Suicide rolling accumulators log

stingerro

Here we go

I think it will be my 4th attempt of log here - two were very unsuccessful, third one was going okay, but was consuming way too much time. Decided it's time for a 4th one. Potentially it can be a very short one, so don't tail me and just enjoy (or not) reading.

Plan is simple. Until I will be dead and buried here I will invest 50 pln (around 10 pounds) for every single accumulator. Idea is to make 6 bets in a row, with 100 pln being taken to the bank after 3 wins for future bets. Goal is to win around 2400 pln (around 450 pounds) after 6 straight wins. I have a tendency to get on hot streaks from time to time, hopefully it will stay this way. Btw, I would have to win once of every 48 attempts (not counting here money from 3rd step) to break even, wondering about my chances.

With today JJK vs Honka match (0:1 - had over 2.5 goals :mad:) my winning streak got stopped after 3 straight wins (actually it was after 6 wins, but only 3 of them were for amount of money according to rules applied here ), so I will give it a few more tries.

I will try to stick to singles, with occasional double. Preferred odds will be around evens. And some of them (if not majority) will be taken In Play. And I will be playing every obscure league or bet if I decide that I can make some money with it.

stingerro

Rolling Accumulator #1 (Stage #1)

KFC Izegem v KV Kortrijk (HT-FT win) & KFC Duffel v Lierse (HT-FT win)

Stake: 50 pln
Odds: 2.09 (bet365)

So far Belgium teams are very solid in killing their respective opponents from lower leagues. Unfortunately I missed a train today with Cercle Brugge (0:4 HT, 0:8 FT - AH lines were 2.5 and 5.25), but won't do this mistake again.

tinodz

Best of luck. I tired one of these before, but got too greedy, and fell at €280 (with a €20 initial stake). I do not remember what amount I was looking to cash out at.

Try and use Osters at least once.

stingerro

tinodz wrote: »

Best of luck. I tired one of these before, but got too greedy, and fell at €280 (with a €20 initial stake). I do not remember what amount I was looking to cash out at.

Try and use Osters at least once.

Thanks. If my Finnish bet would go through earlier today I would start with 100 pln, but it didn't happen. So 50 have to be enough.

Osters are under consideration, but they are due a losing game/bet soon, so will have to be careful. We'll see.

stingerro

Rolling Accumulator #1 (Stage #1)

KFC Izegem v KV Kortrijk (HT-FT win) & KFC Duffel v Lierse (HT-FT win) :mad:

Lierse will probably do their job, but Kortrijk went 0:0 at HT killing my bet. Really thought it's a good bet, oh well.

Bank: -50 PLN.

stingerro

Rolling Accumulator #2 (Stage #1)

St. Patrick - Shelbourne: Both teams to score

Stake: 50 pln
Odds: 2.00 (bet365)

Took this bet In Play, around 20:54 CET, probably one/two minutes before hosts scored. Both Magherakid & Gavin think it's a good bet, so it was the main reason.

stingerro

stingerro wrote: »

Rolling Accumulator #2 (Stage #1)

St. Patrick - Shelbourne: Both teams to score

Stake: 50 pln
Odds: 2.00 (bet365)

Took this bet In Play, around 20:54 CET, probably one/two minutes before hosts scored. Both Magherakid & Gavin think it's a good bet, so it was the main reason.

Forgot how that game ended (forgot writing about it as well), but bet failed.

Bank: -100 pln.

stingerro

Rolling Accumulator #3 (Stage #1)

Rod Lawler to win against Lian Wengbo (Shanghai Masters)

Stake: 50 pln
Odds: 1.90 (bet365)

My snooker friend told me a few hours earlier to play Lawler with -1.5 handicap. And surprisengly bet365 has him as a slight underdog, so Lawler for win is good enough.

stingerro

stingerro wrote: »

Rolling Accumulator #3 (Stage #1)

Rod Lawler to win against Lian Wengbo (Shanghai Masters)

Stake: 50 pln
Odds: 1.90 (bet365)

My snooker friend told me a few hours earlier to play Lawler with -1.5 handicap. And surprisengly bet365 has him as a slight underdog, so Lawler for win is good enough.

Rolling Accumulator #3 (Stage #1)

Robbie Lawler - Liang Wengbo 5:4

Crazy game, but Lawler won in the end, despite the fact he allowed his opponent to come back from 4:2.

New bank (counting only for #3) 95 PLN.

stingerro

Rolling Accumulator #3 (Stage #2)

Banga - REO Vilnius (Hosts to win with -1 AH)

Stake: 95 pln
Odds: 1.90 (bet365)

Visitors are having a huge problems with money and players are leaving their team one after one, and they can't register replacements. They lost 4 games in a row with more than 1 goal difference, I expect this streak to get longer.

stingerro

stingerro wrote: »

Rolling Accumulator #3 (Stage #2)

Banga - REO Vilnius (Hosts to win with -1 AH)

Stake: 95 pln
Odds: 1.90 (bet365)

Visitors are having a huge problems with money and players are leaving their team one after one, and they can't register replacements. They lost 4 games in a row with more than 1 goal difference, I expect this streak to get longer.

Rolling Accumulator #3 (Stage #2)

Banga - REO Vilnius 2:1 - stake back

Extremely unhappy, as 10 minutes after making a bet I have read that most probably outcome is hosts to win by 1 goal. I should take a risk, wait 15 minutes hoping for a 0:0 and then play them for a straight win In Play :mad:

New bank (counting only for #3) still 95 PLN.

stingerro

Thinking about going for USA football women team -3 AH for around evens to win against Columbia. I consider women to be much more ruthless than guys, so would expect US team to still going it even when 1:0 or 2:0 up.

stingerro

Rolling Accumulator #3 (Stage #2 - repeat)

USA - Colombia (Women IO football tournament, USA to score 4 or more goals.

Stake: 95 pln
Odds: 2.10 (bet365)

USA scored 4 against France, and they are considered quite a ruthless team for opponents. Colombia looked terrible against North Korea, so I hope Americans can put at least four against them.

stingerro

stingerro wrote: »

Rolling Accumulator #3 (Stage #2 - repeat)

USA - Colombia (Women IO football tournament, USA to score 4 or more goals.

Stake: 95 pln
Odds: 2.10 (bet365)

USA scored 4 against France, and they are considered quite a ruthless team for opponents. Colombia looked terrible against North Korea, so I hope Americans can put at least four against them.

Rolling Accumulator #3 (Stage #2 - repeat)

USA - Colombia 3:0 :mad:

2 disallowed goals killed the chance for Americans to score 4 or more goals in this game.

Bank: -150 pln.

stingerro

Rolling Accumulator #4 (Stage #1)

(In Play) Spain U23 - Honduras U23: Spain -1 AH (when losing 0:1 at HT)

Stake: 50 pln
Odds: 1.875 (bet365)

I couldn't resist this bet, especially after losing a few good opportunities In Play earlier today (for example, when Astana - reccomended by Lasagna Diarra was losing 0:1 against Tobol). So hopefully Spain will be able to turn things around in 2nd half.

stingerro

stingerro wrote: »

Rolling Accumulator #4 (Stage #1)

(In Play) Spain U23 - Honduras U23: Spain -1 AH (when losing 0:1 at HT)

Stake: 50 pln
Odds: 1.875 (bet365)

I couldn't resist this bet, especially after losing a few good opportunities In Play earlier today (for example, when Astana - reccomended by Lasagna Diarra was losing 0:1 against Tobol). So hopefully Spain will be able to turn things around in 2nd half.

Rolling Accumulator #4 (Stage #1)

Spain U23 - Honduras U23 0:1 :mad:

Can't believe that I even did not get my money back, with all the chance Spaniards had in 2nd half (plus blatant penalty not awarded). Was very busy during Olympics, so can only regret not taking advantage of some bball In Play opportunities. Oh well.

Bank: -200 pln.

PS. I will be back .

stingerro

Rolling Accumulator #5 (Stage #1)

Men's basketball, Poland (-7.0 pts) vs Belgium

Stake: 50 pln
Odds: 1.86 (bet365)

Just finished watching Israel - Belgium basketball friendly game on DVD which was played a few days ago. After this I've decided to go on Poland -7.0 vs Belgum - we had a good preparations, play at home and Belgium isn't strong in areas, where we could be attacked. Two years ago Poland won 93:73 and I believe we should be able to win by 10-12 points.

stingerro

stingerro wrote: »

Rolling Accumulator #5 (Stage #1)

Men's basketball, Poland (-7.0 pts) vs Belgium

Stake: 50 pln
Odds: 1.86 (bet365)

Just finished watching Israel - Belgium basketball friendly game on DVD which was played a few days ago. After this I've decided to go on Poland -7.0 vs Belgum - we had a good preparations, play at home and Belgium isn't strong in areas, where we could be attacked. Two years ago Poland won 93:73 and I believe we should be able to win by 10-12 points.

Rolling Accumulator #5 (Stage #1)

Men's basketball, Poland vs Belgium 57:64 :mad:

Terrible, terrible game by Polish NT - minus seven is the lowest punishment we could get that day, Belgium was much better.

Bank: -250 pln.

stingerro

Since this log is going nowhere before I say "I quit" I will change the rules. I will go for over 1.5 goals/under 3.5 goals singles, based on recent performance by both teams. If 11 out of last 12 games (6 games each team) is fitting the criteria and I'm happy with odds, I will make a bet.

I will also make my log less suicidal - it didnt matter last time, as my bets were mostly wrong ones, but this time I will put 100 pln in my bank and will bet with half of my bank (corrected after wins or losses). First two games on Monday, research already done.

stingerro

Starting bank=100 pln

Game #1

Sonderjyske vs Odense BK - under 3.5 goals (odds=1.45)

Stake=50 pln

stingerro

Game #1

Sonderjyske vs Odense BK - FT 1:2

New Bank=122.50.

It wasn't easy, but after 3rd goal in 56th minute both teams calmed down.

I also had a plan to go for under 3.5 in Bray Wanderers - Derry City match, but odds went down to 1.25 (last night it was 1.4) and I've decided it's too low. A little bit disappointed seeing now that game ended 0:0.

stingerro

Not sure if I am ready to include matches from last season, but If will these matches will be under consideration for today:

Huddersfield - Nottingham Forrest
Bournemoth - MK Dons
Eastbourn Borough - Bromley
MSK Zilina - Spartak Trnava
Hammarby - Landskrona BoIS

Will decide about it lated today.

stingerro

Game #2

Eastbourn Borough - Bromley - under 3.5 goals (odds=1.36)

Stake=61.25 pln

stingerro

Game #2

Eastbourn Borough - Bromley - FT 3:0

New Bank=144.79

I am a lucky, lucky bastard. 2:0 at HT and quickly third goal was scored, fortunately nothing more happened.

stingerro

stingerro wrote: »

Not sure if I am ready to include matches from last season, but If will these matches will be under consideration for today:

Huddersfield - Nottingham Forrest
Bournemoth - MK Dons
MSK Zilina - Spartak Trnava
Hammarby - Landskrona BoIS

Will decide about it lated today.

Decided to check how my leans would work:

Huddersfield - Nottingham Forrest 1:1
Bournemoth - MK Dons 1:1
MSK Zilina - Spartak Trnava 1:1
Hammarby - Landskrona BoIS 0:0

It would be a nice day, if I would make more of this picks. Especially combining it with 0:0 or 1:1 draws. Too bad it isn't happening for picks I am actually making, but the winner is winner, so won't complain .

stingerro

Didn't find anything worth betting on today, but here are some games I will check results after (usually specific game qualified for my under 3.5 goals criteria , but odds were too low or games were too 1-sided on paper):

Fagiano Okayama - Giravanz
Roasso Kumamoto v Thespa Kusatsu
Tochigi SC - Ehime FC
FK Yenisey v Volgar G
Metallurg K Novokuznetsk v Torpedo Moskwa
FK UFA v FK Khimki
Shinnik Yaroslavl v Rotor Volgograd
FK Energia Volschski vs Angusht Nazran (this can be a game I will go for, but odds not available now, should be In Play at bet365)

stingerro

stingerro wrote: »

Didn't find anything worth betting on today, but here are some games I will check results after (usually specific game qualified for my under 3.5 goals criteria , but odds were too low or games were too 1-sided on paper):

Fagiano Okayama - Giravanz
Roasso Kumamoto v Thespa Kusatsu
Tochigi SC - Ehime FC
FK Yenisey v Volgar G
Metallurg K Novokuznetsk v Torpedo Moskwa
FK UFA v FK Khimki
Shinnik Yaroslavl v Rotor Volgograd
FK Energia Volschski vs Angusht Nazran (this can be a game I will go for, but odds not available now, should be In Play at bet365)

So let's check how it would end if some bets would be made for under 3.5 goals

Fagiano Okayama - Giravanz 1:1
Roasso Kumamoto v Thespa Kusatsu 1:1
Tochigi SC - Ehime FC 1:0
FK Yenisey v Volgar G 0:0
Metallurg K Novokuznetsk v Torpedo Moskwa 1:3 :mad:
FK UFA v FK Khimki 3:2 :mad: (was scared pre game that this match will end 4:0 or 4:1, as difference in class was huge)
Shinnik Yaroslavl v Rotor Volgograd 1:0
FK Energia Volschski vs Angusht Nazran 0:2

Last game was the one I considered the most to bet on... but I forgot to check in play bets, as odds weren't available pregame. Oh well, next time.

stingerro

Game #3

FC KooTeePee - FC Hammenlinna - under 3.5 goals (odds=1.24)

Stake=72.39 pln

Both teams are perfect 12/12 for under 3.5 goals in their last 6 matches, their H2h looks good as well. Odds are slightly lower than I would prefer, but still decent enough.

Other game I was considering for under 3.5 was Iran Pro League: Saipa Karadj - Aluminium Hormozgan. But history of both teams looks slightly weaker, and as both games are almost at the same time I choose the one from Finland.

Maybe I will look into Europea League games as well later on, as under 3.5 in 1st leg games should bring plenty of options.

stingerro

Game #3

FC KooTeePee - FC Hammenlinna - 3:0

New bank=162.17 pln

Once again very lucky. It was 3:0 after 56 minutes... and fortunately it didn't change. Thank you.

Other game I was considering would be a winner as well.Saipa Karadj won 1:0 against Aluminium Hormozgan.

stingerro

Game #4

Motherwell - Levante - under 3.5 goals (odds=1.30)

Stake=81.09 pln

Sorry for late info, but I took it a few minutes before start of the game and couldn't post here. Motherwell started a season with low scoring results and Levante is a naturally low scoring team. They are a clearly favourite here, but I don't see them scoring more than two and conceding more than one. Hopefully .

stingerro

Game #4

Motherwell - Levante - 0:2

New bank=186.50 pln.

"I like when everything goes according to plan" - says Hannibal Smith from A-Team and says Stingerro.Levante scored twice and didn't think about scoring more even when playing 11 on 10.

BKC

Interesting. Good start so far for your new strategy.

I will be following some of your future picks. Though I may go for the safer under 4.5 goals to suit my own log strategy.

Best of luck anyway. Looking good.

stingerro

To all my 3 followers - if I will catch odds In Play for over 1.5 goals (they aren't available pregame) and they will be as tasty as I expected, I will go in in this match - http://pl.soccerway.com/matches/2012/08/24/kazakhstan/1-division/sport-academy-kairat/fc-ekibastuzets-ekibastuz/1279806/

26 out of last 30 games for this teams ended over 1.5, also their earlier game this season had 3 goals. It's risky, but as goals handicap line is set at 2.25 I can't miss it a chance I see here. Game starts in 15 minutes.

stingerro

Game #5

Stake=93.24 pln. Odds=1.33

Sport Academy Kairat vs. Ekibastuz (over 1.5 goals) - 2:2

New bank=217.58 pln.

I didn't have a time to officially announce making bet, but I hope that doubters will be convinced by previous post. If not, I can make a print screen of my account. Two goals were scored before HT, so it was a very good find.

stingerro

Game #6

Vysocina Jihlava - Sigma Olomunec: over 1.5 goals (odds=1.38)

Stake=108.78 pln

It was a toss up between this match and FAI cup Waterford vs Mervue. But the latter just has been postponed to Monday, so now I hope odds for what I plan to do won't change in meantime.

Both Czech teams don't look to be particularly high scoring, but out of the last 28 games 26 times ended over 1.5. So I couldn't say no to odds like this.

One more game I was looking at was match between Gaz Metan and Turnu Severin. It should end under 3.5 goals and odds were 1.33.

stingerro

Game #6

Vysocina Jihlava - Sigma Olomunec (over 1.5 goals) - 1:1

New bank balance=258.38

I was really thinking I'm going down, when after guests scored quickly goal hosts equzlizer was disallowed before the break. But Vysocina keep attacking and they finally equalized in 80th minute. See you tomorrow.

Second game I was considering would be a winner as well, Gaz Metan won against Turnu Severin 2:0 (it was under 3.5 goals tip).

stingerro

Game #7

Sokolov - FK Taborsko: under 3.5 goals (odds=1.33)

Stake=129.18 pln

Game taken In Play in 38th minute, when hosts were leading 1:0. Had it in my plans for the day, just forgot about it.

More bets expected today and they are well researched. If only I had a time for researching more leagues.

stingerro

Game #7

Sokolov - FK Taborsko (under 3.5 goals) - 1:1

New bank balance=301.44 pln.

2nd goal was scored in 78th minute, so it was relatively easy. At least 2 more games planned for today.

stingerro

Game #8

Cherno More - Slavia Sofia: over 1.5 goals (odds= 1.50)

Stake=150.72 pln

The plan was to bet for under 3.5 goals in Warta Poznan - Dolcan Zabki, but odds overnight went under 1.30, so it was pointless.

Odds in this Bulgarian game are going into different direction than my bet is, so some risks are here. But their recent results, plus their H2H (including 3 goals scored in preseason friendly) are looking good enough to bet here.

I was also considering game from Montenegro - under 3.5 goals in Buducnost- Mogren match (odds close to 1.60), but decided it's too risky.

stingerro

Game #8

Cherno More - Slavia Sofia (over 1.5 goals) - 0:0 :mad:

New bank balance=150.72 pln

My streak is officially over. There were some shots in this match, but it just didn't happen this time. Can't complain, as other match I was looking into also wouldn't deliver. After goal in additional time Warta Poznan tied Dolcan Zabki 2:2 and I was seeking under 3.5 goals there.

stingerro

Game #9

Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Okocimski Brzesko: over 1.5 goals (odds 1.33)

Stake=75.36 pln.

Had this game planned earlier today, so it's not a reaction for losing bet a moment ago. Zawisza should score 2 goals on their own here.

stingerro

Just spotted that Buducnost lost to Mogren 0:2, so I'm livid now - it was a potentially great under 3.5 goals bet for 1.60!!! :mad:

stingerro

Game #9

Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Okocimski Brzesko (over 1.5 goals) - 4:0

New bank=175.22 pln

We are back in winning ways, nice. No more games for today, but I will be looking at Porto - Vitoria Guimares match. My research says under 3.5, but I'm scared of playing it in Porto domestic league match.

stingerro

stingerro wrote: »

No more games for today, but I will be looking at Porto - Vitoria Guimares match. My research says under 3.5, but I'm scared of playing it in Porto domestic league match.

Game finished 4:0 for Porto, so it was a poor bet. Have 6 games I really like today and since some of them are at the same time, I really don't know how to approach things

stingerro

Game #10

Gandzasar Kapan - Shirak: over 1.5 goals - odds=1.43

Stake=87.22

For the 2nd day in row I am going against odds movement, hopefully this time it will be with better effect. Game is from Armenia :rolleyes:

stingerro

Game #10

Gandzasar Kapan - Shirak (over 1.5 goals) = FT 1:1

New bank=212.46

This time I beat the odds factor, bet already won around 50th minute.

stingerro

Game #11

Moreirense - Nacional (over 1.5 goals) - odds=1.35

Stake=106.23 pln

Both this teams have great record in recent games (including last season), plus their H2H looks fantastic. I reccomended this match for BTTS in main Football section earlier today.

stingerro

Game #11

Moreirense - Nacional (over 1.5 goals) - FT 3:1

New bank=249.65 pln

I was very worried when guests got player sent off, when hosts were leading 1:0. It's aften an over killer (like in today's match between Slask Wroclaw and Korona Kielce), but fortunately next goals were scored after HT. Even Nacional scored consolation goal, which made BTTS landing, bet I've reccomended in main Football Gambling topic.

stingerro

I was planning to finish a day by going for a double, but previous bet wasn't resolved during the match (despite over 1.5 landing around 50th minute), so I've had no cash to bet. So I was late for under 3.5 goals in Videoton FC - Haladas.

Game #12

Brondby - Esbjerg (under 3.5 goals). Odds=1.33

Stake=124.62

stingerro

0:0 at HT - I covered my bet with over 3.5 goals with odds 13 (for 3.50 pln), so bet already won either way.

stingerro

Game #12

Brondby - Esbjerg (under 3.5 goals) - FT 1:1

New bank=287.69 pln.