April 2012 Boards forecast contest

M.T. Cranium

1. Predict the IMT, an average of five selected stations, which has averaged 8.5 C for the 30-yr period just ended in 2010.

2. Predict the highest daily maximum at any reporting (met.ie) station.

3. Predict the lowest daily minimum at any reporting (met.ie) station.

4. Predict the monthly precip as a percentage of normal (for 11 reporting stations in met.ie Monthly Summary)

5. Predict the monthly sunshine as a percentage of normal (for 6 reporting stations in met.ie Monthly Summary)

6. Bonus -- Predict the max temperature at Dublin (A) for Easter Sunday (8 April)

TEMPLATE

IMT ..... MAX ..... MIN .... PRC ..... SUN ..... MAX-8Dub

---

Deadlines for entry ... you have until the end of the day on Sunday 1st of April, to enter without penalty. The actual deadline is set at 0300h on Monday 2nd. Then until 0300h Tuesday 3rd, the penalty applies to scores over 60, max for bonus 8/10, while on Tuesday 3rd last-minute entries are accepted with penalty for scores over 50, also max for bonus set at 5/10.

pauldry

hmmmm April

8.9 .....21.8 ..... -2c .... 96 ..... 110..... 14

cherryghost

9.8 .....24.5 ..... 2 .... 80 ..... 105..... 13

Wild Bill

9.5....21.7....-2.7....90....110....14.5

NIALL D

8.8..... 23.2..... -3.1..... 91..... 117..... 12.6

200motels

9.0... 23.6....-3.5...89.....116....8.9

talkabout

9.4 .....21.5 ..... 1.2 .... 85 ..... 90..... 15.3

rameire

8.3 ..... 19.2 ..... -2.9 ..... 98 ..... 110 ..... 8.4

K_1

9.9 ..... 20.5 ..... -2.0 .... 80 ..... 100 ..... 13

Speak Now

7.9 ..... 19.2 ..... -4.5 .... 100 ..... 95 ..... 8.2

mickger844posts

9.4 ..... 22.1 ..... -2.6 .... 74 ..... 89 ..... 10.6

Gonzo

8.8 .....22.7c ..... -3.6c .... 87 ..... 116..... 10.5

delw

9.2......21.5......-2.....85.....90......12

Hammer Archer

8.1 .....20.4 ..... -2.1 .... 82 ..... 95..... 9.6

H2UMrsRobinson

IMT 8.2..... MAX ..21.5... MIN ..-3.4.. PRC ..95... SUN ..85... MAX-8Dub 11.7

Harps

8.3 ..... 20.8 ..... -3.6 ..... 085 ..... 110 ..... 8.9

dasa29

8.5 ..... 20.5 ..... -3.5 .... 100 ..... 120 ..... 7.5

Deep Easterly

8.5 ..... 20.1 ..... -2.9 .... 80 ..... 110 ..... 10.1

M.T. Cranium

7.2 ..... 19.3 ..... -4.4 ..... 100 ..... 088 ..... 10.4

nilhg

8.5 ..... 18.2 ..... -3.2 .... 99 ..... 105 ..... 14.5

Rikand

10.0 ........ 22.0 ......... 0.0 ......... 90 ......... 110 .......... 10.0

DOCARCH

8.3 ..... 20.8..... -2.1 .... 95 ..... 105..... 10.6

Strasser

8.3,19.5,-4.1,75,114,8.7

homolumo

7.5.....19.2.....-3.2.....96.....106.....11.0

jambofc

7.8 ..... 19.8..... -3.9 .... 110 ..... 100..... 10.8

Joe Public

7.9 ..... 17.9 ..... -4.9 .... 109 ..... 89 ..... 12.9

MiNdGaM3

7.7 ..... 18.8 ..... -5.1 ..... 89 ..... 112 ..... 13.0

jd

8.6....21.8....-2.9....91....105....12.3

snowstreams

7.8 ..... 20.8 ..... -4.1 .... 90 ..... 105 ..... 9.2

okla

8.1....20.8....~2.7....86%....110%....10.2

traecy1

8.2....20.1....-1.5....80....100....12.6

dacogawa

8.7 ..... 22.1 ..... -2.7 ..... 80 ..... 110 ..... 13.1

SeaFields

8.5....22.8....-3.0...80...100...11.9

kindredspirit

9.5 ... 21.0 ... -1.8 ... 85 ... 105 ... 12.5

Steopo

9.4....19.8....-3.5....75....75....15.1

waterways

7.8 ..... 20.9 ..... -4.4 ..... 94 ..... 79 ..... 12.9

lostinashford

7.9c...21.9c...-2.5c...76... 92...19.5c

John mac

8.4.....22..... -3.1 .... 105.....97 ..... 11.7

almost forgot about it this month :eek:

Lumi

8.2 ..... 20.8 ..... -3.0 .... 85 ..... 100 ..... 10.0

Tae laidir

8.2 ..... 18.1 ..... -2.1 .... 111..... 81..... 12.8

Sponge Bob

8.5...19.1...-2.5...87...105...14.4

M.T. Cranium

We are now into the slight penalty portion of the contest (see first post as it will affect the bonus score directly). I hope to have a table of entries on Tuesday.

Rebelbrowser

8.8...23.1...-2.9...77...119...13.9

Redsunset

6.0...15.0...-6.5...110...135...13.0

Danno

8.8 ..... 17.7 ..... -4.7 .... 90 ..... 130 ..... 13.6

M.T. Cranium

We are now into "late late" time, basically, some heavies from the forum visit your house and there's big trouble. Be afraid. Be very afraid.

M.T. Cranium

Table of entries -- April 2012 contest
___________________________________________

FORECASTER ...... IMT .... MAX .... MIN .... PRC .... SUN .... Dub-8th
____________________________________________________________

Rickylovesuall ...... 10.0 ..... 22.0 ...... 0.0 ..... 090 ..... 110 ..... 10.0
K_1 ..................... 9.9 ..... 20.5 ..... -2.0 ..... 080 ..... 100 ..... 13.0
cherryghost .......... 9.8 ..... 24.5 ..... +2.0 ..... 080 ..... 105 ..... 13.0
Wild Bill ................ 9.5 ..... 21.7 ..... -2.7 ..... 090 ..... 110 ..... 14.5
kindredspirit .......... 9.5 ..... 21.0 ..... -1.8 ..... 085 ..... 105 ..... 12.5
talkabout ............. 9.4 ..... 21.5 ..... +1.2 ..... 085 ..... 090 ..... 15.3
mickger844posts .... 9.4 ..... 22.1 ..... -2.6 ..... 074 ..... 089 ..... 10.6
Steopo ................. 9.4 ..... 19.8 ..... -3.5 ..... 075 ..... 075 ..... 15.1
delw .................... 9.2 ..... 21.5 ..... -2.0 ..... 085 ..... 090 ..... 12.0
200motels ............ 9.0 ..... 23.6 ..... -3.5 ..... 089 ..... 116 ...... 8.9
Pauldry ................ 8.9 ..... 21.8 ..... -2.0 ..... 096 ..... 110 ..... 14.0
NIALL D ................ 8.8 ..... 23.2 ..... -3.1 ..... 091 ..... 117 ..... 12.6
Gonzo .................. 8.8 ..... 22.7 ..... -3.6 ..... 087 ..... 116 ..... 10.5
Danno* ................ 8.8 ..... 17.7 ..... -4.7 ..... 090 ..... 130 ..... 13.6
Rebelbrowser* ...... 8.8 ..... 23.1 ..... -2.9 ..... 077 ..... 119 ..... 13.9
dacogawa ............ 8.7 ..... 22.1 ..... -2.7 ..... 080 ..... 110 ..... 13.1
jd ....................... 8.6 ..... 21.8 ..... -2.9 ..... 091 ..... 105 ..... 12.3
dasa29 ................ 8.5 ..... 20.5 ..... -3.5 ..... 100 ..... 120 ...... 7.5
Deep Easterly ....... 8.5 ..... 20.1 ..... -2.9 ..... 080 ..... 110 ..... 10.1
nilhg .................... 8.5 ..... 18.2 ..... -3.2 ..... 099 ..... 105 ..... 14.5
SeaFields ............. 8.5 ..... 22.8 ..... -3.0 ..... 080 ..... 100 ..... 11.9
Sponge Bob .......... 8.5 ..... 19.1 ..... -2.5 ..... 087 ..... 105 ..... 14.4

Con Sensus .......... 8.5 ..... 20.8 ..... -3.0 ..... 089 ..... 105 ..... 12.0

John mac ............. 8.4 ..... 22.0 ..... -3.1 ..... 105 ..... 097 ..... 11.7
DOCARCH ............. 8.3 ..... 20.8 ..... -2.1 ..... 095 ..... 105 ..... 10.6
harps .................. 8.3 ..... 20.8 ..... -3.6 ..... 085 ..... 110 ...... 8.9
rameire ................ 8.3 ..... 19.2 ..... -2.9 ..... 098 ..... 110 ...... 8.4
Strasser ............... 8.3 ..... 19.5 ..... -4.1 ..... 075 ..... 114 ...... 8.7
H2UMrsRobinson .... 8.2 ..... 21.5 ..... -3.4 ..... 095 ..... 085 ..... 11.7
Tae laidir .............. 8.2 ..... 18.1 ..... -2.1 ..... 111 ..... 081 ..... 12.8
Lumi .................... 8.2 ..... 20.8 ..... -3.0 ..... 085 ..... 100 ..... 10.0
traecy1 ................ 8.2 ..... 20.1 ..... -1.5 ..... 080 ..... 100 ..... 12.6
Hammer Archer ...... 8.1 ..... 20.4 ..... -2.1 ..... 082 ..... 095 ...... 9.6
okla ..................... 8.1 ..... 20.8 ..... -2.7 ..... 086 ..... 110 ..... 10.2
Jerry Seinfeld ........ 7.9 ..... 19.2 ..... -4.5 ..... 100 ..... 095 ...... 8.2
Joe Public ............. 7.9 ..... 17.9 ..... -4.9 ..... 109 ..... 089 ..... 12.9
lostinashford ......... 7.9 ..... 21.9 ..... -2.5 ..... 076 ..... 092 ..... 19.5
waterways ........... 7.8 ..... 20.9 ..... -4.4 ..... 094 ..... 079 ..... 12.9
jambofc ............... 7.8 ..... 19.8 ..... -3.9 ..... 110 ..... 100 ..... 10.8
snowstreams ........ 7.8 ..... 20.8 ..... -4.1 ..... 090 ..... 105 ...... 9.2
MiNdGaM3 ............ 7.7 ..... 18.8 ..... -5.1 ..... 089 ..... 112 ..... 13.0
homolumo ............. 7.5 ..... 19.2 ..... -3.2 ..... 096 ..... 106 ..... 11.0
M.T. Cranium ........ 7.2 ..... 19.3 ..... -4.4 ..... 100 ..... 088 ..... 10.4
redsunset ............. 6.0 ..... 15.0 ..... -6.5 ..... 110 ..... 135 ..... 13.0
______________________________________________

* late entries, subject to penalty (-2 on bonus, 10% off >60)

Consensus speaks of a rather warm April with dry, sunny weather ... some might call that March.

Sponge Bob

Min so far is -1.6c Gurteen 01 Apr, if tonight does not deliver a lower value somewhere that may yet win the month.

Speak Now

Sponge Bob wrote: »

Min so far is -1.6c Gurteen 01 Apr, if tonight does not deliver a lower value somewhere that may yet win the month.

Gurteen hit -2.7 today i think.

Iancar29

WOOPS! .... I always think the top thread is the current conditions thread so i rarely look there! , anyways... unload the point deductions on me... ILL STILL BEAT YAs ALL!! :P

7.4..... 23.2 ..... -2.5 ..... 80 ..... 135 ..... 11.0

K_1

Iancar29 wrote: »

WOOPS! .... I always think the top thread is the current conditions thread so i rarely look there! , anyways... unload the point deductions on me... ILL STILL BEAT YAs ALL!! :P

7.4..... 23.2 ..... -2.5 ..... 80 ..... 135 ..... 11.0

Serious point deductions given that the minimum has probably been hit already!