September 2010 Boards forecast contest

M.T. Cranium · 27-08-2010 05:53PM #1

Now that summer is almost over, the warm weather should begin, right?

Anyway, have a go at these six questions before the end of Wed 1st September (entries accepted with penalty on 2nd, then closed tighter than a Greek pension fund).

(1) "IMT" mean temp deg C for the five stations (1961-90 avg is 12.7)

(2) max temp deg C for any met.ie station

(3) min temp deg C for any met.ie station

(4) average rainfall (% of normal) for all reporting stations

(5) average sunshine (% of normal) for all reporting stations

(6) Bonus -- with all sorts of events planned for eastern Ireland on the first weekend, predict the hours of sunshine at Casement on Sunday 5th (to nearest decimal, range 0.0 to 13.0).

Template (mean,max,min,rain%,sun%,sun5)

TheInquisitor · 27-08-2010 07:07PM

Template (11.5,22,-2,135%,90%,4.5hrs)

pauldry · 28-08-2010 12:13AM

(13.1,22.8,0.4,155%,84%,6.3hrs)

skipz · 28-08-2010 10:29AM

(14.5,26.5,-1,130%,85%,5.8hrs)

nacho libre · 28-08-2010 01:33PM

12.4, 21.7c, 1.7c, 140%, 90%, 5.2hrs

talkabout · 28-08-2010 07:35PM

(12.1,21.6,-1.0,110%,92%,3.3hrs)

29-08-2010 01:30AM

(11.9,18.5,-2.5,120%,75%,2.5)

jd · 29-08-2010 11:21AM

(13.1,23.1,-1.5,112%,95%,3.9)

M.T. Cranium · 29-08-2010 09:23PM

13.5, 25.0, -2.1, 80, 125, 6.4

homolumo · 29-08-2010 09:33PM

13.0, 24.5, -2.0, 85, 121, 6.0

Deep Easterly · 29-08-2010 11:18PM

(13.3,20.0.9,110,93,3)

M.T, regarding the templete, would you prefer if we included the actual symbols, i.e %, mm, C ?, or is it handier for you if we didn't as I am guessing you may be inputing each forecast directly into Excel?

Joe Public · 29-08-2010 11:30PM

13.3,26,-1.3,65%,135%,2.4hrs

WolfeIRE · 29-08-2010 11:50PM

13.2, 23.5c, 1.5c, 105%, 110%, 2hrs

M.T. Cranium · 30-08-2010 01:31AM

In case anyone's wondering about it, all normal and previously stated rules apply to any really low temperatures recorded on 1st of September. Hopefully there will be none, but in theory any entrant has the option of editing their prediction to include events on the first of September as they see fit.

Entrants on the 2nd would be subject to the usual penalty, and nobody who enters on the 1st in this or any other month has the option of editing after midnight (or whenever I do up the table). While you may think this gives people an advantage to enter on the 2nd, I doubt that this would be the case in reality, as the decision you then have to make is whether that value would stand up all month, and whether your score would improve by waiting for it to happen.

If you think there are any unclear situations with that, questions accepted and answered -- in any case, I try for a fair solution to any irregular events.