L'prof's Lay Log

L'prof

In homage to Bestake.

Sampdoria v W Bremen

€3.26 Lay Over 4.5 Goals @ 5.6

L'prof

Starting off with lower odds bets for now and with only €15 at stake initially. I'll use his withdrawal system too.

Day|Fraction of profits
Saturday|1/2
Sunday|1/3
Monday|1/4
Tuesday|1/5
Wednesday|1/6
Thursday|1/7
Friday|1/8

L'prof

Looks like a terrible bet already, 3 more goals and it's dead!

L'prof

5 minutes injury time and it's 3-1 at the moment, one more goal for Bremen to qualify and knock by bet flat on it's arse!

L'prof

L'prof wrote: »

In homage to Bestake.

Sampdoria v W Bremen

€3.26 Lay Over 4.5 Goals @ 5.6 Win

Maybe I should use the same format as Bestake? When I say €3.26 Lay, I mean €15 matched.

Profit: €3.10 | Banked €0.62 | Balance €17.48

L'prof

Bahia v America MG

€17.42 Matched Over 4.5 Goals @ 8.2

Bestake

Best of luck! Will follow with interest.

Your going bearish on goals, so let every game you pick end up 0-0

L'prof

Bestake wrote: »

Best of luck! Will follow with interest.

Your going bearish on goals, so let every game you pick end up 0-0

Cheers man.

Like I was saying before, I don't have the bankroll to start with what you have, so I'll have to take more risk initially. More rish means more profit though I guess

Bestake

L'prof wrote: »

Cheers man.

Like I was saying before, I don't have the bankroll to start with what you have, so I'll have to take more risk initially. More rish means more profit though I guess

Very true - you risked €15 quid to win back €3, I risked around €1,350 to win back €8!

L'prof

L'prof wrote: »

Bahia v America MG

€17.42 Matched Over 4.5 Goals @ 8.2 3-0

Profit: €5.40 | Banked €1.08 | Balance €19.32

L'prof

Dinamo Minsk v Club Brugge

€18.80 Matched Over 4.5 @ 8.8

Silence.

Interesting. I'd really like to try something like this... I just need to figure out Betfair.

Good luck mate!

L'prof

Silence. wrote: »

Interesting. I'd really like to try something like this... I just need to figure out Betfair.

Good luck mate!

Betfair is a load of bóllóx to be honest. Horrible site, navigation, mobile site, etc. Ragin with my bet above, it's not until tomorrow at 5, so my money is tied up until then. My fault in part, but God that website is horrendous!!!

/rant

L'prof

L'prof wrote: »

Dinamo Minsk v Club Brugge

€19.28 Matched Over 4.5 @ 9.0

I think I actually got the price and amount matched wrong. Edited above. I'm just going to assume that this wins and carry on as appropriate adjusting the log as needed tomorrow...

So, that would leave me with €21.23 to play with.

Zilina v Sparta Prague

€21.18 Matched Over 4.5 Goals @ 10.5

Big chance of a double whammy here, but I would have been so annoyed with myself otherwise

L'prof

L'prof wrote: »

Zilina v Sparta Prague

€21.18 Matched Over 4.5 Goals @ 10.5 1-0

Colo Colo v Uni de Sucre

€22.92 Matched Under 1.5 Goals @ 7.0

I won't post my progress until the Minsk game has been played.

L'prof

L'prof wrote: »

Colo Colo v Uni de Sucre

€22.92 Matched Under 1.5 Goals @ 7.0 1-1 (HT)

Colo Colo 1-1 Uni de Sucre (HT)

€25.98 Matched Under 2.5 Goals @ 7.2

L'prof

L'prof wrote: »

Colo Colo 1-1 Uni de Sucre (HT)

€25.98 Matched Under 2.5 Goals @ 7.2 3-1 (71mins)

Seattle v Monterrey

€29.30 Unmatched Over 4.5 Goals @ 6.0

Bet hasn't been matched yet and may not be. Odds offered on Betfair were ridiculous, so I offered my own.

L'prof

L'prof wrote: »

Seattle v Monterrey

€29.30 Unmatched Over 4.5 Goals @ 6.0 0-2 Unmatched

Bet wasn't matched, but I wasn't prepared to lay at the price on Betfair since the back price was about a third of it!

Lokomotiv v Lausanne

€29.28 Matched Under 1.5 Goals @ 5.0

L'prof

L'prof wrote: »

Dinamo Minsk v Club Brugge

€19.28 Matched Over 4.5 @ 9.0 2-3

Poo :rolleyes:

L'prof wrote: »

€29.28 Matched Under 1.5 Goals @ 5.0 1-1

I suppose I'll carry on. 2 pens and a late goal in the Minsk game.


Motherwell v OB

€35.24 Matched Over 4.5 Goals @ 7.6

L'prof

L'prof wrote: »

Motherwell v OB

€35.24 Matched Over 4.5 Goals @ 7.6 0-1

Pleasantly surprised to be showing a profit considering I lost a bet. Not sure whether to carry on with the €39.50 or the €18.85.

Profit: €8.25 | Banked: €4.40 | Balance: €18.85

L'prof

Toluca v CD Olimpia

€39.48 Matched Under 1.5 Goals @ 5.1

That didn't take me long to decide!!! I'm heading on holidays tomorrow night, so I probably won't be placing any bets for a week, so I thought I may as well.

Bestake

Your going well! The losses can set back a lot of good work, but at least it's low risk and returns are decent!

Enjoy the hols, and keep with it - you could revolutionise the lay!:D

L'prof

Bestake wrote: »

Your going well! The losses can set back a lot of good work, but at least it's low risk and returns are decent!

Enjoy the hols, and keep with it - you could revolutionise the lay!:D

I'm actually enjoying it to a certain extent...apart from posting bets I've let my other log slide at the moment, I must update that soon.

Revolutionise the lay??? Haha, I seriously doubt it, but I'll give it a go. Good to see you're still going strong anyway.

Oh yeah, I did up a nasty formula in excel to calculate the amount I should be banking after each win

L'prof

L'prof wrote: »

Toluca v CD Olimpia

€39.48 Matched Under 1.5 Goals @ 5.1 4-0

Plenty of room to spare there.


Profit: €17.40 | Banked: €5.71 | Balance: €26.69

L'prof

Brisbane v Wellington

I was going to lay 5 goals or more in this match, but I have to verify details to use the Australian wallet on Betfair. Too much hassle really.

JJK v Lahti

€47.46 Matched Over 4.5 Goals @ 9.4

L'prof

L'prof wrote: »

Brisbane v Wellington

I was going to lay 5 goals or more in this match, but I have to verify details to use the Australian wallet on Betfair. Too much hassle really.

JJK v Lahti

€47.46 Matched Over 4.5 Goals @ 9.4

I was just looking at this market again, correct me if I'm wrong but, I think if I'm making these bets I might sometimes be better off backing under 4.5 goals rather than laying over 4.5 goals.

At the moment this bet is @ 9.8 to lay over 4.5 goals and @ 1.12 to back under 4.5 goals.

So laying would return 52.85 and backing would return 53.16. I know 0.6% is hardly worth worrying about, but I'd prefer to have it in my pocket than someone else's. This may not always be the case, but I'll check it out every time I do this bet from now on and back accordingly. Even though I stated in my thread that this was a "Lay Log", I think it amounts to the same thing in this market.

L'prof

L'prof wrote: »

JJK v Lahti

€47.46 Matched Over 4.5 Goals @ 9.4 2-2

Profit: €22.77 | Banked: €6.38 | Balance: €31.39

L'prof

Colchester v Carlisle

€52.16 Backed Under 4.5 Goals @ 1.15

L'prof

L'prof wrote: »

Colchester v Carlisle

€52.16 Backed Under 4.5 Goals @ 1.15 1-1

Profit: €30.20 | Banked: €7.31 | Balance: €37.89


Huracan v Newells

€58.66 Backed Under 4.5 Goals @ 1.09

L'prof

L'prof wrote: »

Profit: €30.20 | Banked: €7.31 | Balance: €37.89


Huracan v Newells

€58.66 Backed Under 4.5 Goals @ 1.09 1-1

Kobe v FC Tokyo

€63.05 Backed Under 4.5 Goals @ 1.11

L'prof

L'prof wrote: »

Kobe v FC Tokyo

€63.05 Backed Under 4.5 Goals @ 1.11 0-0

FC Tokyo v Shimizu (32mins)

€66.34 Backed Under 4.5 Goals @ 1.04

L'prof

L'prof wrote: »

FC Tokyo v Shimizu (32mins)

€66.34 Backed Under 4.5 Goals @ 1.04 1-1

I should have said that it was still 0-0when I placed this bet.

Angelholms v Assyriska

€68.44 Matched Under 4.5 Goals @ 1.15

L'prof

L'prof wrote: »

I should have said that it was still 0-0when I placed this bet.

Angelholms v Assyriska

€68.44 Matched Under 4.5 Goals @ 1.15 2-1

Vitoria-BA v Internacional

€76.56 Matched Under 4.5 Goals @ 1.14

L'prof

L'prof wrote: »

Vitoria-BA v Internacional

€76.56 Matched Under 4.5 Goals @ 1.14 0-0

Rosice v Zbrojovka Brno

€85.04 Matched Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.17

L'prof

L'prof wrote: »

Rosice v Zbrojovka Brno

€85.04 Matched Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.17 1-2

Spain U21 v Netherlands U21

€96.82 Matched Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.23

L'prof

L'prof wrote: »

Spain U21 v Netherlands U21

€96.82 Matched Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.23 2-1

Sao Paulo v Atletico-GO

€114.96 Matched Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.32

L'prof

L'prof wrote: »

Sao Paulo v Atletico-GO

€114.96 Matched Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.32 2-1

Andorra v Russia

€147.54 Matched Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.09

L'prof

L'prof wrote: »

Andorra v Russia

€147.54 Matched Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.09 2-0

Venezuela v Colombia

€158.58 Matched Under 4.5 Goals @ 1.12

L'prof

L'prof wrote: »

Venezuela v Colombia

€158.58 Matched Under 4.5 Goals @ 1.12 0-2

Japan v Paraguay

€174.39 Matched Under 4.5 Goals @ 1.07

L'prof

L'prof wrote: »

Japan v Paraguay

€174.39 Matched Under 4.5 Goals @ 1.07 1-0

All Boys v Olimpo

180.19 Matched Under 4.5 Goals @ 1.08

L'prof

L'prof wrote: »

All Boys v Olimpo

180.19 Matched Under 4.5 Goals @ 1.08 1-0

New England v Seattle

€187.04 Matched Under 4.5 Goals @ 1.1

L'prof

L'prof wrote: »

New England v Seattle

€187.04 Matched Under 4.5 Goals @ 1.1 3-1

Bet won, but hasn't been settled yet. That's quite annoying :mad::mad::mad:

L'prof

L'prof wrote: »

Bet won, but hasn't been settled yet. That's quite annoying :mad::mad::mad:

Here's Betfair's response:

Betfair wrote:

Dear L'prof

Thank you for your e-mail.

Due to a technical issue we are having some issues settling this particular market at this time. We are hoping to have the problem resolved as soon as possible and we apologise for the inconvenience caused.

Please do not hesitate to contact us if you have any further enquiries.

Kind regards,

Samuel Jackson

Betfair Helpdesk

Now I know they're taking the píss, móthérfúckíng snakes

L'prof

Finally settled!!!


Modena v Padova

€195.92 Matched Under 4.5 Goals @ 1.06

L'prof

L'prof wrote: »

Finally settled!!!


Modena v Padova

€195.92 Matched Under 4.5 Goals @ 1.06 1-0

Numancia v Celta Vigo

€203.36 Matched Under 4.5 Goals @ 1.09


I wouldn't advise trying to post on the phone using manual formatting, pain in the áss!

L'prof

L'prof wrote: »

Numancia v Celta Vigo

€203.36 Matched Under 4.5 Goals @ 1.09 1-3

Finally home to update my progress properly!


Profit: €236.40 | Banked: €59.21 | Balance: €192.19

L'prof

Granada 0-0 Valladolid (18:08)

€192.19 Matched Under 4.5 Goals @ 1.08

L'prof

L'prof wrote: »

Granada 0-0 Valladolid (18:08)

€192.19 Matched Under 4.5 Goals @ 1.08 0-1

Profit: €251.01 | Banked: €64.08 | Balance: €201.93



Barcelona B 1-0 Xerez (19:10)

€201.93 Matched Under 1.5 Goals @ 1.1

L'prof

L'prof wrote: »

Barcelona B 1-0 Xerez (19:10)

€201.93 Matched Under 1.5 Goals @ 1.1 1-1 (HT)

Profit: €270.19 | Banked: €70.47 | Balance: €214.72


Internacional v Gremio Prudente

€214.72 Matched Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.26

L'prof

L'prof wrote: »

Internacional v Gremio Prudente

€214.72 Matched Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.26 2-0 (23:10)

Was waiting on that one longer than I would have liked!


Profit: €323.23 | Banked: €88.15 | Balance: €250.08


Velez v River Plate

€250.08 Matched Under 4.5 Goals @ 1.08

L'prof

L'prof wrote: »

Velez v River Plate

€250.08 Matched Under 4.5 Goals @ 1.08 2-1

Profit: €342.24 | Banked: €94.49 | Balance: €262.75