Euro 2012 Betting (Friday 2nd - Saturday 3rd)

Mezcita

Israel (1.1) v (10) Malta (29)
TV Armenia (5.5) v (3.6) Ireland (1.73)
Kazakhstan (11) v (5) Turkey (1.36)
Andorra (67) v (23) Russia (1.02)
Moldova (3.75) v (3.4) Finland (2.1)
Faroe Islands (29) v (11) Serbia (1.11)
TV Montenegro (1.91) v (3.4) Wales (4.5)
Greece (1.4) v (4.5) Georgia (10)
Latvia (6) v (3.85) Croatia (1.67)
Romania (1.33) v (5) Albania (11)
Sweden (1.44) v (4.5) Hungary (10)
TV Lithuania (2.8) v (3.3) Scotland (2.75)
Luxembourg (17) v (7) Bosnia-Herzegovina (1.22)
Estonia (9) v (4.5) Italy (1.4)
Slovakia (1.57) v (3.8) FYR Macedonia (7)
Belgium (6.5) v (4) Germany (1.57)
Liechtenstein (126) v (21) Spain (1.02)
San Marino (101) v (34) Netherlands (1.01)
TV Slovenia (1.67) v (3.75) N Ireland (6.5)
TV England (1.3) v (5) Bulgaria (13)
TV France (1.36) v (5) Belarus (11)
Iceland (4.5) v (3.4) Norway (1.91)
Portugal (1.22) v (6.5) Cyprus (17)


Armenia look an interesting price here. Not to beat us but to get a draw from this game. Ireland will be without Duff, Andrews and McShane (bonus!). Duff is a big loss and Keane has not played much so far this season. That said, Armenia +1 goal is a dissapointing 2.1 with most of the main bookies.

Fowler87

I dont know... I think it boosts our chances even more with McShanes' absence:pac:

Nuri Sahin

Montenegro @ 10/11
France @ 2/7
Sweden @ 2/5 or Sweden (-1.0) @ 13/10

Will certainly have something on that in a treble or double.

noelpat

Slovenia
Montenegro
France

just over 3/1 for the treble on PP
thats my bet

Simply.Young

I agree with you Mezcita, I think Ireland will have a very tough game against Armenia on Friday. Despite what people may think, Armenia are no push-overs, especially at home. Here are their four most recent home results:

Armenia 2 - 1 Belgium.
Armenia 1 - 2 Spain.
Armenia 3 - 1 Uzbekistan.
Armenia 1 - 3 Iran.

As you can see, they do pretty well at home. I wouldn't read much into the games against Uzbekistan and Iran, as they were pointless friendlies. However, losing 2-1 against the best team in international football is a very respectable result. Also, beating Belgium is no mean feat, despite them being a shadow of what they used to be.

I wouldn't recommend backing Armenia though, as I think that Ireland will edge this tie. Under 2.5 Goals could be worth a shot, or else Ireland to win by a single goal. I wouldn't be taking Ireland on any handicaps, as we all know Ireland aren't a side to destroy teams. Robbie Keane to score anytime @2.00 may also be a good bet.

That's just my two cents, take whatever you want from it. I'll be avoiding this match, but good luck to all who aren't.

Warper

Germany were 8-13 away to Belgium with PP. If they carry any of the form from the WC they should win that one.

jkelly85

Montenegro
Germany
Serbia

jkelly85

Montenegro
Germany
Serbia

these are the 3 i am looking at i think the 3 of them should all win

raheny red

Unders double in the Irish and Welsh games.

The Walsho

While France should win, especially with new management and hopefully a new regime, I just couldn't bring myself to back them at that price. Always such letdowns, and at 2/7 I wouldn't bother.

noelpat

I think Serbia will win easy but at 1/12 on PP the price is useless to me!

Jayob10

heres my €1 accumulator

Montenegro
Sweden
Germany
Slovenia
France
Italy
Slovakia
Under 2.5 goals in Armenia v Ireland
Dundalk
St Pats
UCD
Both teams to score in England v Bulgaria
Oxford Utd
Kilkenny (hurling)

potential winnings- €1,007

roryc

I went with a similar enough one...


Armenia v Ireland ................. WIN
Kazakhstan v Turkey
Montenegro v Wales
Latvia v Croatia
Lithuania v Scotland
Estonia v Italy
Belgium v Germany
Slovenia v N Ireland
England v Bulgaria
France v Belarus

Teams in red to win. €10 acc will net me about €1,060 or so... it's obv highly unlikely getting all 10 but I would expect at least seven of these teams to win without too much trouble, so its worth a gamble I reckon

Scotland, Montenegro and Slovenia are my biggest worries tbh

seklly

Alot of money gonna ba made on the accumulators this weekend, here's how i'm gonna make mine:



which involves a draw in the hurling, Under 2.5 in the Ireland game and a top 10 from Bubba!!!

Jayob10

alot of permeatations there but you are a man after my own heart, gotta love the big accumulators. one day ill get lucky

Polar101

Moldova - Finland

Going with under 1.5 @ ~3, and 0-0 in correct score @9.8. Limited goalscoring ability and a terrible pitch in this one.

prices from betfair

Fowler87

Doyle 1st scorer 1-1 draw scorecast @ 35/1 looks a fairly decent bet

Sir Vival

Gonna put a few euro on Armenia and Draw @11/10. Hope it loses tbh.

fkiely

Main bet: France -1 at 11/10

Medium double: Sweden and England both -1 at 4/1

Accie: Ireland, Germany, Slovakia, Holland -4, Spain -3, Sweden -1, England -1, France -1, Greece and Portugal -1 at 280/1

El Horseboxo

Haven't decided what i'll go for yet but i've just had a run down through the fixture list and these stand out to me.

Kazakhstan vs Turkey (Under 2.5 goals) @ 2.10
Andorra vs Russia (Andorra +3) @ 2.60
France vs Belarus (-1 handicap draw) @ 3.25
Belguim vs Germany (Germany to win, Over 2.5 goals) @ 1.57, 1.66 respectively
Latvia vs Croatia (Under 3.5 goals) @ 1.72
England vs Bulgaria (Under 2.5 goals) @ 2.10
Portugal vs Cyprus (Under 2.5 goals) @ 2.10
Armenia vs Ireland (Draw at HT, Ireland win at FT) @ 4.33
Sweden vs Hungary (Over 2.5 goals) @ 1.83
Slovenia vs N Ireland (Slovenia to win & Ljubijankič to score) @ 3.75
Faroe Islands vs Serbia (Under 2.5 goals) @ 2.25

Obviously i won't take them all but i reckon i may go for 3 or 4 of them as singles. I never really bet on the unders as it's a market that i rarely win on. But having seen the WC and how cautious teams were in the first game of the group stage i expect a lot of similar type match ups tomorrow. And the term 'park the bus' seems to have become quite popular with smaller teams taking note of how they may salvage a point or keep the score respectable by throwing people behind the ball. Of course this technique has been around for years but it's as if the secret came outta the bag during the WC.

I also think a lot of the better away teams are expected to score more goals and win by bigger margins than what will be on the scoreboard come full time. For example the Russia, Serbia and France games. They are playing very defensive minded teams albeit a lot poorer than the away teams but there is nothing more frustrating than having an entire team in front of you at all times. It was the exact same thing in the Israel and Malta game tonight. Only for the peno i think that game may have finished 1-1. A lot of risky enough calls as the complete opposite of a lot of the above could happen. But i have a feeling if i bet on all of them i may just make a little bit of profit or break evens.

Also some interesting doubles or trebles floating around for anyone who wanted to go high stakes. Germany to win, Spain over 2.5 goals and Holland 4 or more gives 2.50. Just something i'm looking at.

twitch1984

gonna do 2 bets

€5 accum ireland 4/6
wales 3/1
n.irl to draw 13/5
bulgaria 9/1


€10 win bulgaria 9/1




to me bulgaria are the value bet of the weekend, eng missing a few key players and seem to be unrest with the manager
probably being optimistic but upsets do happen:D

El Horseboxo

It could be well worth laying England at decent odds. But England are quite strong at Wembly which kind of puts me off. I'd wait till in play before i'd consider betting on the 1x2 market. If England don't get an early goal the fans will quickly get on their back. They managed to turn it around against Hungary but that was a friendly and different circumstances. Bulgaria don't offer too much up front since Berbatov retired. They have some good individual players but like England they don't really gel at national level. I expect Bulgaria will be out simply to not lose and will be delighted going away with a point. Kind of why i see a low scoring game.

mike65

Some nice big double and treble potential on that list

Serbia
Croatia
Turkey
Germany
Spain + 2.5 (or Villa anytime)

The Walsho

Slovenia and Sweden double is the main bet from me. Might do a few accums for the fun.

Edit:
€30 on Slovenia/Sweden double.
€3 accum: England, Germany, Montenegro, Romania, Turkey, Ireland.
€10 Robbie Keane first goal (insurebet).
€10 France/St. Pats double. (going against my warning against France earlier!)

Unsure about Ireland tomorrow but feck it.

Fowler87

I know they are the whipping boys of world football but IMO their mite be some value in San Marino +4 @ 7/5 at home against the Dutch... with it being 1st game and all. But saying that they are a reserve pub team:pac: Ridiculous odds though...

The Walsho

Fowler87 wrote: »

I know they are the whipping boys of world football but IMO their mite be some value in San Marino +4 @ 7/5 at home against the Dutch... with it being 1st game and all. But saying that they are a reserve pub team:pac: Ridiculous odds though...

That does seem a ridiculous price.

fkiely

Fowler87 wrote: »

I know they are the whipping boys of world football but IMO their mite be some value in San Marino +4 @ 7/5 at home against the Dutch... with it being 1st game and all. But saying that they are a reserve pub team:pac: Ridiculous odds though...

Then again you could argue that in qualification for the World Cup, they played 10 games, scored once and let in 47 goals and there wasn't any team comparable to this Dutch team, ability wise.

mike65

Thats a 'check the starting 11' bet if there ever was one.

SantryRed

My bets are:

Lithuania @ 2.62
Win-Draw-Win
Lithuania v Scotland
Armenia @ 2.10
Handicap Betting(+1.0)
Armenia v Ireland
Montenegro @ 1.90
Win-Draw-Win
Montenegro v Wales

Odds: 9.52/1

Germany @ 1.57
Win-Draw-Win
Belgium v Germany
Greece @ 1.33
Win-Draw-Win
Greece v Georgia
Slovakia @ 1.50
Win-Draw-Win
Slovakia v Macedonia
Romania @ 1.28
Win-Draw-Win
Romania v Albania
Turkey @ 1.33
Win-Draw-Win
Kazakhstan v Turkey
Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.57
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Armenia v Ireland

Odds: 7.47/1

Vanbis

Bulgaria @ 5/2
Handicap Betting(+1.0)
England v Bulgaria
Win-Draw-Win
Romania v Albania
Germany @ 4/7
Win-Draw-Win
Belgium v Germany
Slovenia @ 8/13
Win-Draw-Win
Slovenia v N Ireland
Ireland @ 4/6
Win-Draw-Win
Armenia v Ireland

S.M.B.

Debating on going with Paddy Powers enhanced odds of 2/1 for England, Germany and Greece.

tiernanmul_gos

treble-
Ireland
England
Scotland

Accum 1-
England
Ireland
Turkey
Russia
Serbia
Romania
sweden
Bosnia
Italy
Slovakia
Germany
Greece
Hoalland
Spain
France
Portugal

Accum 2-
England
Ireland
Russia
Serbia
Italy
Germany
Spain
Holland
France
Portugal

Xavi6

I've gone for draws in the Bel/Ger, Fra/Bel and Mon/Wal games.

Bit mad but it pays 47/1.

dasdog

Belgium v Germany (4/7)
Montenegro v Wales (10/11)
Kazakhstan v Turkey (3/10)

And a small flutter on Faroe Islands scraping a draw @ 7/1

christeb

Sir Vival wrote: »

Gonna put a few euro on Armenia and Draw @11/10. Hope it loses tbh.

Just layed the Irish myself @ 1.73. They're a decent side and I'm sure conditions over there aren't ideal, combined with the lack of experience / injuries in the side

bamboozling

I have a 5 euro six fold at 64/1 of;
Armenia +1
Montenegro
Finland
Croatia
Lithuania
Norway.

Vurnon San Benito

I can only see a 1-1 draw in the Ireland match tonight.
40 degrees over there, says a mate.

These are the extremely important games that we need to win. We'll look back these if we don't qualify just like we did when we drew with Montenegro, saying what could've been.

As for Montenegro themselves, I can only see them destroying Wales.
-1 @ 5/2 looks very tempting indeed.

Who knows though, Wales might scrape a draw.
Stevan Jovetić is out like.

El Horseboxo

More like 30 degrees but that's still a hot temperature for a bunch of Irish lads to play in. At least humidty won't be high as it's landlocked. 1-1 or a 0-1 scoreline looks a likely outcome. I fancy both to score or Ireland to win by a goal. Not sure i'll bet on it though.

presenter on SSN have just said it's 40C at the moment.

El Horseboxo

I was just going by the electronic thermometer they showed on Euronews about an hour ago. Showed 31c. Suppose it could jump up. Anyways lets all agree it's hot as fook and will be difficult conditions for Ireland.

Nuri Sahin

One big accum(12). One slightly smaller accum(8). Both small sums.

One double which I'm undecided over. 4 teams I'm trying to pick 2 from are Slovenia, Switzerland, Montenegro and Sweden. Slovenia is my definite I have to add.

Warper

Done a treble of Slovenia, Slovakia and Germany at roughly 3-1 PP.

Might do a small bet on Keane 1-0 - cant find any price online bar VC which has it @ 20-1 which is fine.

El Horseboxo

Warper wrote: »

Done a treble of Slovenia, Slovakia and Germany at roughly 3-1 PP.

Might do a small bet on Keane 1-0 - cant find any price online bar VC which has it @ 20-1 which is fine.

Looking at the same thing myself but a bit weary of Slovakia. They are missing 4 players and Macedonia seem to have better form away than at home.

El Horseboxo

El Horseboxo wrote: »

Kazakhstan vs Turkey (Under 2.5 goals) @ 2.10
Andorra vs Russia (Andorra +3) @ 2.60
France vs Belarus (-1 handicap draw) @ 3.25
Latvia vs Croatia (Under 3.5 goals) @ 1.72
England vs Bulgaria (Under 2.5 goals) @ 2.10
Portugal vs Cyprus (Under 2.5 goals) @ 2.10
Armenia vs Ireland (Draw at HT, Ireland win at FT) @ 4.33
Sweden vs Hungary (Over 2.5 goals) @ 1.83
Slovenia vs N Ireland (Slovenia to win & Ljubijankič to score) @ 3.75
Faroe Islands vs Serbia (Under 2.5 goals) @ 2.25

I ended up sticking 5 on each of the above bets. Just for a bit of interest across the board.

Kod-box

Norn Iron havent scored a goal in a year to the day, i fancy Slovenia to win to nil 21/20 or therabouts.

dsmythy

Warper wrote: »

Germany were 8-13 away to Belgium with PP. If they carry any of the form from the WC they should win that one.

I'm not so sure. Belgium could be sly dogs in this group. They have some decent young players coming through. Very tight price considering the Belgians will be at home.

Nuri Sahin

The Belgians are very good individually(Fellani, Hazard, Defour, Kompany to name but a few) but as a team they've rarely clicked.
They remind me of the Dutch(or even the Spanish) in the 90s and early 00's with their in house squabbling getting in the away of their football.

Both teams to score might be a good bet. Other than that.. Germany win or draw.

El Horseboxo

El Horseboxo wrote: »

Armenia vs Ireland (Draw at HT, Ireland win at FT) @ 4.33

1 in the bag. And a nice 3 points as well. We need to be winning those games if we want any chance of qualifying.

Colonel Sanders

Laid Ireland at 1.72

Was backing them to hedge at 3.6 when the goal went in (had just pressed confirm when the market suspended)

Not a happy bunny!!!

roryc

roryc wrote: »

I went with a similar enough one...


Armenia v Ireland ................. WIN
Kazakhstan v Turkey............... WIN
Montenegro v Wales............... WIN
Latvia v Croatia ................... WIN
Lithuania v Scotland .............. 0-0 draw CUNTZ!
Estonia v Italy ......................Italy 2-1 up... almost WIN
Belgium v Germany ...................Germany 1-0 up... almost WIN
Slovenia v N Ireland.................0-0 draw so far
England v Bulgaria...................England 1-0 up... almost WIN
France v Belarus ....................0-0 draw so far

Teams in red to win. €10 acc will net me about €1,060 or so... it's obv highly unlikely getting all 10 but I would expect at least seven of these teams to win without too much trouble, so its worth a gamble I reckon

Scotland, Montenegro and Slovenia are my biggest worries tbh

3 down 7 to go... Italy are gonna do me

seklly

Have:

1 Montenegro v Wales (Backing Montenegro @ 2)
2 Sweden v Hungary (Backing Sweden @ 1.36)
3 Slovakia v FYR Macedonia (Backing Slovakia @ 1.57)
4 England v Bulgaria (Backing England @ 1.28)
5 France v Belarus (Backing France @ 1.33)

Works out @ 7.36