avfctoms £10-£10,000 challenge

Avfctom

hi i have started my challenge friday evening built it up to £103 if im successful i will post up these bets started with a bank of ten pounds im not as strict with the odds of others i dont go any less than 1/10 but will back 1/3 if i believe it has a high chance of coming in

Avfctom

i will recap on the bets i have had so far

Avfctom

bet 1
monaco v arles
monaco to score a goal
odds 9/50 stake £10 returns £11.80

Avfctom

bet 2

hertha berlin v regensburg

hertha berlin to score a goal
odds 12/25 stake £11.80 returns £12.74

Avfctom

bet 3

borrusia dortmund v werder bremen

borrusia dortmund to win
odds 7/25 stake £12.74 returns £16.31

Avfctom

bet 4

bolton v nottingham forest

bolton or draw
odds 1/4 stake £16.31 returns £20.38

Avfctom

bet 5

evian v lyon

lyon or draw
odds 1/4 stake £20.38 returns £25.48

Avfctom

bet 6

petra kvitova v errani

petra kvitova to win
odds 11/50 stake £25.48 returns £31.09

Avfctom

bet 7

swansea v west ham

swansea to score a goal
odds 1/5 stake £31.09 returns £37.31

Avfctom

bet 8

inverness v celtic

celtic to score a goal
odds 1/10 stake £37.31 returns £41.04

Avfctom

bet 9

manchester united v fulham

manchester united to win
odds 13/50 stake £41.04 returns £51.71

Avfctom

bet 10

tottenham v west brom

tottenham to win or draw
odds 13/100 stake £51.71 returns £58.43

Avfctom

bet 11

chelsea v newcastle

chelsea or draw
odds 11/100 stake £58.43 returns £64.86

Avfctom

bet 12

juventus v parma

juventus to win
odds 7/25 stake £64.86 returns £83.02

Avfctom

bet 13

malaga v mallorca (currently in play)

malaga or draw
odds 19/100 stake £87.02 returns £103.55

Avfctom

just realised iv used the 4 pound i was saving for my acca on the bet nvm

managed to build quiet quickly if malaga avoid defeat im looking at

arsenal or draw at 3/10 tommorow

would welcome any input thank you

Lasagna Diarra

Good luck but do you know Szczesny is doubtful for this game?

Avfctom

Lasagna Diarra wrote: »

Good luck but do you know Szczesny is doubtful for this game?

no i wasunt aware u think arsenal might get bet im also looking at barcelona to win real madrid to win man city +2 ac milan or draw if malaga see it through got all night to think about it

OnTheCounter

Whats the target amount?

Avfctom

ffs malaga have completly dominated losing 1-0 foul in the build up that the ref let go ridiculous

Avfctom

OnTheCounter wrote: »

Whats the target amount?

the intended target is £10,000 if u follow the challenge by the book its supposed to be 73 bets at odds of 1/10 i have mixed the odds up a little personally if i hit 1 thousand pound i think il bottle and withdraw it but its somethink to keep me occupied just requires patience

OnTheCounter

Defo wouldnt do full bank if you get to a grand.

Good Luck.

Lasagna Diarra

Avfctom wrote: »

no i wasunt aware u think arsenal might get bet im also looking at barcelona to win real madrid to win man city +2 ac milan or draw if malaga see it through got all night to think about it

It is definitely not as safe as your other bets (team X to score a goal) especially if Arsenal are missing Koscielny & Szczesny. Anyway I'm curious to see how far you can go with this system

Avfctom

Lasagna Diarra wrote: »

It is definitely not as safe as your other bets (team X to score a goal) especially if Arsenal are missing Koscielny & Szczesny. Anyway I'm curious to see how far you can go with this system

looks like it will come to an end tonight tbh malaga just cant break through mallorca

Avfctom

YESSS 1-1

Avfctom

if i get away with it tonight then im lucky need to play it safer now if i breach the 100 pound mark aslong as malaga hold on

Avfctom

i think man city +2 looks decent 1/10 cant see liverpool winning by two goals

Avfctom

rangers avaible at 1/7 but im not convinced by them after the peterhead debarcle

Avfctom

that will do thanks malaga

Avfctom

for bet 14 im looking at

rangers to win1/7
arsenal to score a goal 1/5
man city or draw 4/11
man city +2 1/10
barcelona win 1/5
real madrid 2/7
ac milan or draw 1/10
valencia or draw 1/10

any advice much appreciated

im planning atleast two bets tommorow so far im swaying towards arsenal to score man city +2

FifaClubs Conor

Good luck looks good fun that, you should probably bank at 1 grand though if you get that far, if you lost after that you'd be raging.

Might try something similar. I'd go for Rangers if it were my money.

Avfctom

FifaClubs Conor wrote: »

Good luck looks good fun that, you should probably bank at 1 grand though if you get that far, if you lost after that you'd be raging.

Might try something similar. I'd go for Rangers if it were my money.

i think if i hit a grand il bank half

Avfctom

decided bet 14

berwick rangers v rangers

rangers to win
odds 13/100 stake £103.55 returns £117.01

OnTheCounter

Another suggestion

sport recife match (brazil) under 4.5 goals

Avfctom

thanks rangers hate u with a passion right now

P_1

Avfctom wrote: »

thanks rangers hate u with a passion right now

Lesson learned here I think, Rangers are not to be trusted away. (Double chance on the opposition once Rangers go a goal up might be a way to go this year)

Avfctom

knew i should of stuck to my guns and had arsenal or draw

jArgHA

Hard luck on bombing out.. I have tried a similar approach a few times (currently have worked 10e up to 76e on similar priced markets) but I usually bomb out early enough. I did manage to get to around 280e at one stage before losing the bank.

What strikes me though is that any time I try this approach, even if using very short prices such as 1.04 (which equates to around 25/1) it seems to me that the bet comes very close to losing quite a number of times, and that it might be a better approach to be laying the 1.04's and expecting more than one to come through in 25 attempts.

For example, if a match was at 1-1 after 72minutes, and Under 4.5 Goals was available at 1.04 or thereabouts, then Lay at 1.05, and with sensible selections maybe this will pay out a profit for say every 15 attempts... This is speculative of course, but is an approach I might try myself, rather than hanging on for dear life with a 1.05 bet which almost blows up. Of course this approach would be slowww... it would require more time to actually get a return and a larger starting bank...

Avfctom

started again

bet 1

mardy fish v soeda

mardy fish to win
odds 1/9 stake £20 returns £22.22

paddymayoman

jArgHA wrote: »

Hard luck on bombing out.. I have tried a similar approach a few times (currently have worked 10e up to 76e on similar priced markets) but I usually bomb out early enough. I did manage to get to around 280e at one stage before losing the bank.

What strikes me though is that any time I try this approach, even if using very short prices such as 1.04 (which equates to around 25/1) it seems to me that the bet comes very close to losing quite a number of times, and that it might be a better approach to be laying the 1.04's and expecting more than one to come through in 25 attempts.

For example, if a match was at 1-1 after 72minutes, and Under 4.5 Goals was available at 1.04 or thereabouts, then Lay at 1.05, and with sensible selections maybe this will pay out a profit for say every 15 attempts... This is speculative of course, but is an approach I might try myself, rather than hanging on for dear life with a 1.05 bet which almost blows up. Of course this approach would be slowww... it would require more time to actually get a return and a larger starting bank...

Been backing doubles and trebles today in the tennis with 1/25s,1/33s and 1/100s its actually surprising how much you sweat over these untouchable odds.

Avfctom

paddymayoman wrote: »

jArgHA wrote: »

Hard luck on bombing out.. I have tried a similar approach a few times (currently have worked 10e up to 76e on similar priced markets) but I usually bomb out early enough. I did manage to get to around 280e at one stage before losing the bank.

What strikes me though is that any time I try this approach, even if using very short prices such as 1.04 (which equates to around 25/1) it seems to me that the bet comes very close to losing quite a number of times, and that it might be a better approach to be laying the 1.04's and expecting more than one to come through in 25 attempts.

For example, if a match was at 1-1 after 72minutes, and Under 4.5 Goals was available at 1.04 or thereabouts, then Lay at 1.05, and with sensible selections maybe this will pay out a profit for say every 15 attempts... This is speculative of course, but is an approach I might try myself, rather than hanging on for dear life with a 1.05 bet which almost blows up. Of course this approach would be slowww... it would require more time to actually get a return and a larger starting bank...

Been backing doubles and trebles today in the tennis with 1/25s,1/33s and 1/100s its actually surprising how much you sweat over these untouchable odds.

yh tennis is a risky game can change so quick but I find watching in play then making a decision

Avfctom

Avfctom wrote: »

started again

bet 1

mardy fish v soeda

mardy fish to win
odds 1/9 stake £20 returns £22.22

easy winner

Avfctom

bet 2

marin cilic v matosevic
cilic to win 1/9
stake £22.22 returns £ 24.69

Avfctom

Avfctom wrote: »

bet 2

marin cilic v matosevic
cilic to win 1/9
stake £22.22 returns £ 24.69

ffs regretting this now down a set

Avfctom

Avfctom wrote: »

Avfctom wrote: »

bet 2

marin cilic v matosevic
cilic to win 1/9
stake £22.22 returns £ 24.69

ffs regretting this now down a set

fuming looks like hes two sets down dont see him winning from here such a lazy player

Avfctom

ridiculous tennis wont be part of the challenge anymore just football too unpredictable 12 seed being taken apart by a nobody

Avfctom

get in didunt see that winning made hard work of it bet 2 wins

Avfctom

after some research fancy tomsk in russia league 2 starting at 1pm

bet 3
tomsk v shinnik yaroslavl
tomsk to win
odds 7/20 stake £24.69 returns £33.33

Randomfriend

Was just looking at that myself

Avfctom

Randomfriend wrote: »

Was just looking at that myself

nice price think its worth it i dont like sticking to 1/10 or around that mark because thats all u look for then sometimes pick a bet for the sake of it as in its 1/10 it surely cant lose so i look for a decent bet do a bit of research hopefully be a good bet considering i was very lucky with cillic last night and that was a back for the odds defintley need to rethink my stratergy in the long run

im also thinking about starting another challenge but being patient only one bet a day at 1/10 with proper research as it would take 73 days to reach £10,000 not bad for just over two months work lol

Avfctom

Avfctom wrote: »

after some research fancy tomsk in russia league 2 starting at 1pm

bet 3
tomsk v shinnik yaroslavl
tomsk to win
odds 7/20 stake £24.69 returns £33.33

great start 1-0 after 4 minutes