Stormy Next Week ??

Storm 10

Listened to the forecast this morning on radio and they said that it could become stormy from next Wednesday, anyone have any charts for next week.

nacho libre

yes. storm chase 2 could be on next week.
it looks like the atlantic will be roaring back into life with a series of deep depressions coming close to us . normally the atlantic weakens at this time of year.

jprboy

MT seems to think there's a possibility of a windy spell next week. Below is taken from his daily forecast.

M.T. Cranium wrote: »

Friday, 28 January, 2011
___________________________

OUTLOOK ... Models are now trending towards a windy period later in the week, possibly reaching 50 mph or higher at times, with some further showery intervals as well.

snowstreams

Whats the chances of these depressions bringing in some mountain snow, say above 600m?
I love going up in the drifts that a good storm can bring to the mountains.

nacho libre

snowstreams wrote: »

Whats the chances of these depressions bringing in some mountain snow, say above 600m?
I love going up in the drifts that a good storm can bring to the mountains.

a good chance. as at times the airflow will be from the north west bringing in colder air from the north atlantic

Iancar29

nacho libre wrote: »

yes. storm chase 2 could be on next week.
it looks like the atlantic will be roaring back into life with a series of deep depressions coming close to us . normally the atlantic weakens at this time of year.

Somebody mention a STORM CHASE?! ...

Deep Easterly

Nothing to wet the appetite on the latest ECMWF at least. No real signal of any diffluent troughing developing in the medium term but who knows, maybe in the next few runs.

ECMWF chart at 144hrs:



Area circled is an area that may need watching for potential storm development but that is just clutching at straws at this stage.

Elmer Blooker

I think we all know by now that we're not going to see a repeat of the December freeze but I never thought I'd be happy to hear Gerry Murphy say
"unsettled" "milder" next week! At this stage I'm just want that high to disappear and see some weather.

jimmynokia

looks similar to the direction hurricane charlie came in 1987 but its a long shot

mike65

Spare us! Hurricane Charlie wsn't even a hurrican or anything close by the time it hit us. Next Wednesday will be a bit blowy with high gusts on exposed coasts.

fizzycyst

mike65 wrote: »

Spare us! Hurricane Charlie wsn't even a hurrican or anything close by the time it hit us. Next Wednesday will be a bit blowy with high gusts on exposed coasts.

hahaha:D, mike I love your posts always:p

derekon

Hi Folks,

Am I missing something? I understand it is due to turn windy and milder from Tuesday onwards. However, if you look at the GFS for next Thursday then Ireland looks pretty cold with the cold on the East Coast of the United States appearing to link up with the cold in Eastern Europe. Snow anyone?

derekon

Also if you look at the attached from the Icelandic Bureau of Meteorology (I think it is based on the ECM), you can see Ireland in very cold air with upper 850hPA temps of -10oc next Friday 4th February 2011

Surely this would bring snow ? Can one of the experts shed a light on this?

irish1967

Lol. It took less than 3 hrs for the storm thread to morph into another snow thread. I love it

GSF

derekon wrote: »

However, if you look at the GFS for next Thursday then Ireland looks pretty cold with the cold on the East Coast of the United States appearing to link up with the cold in Eastern Europe.

It doesnt look to be very cold in Eastern Europe at the moment.

Su Campu

That ECM chart doesn't show -10 uppers, only around -6 to -7°C. The -10°C isotherm is the start of the 2nd shade of blue (north and southwest of Iceland).

There are still issues to be resolved with the setup upstream. The polar vortex moves into northeastern Canada as a rex block sets up in the western US. I think it'll be more like the end of the week and next weekend before we see any decent winds, as the jet strengthens coming off the american continent the second half of the week, setting the scene for a more southerly storm track.

derekon

Su Campu wrote: »

That ECM chart doesn't show -10 uppers, only around -6 to -7°C. The -10°C isotherm is the start of the 2nd shade of blue (north and southwest of Iceland).

There are still issues to be resolved with the setup upstream. The polar vortex moves into northeastern Canada as a rex block sets up in the western US. I think it'll be more like the end of the week and next weekend before we see any decent winds, as the jet strengthens coming off the american continent the second half of the week, setting the scene for a more southerly storm track.

Thanks for the clarification Su Campu ; however the shades of blue and their corresponding upper temps are not very clear hence the confusion. However I get what you mean about the darker blues to the southwest of Iceland and how they relate to -10 uppers.

Deep Easterly

derekon wrote: »

Thanks for the clarification Su Campu ; however the shades of blue and their corresponding upper temps are not very clear hence the confusion. However I get what you mean about the darker blues to the southwest of Iceland and how they relate to -10 uppers.

The Meteogroup/ ECMWF charts use a slightly higher resolution (increments of 1.0c as oppossed to 5.0c) regarding 850 temps which you may or may not find useful.

North Atlantic Chart:

thetonynator

-6 uppers over all of ireland for wednesday . . .

derekon

Deep Easterly wrote: »

The Meteogroup/ ECMWF charts use a slightly higher resolution (increments of 1.0c as oppossed to 5.0c) regarding 850 temps which you may or may not find useful.

North Atlantic Chart:

Hi, thanks for that . The shading is definitely better!

Deep Easterly

Tonight's ECMWF has a strong and blustery SW wind ahead of a cold front this coming Thursday and into Friday:




Potential for coastal gales with strong winds overland but too far out to be certain yet.



Image source YR.NO

ednwireland

whats the average rainfall for jan ? wheres best place to find out
also historical data just wondering how my rain guage compares its got 118mm this moth so far

mike65

www.met.ie have rainfall records for recent years month by month

MiNdGaM3

Certainly looking quite windy for the end of this week, though nothing particularly "stormy"
Friday evening probably the worst with winds of over 70km/h around the west and northwest coasts.
Wind fri.png

Chicken1

Thanks storm 10 for the early warning post :rolleyes::rolleyes::rolleyes: