Wet & Blustery (Second Half Of Next Week)

maquiladora

12Z GFS is more in line with the UKMO and ECM now, looks like the low will pass more to the east.

Darwin

Yes, xcweather keeps chopping and changing the timing and severity of the winds but I believe they get their data from GFS. I've a flight into Dub on Thurs evening and hoping I won't need the sick bag

Deep Easterly

maquiladora wrote: »

12Z GFS is more in line with the UKMO and ECM now, looks like the low will pass more to the east.

The feature is beginning to enter hi res territory now, and at this stage EMHI at least is keeping it to the south also. :mad:



Maq could do very well out of this!

Su Campu

Yesterday's UKMO FAX chart had a very different outlook for 12Z Thursday than today's!

Yesterday's Run



Today's Run

thetonynator

GSF wrote: »

The ground must be getting close to saturation point now in some areas. Are there any stats available on that?

North west very wet, south east very dry soil, south west moderate . . .

maquiladora

18Z GFS still showing quiet heavy rain for a lot of the country Wednesday :

ciaran67

my god, the wind that just blew through Greystones at 9am was mental. It blew constantly for about 3 mins. Now all you can hear is the house alarm symphony

maquiladora

0Z GFS has the heavy rain pretty much missing us completely now and slamming into southwest UK instead :

nilhg

Interesting though how much variation there is still at not much more than 24 hours out in the ensembles.

WolfeIRE

rain looks litting cornwall and perhaps clipping Irish SE, according to GFS and UKMO



HIRLAM has it affecting lower third of ireland
http://www.dmi.dk/dmi/index/danmark/vejrkort.htm
click on nedbor

km79

redsteveireland

Another disappointment, it's a long autumn/winter though

WolfeIRE

http://www.yr.no/satellitt/europa_animasjon.html

excellent satelitte view of the approaching front. Will give you a good grasp of its path. takes a min or two to load, depending on your broadband speed

maquiladora

Here's some trivia, the name of the low is Cathleen.

http://www.met.fu-berlin.de/de/wetter/maps/Analyse_20100824.gif

Puzzle35

Not vey scientific I'm afraid so forgive hte simple question:o

Is it just me or is this the coldest August ever?? Please dont tell me we are in for another winter like last year, don't think I could take it

WolfeIRE

Puzzle35 wrote: »

Please dont tell me we are in for another winter like last year

erm...:o

WolfeIRE

maquiladora wrote: »

Here's some trivia, the name of the low is Cathleen.

http://www.met.fu-berlin.de/de/wetter/maps/Analyse_20100824.gif

well i see cathleen beat angelika while Fred and Gerhard looked on!

Lumi

Puzzle35 wrote: »

Is it just me or is this the coldest August ever?? Please dont tell me we are in for another winter like last year

With any luck - yes :D

sunbabe08

WOULDNT mind a winter like last year:D going back to college, so i'll be falling with purpose instead of just falling

mickger844posts

WolfeIRE wrote: »

http://www.yr.no/satellitt/europa_animasjon.html

excellent satelitte view of the approaching front. Will give you a good grasp of its path. takes a min or two to load, depending on your broadband speed

great view, looks like it will hit us in the south east with just miserable rain and nothing special :mad:

Redsunset

mickger844posts wrote: »

great view, looks like it will hit us in the south east with just miserable rain and nothing special :mad:

I wouldn't be so sure it will hit us at all,scrape the southern coasts maybe but this chart needs to improve.

Deep Easterly

Well, at least we can look forward to a whole lot of nothing spewing its way in from the north Atlantic for the foreseeable:



*sigh*

compsys

Is this thing gonna hit Ireland at all now? Met Eireann still says most of the southern half of the country can expect heavy and persistent rain all day tomorrow whereas the BBC forecast and model run has it missing Dublin and most of the country completely.

Strange to have such differing forecasts this close to an event.

http://news.bbc.co.uk/weather/forecast/10209

SeaFields

Maybe I'm reading it wrong but that looks like it could be a warm one for us at the end of the week?

Lumi

Deep Easterly wrote: »

Well, at least we can look forward to a whole lot of nothing spewing its way in from the north Atlantic for the foreseeable:



*sigh*

More of the same old, same old so - yawn!

Redsunset

After watching the Eagle there and im confused,he says rain and "Computer says Nooooo":D

Su Campu

Very interesting to see the Eagle there sticking with a much more active setup for us tomorrow, with the rain making it all the way up to Ulster by tomorrow night, and lingering along the east coast Thursday morning, much in line with yesterday's model runs.

A bold move, let's see if he's right!

EDIT: SNAP, redsunset!

Deep Easterly

SeaFields wrote: »

Maybe I'm reading it wrong but that looks like it could be a warm one for us at the end of the week?

You may be right, but all I am reading from that chart is the same repulsive trash we have endured all year with surface diverence galore killing off any chance of weather, average temps, pale milky yet glaringly raw sunshine shining through bleached white translusidus inbetween black belled clumps of cumuli.

In sum, pure ****e.

Deep Easterly

COMPUTER Vs "THE EAGLE"






Place your bets now!

BEASTERLY

Deep Easterly wrote: »

COMPUTER Vs "THE EAGLE"






Place your bets now!

My head syas the computer but I really want the eagle to be right!

It's like betting on a hurlling match between kilkenny and wexford , your head says on thing your heart says another!!!:pac: