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TSC's Betting Blog

12346

Comments

  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 42,402 Mod ✭✭✭✭Lord TSC


    Ugh.

    Ok, it's been a few days since I did this. I've still been betting but this run of bad luck has been annoying me. Anyway, West Ham beat Chelsea 3-1, meaning the Unders fails, but Chelsea continue to dwindle away which always amuses me. Goal scorer bet falls through as well.

    I need to update what i won and lost on it though so here's the list with what way money was...

    Liverpool v Southampton - L Suarez Anytime @ 4/7 Lost 50c

    Liverpool v Southampton - L Suarez 2 or More @ 5/2 Lost 25c

    Man City v Everton - M Fellaini Anytime @ 16/5 25c returned €1.05

    Fulham v Tottenham - D Berbatov Anytime @ 17/10 Lost 25c

    Fulham v Tottenham - D Berbatov Two or More @ 10/1 Lost 25c

    Arsenal v Swansea - T Walcott Anytime @ 7/5 Lost 25c

    I also did all these....

    Reading v Man Utd - Man Utd @ 4/9 €2 returned €2.89

    Reading v Man Utd - Man Utd @ 11/10 (-1.0) Lost €1

    Reading v Man Utd - Man Utd @ 3/1 (-2.0) Lost 48c

    The game ended 4-3 to United. I did some in play bets as well with mixed results...

    Reading v Man Utd - 1st Half Over 5.5 Goals @ 4/7 €1 returned €1.57

    Placed this when the fifth goal went in. Came in easily enough.

    Reading v Man Utd - Reading to Score 4 or More Goals @ evens Lost 50c

    Reading v Man Utd - Over 7.5 Goals @ 5/4 Lost 50c

    Placed both of those at half time. There were 7 goals in the first half and not a single goal in the second. Only needed a single goal and neither team managed to do it :/

    Real Madrid v Atletico Madrid - R Falcao @ 10/11 Lost €1.50

    Real Madrid v Atletico Madrid - R Falcao @ 13/2 Lost 50c

    Real Madrid v Atletico Madrid - R Falcao @ 25/1 Lost 25c

    Useless ***** didn't score one :(

    Fiorentina v Sampdoria - Fiorentina @ 8/13 Lost 25c

    Placed this based on a tip. Final score was 2-2 thanks to a useless Own Goal Fiorentina scored :mad:

    Did an X Factor Bet...

    Next Elimination - Union J @ 10/11 25c returned 48c

    At least I can predict X Factor well :pac:

    So that's what I missed on here...



    Margin.... - €42.90



    There's little left in my account. If I do add to it, I'm only going to be doing very, very small bets and only on games I know stuff about. Or stupid bets on amazing odds <_<

    Here's one for tonight...

    Real Madrid v Ajax
    Double Chance
    Ajax And Draw @ 5/2

    Borussia Dortmund v Man City
    Double Chance
    Man City And Draw @ 8/11


    25c returns €1.51

    Real and Dortmund are already through to the next round, whereas Ajax and City are playing for a place in the Europa League.

    Enhanced Special Tuesday's Champions League enhanced
    04-12-2012 19:45
    Enhanced Special
    All 16 teams to score in tonight’s Champions League matches @ 50/1


    50c returns €25.50

    I've been doing similar for weeks now with the CL and not getting odds like that, so decided it was worth a 50c stake.


  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 42,402 Mod ✭✭✭✭Lord TSC


    Margin.... - €43.65

    The BTTS in all CL games came so close. 14 of the 16 teams scored last night. While City let me down, as a United fan, I take solace in the fact they are gone from European comeptition :P

    Every Team to Score in Wednesday's Champions League Matches @ 100/1
    Every Team To Score
    Wednesday's Champions League Specials


    44c returns €44.44

    Barcelona @ 4/9
    Win-Draw-Win
    Barcelona v Benfica

    Man Utd @ 4/7
    Win-Draw-Win
    Man Utd v CFR Cluj


    €1 returns €2.27

    Champions League Matches Chelsea v FC Nordsjaelland
    05-12-2012 19:45
    Alternative Handicap
    Chelsea (-1.0) @ 3/10

    Champions League Matches Barcelona v Benfica
    05-12-2012 19:45
    Handicap Betting
    Barcelona (-1.0) @ 11/10

    Champions League Matches Man Utd v CFR Cluj
    05-12-2012 19:45
    Handicap Betting
    Man Utd (-1.0) @ 8/5


    50c returns €3.55

    W Rooney @ 5/6
    Anytime Goalscorer
    Man Utd v CFR Cluj

    J Mata @ 10/11
    Anytime Goalscorer
    Chelsea v FC Nordsjaelland

    L Messi @ 3/10
    Anytime Goalscorer
    Barcelona v Benfica


    75c returns €3.41


  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 42,402 Mod ✭✭✭✭Lord TSC


    Margin.... - €45.35

    L Suarez @ evens
    Anytime Goalscorer
    Udinese v Liverpool


    25c returns 50c

    L Suarez @ 11/2
    To Score 2 or More Goals
    Udinese v Liverpool


    25c returns €1.63

    Europa League Matches Udinese v Liverpool
    06-12-2012 18:00
    To Score a Hat-Trick
    L Suarez @ 18/1

    15c returns €2.85


  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 42,402 Mod ✭✭✭✭Lord TSC


    Liverpool bets fall through :/

    I did the following for the Spurs game though, and actually managed to win some! I HAD A PROFITABLE NIGHT!

    Tottenham v Panathinaikos - J Defoe Anytime @ 8/11 50c returned 86c

    Tottenham v Panathinaikos - J Defoe Two goals @ 8/11 Lost 25c

    Tottenham v Panathinaikos - J Defoe to score in 90 minutes and Tottenham to win the match @ 11/10 €1 returned €2.10


    Margin.... - €44.79

    I'm going to stop with the "Two or more" style bets. They've cost me profit a few nights in a row now. The "X to score and their team to win" seems a better one to be working on :)

    Also doing this X Factor bet ahead of time...

    Straight Forecast - Jahmene / Christopher @ 9/2

    25c returns €1.39


  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 42,402 Mod ✭✭✭✭Lord TSC


    Two bets for today...

    West Brom And Draw @ 6/4
    Double Chance
    Arsenal v West Brom


    75c returns €1.88

    Considering their relative positions in the league and recent form, the value from that is brilliant. Wouldn't be surprised if Arsenal win but the odds, imo, don't reflect West Brom's chances...

    J Mata @ 21/10
    Anytime Goalscorer
    Sunderland v Chelsea


    75c returns €2.33

    This came in last time I did it. Really like Mata.


    Not sure what to do for the United game tomorrow. I don't want to bet on City but I fear they'll win. As a United fan, I think I'll back City so win or lose, I'd be happy :P


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  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 42,402 Mod ✭✭✭✭Lord TSC


    An addition;

    Skybet have been sending me emails for a few weeks now (since I signed up for Fantasy Football) saying I can have a free ten quid bet if I join. Did so and have placed it on this...

    West Brom vs Arsenal - West Brom to win - 5/1

    €10 (free) returns €50

    I figure I lose nothing if this bet doesn't come in, and as noted above, I think Brom's odds are too long for the match involved. So I decided to stick it on them and see what happens. If it wins, I clear my betting backlog. If it loses, I lose nothing :)

    I know some might say I should have done a safer bet and just got some cash for it but where's the fun in that?


  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 42,402 Mod ✭✭✭✭Lord TSC


    Mata scores. West Brom lose. Chris goes out third in X Factor. One win and two losses.....BUT STILL ANOTHER PROFITABLE NIGHT!

    Margin.... - €44.21

    Not sure what I'll do with the United vs City game. I've decided I'm going to avoid backing a winner, and looking towards the Cards market, Corners market and goalscorers.

    PP have a special offer; if RVP scores, all first goalscorers bets are refunded. Will definitivly be taking this up. Just have to decide who to back.


  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 42,402 Mod ✭✭✭✭Lord TSC


    Ok, with the teams out, here's what I've gone for...

    R Van Persie @ 11/2
    First Goalscorer
    Man City v Man Utd


    75c returns €4.88

    This stake comes back if RVP scores anytime in the game. Also then...

    R Van Persie @ 6/4
    Anytime Goalscorer
    Man City v Man Utd


    50c returns €1.25

    Over 11 Corners & Card Index Over 60 points @ 10/3
    Total Corners & Total Card Index
    Man City v Man Utd


    25c returns €1.08

    Premier League Matches Man City v Man Utd
    09-12-2012 13:30
    Card Index
    Over 80 Points @ 16/5


    25c returns €1.05

    Balotelli is starting so that's a nice red card in the bank :P Both sides have gone attacking minded so I expect a few cards here.

    And finally...

    Premier League Matches Man City v Man Utd
    09-12-2012 13:30
    Over/Under 2.5 Goals
    Over 2.5 Goals @ 4/6


    70c returns €1.26


  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 42,402 Mod ✭✭✭✭Lord TSC


    What a day. RVP scores in injury time to win United the game. Brilliant.

    Final score was 3-2, so the overs and RVP anytime comes in. Not the first scorer bet, but that was refunded, so no loss there. Corners/Cards don't come in either. I did two inplays as well...

    Man City v Man Utd - Man Utd to Score 2 or more Second Half Goals @ 6/1 - 25c lost

    Man City v Man Utd - Man Utd to win by 4 or more goals @ 14/1 - 25c lost

    First was only one off, second was stupid but I was on a high. :P

    Also did these for the Spurs - Everton game. Both of these had come in in previous weeks but not today.

    Everton v Tottenham - M Fellaini @ 8/5 - Lost 25c

    Everton v Tottenham - J Defoe @ 12/5 - Lost 25c

    Finally, I also did an inplay bet.

    West Ham v Liverpool - West Ham @ 4/1 - 25c Lost

    Did that one when Pool went 1-0 up, and then Ham scored two. Thought I was on to a winner till Ham shipped in two more. Final score, Pool win 3-2.

    Margin.... - €44.65

    So, we're down today....but there's one bet left!

    Outright X Factor Winner - Jahmene Douglas @ 9/4 - 25c returns 81c

    If he wins, I have a third profitable night in a row! If he does....well, I prefer James anyway :P


  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 42,402 Mod ✭✭✭✭Lord TSC


    I ended up completely losing track of this. Sorry to anyone who was reading (seriously, you were reading this! Thanks).

    Anyway, I've decided to start anew. 2013 is here, so I'm going to reset the margin to 0, since it was hugely depressing me.

    I wish I could say I've learned how to be a better gambler, but the truth is I don't really see myself as being in this to make a fortune. I'm in this for some fun. And I find accumulators fun mainly. I've decided to limit myself to a €5 every fortnight, and will not make a deposit to the account unless something major comes up.

    But for the most part, I'm going to be doing small accumulators, the odd goalscorer bets on matches I know a bit about and the odd flutter here and there based on tips. I really want to start relying on my own intuition rather than blind tips.

    So once the teams are announced today for the 3 o clock games, I'll be doing some betting :)


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  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 42,402 Mod ✭✭✭✭Lord TSC


    Ok, bet time....

    Man United (-1) vs Wigan - 15/8 - €2 returns €5.75

    Weird odds. I know United tend not to be winning by massive margins but odds are too good to ignore imo.

    Arsenal, United, Spurs and City to win - 50c returns €2.65

    Walcott, RVP and Agureo all to score - 50c returns €3.58


  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 42,402 Mod ✭✭✭✭Lord TSC


    ****ing Arsenal.

    NEW RULE!

    TSC Rule #1: Don't bet on Arsenal.

    The United -1 comes in nicely though. Bookies seemed to give Wigan far more credit than they deserved.

    Anyway...

    2013 Margin! = + €2.75


  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 42,402 Mod ✭✭✭✭Lord TSC


    Eden Hazard to score - €1 returns €2.40

    Over 2.5 in Chelsea/QPR, BTTS in Everton/Newcastle & Liverpool/Sunderland - 50c returns €2.16

    Over 1.5 in the first half of Chelsea/QPR - 50c returns €1.05


  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 42,402 Mod ✭✭✭✭Lord TSC


    I also put 75c on Chelsea to win when it was Evens at 75 minutes. Can't believe QPR won 1-0.

    Margin is back to 0.


  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 42,402 Mod ✭✭✭✭Lord TSC


    Starting from scratch again :P

    Newcastle, United, Villa, Stoke, Chelsea and City (-1) - 50c returns €22.74

    Crazy little accumulator :P

    Atletico Madrid, Valencia, Malaga all to win - 50c returns €5

    Decent looking special from PP

    Will also be looking to back Ba and Tevez anytime if they start in the afternoon.

    EDIT:
    Ba and Dzeko to score. €1 returns €3.08

    City game - Over 4.5 goals. 50c returns €1.44

    Bale to score 2 or more - 25c returns €1.05

    EDIT 2:
    Chico to score 1 and 2 goals.


  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 42,402 Mod ✭✭✭✭Lord TSC


    Down a fiver so far.

    Put another five on this morning, since it's two weeks since my last ddeposit.

    Starting off with...

    Bale to score anytime - €2.50 returns €6.50


  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 42,402 Mod ✭✭✭✭Lord TSC


    Blargh.

    Lambert Anytime vs Villa - €2 returns €6.40

    Ba 2 or More vs Stoke - 50c returns €4.25


  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 42,402 Mod ✭✭✭✭Lord TSC


    Lambert scores a peno, Ba does nothing. Still, up profit for today :)

    Margin - €3.60

    Will likely just slap the bank (€6.40) on United to win and RVP to score tomorrow :)


  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 42,402 Mod ✭✭✭✭Lord TSC


    Heart over head, have done just that.

    RVP anytime & United to win - €6.40 returns €16.80


  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 42,402 Mod ✭✭✭✭Lord TSC


    **** yeah!

    Margin = €6.80

    WE'RE IN PROFIT!

    €2.50 on Walcott to score and Arsenal to win - €2.50 returns €12.50


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  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 42,402 Mod ✭✭✭✭Lord TSC


    Arsenal down to 10 men and 1 goal down.

    €10 on City (-1). Returns €28.75


  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 42,402 Mod ✭✭✭✭Lord TSC


    Get. The. ****. In!

    Margin = €23.05

    What a weekend.

    Now, top it off.

    Over 11 corners in At. Madrid vs Real Zaragoza - €3 returns €6


  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 42,402 Mod ✭✭✭✭Lord TSC


    Margin = €26.05

    One more bet. See if I can pull off a perfect day :P

    Spanish La Liga Matches Malaga v Barcelona
    13-01-2013 20:00
    Over/Under 3.5 Goals
    Over 3.5 Goals @ 5/4


    €3 returns €6.75


  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 42,402 Mod ✭✭✭✭Lord TSC


    Margin = €29.80

    Thank you and good night.


  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 42,402 Mod ✭✭✭✭Lord TSC


    €3.50 on R.Costa to score anytime against At. Madrid tonight. Returns €10.50


  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 42,402 Mod ✭✭✭✭Lord TSC


    Kick things off with a double...

    Suarez & Remy to score - €5 returns €25.30

    Suarez seems as close to a definite bet today. Added Remy to up the odds; Remy is debuting for QPR so think he'll want to start things off "right"...


  • Registered Users Posts: 878 ✭✭✭sonnky


    Kick things off with a double...

    Suarez & Remy to score - €5 returns €25.30

    Suarez seems as close to a definite bet today. Added Remy to up the odds; Remy is debuting for QPR so think he'll want to start things off "right"...

    In already, fair play man!


  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 42,402 Mod ✭✭✭✭Lord TSC


    Thanks :D On a fantastic run at the moment. Sure it won't last long :P

    Also should note, the Costa bet earlier in the week didn't win, but, for whatever reason, Paddy Power refunded the bet to everyone who made it :confused: So it doesn't impact the margin at all.

    Margin: + €50.10

    €20 profit today already means I'm happier going for a bigger bet. Sure, if it's loses, I'm still a tenner up today and if you'd have told me I'd make a tenner in a day a few weeks back, I'd have chewed a hand off you :P

    Lukaku to score vs Aston Villa - €10 returns €20


  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 42,402 Mod ✭✭✭✭Lord TSC


    Lost. :(

    Will update the margin at the end of the day.

    Starting things off with...

    Both Teams to Score in Arsenal vs Chelsea - €10 returns €15.71

    If that comes through, then I'll be putting €15.71 on United to win against Spurs :) If it doesn't, then I'm not doing anything with the United match, so I can guarantee that I end today with the same amount I started yesterday with.


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  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 42,402 Mod ✭✭✭✭Lord TSC


    Win!

    Right, time to finish off the weekend with a bang! There's snow in London so think it's going to be a fun game.

    United to win vs Spurs - €10 returns €24
    United to win & RVP to score -€5 returns €16


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