June 2012 Boards forecast contest

M.T. Cranium

1. Predict the IMT for June, the 1981-2010 average was 13.7 C.

2. Predict the maximum temperature for June at any met.ie station as reported in the Monthly Summary.

3. Predict the minimum temperature for June at any met.ie station as reported in the Monthly Summary.

4. Predict the rainfall as percentage of normal values, as reported for eleven met-ie stations in the Monthly Summary.

5. Predict the sunshine as percentage of normal values, as reported for however many met-ie stations in the Monthly Summary.

6. Bonus question ... triple chance ... MTC's big bag of bonus points ... everyone a winner ...

Three ways to score, your choice how many you try, and you get the highest score of the three, even if you blow the other question(s).

Ireland plays Croatia in their opening game on June 10th (evening) of Euro 2012 in Poznan, Poland.

A. Predict the maximum temperature for the day at Dublin (A). Max you can score with this is 10.

B. Predict the game time temperature defined as the 18z METAR from Poznan. Remember, Poland is about two time zones east of Ireland in solar terms (doesn't really matter about civil time) so 18z in Ireland which is 1900h summer time would be more like 20z in the Polish time zone, and also please note this 18z temperature takes precedence over whatever TV announcers say the temperature is at the game venue. I will stick my neck out and say the "normal" value for this time of day is about 18 C at that location. Max you can score with this is 10.

C. Predict the game result. Remember, no extra time, draws can be the final score. This will score a max of 5 as an insurance on your temperature forecasts. Score will be based on 3 for correct form (win, draw, lose) and another 2 for correct goals (e.g., Ireland wins 3-1, you say 2-1, you score 4).

I know it's complicated, but we'll get back to the normal simplicity of the weather contest next month (i.e., no Olympic sailing contests in knots off The Lizard, bonus how many false starts in the 100 metres?).

Wild Bill

14.5 - 27.6 - 3.7 - 90 - 110

Bonus

(a) 19.8 (b) + 21.2 (c) 1 -1 draw

Sponge Bob

-21.2c Bill ???

okla

14.1,25.7,6.5,90%,95%

Bonus
Dublin 18.6 Poznan 19.4 score 1-1draw.

cherryghost

14.4, 28.5, 3.1, 85%, 110%

*big inhale*
A = 21.5
B = 23
C = 1-0 Ireland

M.T. Cranium

15.0 ..... 29.0 ..... 2.5 ..... 080 ..... 120 ..... 17.5,14.9,3-3

Darwin

1. 14.0
2. 25.2
3. 2.7
4. 80
5. 92

Bonus

A. 21.1
B. 19.2
C. 2 - 1 Ireland win

Harps

14.5 ..... 27.5 ..... 2.4 ..... 100 ..... 120 ..... 17.1,21.0,1-1

NIALL D

14.9..... 26.7..... 2.6..... 97..... 110..... 18.2 , 20.7 , 2-2

delw

13.2........25.6.......2..........95.........110

Bonus
17
19.7
2-1 Croatia

Iancar29

14.3 _ 29.0 _ 4.0 _ 90 _ 110

Bonus

(a) 22.0 (b) 19.2 (c) 2-1 IRE

Strasser

16.3 _ 31.0 _ 2.5_ 80 _ 115

Bonus

(a) 21.5 (b) 22.5 (c) 1 - 1
__________________

200motels

13.9.....28.....5.2......90.....96.

Bonus.

21.8....20.9......0-0

talkabout

14.6 _ 27.6 _ 3.8 _ 85 _ 110

Bonus

(a) 18.9 (b) 19.1 (c) 2-1 IRE

pauldry

14.0 _ 23.9 _ 5.3 _ 115 _ 99

Bonus

(a) 17.1 (b) 22.1 (c) 2-1 CRO

snowstreams

13.8 - 28.5 - 3.1 - 95 - 108

Bonus

(a) 19.4 (b) 18.5 (c) 0 - 0

dasa29

13.2c .... 29c .... 1.0c .... 75% .... 125%

Bonus

(a) 22.5 (b) 19.5 (c) 2 - 2

K_1

14.0 ..... 23.0 ..... 3.0 ..... 085 ..... 105 ..... 17.5,16.9,2-1 (ireland win)

dacogawa

15.9 .... 30.2 .... 1.9 .... 092 .... 110 .... 19.0 , 16.2 , 1-1 (after Given saves a pen :eek:)

H2UMrsRobinson

14.2°c, 29.4°c, 3.4°c, 101%, 99%, 24.5°c, 18.5°c and 3-2 IRE

SeaFields

14.2 .... 27.5 .... 2.5 .... 90 .... 140 .... 22.4 , 17.9 , 1-0 Ireland

homolumo

15.3 ..... 28.1 ..... 2.1 ..... 080 ..... 125 ..... 18.5,19.1,0-0

Hammer Archer

14.4........23.5.......3.8..........87.........115

Bonus
18.5
19.9
1-1

Rikand

14.5 ...... 26.5 ...... 3.0 ...... 90 ...... 110

Bonus :: 19.9 ....... 22.1 ....... 1-0 Ireland

rameire

13.9 ..... 27.8 ..... 4.0 ..... 105 ..... 88 ..... (A)22.4 ..... (B)21.2 ..... (C)1:0 Ire

Sponge Bob

13.6 ..... 23.7 ..... 2.8 ..... 85 ..... 98 ..... (A)19.9 ..... (B)24.2 ..... (C)2:1 Cro

DOCARCH

13.4.....26.6.....2.4.....105%.....93%.....A: 19.6 B: 22.3 C: 1-1

M.T. Cranium

Time to rip this a new one ...

15.0 ... 29.0 ... 3.4 ... 120 ... 100 ... 17.2 , 20.5 , 3-3

(upgraded my precip mostly, and went warmer for Poznan)

note: anyone can edit or amend their forecasts without penalty to 0300 Saturday 2nd which is the deadline for forecasts in general ... during the next 24h (to 0300 Sunday) you're on the 60+ penalty, and on Sunday you're in late late time with the door barred at 0300 Monday 4th, sorry etc.

Will be scoring the merry merry month of May as soon as data arrive in my sphere of unconsciousness.

DOCARCH

M.T. Cranium wrote: »

3-3

:pac: Maybe you have not seen Ireland play in a major tournament? 3 goals for Ireland! That's FI.

M.T. Cranium

Field goal?

Speak Now

14.2 ... 26.0 ... 3.3 ... 100 ... 100 ... 18.0 , 20.0 , 1-1

MiNdGaM3

14.0 ..... 24.4 ..... 2.1 ..... 110 ..... 99 ..... 15.3, 21.8, 2-1 IRL

Joe Public

14.9 ..... 28.9 ..... 3.9 ..... 089 ..... 129 ..... 16.9, 17.9, 2-1 Irl to win

John mac

14.0 ..... 26.7 ..... 2.4 ..... 110 ..... 115 ..... 15.5, 20.1, 2-1

(2 for Croatia and 1 for Ireland.)

mickger844posts

14.7 ..... 27.1 ..... 2.8 ..... 120 ..... 100 ..... 18.1,21.2,1-1

jd

14.8.....28.2..... 3.3..... 89%..... 108%..... 22.5.....19.2..... 1-1

traecy1

14.3....25.3....3.8....110....100
Bonus: 17.8....20.5....Croatia 2-0 Ireland

MiNdGaM3

Maximum today of 20.9C in Shannon Airport, which looks unlikely to be beaten until next weekend at the earliest.
http://ogimet.com/cgi-bin/gsynext?lang=en&state=Irel&rank=100&ano=2012&mes=06&day=01&hora=18&Send=send

Tae laidir

13.6 ..... 24.3 ..... 3.0 ..... 128 ..... 96 ..... 14.9,20.5,0-2 Croatia

waterways

13.8 .... 27.0 .... 1.0 .... 180 .... 87 .... 15.3, 21.5, 0-4
(0 for Ireland - 4 for Croatia)

Lumi

14.5 ... 25.9 ... 3.1 ... 115 ... 92 ... 16.1, 19.0, 1-2 CRO

Redsunset

15.0...28.0...3.5...140...110... 14.0...17.0...3-1 Ireland win

jambofc

14.6 ... 27.9 ... 4.2 ... 115 ... 100 ... 16.6 , 18.5 , 3-2 to ireland

kindredspirit

14.9 ... 27.0 ... 3.0 ... 85 ... 120 ... 16.9, 17.7, 0-1

(Croatia to win)

nilhg

14.1 ..... 25.5 ..... 4.4 ..... 110 ..... 105 ..... 19.1,24.0,1-1

Deep Easterly

14.7...27.2...2.8...120...120... 15.8...16.2...3.2 CRO win

lostinashford

14.6 ... 28.3 ... 3.6 ... 130 ... 95 ... 15.4 ... 19.0 ... 1-1

Danno

14.3c...25.2c...1.6c...140%...100%...26.4c...21.4c...IRL2-1CRO

M.T. Cranium

Forecasts for June 2012
_________________________________

Forecaster .............. IMT ... MAX ... MIN ... PRC ... SUN ... Dub10,Poz10,foot (I-C)
______________________________________________________________

Strasser ................. 16.3 ... 31.0 ... 2.5 ... 080 ... 115 ... 21.5..22.5..1-1
dacogawa ............... 15.9 ... 30.2 ... 1.9 ... 092 ... 110 ... 19.0..16.2..1-1
homolumo ............... 15.3 ... 28.1 ... 2.1 ... 080 ... 125 ... 18.5..19.1..0-0
redsunset ............... 15.0 ... 28.0 ... 3.5 ... 140 ... 110 ... 14.0..17.0..3-1
M.T. Cranium ........... 15.0 ... 29.0 ... 3.4 ... 120 ... 100 ... 17.2..20.5..3-3
NIALL D .................. 14.9 ... 26.7 ... 2.6 ... 097 ... 110 ... 18.2..20.7..2-2
kindredspirit ............ 14.9 ... 27.0 ... 3.0 ... 085 ... 120 ... 16.9..17.7..0-1
Joe Public ............... 14.9 ... 28.9 ... 3.9 ... 089 ... 129 ... 16.9..17.9..2-1
jd .......................... 14.8 ... 28.2 ... 3.3 ... 089 ... 108 ... 22.5..19.2..1-1
mickger844posts ...... 14.7 ... 27.1 ... 2.8 ... 120 ... 100 ... 18.1..21.2..1-1
Deep Easterly .......... 14.7 ... 27.2 ... 2.8 ... 120 ... 120 ... 15.8..16.2..2-3
jambofc .................. 14.6 ... 27.9 ... 4.2 ... 115 ... 100 ... 16.6..18.5..3-2
lostinashford* .......... 14.6 ... 28.3 ... 3.6 ... 130 ... 095 ... 15.4..19.0..1-1
talkabout ................ 14.6 ... 27.6 ... 3.8 ... 085 ... 110 ... 18.9..19.1..2-1
Lumi ....................... 14.5 ... 25.9 ... 3.1 ... 115 ... 092 ... 16.1..19.0..1-2
Wild Bill ................... 14.5 ... 27.6 ... 3.7 ... 090 ... 110 ... 19.8..21.2..1-1
Harps ..................... 14.5 ... 27.5 ... 2.4 ... 100 ... 120 ... 17.1..21.0..1-1
Rickylovesuall ........... 14.5 ... 26.5 ... 3.0 ... 090 ... 110 ... 19.9..22.1..1-0
Hammer Archer ......... 14.4 ... 23.5 ... 3.8 ... 087 ... 115 ... 18.5..19.9..1-1
cherryghost ............. 14.4 ... 28.5 ... 3.1 ... 085 ... 110 ... 21.5..23.0..1-0
Danno* ................... 14.3 ... 25.2 ... 1.6 ... 140 ... 100 ... 21.4..26.4..2-1

Con Sensus .............. 14.3 ... 27.5 ... 3.0 ... 095 ... 107 ... 18.5..20.0..1-1

traecy1 .................. 14.3 ... 25.3 ... 3.8 ... 110 ... 100 ... 17.8..20.5..0-2
Iancar29 ................. 14.3 ... 29.0 ... 4.0 ... 090 ... 110 ... 22.0..19.2..2-1
H2UMrsRobinson ....... 14.2 ... 29.4 ... 3.4 ... 101 ... 099 ... 24.5..18.5..3-2
SeaFields ................ 14.2 ... 27.5 ... 2.5 ... 090 ... 140 ... 22.4..17.9..1-0
Jerry Seinfeld .......... 14.2 ... 26.0 ... 3.3 ... 100 ... 100 ... 18.0..20.0..1-1
nilhg ...................... 14.1 ... 25.5 ... 4.4 ... 110 ... 105 ... 19.1..24.0..1-1
okla ....................... 14.1 ... 25.7 ... 6.5 ... 090 ... 095 ... 18.6..19.4..1-1
MiNdGaM3 ............... 14.0 ... 24.4 ... 2.1 ... 110 ... 099 ... 15.3..21.8..2-1
Darwin .................... 14.0 ... 25.2 ... 2.7 ... 080 ... 092 ... 21.1..19.2..2-1
John mac ................ 14.0 ... 26.7 ... 2.4 ... 110 ... 115 ... 15.5..20.1..1-2
pauldry ................... 14.0 ... 23.9 ... 5.3 ... 115 ... 099 ... 17.1..22.1..1-2
K_1 ........................ 14.0 ... 23.0 ... 3.0 ... 085 ... 105 ... 17.5..16.9..2-1
200motels ................ 13.9 ... 28.0 ... 5.2 ... 090 ... 096 ... 21.8..20.9..0-0
rameire .................... 13.9 ... 27.8 ... 4.0 ... 105 ... 088 ... 22.4..21.2..1-0
waterways ............... 13.8 ... 27.0 ... 1.0 ... 180 ... 087 ... 15.3..21.5..0-4
snowstreams ............ 13.8 ... 28.5 ... 3.1 ... 095 ... 108 ... 19.4..18.5..0-0
Tae laidir ................. 13.6 ... 24.3 ... 3.0 ... 128 ... 096 ... 14.9..20.5..0-2
Sponge Bob ............. 13.6 ... 23.7 ... 2.8 ... 085 ... 098 ... 19.9..24.2..1-2
DOCARCH ................ 13.4 ... 26.6 ... 2.4 ... 105 ... 093 ... 19.6..22.3..1-1
delw ....................... 13.2 ... 25.6 ... 2.0 ... 095 ... 110 ... 17.0..19.7..1-2
dasa29 ................... 13.2 ... 29.0 ... 1.0 ... 075 ... 125 ... 22.5..19.5..2-2

___________________________________________________________

* late entries, subject to penalty if score >60

Please check that your bonus temps are in the right order for Dublin and Poznan, I will use the honour system to switch any of these before end of Tues 5th on your PM or post ... I changed one entry from the order given because I suspected from the predicted max that it was in the order Poznan-Dublin ... I did not change any other entries from the order given ... average football score prediction is actually 1.2 - 1.2

"Late-late" entries are still acceptable to 0300h Monday. Table will be edited.

Tae laidir

I trust our Football Forecasing is better than our Weather Forecasting!
Draw........ 18.... 1-1, 12... 0-0, 3.... 2-2, 2.... 3-3, 1(!!!)
Ireland win 13.... 2-1, 7.... 1-0, 4.... 3-1, 1.... 3-2, 1
Croatia win 10.... 1-2. 5.... 0-2, 2.... 0-1, 1.... 0-4, 1.... 2-3, 1

pauldry

By Saturday Rainfall predictions could be at the "mercy" of MT