March 2012 Boards forecast contest

M.T. Cranium

1. Predict the IMT, an average of five selected stations, which has averaged 6.9 C for the 30-yr period just ended in 2010.

2. Predict the highest daily maximum at any reporting (met.ie) station.

3. Predict the lowest daily minimum at any reporting (met.ie) station.

4. Predict the monthly precip as a percentage of normal (for 11 reporting stations in met.ie Monthly Summary)

5. Predict the monthly sunshine as a percentage of normal (for 6 reporting stations in met.ie Monthly Summary)

6. Bonus -- Predict the sunshine hours for Shannon on the 17th (0.0 to 11.5h to nearest 0.1h).

TEMPLATE

IMT ..... MAX ..... MIN .... PRC ..... SUN ..... sun-17

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Deadlines for entry ... you have until the end of the day on Thurs 1st of March, to enter without penalty. The actual deadline is set at 0300h on Friday 2nd. Then until 0300h Saturday 3rd, the penalty applies to scores over 60, while on Saturday 3rd last-minute entries are accepted with penalty for scores over 50.

Wild Bill

IMT - 7.1C

Highest daily max - 18.5C

Lowest daily min - minus 6.1C

4. Predict the monthly precip as a percentage of normal: 90%

5. Predict the monthly sunshine as a percentage of normal: 90%

6. Bonus - 6 hours

Gonzo

IMT - 7.3C

Highest daily max - 20.2C

Lowest daily min - minus 2.3C

4. Predict the monthly precip as a percentage of normal: 116%

5. Predict the monthly sunshine as a percentage of normal: 83%

6. Bonus - 2.4 hours

pauldry

8.1 ..... 18.2 ..... -3 ....106 ..... 94 .....4.9

Redsunset

3.0...15.5...-12.5....90...150....10.5

cherryghost

MT - 6.2

Highest daily max - 17

Lowest daily min - -4.5

4. Predict the monthly precip as a percentage of normal: 110%

5. Predict the monthly sunshine as a percentage of normal: 95%

6. Bonus - 2 hours

snowstreams

IMT 6.3 MAX 17.9 MIN -3.2 PRC 95% SUN 105% 4hrs

okla

IMT 6.4 MAX 18.1 MIN -4.2 PRC 90% SUN 110% 3.5hrs

Hammer Archer

6.5 ..... 17.9..... -1.4.... 85..... 89..... 4.3

Rikand

IMT 7.9 ..... MAX 16.5 ..... MIN -4.0 .... PRC 91 ..... SUN 110 ..... sun-17 10 hours

Deep Easterly

M.T. Cranium wrote: »

TEMPLATE

IMT ..... MAX ..... MIN .... PRC ..... SUN ..... sun-17

6.3 ..... 16.7 ..... -3.1 .... 140 ..... 110 ..... 0.9

Harps

6.4 ..... 17.0 ..... -4.2 .... 095 ..... 110 ..... 2.0

Strasser

7.4 ..... 17.8 ..... -2.1 ....92 ..... 102 .....3.2

H2UMrsRobinson

IMT ..6.8... MAX ..16.9... MIN ..-2.4.. PRC ..89%... SUN ..79%... sun-17...4.5

delw

IMT 6.5 .... MAX 16.4.... MIN -4... PRC 92.... SUN 89.... sun-17 5.5

SeaFields

7.5..... 20.5 ..... -2.0 .... 130 ..... 80 ..... 4.5

Hammer Archer

Presume there's no penalty for editing your prediction before the deadline.

M.T. Cranium

No penalty, edit as you wish ... I harvest the forecasts after the deadline so I won't miss any edits in posts, later posts of course count and earlier posts are deleted from table (unless I blow it).

Here's my feeble effort ...

7.1 ..... 16.0 ..... -7.2 ..... 100 ..... 105 ..... 1.9

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(the Mayan factor)

Hammer Archer

Cheers MT. Can't edit my original post so I'll throw up a new one if that's OK. Gonna go for a wetter March than I originally thought.

6.5 ..... 17.9..... -3.4.... 105..... 89..... 4.3

Wild Bill

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Y'know, this is exactly what I was going to say....

But I had this factored into my original projections, so I'm sticking.

Steopo

6.6 ..... 16.8 ..... -2.8....87 ..... 108 .....3.5

K_1

7.5 ..... 20.0 ..... -2.0 .... 80 ..... 90 ..... 3.5

Tae laidir

7.0 ..... 16.9 ..... -3.2 .... 90 ..... 90 ..... 1.2

Joe Public

4.9 ..... 15.9 ..... -4.9 ..... 129 ..... 89 ..... 1.9

Not looking great for March in the crystal ball.
The Mayans can't fathom the weather, they are humans after all.

200motels

6.3 ..... 18.4..... -3.9.... 129..... 92..... 5.9

John mac

7.1.....17.4 .....-4.3 ....105 .....103.....3.2

alfa beta

7.2... 17.2... -1.9...105.... 93... 6.8

mickger844posts

6.0 ..... 17.7 ..... -3.2 .... 085 ..... 120 ..... 3

rameire

7.3 ..... 18.1 ..... -2.6 ..... 74 ..... 81 ..... 4.1

Sponge Bob

8.2 ..... 16.9..... -3.1.... 88 ..... 105 ..... 4.9

lostinashford

6.4 ..... 18.5 ..... -1.7 ..... 96 ..... 93 ..... 5.7

DOCARCH

6.1 ..... 17.2 .....-3.2 .... 88 ..... 95 ..... 3.2

dacogawa

6.4 ..... 17.5 .....-4 ..... 96 ..... 111 ..... 4.5

talkabout

6.3 ..... 18.3 .....-4.8 ..... 92 ..... 107 ..... 6.5

dasa29

IMT 5.0 ..... MAX 16.5 ..... MIN -3.0 .... PRC 110 ..... SUN 95 ..... sun-17 8hours

jd

7.1 ..... 18.1 ..... -2 .... 95 ..... 95 .....4.3

Speak Now

7.6 ..... 19.0 ..... -3.9 ..... 70 ..... 95 ..... 3.9

Iancar29

5.6...18.5...-5.5....90...110....7.5

kindredspirit

7.9 ... 16.9 ... -3.0 ... 95 ... 95 ... 1.5

M.T. Cranium

UPDATES ...

February has been scored, check that thread for the numbers.

Now doing a leisurely scoring of the Winter Forecast contest, check that thread for the final values (except for two that are pending until 15 April).

May have a provisional final scoring for the winter forecast late tonight so check on Friday.

Meanwhile, enter this month without penalty until 0300h.

Lumi

7.1 ..... 16.9 ..... -3.4 .... 92 ..... 100 ..... 5.7

waterways

8.5 ..... 18 ..... -2.7 .... 130 ..... 102 ..... 2.5

jambofc

7.1 ..... 17.1 ..... -3.9 .... 125 ..... 110 ..... 1.0

traecy1

6.5....17.5....-2.8....120....105....3.3 hours

nilhg

7.1 ..... 17.4 ..... -3.1 .... 115 ..... 105 ..... 4.3

NIALL D

6.9..... 15.9..... -3.4..... 109..... 100..... 3.9

MiNdGaM3

7.0..... 16.9..... -3.0..... 100..... 90..... 2.5

homolumo

6.8..... 17.9..... -3.3..... 103..... 97..... 5.5

Rebelbrowser

7.1..... 16.9..... -2.5..... 111..... 94..... 2

M.T. Cranium

Table of entries for March, 2012
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Forecaster ............. IMT ..... MAX ..... MIN ..... PRC ..... SUN ..... sun-17
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waterways ............... 8.5 ..... 18.0 ..... -2.7 ..... 130 ..... 102 ..... 2.5
Sponge Bob .............. 8.2 ..... 16.9 ..... -3.1 ..... 088 ..... 105 ..... 4.9
pauldry .................... 8.1 ..... 18.2 ..... -3.0 ..... 106 ..... 094 ..... 4.9
kindredspirit .............. 7.9 ..... 16.9 ..... -3.0 ..... 095 ..... 095 ..... 1.5
Rickylovesuall ............ 7.9 ..... 16.5 ..... -4.0 ..... 091 ..... 110 .... 10.0
Jerry Seinfeld ............ 7.6 ..... 19.0 ..... -3.9 ..... 070 ..... 095 ..... 3.9
SeaFields ................. 7.5 ..... 20.5 ..... -2.0 ..... 130 ..... 080 ..... 4.5
K_1 ......................... 7.5 ..... 20.0 ..... -2.0 ..... 080 ..... 090 ..... 3.5
Strasser ................... 7.4 ..... 17.8 ..... -2.1 ..... 092 ..... 102 ..... 3.2
Gonzo ...................... 7.3 ..... 20.2 ..... -2.3 ..... 116 ..... 083 ..... 2.4
rameire .................... 7.3 ..... 18.1 ..... -2.6 ..... 074 ..... 081 ..... 4.1
alfa beta .................. 7.2 ..... 17.2 ..... -1.9 ..... 105 ..... 093 ..... 6.8
Wild Bill .................... 7.1 ..... 18.5 ..... -6.1 ..... 090 ..... 090 ..... 6.0
jd ........................... 7.1 ..... 18.1 ..... -2.0 ..... 095 ..... 095 ..... 4.3
nilhg ....................... 7.1 ..... 17.4 ..... -3.1 ..... 115 ..... 105 ..... 4.3
Rebelbrowser* .......... 7.1 ..... 16.9 ..... -2.5 ..... 111 ..... 094 ..... 2.0
jambofc ................... 7.1 ..... 17.1 ..... -3.9 ..... 125 ..... 110 ..... 1.0
Lumi ........................ 7.1 ..... 16.9 ..... -3.4 ..... 092 ..... 100 ..... 5.7
M.T. Cranium ............ 7.1 ..... 16.0 ..... -7.2 ..... 100 ..... 105 ..... 1.9
John mac ................. 7.1 ..... 17.4 ..... -4.3 ..... 105 ..... 103 ..... 3.2
MiNdGaM3* .............. 7.0 ..... 16.9 ..... -3.0 ..... 100 ..... 090 ..... 2.5
Tae laidir ................. 7.0 ..... 16.9 ..... -3.2 ..... 090 ..... 090 ..... 1.2

Con Sensus ............. 7.0 ..... 17.1 ..... -3.2 ..... 095 ..... 096 ..... 4.0

NIALL D ................... 6.9 ..... 15.9 ..... -3.4 ..... 109 ..... 100 ..... 3.9
homolumo* .............. 6.8 ..... 17.9 ..... -3.3 ..... 103 ..... 097 ..... 5.5
H2UMrsRobinson ........ 6.8 ..... 16.9 ..... -2.4 ..... 089 ..... 079 ..... 4.5
Steopo .................... 6.6 ..... 16.8 ..... -2.8 ..... 087 ..... 108 ..... 3.5
delw ....................... 6.5 ..... 16.4 ..... -4.0 ..... 092 ..... 089 ..... 5.5
traecy1 ................... 6.5 ..... 17.5 ..... -2.8 ..... 120 ..... 105 ..... 3.3
Hammer Archer ......... 6.5 ..... 17.9 ..... -3.4 ..... 104 ..... 089 ..... 4.3
okla ........................ 6.4 ..... 18.1 ..... -4.2 ..... 090 ..... 110 ..... 3.5
Harps ...................... 6.4 ..... 17.0 ..... -4.2 ..... 095 ..... 110 ..... 2.0
lostinashford ............ 6.4 ..... 18.5 ..... -1.7 ..... 096 ..... 093 ..... 5.7
dacogawa ............... 6.4 ..... 17.5 ..... -4.0 ..... 096 ..... 111 ..... 4.5
snowstreams ............ 6.3 ..... 17.9 ..... -3.2 ..... 095 ..... 105 ..... 4.0
Deep Easterly ........... 6.3 ..... 16.7 ..... -3.1 ..... 140 ..... 110 ..... 0.9
200motels ................ 6.3 ..... 18.4 ..... -3.9 ..... 129 ..... 092 ..... 5.9
talkabout ................. 6.3 ..... 18.3 ..... -4.8 ..... 092 ..... 107 ..... 6.5
cherryghost .............. 6.2 ..... 17.0 ..... -4.5 ..... 110 ..... 095 ..... 2.0
DOCARCH ................. 6.1 ..... 17.2 ..... -3.2 ..... 088 ..... 095 ..... 3.2
mickger844posts ........ 6.0 ..... 17.7 ..... -3.2 ..... 085 ..... 120 ..... 3.0
Iancar29 .................. 5.6 ..... 18.5 ..... -5.5 ..... 090 ..... 110 ..... 7.5
dasa29 .................... 5.0 ..... 16.5 ..... -3.0 ..... 110 ..... 095 ..... 8.0
Joe Public ................ 4.9 ..... 15.9 ..... -4.9 ..... 129 ..... 089 ..... 1.9
redsunset ................ 3.0 ..... 15.5 .... -12.5 ..... 090 ..... 150 .... 10.5
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* late entries subject to penalty if score >60

Sorry, but entries are now closed, a reminder to those who may have missed out for March, annual contest is best ten out of twelve so you're still eligible for the main contest.

cherryghost

A lot of high IMT's predicted for the month! Hope I'm not wrong, I forsee daytime temps for most of the month to struggle about 10-12 degrees :P