Twenty grand in 2 weeks

Wftablueboy

I know it sounds highly ambitious , but I've come up with a little plan and I'm going to try it for a couple of weeks . 1 bet a day with an all or nothing outcome , but the starting pot is only €5 . Had the first bet tonite on under 3.5 goals in the Cheltenham game at evens which came in . So my reckoning is that if I almost double my winnings everyday backing no greater than even money shots and no shorter than 4/6 shots then on a fourteen day streak you can surpass 20k . So here's hoping.......

Wftablueboy

Ok , day 2 and my €10 is on Utd and Real , BTTS @ 4/6

The Reservoir Dubs Anchorman

Wftablueboy wrote: »

Ok , day 2 and my €10 is on Utd and Real , BTTS @ 4/6

Good luck man. ambitious but it is possible!

Corkbah

Wftablueboy wrote: »

I know it sounds highly ambitious , but I've come up with a little plan and I'm going to try it for a couple of weeks . 1 bet a day with an all or nothing outcome , but the starting pot is only €5 . Had the first bet tonite on under 3.5 goals in the Cheltenham game at evens which came in . So my reckoning is that if I almost double my winnings everyday backing no greater than even money shots and no shorter than 4/6 shots then on a fourteen day streak you can surpass 20k . So here's hoping.......

would you not be safer aiming for 1K at a time ...bank that and start again.

Wftablueboy

It would take 8 days to get to 1,000 , and to be honest the nerve wrecking **** only begins there. ;-)) . I think in this day and age with so many markets running if you're careful there should be pleanty or even money or 4/6 shots that come in each day.... By the way if you let it run for 30 days you could hit a million... I'll let somebody else take up that challenge

Wftablueboy

Well that's a winner on day 2 , so 17.35 rolls over to tomorrow

Wftablueboy

Wftablueboy wrote: »

Well that's a winner on day 2 , so 17.35 rolls over to tomorrow

17.35 on Newcastle to win at evens, for day 3

zarquon

Only a brave man would through 10k or over on a 4/6 shot. Better to bank some along the way

Mocha Joe

Good luck man. If you do it, I'll go for the million.

Wftablueboy

I fell at the 3rd hurdle , but in fairness I went against my own rules ( there were 3 possible outcomes in the match , and I should be limiting my bets to events were there are only 2 outcomes ) so I'm down a fiver . Anyway I didn't expect to achieve it first go , so I ll start again tomorrow with a second fiver ;-))

catallus

Unlucky on the Newcastle result; I was rooting for them too.

Do you mind if I say that you broke your rule on the BTTS bet aswell; isn't there 4 outcomes there?

Wftablueboy

Thanks Catallus , the BTTS bet is a yes or no bet so there's only 2 outcomes , I didn't see the Newcastle game , so I don't know if they even came close to winning , but lesson learnt.....

catallus

I think there are four outcomes?

1) 0-0 draw.

2) Home team win to nil.

3) Away team win to nil.

4) Both teams to Score.

Wftablueboy

catallus wrote: »

I think there are four outcomes?

1) 0-0 draw.

2) Home team win to nil.

3) Away team win to nil.

4) Both teams to Score.

1) 0-0 draw = No
2) Home team to win to nil = No
3) Away team to win to nil = No
4) Both teams to score = yes
So only 2 outcomes yes or no , the market will only give you 2 choices

catallus

It is a yes/no bet on 4 possible outcomes. That's how I'd look at it anyway.

IncognitoMan

For my mind in the BTTS bet there are 4 outcomes

No teams score

Team one scores only

Team two scores only

Both teams score

The market offers you a yes or no answer. its not a two outcome bet though

Over 0.5 goals is a two outcome bet

Edit: Just reading over and catallus made the same points. Anyway good luck Wftablueboy with the next bet. You doing FA cup this weekend?

billybonds

Interesting concept, best of luck with it.

Wftablueboy

Ok 2nd go at this , tonight I'm on the golf , I'm backing Jimmy Walker V Ryan Moore (mythical betting ) so my €5 is on Walker @ 5/6 DNB

Ninap

The odds of turning 5 euro into 20 grand are roughly 4,000 / 1. Good luck with that....

Wftablueboy

4 over on the back 9 by Walker ended that fiver ..
€5 today Oldham V Everton BTTS @ 5/6

Wftablueboy

Wftablueboy wrote: »

4 over on the back 9 by Walker ended that fiver ..
€5 today Oldham V Everton BTTS @ 5/6

Done and dusted after 25 mins . 9.17 rolls on to tomorro

Wftablueboy

Sticking with BTTS on City V Leeds @ 11/10 , I'm holding back 10% of any winnings just to keep my bankroll , so the bet is 8.20 @ 11/10

Corkbah

Wftablueboy wrote: »

Sticking with BTTS on City V Leeds @ 11/10 , I'm holding back 10% of any winnings just to keep my bankroll , so the bet is 8.20 @ 11/10

oooh changing the plan !!

makes me think if you do get on a roll and get a substantial amount you wont follow your pattern and put it all down. (even minus the 10%)

Gambling is a discipline ... those that are successful know when they can place a bet and when they can't, they know that on any given day statistics can go out the window, the form guide can be torn up and just plain luck/determination can get the underdog over the line !!

I know quite a few people who have been successful in gambling, some even winning six figures on small bets (€50) .... I know people who have gone to rehab and have had serious issues with the losses and debts they have accrued from gambling, some have taken their own lives...so for your "system" you have already changed the rules which suggests that you now suspect that your system is flawed or requires a lot more research before placing the bets....something which I suggest you do.

by all means continue doing what you are doing ... but try to learn from your mistakes, as has been pointed out earlier in the thread BTTS is a 1/4 chance which is dependent on the favourite to concede as well as score, even options like "X team to score first" has less variables and therefore a higher chance of success, learn your maths, probabilities, statistics ...understand them and combine them with permutations and combinations (even at Leaving Cert level) and you can understand that statistically your chances of winning against the bookies are slim....watch the various tip threads here and you'll see people giving reasons for their choices, many of which are purely opinion, some are statistically based but more often than not you'll find the posters who know their stuff and can point you in the right direction and learn from them.

Best of luck with it.

Wftablueboy

Thanks Corkbah for taking the time to reply , it's well put and I agree with most of what you said and take it on board . I've never been one to follow systems and my general betting pattern would be throwing tenners and twenty euro on something you fancy , if I'm honest I'd say I probaly lose on average 30 euro per week . I've done a couple of trial runs with this system before I start posting and I've got to stage 5 , blowing it in one bet and the flaw was not betting my fiver so if it lost I had my bankroll again . I'm only realising this now..... So by taking 10% off every winning bet I get my stake back after the 3rd hurdle and the end goal is still acheivable after the 14 days . In the long run if I stick with the system and stop dropping my regular 30 euro per week in the bookies , I will make money
Thanks again

Wftablueboy

Wftablueboy wrote: »

Sticking with BTTS on City V Leeds @ 11/10 , I'm holding back 10% of any winnings just to keep my bankroll , so the bet is 8.20 @ 11/10

Leeds never looked like scoring , they were very tame for a FA CUP match

catallus

So you're down what? €15?

I know it's just a bit of fun but I don't think I've ever heard of anyone making money worth talking about by backing odds-on or even money shots.

You have to win every single time; not possible.

I know a few people who have been successful in gambling too, but unfortunately they were all bookies.

Wftablueboy

catallus wrote: »

So you're down what? €15?

I know it's just a bit of fun but I don't think I've ever heard of anyone making money worth talking about by backing odds-on or even money shots.

You have to win every single time; not possible.

I know a few people who have been successful in gambling too, but unfortunately they were all bookies.

No Im down €14.03 , I held on to .97c ( 10% of yesterday's winnings ) ..;-)
It is only a bit of fun..
My starting bankroll was €50 , so when it's gone I'll give up , but with 35.97 left I still 7 days worth of fivers to go

catallus

If I were you I'd go down to the shop and get 35 lines in tonight's daily million. Probably better odds. But then again I am a lotto fiend

Wftablueboy

Step 1 again .... Man Utd V Reading BTTS NO €5 at 10/11

catallus

11/10 on betfair.....

EDIT: presuming that Reading are not going to win this game, I'd split it like this: €4 on ManUtd Win to Nil at 11/8 and €1 on 0-0 correct score at 31/1 on Betfair.

catallus

wftablueboy, I think this plan of yours needs a little bit more tweaking

I was so gutted last night, I had to go home and drink!

Wftablueboy

Cardiff V Brighton , 5 euro home win at 21-20

catallus

Jesus, You cannot catch a break!

Wftablueboy

I think anyone following me this week should do the compleate opposite to what I predict , I'm just a fuding Jonah at the minute ;-))

Wftablueboy

Liverpool V Zenith over 2.5 goals @ 8/13 , 5 euro

Wftablueboy

Wftablueboy wrote: »

Liverpool V Zenith over 2.5 goals @ 8/13 , 5 euro

Cleared hurdle 1 with 45 mins to spare:D

catallus

nice result!

We only need 20 (?) more winners in a row now!

I've gotta good feeling about it this time....

Ladjacket

All the best with this - I am off betting for lent so this can be like my fix to follow your exploits!!

fatherbuzcagney

Ladjacket wrote: »

All the best with this - I am off betting for lent so this can be like my fix to follow your exploits!!

bet you 5bucks you won't last

Ladjacket

Ha! I got my first week over on Tuesday so I am estimating i have saved 40 quid already! The aim is to be putting one ten euro bet on football each saturday per week.

Wftablueboy

7.20 on Notts County at home to Bury @ 11/10

Wftablueboy

Wftablueboy wrote: »

7.20 on Notts County at home to Bury @ 11/10

I think I'm getting the hang of this ... Handy 4-1 home win

Ladjacket

my only advice to you regarding this is that the real research is required on a day like tomorrow - plenty of just under even money shots readily available but mak sure you have full confidence in your pick. All the very best!

Wftablueboy

13.50 on Hearts V Inverness , over 2.5 goals at 19/20

Wftablueboy

Wftablueboy wrote: »

13.50 on Hearts V Inverness , over 2.5 goals at 19/20

Finally cleared hurdle 3 , with a couple of goals to spare......

Wftablueboy

23.70 double chance , Southampton & Draw at 7/10... Fingers crossed

catallus

Are u backing anything in tonight's game wftablueboy?

Wftablueboy

step 1 again , 5 euro Spurs @ evens V W.Ham

Kankan14

Just asking here, not criticizing in any way but is backing circa even moneyshots away from home in the EPL not statistically one of the biggest losing bets in football. Think I read over 52% don't win the game or something similar. Could be way off base though in saying I generally wouldn't be one to back teams away from home.

Either way what your doing is good fun and I like the ambition. Good luck!

catallus

I figure spurs will win too. They are showing 6/5 on betfair.

I'm predicting a goalfest, over 3.5 goals, at 12/5.

Kankan14

catallus wrote: »

I figure spurs will win too. They are showing 6/5 on betfair.

I'm predicting a goalfest, over 3.5 goals, at 12/5.

Ya I'm not saying they won't it's just I wouldn't be crazy about it myself. The OP's last bet was Southampton away from home too. I'm aware they weren't fav's and the bet was DNB. All in all I just think backing away teams in the EPL is a tricky business and the OP would find better value shots at around even money elsewhere.

You don't have to have a bet every day either to get to the target in two weeks.
Yesterday I swerved Ajax having originally felt like backing them. Tonight I left Lazio off at 1.31 was gonna back them but I didn't feel they were a genuine 1/3 shot. They might win handy but I just don't fancy it enough. I'm prepared to escargots patience and that to me is the only way I can see me making it work.

Either way I hope spurs win for his bet and there loads of goals too:-)