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Tuesday 2nd April

  • 01-04-2013 4:44pm
    #1
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,370 ✭✭✭


    2.10 Exeter Henry King 16/1 NB
    2.40 Exeter Quarl Ego 10/1 NAP

    Write ups to come but price for Quarl Ego won't last.


«1

Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,184 ✭✭✭3ndahalfof6


    2:40 Henry king

    3:10 quarl ego

    I think.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,370 ✭✭✭rossom


    Yeah just realised I ballsed up the times. Cheers


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,184 ✭✭✭3ndahalfof6


    I will still be backing R, I do not get prices till later or tomorrow, I only got 1 bookmaker so my options are limited.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,246 ✭✭✭Mgoraf


    Anyone think Dalasiri is a big price? Only beaten a head by dogora but has a 4 pound advantage this time.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,184 ✭✭✭3ndahalfof6


    In the 2:40 two that might be worth looking at (not dissing you R),

    BYGONES SOVERIEGN 11/1

    TRACKMATE @ 40/1 could be fierce EW value.

    in the 3:10 DIGGER GETS LUCKY might be worth a look.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,818 ✭✭✭ste2010


    King of the knight or theatrical star (if his RSA exertions aren't too much for him)
    Don't fancy the nicholls horse at all.
    Looking good for a nice price on theatrical star based on Betfair trading


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 69 ✭✭JLoftus


    Elusive Hawk runs again tmo in Southwell 4.20 after cruising to victory last wednesday, hes 5/4


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 16,096 ✭✭✭✭the groutch


    JLoftus wrote: »
    Elusive Hawk runs again tmo in Southwell 4.20 after cruising to victory last wednesday, hes 5/4

    will be doubling him up with Beachamp Xerxes in the 5:20

    works out around 4/1 the double


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 553 ✭✭✭Andalucia


    4.35 Fairyhouse - a competetive handicap hurdle, have it between shadow catcher and mad brian. split stake as I can't decide.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,370 ✭✭✭rossom


    2.40 Exeter

    Henry King 16/1 NB

    If now fully fit after his first run in 722 days, I'm expecting a massive run from Victor Dartnall's lightly raced 9 year old and I think he'll take an awful lot of stopping. Back in November 2008, Henry King was an extremely impressive winner of a Bumper at Newbury when running out a very easy winner by 5L from some very useful sorts. Such was his immense promise, he was sent off a 20/1 shot for the Champion Bumper in 2009 and despite finishing eased he had shaped very promisingly as he sweeped around a lot of horses despite pulling hard for much of the race (which would turn out to be a major issue for a lot of his early career). On the back of a 7 month absence, Henry King made an extremely promising debut over hurdles over 2m at Wincanton in October 2009 when going down by 1.5L to Pepe Simo - a horse he had comfortably beaten into 2nd place when winning his debut bumper. Refusing to settle under Timmy Murphy, Henry King made stylish progress through the well strung out field to be delivered excellently by his very talented jockey and both he and the winner were level going over the last. Henry King still looked a bit green as he ran around a bit and when level the pair bumped which looked to have cost Dartnall's representative some momentum but he lost very little in defeat. The form of that race has worked out extremely well with the winner Pepe Simo winning his next two starts over timber and who is now a 140 rated hurdler whilst the 3rd The Rainbow Hunter has turned out to be a very talented chaser. Given that the winner is a 2m specialist and Henry King is clearly a better horse over further, I think it made his narrow defeat even more impressive and, at the time, it was clear Victor Dartnall had a horse with immense ability on his hand.

    An inability to settle continued to be a big hindrance for Henry King as he fell 2 out on his 2nd start over hurdles at Newbury in November 2009 but had he stayed on his feet I'm certain he would have placed despite pulling for most of the contest and again that was a really good contest. The impressive winner Belvano impressed in his brief hurdling career before turning into an excellent chaser who won last years Grand Annual whilst the 3rd Tocca Ferro won two Listed Handicaps over hurdles on his final two starts when last seen in 2010. After some disappointing efforts over hurdles and on chasing debut (unsuitable ground/pulling too hard), Henry King belated shed his Maiden tag at the 8th time of asking in a handicap off a mark of 114 when connections finally resolved the massive issue of his inability to settle as they sent him from the front over 17f at Taunton in January 2011. From pillar to post, Henry King's tendency to pull was eradicated and he showed great battling quality to score by 0.5L when strongly pressed up the run. Having searched back through the archives, I found a very interesting quote from Dartnall after this win which was "the only reason he won at a tight track like Taunton was because he was so well handicapped" and that can only be viewed in a positive light. 3 weeks later Henry King was a little disappointing over the same C+D when employing the same tactics when upped 9lb to a mark of 123 but his final start in March 2011 was by far his most impressive performance over hurdles to date and he finally looked as if he was fulfilling the immense potential he looked to possess. In a Novice Hurdle at Taunton when the only horse in the race to carry a penalty, the step up to 2m4f - the first time he went further than 17f in his career - improved Henry King massively as he again made all to score by 9L in very impressive fashion. Travelling well throughout the contest, Denis O'Regan gently asked his mount to quicken up and Henry King did so in style to finish a very easy winner. The form of that race looks strong, with the runner up (who received 7lb from the winner) Merehead landing a competitive handicap at Ascot off a mark of 115 on what has turned out to be his only subsequent start in a race where the 3rd Battonier went on to score in a Grade 2 a couple of months later. Based on Dartnall's earlier comments about Taunton not suiting, I think you can upgrade that performance and its was shame that he has been sidelined since that victory.

    Henry King made his long awaited return to the track over 20f at Sandown near the end of February off a mark of 120 and despite ultimately finishing a well beaten 9th I was extremely buoyed by his performance. Setting off from the front under tomorrow's jockey Jack Doyle, Henry King travelled well for an awful long way and was still in the firing line having jumped the 2nd last but he appeared to get very, very tired and his jockey certainly took care of him. That run should have done him a world of good with regard to fitness and I'm hoping it has put him spot on for tomorrow. I think the handicapper has been pretty kind to drop him 3lb to a mark of 117 and there is absolutely no doubt in my mind that Henry King is a well handicapped horse. Looking at tomorrows contest, it certainly isn't the easiest race on paper with some unexposed and in form types but I definitely think Henry King can land this. A horse that doesn't like cut underfoot, I think there is a strong chance he'll get proper good ground tomorrow and he'll definitely be seen at best effect on this sort of surface. Additionally, he should relish the 19f trip and is still completely unexposed over further than the minimum distance. Trainer Victor Dartnall's string are in decent enough form at present and Exeter is by far his most successful course with a tremendous 23% record from over 100 runners and I think it could easily be significant that Henry King turns up here as his trainers only runner. Although there is still a niggling doubt that he may need this 2nd run back to reach peak fitness, the little bits of money around for him already are definitely positive and if 100% race fit I think Henry King is going to run a huge race, which hopefully results in a win, for his very patient connections.

    3.10 Exeter

    Quarl Ego 10/1 NAP


    Although he's only got one run over fences to base his chances on, I really think Quarl Ego has been given an extremely lenient opening mark of 105 and feel if his chasing debut can be taken at face value (which I firmly believe) then its going to take a very well handicapped horse to beat him. Formerly with Nicky Henderson, this 9 year old made his debut back in December 2008 over hurdles and his first 3 runs were clearly to get him a handicap mark as he was tenderly handled. He made a successful handicap debut over hurdles off a mark of 105 when stepped up to 21f at Ludlow when staying on strongly in the run in to score in March 2009 from Cootehill, who subsequently franked the form strongly by winning a Listed handicap off a 20lb higher mark 4 months later. Quarl Ego disappointed on his final start a month later off a mark of 112 but its feasible that he injured himself that day. He was off the track for nearly 4 years when making his stable debut for Lawney Hill in January this year (same ownership) when understandably pulled up and another start over hurdles also saw him tailed off. It seems very likely that he needed those two runs to get him race fit after his mammoth absence and he showed he still maintained his ability with an absolutely superb effort on chasing debut at the end of February.

    Over just shy of 3m at Leicester in a Novice Chase, Quarl Ego was up with the pace for much of the race and before dropping back to 5th after the 10th flight (still travelling well) in what was quite an odd move. After the 5th last, there was a sharp injection of pace by the leaders which caught Quarl Ego a little flat footed as he had to be niggled by David Bass. Jumping 4 out, he was about 10L down from the leader and he was still about that distance behind jumping the final flight. He pinged that fence and absolutely stormed up the run in to finish an excellent 1.25L beaten 2nd (winner probably idled) and he shaped as a stout stayer. He's sure to improve for that initial experience given that it was his first run of fences and the form of that race looks extremely strong in comparison to his handicap mark. The winner Howards Legacy (conceded Quarl Ego 7lb) finished an excellent 2nd to subsequent Racing Plus Chase winner Opening Batsman on his previous start whilst the 3rd Top Smart (also running under a penalty) was running a blinder in the 4 Miler at Cheltenham before falling 4 out and is officially rated 123. Additionally, the 4th The Musical Guy ran a blinder today on handicap debut off a mark of 120 and I'm really struggling to see why the handicapper has given this 9 year old an initial mark of 105 as that is seriously good form for his chasing debut. In addition to being entitled to have learnt an awful lot from that, its feasible to think he'll be even fitter for that run which is another tick in the positive column and he should absolutely relish the stiff 3m at Exeter and good ground. Of the opposition, current favourite Sandys Double clearly is a massive threat given he's running under a penalty after scoring very easily on his handicap chasing debut 9 days ago but that was on heavy ground and he faces very different conditions tomorrow. Quarl Ego looks potentially on an extremely lenient opening handicap mark of 105 and there has been quite a bit of money around for him already. If his chasing debut was no fluke, Quarl Ego should take an awful lot of beating in this race and I strongly fancy him to win this in style.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,370 ✭✭✭rossom


    5.10 Exeter

    Kim Tian Road 9/1


    Keeping this short and sweet but I do feel that 7 year old mare has been given a nice opening handicap mark of 109 and although it will be a tough task to win under top weight I feel she's going to run a really nice race. Formerly with David Marnane, Kim Tian Road showed some decent form in bumpers (disappointing over hurdles) before joining Martin Hill where she shaped well on her stable debut when 3rd behind Al Ferof (understandably completely outclassed by that rival) in January 2011. I've absolutely no clue what happened to her but she was absent for 775 days before her last start when scoring in fine style over 19f at Exeter in a Mares Novice event in what was a superb training performance. Held up at the rear of the field, Kim Tian Road was quite keen and free for a lot of the contest. Under tomorrow's pilot Hadden Frost, Kim Tian Road swung into the home straight in 4th and after jumping the final flight a couple of lengths down she asserted in the run in to score by 2L from Alder Mairi. Hill's mare was receiving 12lb from Alder Mairi who is a horse I really like and she has earned an official rating of 123 having won 2 of her Novice hurdles impressively. It was an absolutely tremendous training performance from Martin Hill and although she was clearly fit I expect her to come on again for the run. The drop back to 17f doesn't look entirely obvious given she only mastered her opponent late on LTO but I think Frost played her late and she could have hit the front sooner if required. Additionally, this should be run at a slightly quicker pace which should hopefully allow her to settle better. Proven at the course, she gets similar conditions that she won on last month and this really isn't a strong race which is why she has to shoulder 11-12. If she doesn't bounce, I expect a really big run from this unexposed mare and hopefully she can kick on from his last win and make it two on the spin.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 18,335 ✭✭✭✭UrbanSea


    I usually back Citizenship, goes in the 2 mile handicap hurdle at Fairyhouse. Handicapper is still proving slow to relent after he won the Boylesports last year, the more the ground dries the better for him. Think he has a decent each way shout at 25/1.


    In the 3 mile chase, I've thought Kakagh has a decent handicap in him somewhere. Ran well behind a horse I've been following Jolily at Thurles two runs back, decent performance as I think the winner had the guts of ten pounds in hand. Disappointed last time, but he travelled really strongly in that Thurles race and don't think he really liked the heavy ground. worth a chance at 12/1


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,882 ✭✭✭✭Rock Lesnar


    Cant decide who to back between Shadow Catcher and Summer Star in the 4.35 at fairyhouse today, will probably do both :cool:.

    Same story between Sword Fish and Shattered Dream in the 6.05, although after yesterday i dont expect Shattered Dream to run.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 407 ✭✭modmuffin


    rossom wrote: »
    2.10 Exeter Henry King 16/1 NB
    2.40 Exeter Quarl Ego 10/1 NAP

    Write ups to come but price for Quarl Ego won't last.

    Put a small stake on both and the e/w double at 12's & 6's at around 11pm, in to 8/1 and 4/1 now... nice.

    Best of luck


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 837 ✭✭✭kpnuts


    rossom wrote: »
    2.10 Exeter Henry King 16/1 NB
    2.40 Exeter Quarl Ego 10/1 NAP

    Write ups to come but price for Quarl Ego won't last.

    Rossom, are you David Cleary? ;)

    http://betting.betfair.com/horse-racing/horseracing-tips/timeform-radio-racing-tip/timeform-radio-tips-henry-to-reign-supreme-at-exeter-020413-143.html
    Timeform Radio Tips:
    Both at Exeter
    Back Henry King @ 12.0 in the 14:40
    Back Quarl Ego @ 5.0 in the 15:10


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16 djone349


    what do people think about jupiter rex running at exeter 5.40 making it 8/8? i'm thinking evens isnt a bad price, thought it would be odds on.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 18,335 ✭✭✭✭UrbanSea


    I don't like having this many bets but just small stakes, I opposed Henry King with one I had an eye on in Ireland in Shannon Spirit. Think it's been crying out for better ground and was beaten a nose off a pound lower last time out, badly outpaced at times before finishing like a train. It's a competitive race but 20/1 is huge


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,625 ✭✭✭✭Johner


    Mgoraf wrote: »
    Anyone think Dalasiri is a big price? Only beaten a head by dogora but has a 4 pound advantage this time.

    Dogora looks far too short. I'd be taking him on anyway.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,474 ✭✭✭longshotvalue


    4:35 Fairyhouse

    Hisaabaat has been a bit of a disappointment this year, but looked to be travelling well at the festival last time out until a huge mistake 3 out put paid to any chance he had. I’m willing to take a small chance on him again at a big looking 28/1 in a few places.

    1 Point ew 28/1 various

    3:40 Exeter.


    I Fancied Spirit River for one of the hurdles at the festival, and I’m not going to desert him now, despite him not running in Cheltenham. He looks a good ground horse and hasn’t had that since his very good hurdles form a few years ago. He isn’t up against any superstars here and if his jumping can improve on the better ground he’ll have a decent chance here. 7/1 in this race looks great value

    3 Point’s win 7/1 Stan James Coral Betfair


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,775 ✭✭✭✭Slattsy


    Totally agree with you on Hisaabaat Aidan. Def worth an e/w bet. He'll relish the better ground more than anything in that race i reckon.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,224 ✭✭✭jimjamcos


    Yep, Hisaabaat's a stand-out ew bet for me too. Backed him LTO but he hates bad ground and it's all he's ran on this season. Travelled ok at Cheltenham but made one mistake on the bad ground and his race was over. His 2nd to Countrywide Flame on good ground at last years festival is super form. Nearly sure that somebody was on here giving word for him LTO too before ground went against him. I think he'll go close today at a great price!

    I've had a saver on Il Fenemeno too.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 536 ✭✭✭Ray Mond


    Got word from the owner At Cheltenham for him and lord Windermere , went in heavy on hissabat after Lord W won.. Haven't heard anything this time but I'll be backing it anyway


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 175 ✭✭paddymayoman


    Johner wrote: »
    Dogora looks far too short. I'd be taking him on anyway.

    I've done a treble of Djakadam, Days Hotel and Tammys Hill at over 5/1. I reckon Paul Townend could have the better of the two Mullins horses, just like Pique Sous yesterday.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,370 ✭✭✭rossom


    Henry King falling was a pain in the ass. Haven't yet watched a replay but on initial viewing I thought Jack Doyle may have been at fault as he held onto him until very late and the horse didn't have much time to fall. The eventual winner setting off like that in front didn't help Henry King as he likes to bowl along it in front. Glad to see that he was cantering away after the horrible fall though.

    Quarl Ego gave it his all but isn't as well handicapped as I thought he may be (although I do feel he's up to winning races off 105). He appeared to jump left handed quite a bit which wouldn't have helped at all and I think we'll see him go left handed on his next start. Given how potentially well handicapped the runner up Magic Haze was, I think that race will turn out to be some very useful form in the future and with only 2 starts over fences I wouldn't give up on Quarl Ego just yet. No harm done to anyone who went e/w but I think the gamble can only be described as going awry.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,810 ✭✭✭snowgal


    Fosters Cross in 4.35- huge price
    Charlies Vic in 5.05- 10/1


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,028 ✭✭✭TheMilkyPirate


    Carberry smooth as ya like


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,224 ✭✭✭jimjamcos


    baraca wrote: »
    Carberry smooth as ya like

    I know he has his detractors but there's just something special about watching him ride a winner like that! Class to watch!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,775 ✭✭✭✭Slattsy


    He's a legend (didnt see the race mind you) but yeah he just makes it look so easy. One of the best ever.

    Havnt done a bet today yet, i think a lot of people were badly burnt after the first race.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 69 ✭✭JLoftus


    JLoftus wrote: »
    Elusive Hawk runs again tmo in Southwell 4.20 after cruising to victory last wednesday, hes 5/4

    Did the business with ease again :D


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 803 ✭✭✭langer91


    JLoftus wrote: »
    Did the business with ease again :D

    great tip m8 :D


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,028 ✭✭✭TheMilkyPirate


    Think you could throw a dart at anyone in the top 15 betting for this handicap and be in with a good chance.

    I'll stick with Summer star until she loses, The way she wins makes it hard for the handicapper to nail her and she might just be still ahead of him. Not one for the faint hearted though!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,818 ✭✭✭ste2010


    ste2010 wrote: »
    King of the knight or theatrical star (if his RSA exertions aren't too much for him)
    Don't fancy the nicholls horse at all.
    Looking good for a nice price on theatrical star based on Betfair trading

    Got on at 7-1 with a double with djakadam...sound result one fine day coming in


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,205 ✭✭✭Gringo180


    There is something up with that Hisaabaat it went out like a light there when the pace quickened and the jockey still didnt try to push it out to keep up with the leaders :confused:


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,184 ✭✭✭3ndahalfof6


    In the 2:40 two that might be worth looking at (not dissing you R),

    BYGONES SOVERIEGN 11/1

    TRACKMATE @ 40/1 could be fierce EW value.

    in the 3:10 DIGGER GETS LUCKY might be worth a look.

    I should of done the RF also, happy with TRACKMATE @ the price.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,625 ✭✭✭✭Johner


    Mae's Choice could run a big race at 18/1 in the next. Stable in flying form, decent ew chance.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,625 ✭✭✭✭Johner


    In the 2:40 two that might be worth looking at (not dissing you R),

    BYGONES SOVERIEGN 11/1

    TRACKMATE @ 40/1 could be fierce EW value.

    in the 3:10 DIGGER GETS LUCKY might be worth a look.

    Brilliant stuff there! 11/1 winner followed home by a 40/1 in second! Top picking.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,224 ✭✭✭jimjamcos


    Gringo180 wrote: »
    There is something up with that Hisaabaat it went out like a light there when the pace quickened and the jockey still didnt try to push it out to keep up with the leaders :confused:

    Yea, dunno what's up with the horse. Had his conditions today but looked a different animal to the one who ran so well last year. Has Weld said anything on him? From what I seen, he was just putting his poor showings this season down to bad ground. Maybe running him on such bad ground has bottomed the horse? Puzzling.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,196 ✭✭✭MonkstownHoop


    jimjamcos wrote: »
    Yea, dunno what's up with the horse. Had his conditions today but looked a different animal to the one who ran so well last year. Has Weld said anything on him? From what I seen, he was just putting his poor showings this season down to bad ground. Maybe running him on such bad ground has bottomed the horse? Puzzling.

    from the racing post

    "Very disappointing this year and makes no appeal for now"


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,853 ✭✭✭redarmy


    Johner wrote: »
    Mae's Choice could run a big race at 18/1 in the next. Stable in flying form, decent ew chance.
    fell at the first :(


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,184 ✭✭✭3ndahalfof6


    redarmy wrote: »
    fell at the first :(

    Sooner that then at the last and well in front.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,625 ✭✭✭✭Johner


    redarmy wrote: »
    fell at the first :(

    No more fences for her! She only has one eye.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 803 ✭✭✭langer91


    rossom wrote: »
    5.10 Exeter

    Kim Tian Road 9/1

    Keeping this short and sweet but I do feel that 7 year old mare has been given a nice opening handicap mark of 109 and although it will be a tough task to win under top weight I feel she's going to run a really nice race. Formerly with David Marnane, Kim Tian Road showed some decent form in bumpers (disappointing over hurdles) before joining Martin Hill where she shaped well on her stable debut when 3rd behind Al Ferof (understandably completely outclassed by that rival) in January 2011. I've absolutely no clue what happened to her but she was absent for 775 days before her last start when scoring in fine style over 19f at Exeter in a Mares Novice event in what was a superb training performance. Held up at the rear of the field, Kim Tian Road was quite keen and free for a lot of the contest. Under tomorrow's pilot Hadden Frost, Kim Tian Road swung into the home straight in 4th and after jumping the final flight a couple of lengths down she asserted in the run in to score by 2L from Alder Mairi. Hill's mare was receiving 12lb from Alder Mairi who is a horse I really like and she has earned an official rating of 123 having won 2 of her Novice hurdles impressively. It was an absolutely tremendous training performance from Martin Hill and although she was clearly fit I expect her to come on again for the run. The drop back to 17f doesn't look entirely obvious given she only mastered her opponent late on LTO but I think Frost played her late and she could have hit the front sooner if required. Additionally, this should be run at a slightly quicker pace which should hopefully allow her to settle better. Proven at the course, she gets similar conditions that she won on last month and this really isn't a strong race which is why she has to shoulder 11-12. If she doesn't bounce, I expect a really big run from this unexposed mare and hopefully she can kick on from his last win and make it two on the spin.

    Cheers Rossom great tip :)


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16 djone349


    rossom wrote: »
    5.10 Exeter

    Kim Tian Road 9/1


    Keeping this short and sweet but I do feel that 7 year old mare has been given a nice opening handicap mark of 109 and although it will be a tough task to win under top weight I feel she's going to run a really nice race. Formerly with David Marnane, Kim Tian Road showed some decent form in bumpers (disappointing over hurdles) before joining Martin Hill where she shaped well on her stable debut when 3rd behind Al Ferof (understandably completely outclassed by that rival) in January 2011. I've absolutely no clue what happened to her but she was absent for 775 days before her last start when scoring in fine style over 19f at Exeter in a Mares Novice event in what was a superb training performance. Held up at the rear of the field, Kim Tian Road was quite keen and free for a lot of the contest. Under tomorrow's pilot Hadden Frost, Kim Tian Road swung into the home straight in 4th and after jumping the final flight a couple of lengths down she asserted in the run in to score by 2L from Alder Mairi. Hill's mare was receiving 12lb from Alder Mairi who is a horse I really like and she has earned an official rating of 123 having won 2 of her Novice hurdles impressively. It was an absolutely tremendous training performance from Martin Hill and although she was clearly fit I expect her to come on again for the run. The drop back to 17f doesn't look entirely obvious given she only mastered her opponent late on LTO but I think Frost played her late and she could have hit the front sooner if required. Additionally, this should be run at a slightly quicker pace which should hopefully allow her to settle better. Proven at the course, she gets similar conditions that she won on last month and this really isn't a strong race which is why she has to shoulder 11-12. If she doesn't bounce, I expect a really big run from this unexposed mare and hopefully she can kick on from his last win and make it two on the spin.


    rossom you're legend mate, only been following your tips for about a week and cant believe the results you're pulling off! thankyou!!!!!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,205 ✭✭✭Gringo180


    jimjamcos wrote: »
    Yea, dunno what's up with the horse. Had his conditions today but looked a different animal to the one who ran so well last year. Has Weld said anything on him? From what I seen, he was just putting his poor showings this season down to bad ground. Maybe running him on such bad ground has bottomed the horse? Puzzling.

    The horse just hasn't been the same since his trip to France were he ran over 2m4f in very soft ground, and according to the Racing Post he finished a very tired horse maybe that has really left its mark on him which is a shame because he looked a great prospect last season.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16 djone349


    rossom you legend! only been following your tips for a week and cant believe the tips you're pulling off! another 9/1 winner! thankyou!!!!


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 768 ✭✭✭Letyourselfgo


    Rossom you daisy, following you the last few days and I'm delighted with the profit. Thanks for the write ups and keep up the good work.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,370 ✭✭✭rossom


    rossom wrote: »
    5.10 Exeter

    Kim Tian Road 9/1


    Keeping this short and sweet but I do feel that 7 year old mare has been given a nice opening handicap mark of 109 and although it will be a tough task to win under top weight I feel she's going to run a really nice race. Formerly with David Marnane, Kim Tian Road showed some decent form in bumpers (disappointing over hurdles) before joining Martin Hill where she shaped well on her stable debut when 3rd behind Al Ferof (understandably completely outclassed by that rival) in January 2011. I've absolutely no clue what happened to her but she was absent for 775 days before her last start when scoring in fine style over 19f at Exeter in a Mares Novice event in what was a superb training performance. Held up at the rear of the field, Kim Tian Road was quite keen and free for a lot of the contest. Under tomorrow's pilot Hadden Frost, Kim Tian Road swung into the home straight in 4th and after jumping the final flight a couple of lengths down she asserted in the run in to score by 2L from Alder Mairi. Hill's mare was receiving 12lb from Alder Mairi who is a horse I really like and she has earned an official rating of 123 having won 2 of her Novice hurdles impressively. It was an absolutely tremendous training performance from Martin Hill and although she was clearly fit I expect her to come on again for the run. The drop back to 17f doesn't look entirely obvious given she only mastered her opponent late on LTO but I think Frost played her late and she could have hit the front sooner if required. Additionally, this should be run at a slightly quicker pace which should hopefully allow her to settle better. Proven at the course, she gets similar conditions that she won on last month and this really isn't a strong race which is why she has to shoulder 11-12. If she doesn't bounce, I expect a really big run from this unexposed mare and hopefully she can kick on from his last win and make it two on the spin.

    Very easy win. Was very surprised with a 109 handicap mark and she fully exploited it.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,370 ✭✭✭rossom


    Cheers lads. Glad to help


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,028 ✭✭✭TheMilkyPirate


    Meades horse very well backed here in the bumper into 4/1 now form I think 7s.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,818 ✭✭✭ste2010


    I should of done the RF also, happy with TRACKMATE @ the price.

    Well done man! Cracking forecast


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