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The Open 2012 *No Betting Discussion*
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04-07-2012 9:06am#1
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Its creeping up on us all right. Also probably my favorite major followed closely by the masters.
I agree with you that Tiger is the most likely winner whether i would want to back him at 6/1 is an entirely different question though. Saying that i wouldnt be a layer at that price either. To be honest i would prefer to back him on after friday or saturday at 3/1 if he was trailing by 2or3 shots and if he was leading i would let him win at whatever stupid odds he would be at that stage. Good luck with your bet though.
Adam Scott im not entirely convinced he is a good links golf player but you could hardly go wrong at 40/1. Francesco at 66/1 is value and im not sure Jacobson has the bottle for a major. Just my opinions though i would love your opinions on my selections.
My own bets (slate away
) havent any done yet but these are my most likely bets.
Darren Clarke 199/1 yes i know form at the moment is rubbish and it still looks like he is hungover from last years success but he has faired well at this course in the past and frankly 199/1 is ridiculous.
Sergio Garcia 47/1 Hard to think he would ever have as good a chance to win a major as when gifting harrington that major in Carnoustie. But if there is any major sergio will win i think it is the open. I think it requires golfers to think outside the box and play out of their comfort zone. Not my most confident bet but i think he is worth a punt at the price.
Matteo Mannassero 219/1 Very intelligent and almost reminds me of Seve. He is still young but is no long shot and few would be suprised to see him win a major or 2 or 3 in his time as a pro whether this will be the one im not sure but you could do worse at the price.
Last but not least. No laughing!!
Lee Westwood 14.5/1 What can you say/not say about this guy. He just deserves a major im not sure this will be set up entirely to suit but i fully expect him to be in the hunt on sunday just on pure class alone. Tremendously nice guy and exceptional Tee to Green stats. A few quid each way almost seems like a free bet.
Good luck with your selections. All my odds are taken from current betfair prices.0 -
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Really should be 2 threads, one for the golf and one for the betting. It's cool you like your flutter but a lot of us couldn't care less
Well there's a proper forum for such topic alright
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Anywhoo. I can't believe it's been 11 years since Duval won (was delighted for him back then as he deserved a Major) and Woosnam's extra club fiasco on Sunday. One of my favourite Open venues. Love the fact it opens up with a relatively short par 3.
Also, it's kind of funny people talking about lacking mentality with regards to Westwood. Would have said that about Clarke a tad over a year ago tbf.0 -
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Well there's a proper forum for such topic alright
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Anywhoo. I can't believe it's been 11 years since Duval won (was delighted for him back then as he deserved a Major) and Woosnam's extra club fiasco on Sunday. One of my favourite Open venues. Love the fact it opens up with a relatively short par 3.
Also, it's kind of funny people talking about lacking mentality with regards to Westwood. Would have said that about Clarke a tad over a year ago tbf.
Yep u don't get many opening with a par 3, though I think it's long enough maybe over 200 as I can remember some hitting woods at it in 2001.
Darren Clarke should have won this in 2001, he was the best in the field tee to green by a mile, but like a lot of his career his putting wasn't up to it that week.I have fond memories of that Open, I'll post later about it if I've time.
Lytham is a venue for keeping it on the fairway, so Westwood will be in the mix, I expect top 10 at least.0 -
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I would've been glued to the tv all four days in 2001 when the Open was on but I don't remember a great deal about Lytham. Not sure what that says about the course but I do remember that quality of players that were involved on the last day and straight hitting seemed to be the order of the day. You didn't necessarily need to be long which explains why Woosnam, Langer and Montgomerie all had good runs during the week. But it does help, which explains why Duval won.
It's important to remember that David Duval was amongst the straightest and longest drivers in the world around the turn of the century. He had very good runs in all the majors (except the USPGA, for whatever reason) between 1998 and his Open win, and when his time eventually came, it was a surprise to no-one. I still can't believe how far he's fallen since then, I watched every televised shot of his 59 at the Bob Hope Chrysler Classic (as it was known back then) and his 3 shots for a closing eagle were possibly the best I've ever seen.
With all that in mind, Westwood (once again
) gets my vote. I've already blown his trumpet enough in past threads so will simply repeat that I believe he will win a major very soon and am going to keep backing him until it happens.
Based on the last 2 major winners however, it's ultimately very hard to predict who'll win. The weather will play a part...and not just over the week in question. With the amount of rain in the UK recently, the rough has to be fairly juicy and I'd say the course could be made as playable or as difficult as the R and A see fit. Woods will really fancy his chances even with the recent MC. McIlroy is possibly the best driver I've seen since Duval (contending that he is slightly longer than Westwood). GMac has led the Open before, if he can sustain it this time, you never know. Harrington has never hit the ball better, with a good Scottish Open, he'll be supremely confident going in imo.
Rickie Fowler has been mentioned- he really impressed me last year. It's very early to be saying it but the Open could be his best shot at a major, would not be at all surprised if he were to win it at some stage.
Finally, if, like in 2001, a few veterans get in the mix, It'd be great to see Davis Love or Ernie Els go close. If either can sort out years of putting woes, I give 'em a shot! And what the hell, throw Darren in there as well 0 -
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