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UrbanSea previously greetings' fresh start

  • 30-12-2010 1:52pm
    #1
    Closed Accounts Posts: 18,335 ✭✭✭✭


    Hello everyone. As you may know I had another log a short while ago,which needless to say was less than profitable.
    I'm starting this new one with a different train of thought. I started to get sloppy,posting picks for the sake of it,looking at races I never would usually.
    I don't do a huge amount of bets during the NH season unless I really fancy something or see a horse that I think is value. I do a few bets at Meydan or the Dubai Carnival during the winter. I also have a tendency to talk ****e when bored and post links.Small stakes mostly,and might have 1 or 2 ante post bets. Won't be using points,they annoy me,I'll use straight numbers.

    First one is small stake at Meydan
    5.30 Meydan Royaaty 12/1 5 each way
    Just to set the ball rolling. Won't use huge stakes at Meydan,form can be hard to judge but value to be had. An unexposed type who won a maiden for Godolphin first time out last year,clear by 13 lenghts with a Gosden odds on horse who won it's maiden by 8 but not seen since. Had one start over in the Middle East,finishing second in a handicap. Off a mark of 90 and still unexposed,worth a small each way


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Comments

  • Closed Accounts Posts: 18,335 ✭✭✭✭UrbanSea


    Can't wait to see Mikael D'Haguenet's race now,the next big thing in my opinion.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 18,335 ✭✭✭✭UrbanSea


    Off to a winning start.
    Profit:75 euro


  • Moderators Posts: 8,832 ✭✭✭x PyRo


    Great start G.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 18,335 ✭✭✭✭UrbanSea


    Thanks Pyro,I hope it hasn't peaked too soon


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,288 ✭✭✭fkiely


    Super pick greetings. Keep it up.


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 18,335 ✭✭✭✭UrbanSea


    Thanks,couldn't get a look at any today,in Dublin going to Florida in the morning so there may or may not be picks for the next week,depending on if there's wireless in the hotel and how much time I spend there. Can't post a pick now cos I don't know how to work two tabs on this timed computer and oddschecker is blocked. I was going to post Reve De Sivola in the novice chase at Cheltenham but since I can't look at anybody's form or anything I won't.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 18,335 ✭✭✭✭UrbanSea


    Putting one up for tomorrow.
    Lingfield 1.45 Zakeeta 5.4
    Going to take this betfair price at the minute because I probably won't be on in time in the morning to check a price due to the time difference here and I think it's quite high for a horse who has quite a good chance. Only it's 4th race over hurdles,she won her first 2 races in October before attempting a grade 2 at Cheltenham in November,finishing eighth.That race was over 2 miles and don't think it suited her and stepping back up to 2 miles 3 should suit her better tomorrow. Should be fresh from a decent run in a maiden on the flat 3 weeks ago where she finished third over a trip of 12 furlongs. This looks a weak race tomorrow and she's at the bottom of the weights due to her receiving a fillies' allowance and only being 3 years old.
    Stake:10 euro
    Profit including stake:65 euro


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 18,335 ✭✭✭✭UrbanSea


    ****,forgot I can't bet from the US. I'll get one of the lads to do the bet for me.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 18,335 ✭✭✭✭UrbanSea


    I'm going here for dinner in a bit,I'm starving,such a feed you get over here.

    http://www.thecheesecakefactory.com/


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 18,335 ✭✭✭✭UrbanSea


    What a feed,I was stuffed all evening.
    That horse is huge,gone to 7/1 in places,I'm gonna add another 5 euro each way.


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 18,335 ✭✭✭✭UrbanSea


    Gonna do another small bet at Cork today on
    Tarrawarra 3.15 cork 5 each way 16/1
    Will probably be won by the odds on favourite here but think this lad can run into a place. Has been placed in his last two points and has ran in December so will be fit,compared to some of the others. Comes from a good stable and has a good jock on in the form of Andrew McNamara. If the favourite falls again,like last time,he could be in with a shout. It's a beginner's steeplechase and the favourite's jumping didn't seem to be the best last time,but if it stays on it's feet it probably will win.
    Profit including stake:45 euro


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 18,335 ✭✭✭✭UrbanSea


    Zakeel was pure useless


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 18,335 ✭✭✭✭UrbanSea


    Tarrawarra places.
    Profit:65 euro


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 18,335 ✭✭✭✭UrbanSea


    Bad racing today. Just going to do
    Talent Scout 4.35 Wolverhampton 20/1 5 each way
    A horse I backed when it won the time before last over an extended seven. This is two furlongs more and it couldn't follow up as favourite last time out as favourite over this distance and I hope the trip isn't slightly too long for him,but 20/1 seems huge due to it's last race where he was only beaten about 4 lengths having hung left.
    Profit after stake;55


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 18,335 ✭✭✭✭UrbanSea


    Haha,won by the rank outsider. Ah well.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 18,335 ✭✭✭✭UrbanSea


    Gonna do a small double on American sports for tonight
    NCAA Orange Bowl:Virginia Tech 10/7
    NBA: Miami Heat-9 vs Charlotte Bobcats 10/11


    Virginia are ranked 9 places lower than Stanford and are 0-22 away from home against top 5 teams but Stanford could be rocked by the news that their coach who is their most successful of all time will probably be leaving them. Virginia started 0-2 and are on an 11 game win streak since. Stanford aren't used to winning much and they have a fantastic QB(don't ask me his name) but Virgina are 3rd in interceptions and their defensive line are the most explosive and quick that stanford will have come up against. They're on their 7th consecutive season of winning 10+ games(4th highest in the modern era) and could win tonight I think.


    Heat look near certainties tonight. Bosh,Wade and LeBron have averaged something like 21 ppg combined playing Charlotte and should take this nicely.

    Stake 15 euro
    Profit after stake:41 euro

    (I miscalculated earlier,I got 21 back off the horse placing,not 20)


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 18,335 ✭✭✭✭UrbanSea


    Two horse bets for tomorrow.
    Firstly
    Abondanza 12.40 Southwell 5.7 Betfair 10 euro
    Again taking the BF price as I won't get to see in the morning. Not much reasoning here,the horse acts on the surface and Nicholls' horses always go well in claimers. Favourite looks the obvious danger but he represents good value here.

    Six of Clubs 2.40 Southwell 3.5 20 euro
    Up three pounds for a win over 2 miles at this track a few weeks ago. Dropped 2 furlongs in trip but not a harsh penalty at all. Kieran Fox aboard like last time and the second has franked the form since,and should go well.

    Profits including bets:11 euro


    I'm going to Universal Studios in the morning,cant' wait.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 18,335 ✭✭✭✭UrbanSea


    Miami part of the double comes in. This NCAA match is close,my team can't defend for their lives.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 18,335 ✭✭✭✭UrbanSea


    God Virginia's defence is brutal. They can't make any yards rushing and then throw an interception. Stanford make a 98 yard score in two plays


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 18,335 ✭✭✭✭UrbanSea


    Aw now I can kiss that bet goodbye,another Sanford TD. Virginia's defence has been ripped apart


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 18,335 ✭✭✭✭UrbanSea


    Abondanza loses,here's hoping on the other fella.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 18,335 ✭✭✭✭UrbanSea


    No winners today.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 18,335 ✭✭✭✭UrbanSea


    I'm tired,so not much reasoning on
    Daldini 1.40 Southwell 4 euro place at 4,7 win at 15.5
    Dangerously well handicapped. Out of form of late and has a bit to prove since pulling up last time out in November but is down 15 pounds following his course and distance win early last year and on these weights could well return to form


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 18,335 ✭✭✭✭UrbanSea


    Algris 6.05 Kempton 4.2 20 euro
    Weakest race of the centuery. Showed nothing over short trips in maidens but stepped up now(related to a few hurdles winners) and Sir Mark is infamous for getting the best out of his horses sent handicapping.
    Profit after bet:-20


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 18,335 ✭✭✭✭UrbanSea


    greetings wrote: »
    I'm tired,so not much reasoning on
    Daldini 1.40 Southwell 4 euro place at 4,7 win at 15.5
    Dangerously well handicapped. Out of form of late and has a bit to prove since pulling up last time out in November but is down 15 pounds following his course and distance win early last year and on these weights could well return to form
    Fourth,missing out on a place. If he's dropped another few pounds should go close soon.
    Algris is the best backed horse of the day,hope the betting is right.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 18,335 ✭✭✭✭UrbanSea


    Loser. Into the minus.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 18,335 ✭✭✭✭UrbanSea


    Gonna watch basketball tonight
    LA LAKERS -4 v Phoenix
    Lakers are 8 and a half games ahead of Phoenix and even though their away,I'd fancy them on the spread.Suns are averaging 106 ppg (3rd in the league) but other stats arent great. 29th in points allowed and you cant allow that against the lakers with Bryant and Paul Gasol in good form.They blew the pistons out of the water the other night and can win again here.
    Stake:33
    Balance after bet:-53


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 18,335 ✭✭✭✭UrbanSea


    Haha this is on all of the American news,how class is this fella

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1cl_fMxQCTw

    Playfellow 4.50 Meydan 9/1
    Looks a very good horse. As a two year old ran 3rd in the Champagne stakes for Michael Jarvis behind Westphalia and Zacinto,that's very good form. Won a listed race before his comeback run this year and probably needed it. Off a mark of 100 here and could go very well.

    Stake:1o each way
    Balance including stake:-73


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 18,335 ✭✭✭✭UrbanSea


    Edit


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 18,335 ✭✭✭✭UrbanSea


    God Gasol is playing awful. Lamar fouling like there's no tomorrow. Ron and Kobe coming abck in now.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 18,335 ✭✭✭✭UrbanSea


    Absolutely ****ing robbed. Lakers win by 4 so I lose the spread. Free basket at the end to go for and they just let the clock run down and had given Vince Carter a wide open 3.






    grrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrr


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 257 ✭✭Con1110


    Got my money back with Stan James Market was void :)
    Still tho should have won


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 18,335 ✭✭✭✭UrbanSea


    Why was it void?


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 18,335 ✭✭✭✭UrbanSea


    Oh lads I am the happiest man in the world. For the match last night I kept thinking that I was on the spread at -4.5 until I looked in my log. The bet's void cos there was no draw market.
    greetings wrote: »
    Gonna watch basketball tonight
    LA LAKERS -4 v Phoenix
    Lakers are 8 and a half games ahead of Phoenix and even though their away,I'd fancy them on the spread.Suns are averaging 106 ppg (3rd in the league) but other stats arent great. 29th in points allowed and you cant allow that against the lakers with Bryant and Paul Gasol in good form.They blew the pistons out of the water the other night and can win again here.
    Stake:33
    Balance after bet:-53
    greetings wrote: »
    Haha this is on all of the American news,how class is this fella

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1cl_fMxQCTw

    Playfellow 4.50 Meydan
    Looks a very good horse. As a two year old ran 3rd in the Champagne stakes for Michael Jarvis behind Westphalia and Zacinto,that's very good form. Won a listed race before his comeback run this year and probably needed it. Off a mark of 100 here and could go very well.

    Stake:20 euro
    Balance including stake:-73


    And even better. I'm in the US so I'm texting one of the lads back home to do these bets.I texted him at 3.29 Irish time last night. Just got a text,spelling murdered to shreds.

    'Sry wz aslp. Yh snd i nly sn d fne nw do n itz 9/1 n 365 wil i do dat''
    In response to that I'm changing my Playfellow bet as it wasn't placed yet.
    10 EURO EACH WAY 9/1

    New balance:Minus 40


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 18,335 ✭✭✭✭UrbanSea


    Faultless Feelings 3.10 Huntingdon 10/1
    Interesting recruit for hurdling. Bought out of the Pat Doyle yard and sent to Philip Hobbs who usually does well with ex Irish horses. Stable jockey chooses this lad over the favourite who's it's stable mate. Doesn't look the strongest of race and he might need the run but could get placed.
    Stake:7.50 each way
    Bal:-55


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 18,335 ✭✭✭✭UrbanSea


    Forgot to post this one. Don't have time to reason as it's soon
    Skorcher 2.05 Thurles 14/1
    5 each way


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 18,335 ✭✭✭✭UrbanSea


    greetings wrote: »
    Forgot to post this one. Don't have time to reason as it's soon
    Skorcher 2.05 Thurles 14/1
    5 each way

    Wins at 8/1
    Profit:29 euro


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 18,335 ✭✭✭✭UrbanSea


    Going to bet in the next at Thurles,didn't realise that this horse was running
    Style Of Campile 2.40 Thurles 9/1
    This must be one of the weakest maiden hurdles I've ever seen. The favourite doesn't want the drop down to two miles in my opinion. My horse disappointed last time on heavy going and the testing ground is my only worry today but due to the sheer weakness of the race I'm going to side with her.Was beaten only a neck on it's hurdling debut and was very smart in bumpers and any kind of that form would see her go very close.
    Stake:7 each way
    Profit:15 euro


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 18,335 ✭✭✭✭UrbanSea


    Price went as I typed lawl


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 18,335 ✭✭✭✭UrbanSea


    greetings wrote: »
    Going to bet in the next at Thurles,didn't realise that this horse was running
    Style Of Campile 2.40 Thurles 9/1
    This must be one of the weakest maiden hurdles I've ever seen. The favourite doesn't want the drop down to two miles in my opinion. My horse disappointed last time on heavy going and the testing ground is my only worry today but due to the sheer weakness of the race I'm going to side with her.Was beaten only a neck on it's hurdling debut and was very smart in bumpers and any kind of that form would see her go very close.
    Stake:7 each way
    Profit:15 euro

    Loser.


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 18,335 ✭✭✭✭UrbanSea


    greetings wrote: »
    Faultless Feelings 3.10 Huntingdon 10/1
    Interesting recruit for hurdling. Bought out of the Pat Doyle yard and sent to Philip Hobbs who usually does well with ex Irish horses. Stable jockey chooses this lad over the favourite who's it's stable mate. Doesn't look the strongest of race and he might need the run but could get placed.
    Stake:7.50 each way
    Bal:-55

    Second.
    Profit:37.50


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 18,335 ✭✭✭✭UrbanSea


    One for the last at Meydan today
    Futurist Meydan 5.25 12/1
    Looks a big price for him. Won a maiden for Godolphin at the back end of 09.Has placed at Jebal Ali in the UAE last two times and looks very nicely treated with a mark of 75.
    Stake:7,50 each way
    Profit after stake:22.50


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 18,335 ✭✭✭✭UrbanSea


    Both at Meydan finish well down the field.
    Gonna go with my gut here tonight
    Sacramento +4.5 5/4
    Playing home against Denver,who they were beaten by last week convincingly. However,Denver have lost the last 3 times at the Arco arena and the Kings are 2nd in offensive rebounds and first in second chance points,which you cant ignore at home.Denver are 10-13 on the road since November and althought the Kings are 5-15 at home,I'll take a chance.
    Stake:22.50


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 18,335 ✭✭✭✭UrbanSea


    Saintly Lady 1.00 Fontwell 3/1
    Has been running well in handicap hurdles,winning one and placing in for,including last time in a decent race at Cheltenham where he came 3rd beaten half a lenght. Stepped back into novice company tomorrow and the long trip should be no worries,he's won over 3 mile 1 before.Decent claimer takes off 3 pounds and the one to beat here.
    Stake:20
    Balance incl.stake:-20


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 18,335 ✭✭✭✭UrbanSea


    Probably a long shot but
    Maringo Bay 12.50 Bangor
    Only it's 4th start having had 2 promising bumpers where he finished runner up in both. Was fancied when he tailed off in a novice hurdle back in November and is quickly sent into chasing.Trip is worryingly short but could be very heavy ground and hopefully will extend his stamina.The favourite is a french recruit who could be a different class,but with him not having any chasing experience,I wouldn't be on.
    Stake:5 each way
    Bal after stake:-30


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 18,335 ✭✭✭✭UrbanSea


    greetings wrote: »
    Both at Meydan finish well down the field.
    Gonna go with my gut here tonight
    Sacramento +4.5 5/4
    Playing home against Denver,who they were beaten by last week convincingly. However,Denver have lost the last 3 times at the Arco arena and the Kings are 2nd in offensive rebounds and first in second chance points,which you cant ignore at home.Denver are 10-13 on the road since November and althought the Kings are 5-15 at home,I'll take a chance.
    Stake:22.50

    Returns 50.62,they win by 17.
    Profit:20.62


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 18,335 ✭✭✭✭UrbanSea


    Saintly lady second.
    Bangor called off.
    profit:30.62


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 18,335 ✭✭✭✭UrbanSea


    Some NBA bets for tonight.
    New York versus Phoenix Suns-Knicks 5/4
    Knicks playing at Phoenix tonight. Knicks are the highest scoring team in the NBA against the third highest. The suns put up a good match agaisnt LA the other night,but that was an LA team under pressure and needed the win badly. Suns are too dependant on Steve Nash and if he has a quiet game the whole team does.Both allow quite a large amount of points per game so might do an under overs bet too. Suns aren't the same without Stouadamire and Knicks can take this.
    Stake:20 euro


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 18,335 ✭✭✭✭UrbanSea


    Going out for the afternoon so rushing this.
    An accum on the games

    Chicago Bulls 10/11
    San Antonio 2/5
    Miami Heat 1/3
    Golden State 1/5

    Not placing this yet cos if I'm back in time for all matches I might throw in some spreads.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 18,335 ✭✭✭✭UrbanSea


    I'm in an Apple store,it's mint. Hate Macbooks though,difficult to use. how do I open another tab :(


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