Stop being a degen gambler thread

montyrebel

I am starting this thread because in the past I have had problems with gambling addiciton.
I am still gambling but no where near as bad or as much as I was so am doing this in the hopes it helps me a bit more.

Feel free to follow and ask any questions.

I will be starting off with a single pound as my starting balance and sticking to a strict 10% stake on any bet.
If I have 2 bets picked the 10% will be spread about between them etc.

Also I will be doing this purely on Paddy Power as it is easier for me to get money on, which probably wont be happening and easier for me to get money off, hopefully loads of it.

Also as well as doing the usual punting I will also add any freebies into this balance as well, at the moment they offer free bingo each night where you can win small amounts. It is free so it all counts as free money

I will end this on 13th december this year my birthday, hopefully with a big profit, the reason for this is that is my birthday and to celebrate I will take the monies and after rubbing it on my titties I will spend it on christmas presents for my family etc.

Hope you all enjoy


Starting Balance (SB) £1.00

montyrebel

Also have a small balance on PPP but that will be kept completely seperate

Randomfriend

Best of luck buddy

MrQ

The best of luck.

montyrebel

here goes nothing, my 1st bet is

New York Yankees to win 1st half betting in tonights game at Baltimore Orioles

10p at 10/11

for those that dont know the Result is based on the score after 5 innings

OnTheCounter

For those of us who dont know when half time is we definately dont know what an inning is. Good Luck.

The trick to stop being a "degenerate" gambler is to bet small, smaller than 10% I would say, and only bet events where you are fairly sure you have an edge using statistical analysis and experience.

montyrebel

some people may not have known as baseball wouldnt be a big sport in Ireland imo.

10% i think is alright for now anyway, guess I will always have some degen tendencies :pac:

Thepoet85

Good luck, will be hoping you do it!!

FANTAPANTS

HOPE YOU HAVE 200 GRAND BY YOUR B-DAY DUDE :D:D

montyrebel

1st bet lost :mad:

so balance now 90p

so next bet is a double, both England 3/10 and Belgium 8/11 to win

0.09 on it.


1 time etc etc

montyrebel

winner

balance now at £1.01, in profit now and hope to stay there

montyrebel

have 0.10 on over 8 runs (8 is a push) at evs in the texas at tampa bay game tonight, just close to starting on espn america

montyrebel

And just like that back down to £0.91

montyrebel

next bet is 0.09 on MK Dons at evs

montyrebel

no joy MK Dons were beat 1-0, balance at the moment 82p

montyrebel

next bet is an in running one, its college american football, USC vs Syracuse game

8p on USC -21.5 pts at 5/6

OnTheCounter

Now this is a serious show of dicipline. Is this a trial for a larger betting bank, basically paper trading?

after 100 bets have you any targets bar be in profit?

How did you decide on flat 10% stakes?

montyrebel

Hopefully if this works well, I will do it again with a larger bankroll etc

Hope to be in profit and to have learned some discipline and better knowledge of some punting.

Thought 10% was a good starting figure rather than throw all my eggs in 1 basket etc.

Also last nights bet lost, 2nd half of the game was delayed by thunder and lightning warnings and changed things up completely from the 1st half.

montyrebel

sticking with american football for todays bet.

A 8p double on New Orleans Saints - 9 pts (evs) and Atlanta Falcons -1 pt (10/13).

Yes I know sticking to my 10% rule it should be a 7p double but the min stake with PP has to be 8p as I have just found out.

montyrebel

got a nice wee boost there from 1 of the free bingo games, I won £1.80 so balance at the moment is £2.46 not including the current bet on.

Looks like New Orleans Saints will be letting that down anyway :mad:

montyrebel

another wee in running bet on the NFL, 25p on Green Bay to win against San Francisco, currently behind 16pts to 7 so they are 6/5. Good price imo, as they are starting to find their feet as san fran lose theirs

montyrebel

last bet lost now for an actual bet before kick off

22p on pittsburgh steelers to score over 21.5 pts in the whole game at 5/6

montyrebel

yet again no joy, they only scored 19 pts, any form of a score from them a touchdown or field goal would have got the bet up

montyrebel

under 21's football double for today

Spain 1/5 and Belgium 8/15

20p on it

montyrebel

above bet is winning at the moment and looks good to hold on and win at fulltime.

put 18p there on N Djokovic to win 3-0 against andy murray at 21/10

montyrebel

Under 21's football bet won

montyrebel

Murray has my tennis beat on with the next one

20p on over 44.5 pts (5/6) in the Bengals and Ravens NFL game, depending how it is looking may do a bet on the game after it as well

zarquon

Just a note here, in terms of paper trailing its best to stick to your original €1. You seem to be allowing random bingo wins to skew your stakes. If you are doing this as a proportional log you certainly won't get increased bingo wins proportional to a higher bankroll so the question remains would you be staking 20% of a much bigger bankroll that would include zero or neglegible bingo wins?

montyrebel

the bingo wins are all free money and is added into my bankroll for betting, and it is 10% of whatever it is that I bet.


NFL bet came up last night as well, balance is now at £2.15

zarquon

montyrebel wrote: »

the bingo wins are all free money and is added into my bankroll for betting, and it is 10% of whatever it is that I bet.


NFL bet came up last night as well, balance is now at £2.15

Okay, so i take it this isn't paper trailing then but rather your actual attempt to grow a bankroll from €1. If so then good luck as you will need a phenomenal amount of patience consider the effort to grow that to €10 would be the same as the effort to grow €10 to €100 or €100 to €1000. It's a lot of effort working with a tiny bankroll.

montyrebel

yes it is an actual attempt, the reason i started so small was to hopefully curb my degen tendencies.

Anyway next bet is 11p on Marked Man in the 2:10 at Worcester, currently at 33/1 and best price guaranteed. It is a course and distance winner and I think it is due another win

zarquon

Ok fair enough. At least you get to enjoys the highs and lows without having to worry about losing a chunk of cash so if all else at least this is safe way of scratching the etch.

montyrebel

Marked Man ran a great race at the start and then faded, so no win there

montyrebel

my next bet is under 9.5 total runs in the yankees and red sox game starting at 10 past midnight here.
19p on at 21/20

montyrebel

^ winner

montyrebel

21p on the draw tonight at 23/10 in the league 1 match between leyton orient and brentford

montyrebel

^ Beat, Orient won 1-0 against the run of the game

montyrebel

19p is the next bet and it is on chicago bears +5 pts at 10/11 in tonights NFL game

montyrebel

^ no good this time, next bet is 17p on Sir Graham Wade in the 1;50 at Doncaster at 5/2

montyrebel

winner

montyrebel

22p double on CM Punk and Sheamus both retaining their titles at WWE's Night of Champions this sunday. Both 4/9

Also a 19p single on R Truth and Kofi Kingston keeping the Tag Titles at 5/1

montyrebel

18p double to 2 games tonight, Dundee United at 8/11 and St Pats at 8/13

montyrebel

16p in running on Munster to beat Ulster in the rugby at 10/11

balance at the moment without the current bets being settled is £1.41

montyrebel

Rugby and football double both beat

montyrebel

14p double on Hull (evs) and Bradford(4/7)

intellectual dosser

montyrebel wrote: »

14p double on Hull (evs) and Bradford(4/7)

Really interested in what you're doing throughout the thread and best of luck to you.

With regards to this bet - what logic/rationale are you using in picking bets? Do you look for a minimum % return or anything?

United at home to Wigan and Arsenal home to Southampton look like good bets - that double returns 25p from 14p - why choose the longer bet?

montyrebel

looking at results from last season and this season current league table

montyrebel

football double won, and my next bet is liverpool to score the next goal in running on the match
17p at 4/5

montyrebel

quick winner

montyrebel

19p on Spurs today to beat reading at Evs, probably be back on later with an NFL bet as well

montyrebel

NFL bet is New Orleans Saints -7.5 points, 17p on at 7/4