered the market strategically would make good profits from dublin. the problem is the market of Ireland is too small to catch the radar of internationals.
    but investors can see the benefits and they are increasing in numbers.

    How do you know? Its quite startling that you think there are good profits to make in Dublin unless you are talking about mega rich investors getting onto the BTL scene?
    liffeylite wrote: »
    this is a govt stat from 2011, but figures in dublin have faired even better over the last 2 years. but I cant find the info off hand.

    Regional
    There is considerable variance in unemployment rates across the country with the highest rate of unemployment currently in the South-East (18.1%) and the lowest in Dublin (11.5%)

    So 11.5% in Dublin, still quite a bit high. That link is a bit ambiguous. first they say "average salary", then they say "disposable income" in some of their descriptions. It does not say what their sources are for such a list?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,033 ✭✭✭who_ru


    PhilMcGee wrote: »
    How is it corrupt?

    you have access to information from banks (one or more which may be nationalised) that is not available to the public, which gives you an advantage over others in terms of information and decision making.

    some of these banks are dependent upon public money to stay in operation yet they are selectively choosing to whom they give information.

    should you have access to this information or can anyone ring up the institution in question and access the same info?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 191 ✭✭PhilMcGee


    who_ru wrote: »
    you have access to information from banks (one or more which may be nationalised) that is not available to the public, which gives you an advantage over others in terms of information and decision making.

    some of these banks are dependent upon public money to stay in operation yet they are selectively choosing to whom they give information.

    should you have access to this information or can anyone ring up the institution in question and access the same info?

    I am part of the public. I have created a business relationship with people who can give me information that I request. It is up to them whether it is worth their effort to get me this information. There is nothing stopping you from creating the same relationship. If they think you are not just wasting their time they can and will help you out.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,033 ✭✭✭who_ru


    PhilMcGee wrote: »
    I am part of the public. I have created a business relationship with people who can give me information that I request. It is up to them whether it is worth their effort to get me this information. There is nothing stopping you from creating the same relationship. If they think you are not just wasting their time they can and will help you out.

    You are a part of the public. So is Michael Lowry.

    you have access to information that is selectively given to you, and i presume other preferred individuals, which in turn you use to your financial gain.

    You can call it business but that doesn't make it open or transparent. Especially when public money is involved in the operation of these banks. if it were or is a private institution then of course they can chose to do business with whoever they like so long as it is within the law.

    can you confirm whether or not you are dealing with a nationalised or part nationalised bank?


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