Advertisement
If you have a new account but are having problems posting or verifying your account, please email us on hello@boards.ie for help. Thanks :)
Hello all! Please ensure that you are posting a new thread or question in the appropriate forum. The Feedback forum is overwhelmed with questions that are having to be moved elsewhere. If you need help to verify your account contact hello@boards.ie
Hi there,
There is an issue with role permissions that is being worked on at the moment.
If you are having trouble with access or permissions on regional forums please post here to get access: https://www.boards.ie/discussion/2058365403/you-do-not-have-permission-for-that#latest
There is an issue with role permissions that is being worked on at the moment.
If you are having trouble with access or permissions on regional forums please post here to get access: https://www.boards.ie/discussion/2058365403/you-do-not-have-permission-for-that#latest
Turning much colder - Snow showers in the East
-
24-01-2011 4:55am#1
Comments
-
-
-
-
-
-
Advertisement
-
-
-
-
-
-
Advertisement
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Advertisement
-
-
-
Oh no, lesson has been learned from early december lol!(confidence in 4x4 still damaged:o)
Lugnaquilla looks better for a dusting this weekend, thats it lug it is!:D
ANNOUNCEMENT: Snow hunting this weekend on lugnaquilla, bring your freezer bags!
OH Wait forget it, its unlikely that even there will see snow...sigh
ANNOUNCEMENT: Snow hunting this weekend on lugnaquilla, bring your freezer bags!
...... gladly , its the reason i booked the week from sunday onwards off ! ha
0 -
-
-
-
-
-
-
Advertisement
-
Theres actually a small patch of snow left on the top of Lugnaquilla.ANNOUNCEMENT: Snow hunting this weekend on lugnaquilla, bring your freezer bags!
...... gladly , its the reason i booked the week from sunday onwards off ! ha
The uk forecasts on bbc24 have been following their ukmo model today and yesterday but they're not too excited.
One thing I will say is,theres not a lot of surface cold to tap into over Europe at the moment for an easterly or in a northeasterly either.
So air from there will not have a cold last 1000ft to the surface, so that means any snow that forms up at the 850mb level will melt easily,especially over the irish sea before it gets to sea level.
Copenhagen -max around zero
Berlin max around zero
stockholm around zero
Oslo around -1c to -4c for the week
Northern Britain[newcastle],the immediate source +6c down to +4c by next weekend.
That kind of surface air advecting over us does not a snow storm make.
Dewpoints in those cities are also mirroring the air temps so no help there as the moisture over the north and irish sea will kill that aspect of the thing.
In short I'm not terribly excited.You'd need a week of advection to pull in the cold from where it has been allowed to retreat to over the last month and thats way up to the north east and way to the east of poland.
On the positive side though,this high still could decide to sit long enough in an orientation that could deliver that but it won't be this week if at all,I think anyway.0 -
Found this the other day:I always hav my trusty bins on my window ledge for any odd sight of white that i see on the mountains ha!
http://www.ihpa.ie/index.php/weather-all-in-one/246
Scroll down and there is a webcam, fantastic for snow watch.0 -
-
This is for the period Wednesday - Saturday. Increasingly cold East wind might bring harsher frost inland and snow showers to East coasts. ATM snow should not be significant and intially will be confiined to high ground. Risk of Ice developing. Very low inland night and day temperatures should be expected. This flow of air might be unstable at times leading to heavy hail and snow in the East. Quite severe minima temperatures are likely at night inland.
Heavy hail and snow? Not on your life, I don't know where you're getting that from. Maybe some light showers in the far southeast, but away from there mid-upper ridging will cap convection and the most we can expect is Sc sheets with some cumulus over the sea. No precipitation north of the Wexford-Wicklow border, and even south of that will be sparse.
Dublin Airport forecast soundings for Thursday and Friday, showing strong capping and no chance of precipitation.
Thursday
Friday
0 -
-
This is for the period Wednesday - Saturday. Increasingly cold East wind might bring harsher frost inland and snow showers to East coasts. ATM snow should not be significant and intially will be confiined to high ground. Risk of Ice developing. Very low inland night and day temperatures should be expected. This flow of air might be unstable at times leading to heavy hail and snow in the East. Quite severe minima temperatures are likely at night inland.
Good to see you are back to your old self Darkman2!0 -
Advertisement
-
-
I think the weather for the next 2 weeks will be quiet and dry.. actually no real weather to speak of .. sorry
I agree. Unless there is some change in the models by this weekend, we could be heading into a bland, non descript February (usually the best month for snow in Ireland). We might be thanking God for all the heavy snow in November and December!0 -
-
Deleted User wrote: »Theres actually a small patch of snow left on the top of Lugnaquilla.
I was wondering about Lugnaquilla, the days have not been clear enough to see them from here and I could see snow there before.thetonynator wrote: »I got so excited with the thread title. . . .but alas it was not to be. ah well, snow streamers or showers have only made it from the irish sea to here once in the last 10 years or so, and that was in early december. I'll wait in hope!
Wow, the north of the county seems to always get hit when there is snow showers coming off the Irish sea.0 -
-
Advertisement
-
-
-
-
Fizzycyst-theres a line to be drawn too at where you mention the possibility of snow.
Beyond that line to a further line you get beyond and you reach the point where you mention the possibility of disruption from snow which is what you want to be warned about.
We're extremely unlikely to reach the first line,never mind the 2nd line.
There is actually a third line though,that comes before those first two and thats the hopecast line where snow is mentioned even though the probability is below 10% ie possible but highly unlikely.
Thats the line we often reach on this and the two big uk fora.
You could more accurately describe that as the hopecast-cold enthusiasts line.
There is a demand in forums like this one and others for threads that search for interesting winter[and summer later] weather.
Mt's forecast thread while very good and very accurate a lot of the time does play an element somewhat to that audience.
You can see this in his many references to his opinion that milder or bland interludes may be short lived and pointing out possible scenarios where the cold may return.
He's right to do that for that audience,they form the majority on weather boards but bear in mind why it's being done.
It's not as fashionable or wanted by those who frequent weather boards to have our dull normal rainy weather over extremes.
Thats entirely different to sticking to providing an immediate forecast which is what the met agencies endeavour to do.
Those parts of his forecasts though from what I can see are either based on his research models [which I'm not familiar with] but which to be fair have proved reasonably broadly accurate this year from what I've seen of them[I can't comment on any other year because I haven't been following] or they're based on possible outcomes and blends and opinions on nwp's.
With the latter,you'll see him do what you see all the time in the two uk fora and thats people saying we need this to go here and that to go there and then we get such and such.
Thats actually done well by Mt in my opinion as he usually adds probabilities,it's also done in an explanatory/informational way. [I happen to disagree with the likelyhood of snow on his latest forecasts for the reasons stated earlier but then if everybody agreed,nobody would be thinking and thats life,I think he's being over optimistic regarding a brief snow window in the coming days but then I can be and am often wrong]
Hi Mt by the way and sorry to be talking about you while you are asleep but you know what I mean. 0 -
-
-
-
Deleted User wrote: »Fizzycyst-theres a line to be drawn too at where you mention the possibility of snow.
Beyond that line to a further line you get beyond and you reach the point where you mention the possibility of disruption from snow which is what you want to be warned about.
We're extremely unlikely to reach the first line,never mind the 2nd line.
There is actually a third line though,that comes before those first two and thats the hopecast line where snow is mentioned even though the probability is below 10% ie possible but highly unlikely.
Thats the line we often reach on this and the two big uk fora.
You could more accurately describe that as the hopecast-cold enthusiasts line.
There is a demand in forums like this one and others for threads that search for interesting winter[and summer later] weather.
Mt's forecast thread while very good and very accurate a lot of the time does play an element somewhat to that audience.
You can see this in his many references to his opinion that milder or bland interludes may be short lived and pointing out possible scenarios where the cold may return.
He's right to do that for that audience,they form the majority on weather boards but bear in mind why it's being done.
It's not as fashionable or wanted by those who frequent weather boards to have our dull normal rainy weather over extremes.
Thats entirely different to sticking to providing an immediate forecast which is what the met agencies endeavour to do.
Those parts of his forecasts though from what I can see are either based on his research models [which I'm not familiar with] but which to be fair have proved reasonably broadly accurate this year from what I've seen of them[I can't comment on any other year because I haven't been following] or they're based on possible outcomes and blends and opinions on nwp's.
With the latter,you'll see him do what you see all the time in the two uk fora and thats people saying we need this to go here and that to go there and then we get such and such.
Thats actually done well by Mt in my opinion as he usually adds probabilities,it's also done in an explanatory/informational way. [I happen to disagree with the likelyhood of snow on his latest forecasts for the reasons stated earlier but then if everybody agreed,nobody would be thinking and thats life,I think he's being over optimistic regarding a brief snow window in the coming days but then I can be and am often wrong]
Hi Mt by the way and sorry to be talking about you while you are asleep but you know what I mean.
Far too rational, balanced and well reasoned for us coldies. BOOOOOOOOOOO!0 -
The latest GFS forecast sounding for Buoy M2 east of Dublin shows very meagre chances of precipitation, with cloud thicknesses of only around 3,000ft. Even given the best case scenario (unlikely) of temperature and dewpoint both around 8°C gives cloudtops at around 8,000ft - not near enough to cause precipitation of any note, (and of course would be way too warm for snow at sea-level anyway!).
Of course low-level instability will be vigorous, so the clouds could overshoot slightly higher than the 5,000ft indicated, but it really doesn't look like much will happen. Yes the boundary layer will be cold, and frosts will be severe where cloud clears, but I think anyone looking for snow, apart from MAYBE Wexford, will be dissapointed. Johnstown Castle may be the only station to record precipitation I reckon.
0 -
-
Advertisement
![[Deleted User]](/applications/dashboard/design/images/defaulticon.png)
Advertisement