HT-FT challenge

Collie D

I've been getting a free trial from a football tipster for last couple of weeks and a lot of his selections seem to be based around draw ht win ft bets. Think I've had five or six tips from him centred around this strategy with no winers. Luckily I only backed one because the price really appealed. He reckons over time the strategy works.

I am going to trial it with the Premiership this season until Xmas or until I get bored. All bets are theoretical. I might have a few quid on some of them but only rarely and won't have a seperate bank. Will do three trials. First will be draw half-time fav full-time,the second will be fav half time outsider full time and the third outsider HT fav FT. One point per bet. Odds will be taken from Boyles, Victor Chandler, Paddy Power, the Betpack group (using Stan James odds), Ladbrokes and Hills. No access to other bookies. Here goes....

Saturday 14th of August

Draw HT Fav FT
Draw/Tottenham @ 9/2 with Boyles/VC/PP/Hills
Draw/Aston Villa @ 9/2 with Hills
Draw/Everton @ 9/2 with Boyles/VC/PP/BP/Hills
Draw/Bolton @ 5/1 with Hills
Draw/Sunderland @ 9/2 with VC
Draw/Wigan @ 7/2 with Boyles/PP/BP/Ladbrokes
Draw/Wolverhampton @ 5/1 with Hills
Draw/Chelsea @ 4/1 with VC

Bank -8 points

Fav HT Outsider FT
Tottenham/Manchester City @ 30/1 with PP
Aston Villa/West Ham @ 40/1 with PP
Everton/Blackburn @ 33/1 with PP
Bolton/Fulham @ 35/1 with PP
Sunderland/Birmingham @ 35/1 with PP
Wigan/Blackpool @ 45/1 with PP
Wolverhampton/Stoke @ 35/1 with PP
Chelsea/West Brom @ 175/1 with PP

Bank -8 points

Outsider HT Fav FT
Manchester City/Tottenham @ 25/1 with Boyles/Ladbrokes
West Ham/Aston Villa @ 28/1 with Hills
Blackburn/Everton @ 28/1 with Hills
Fulham/Bolton @ 30/1 with Hills
Sunderland/Birmingham @ 30/1 with Hills
Blackpool/Wigan @ with BP/Ladbrokes/Hills
Stoke/Wolverhampton @ 33/1 with Hills
West Brom/Chelsea @ 33/1 with Ladbrokes

Bank -8 points

Interesting that for first set of fixtures I can already see Paddy Power's take on my strategy and to a lesser extent Hill's.

Collie D

Nothing at all yesterday. Going to OT to see United tomorrow so doing two days' fixtures today.

Sunday 15th and Monday 16th of August

Draw HT Fav FT
Draw/Liverpool @ 9/2 with Boyles/VC/PP/Hills
Draw/Manchester United @ 7/2 with Boyles/VC/Ladbrokes

Bank -10 points

Fav HT Outsider FT
Liverpool/Arsenal @ 35/1 with PP
Manchester United/Newcastle @ 150/1 with PP

Bank -10 points

Outsider HT Fav FT
Arsenal/Liverpool @ 28/1 with Hills
Newcastle/Manchester United @ 33/1 with Ladbrokes

Bank -10 points

Devastator

I done something similar to this last year, not for any set amount of time or random premiership picks.

I looked at away HT home FT only though. Odds are usually about 30/1 or more, so if touch for 1 every 18-20 games could be nicely up after a while.

My idea behind it was how many times have an away team taken an early lead only for the home team to come out strong and win it in the 2nd 1/2. Happens quite often, picking the matches is a different story though. I never included any of "big 4" or matches were I thought both teams would struggle to score.


Good luck

Collie D

Devastator wrote: »

I done something similar to this last year, not for any set amount of time or random premiership picks.

I looked at away HT home FT only though. Odds are usually about 30/1 or more, so if touch for 1 every 18-20 games could be nicely up after a while.

My idea behind it was how many times have an away team taken an early lead only for the home team to come out strong and win it in the 2nd 1/2. Happens quite often, picking the matches is a different story though. I never included any of "big 4" or matches were I thought both teams would struggle to score.


Good luck

Cheers for that. I had thought about excluding the big four as well but as it's not real moey I decided just to trial it all. I actually might have a bet on today's game because anybody could take the lead in that judging by previous encounters.

Collie D

Saturday 21st of August

Draw HT Fav FT
Draw/Arsenal @ 4/1 with VC
Draw/Birmingham @ 9/2 with Boyles/VC/PP/Hills
Draw/Everton @ 7/2 with Hills
Draw/Tottenham @ 9/2 with Boyles/VC/PP/BP/Hills
Draw/West Bromwich @ 9/2 with Boyles/VC/PP/BP
Draw/West Ham @ 9/2 with VC/Hills
Draw/Chelsea @ 7/2 with Boyles/Ladbrokes

Bank -6 points
Strike rate 2/17
ROI -35.29%

Fav HT Outsider FT
Arsenal/Blackpool @ 125/1 with PP
Birmingham/Blackburn @ 35/1 with PP
Everton/Wolverhampton @ 80/1 with PP
Tottenham/Stoke @ 35/1 with PP
West Bromwich/Sunderland @ 30/1 with PP/Hills
West Ham/Bolton @ 35/1 with PP
Chelsea/Wigan @ 100/1 with PP

Bank -17 points
Strike rate 0/17
ROI -100%

Outsider HT Fav FT
Blackpool/Arsenal @ 25/1 with Boyles/BP/Hills
Blackburn/Birmingham @ 33/1 with Hills
Wolverhampton/Everton @ 28/1 with Hills
Stoke/Tottenham @ 30/1 with Hills
Sunderland/West Bromwich @ 25/1 with Boyles/Hills
Bolton/West Ham @ 25/1 with Boyles/PP/Hills
Wigan/Chelsea @ 28/1 with Ladbrokes/Hills

Bank -17 points
Strike rate 0/17
ROI -100%

Collie D

Got off the mark yesterday in the draw/fav market but all challenges still in the red.

Sunday 22nd of August

Draw HT Fav FT
Draw/Aston Villa @ 5/1 with PP/Hills
Draw/Manchester United @ 7/2 with Ladbrokes

Bank -8 points
Strike rate 2/19
ROI -42.11%

Fav HT Outsider FT
Aston Villa/Newcastle United @ 30/1 with PP
Manchester United/Fulham @ 66/1 with PP

Bank -19 points
Strike rate 0/19
ROI -100%

Outsider HT Fav FT
Newcastle United/Aston Villa @ 28/1 with Hills
Fulham/Manchester United @ 25/1 with BP/Ladbrokes/Hills

Bank -19 points
Strike rate 0/19
ROI -100%

Collie D

Monday 23rd of August

Draw HT Fav FT
Draw/Manchester City @ 5/1 with Hills

Fav HT Outsider FT
Manchester City/Liverpool @ 35/1 with PP

Outsider HT Fav FT
Liverpool/Manchester City @ 30/1 with Hills

Collie D

Forgot Arsenal game was on early and draw/fav bet came in. Have just had a rough estimated guess at the odds for sake of keeping everything complete. No joy on Monday's match. Will update bank after today's games.

Saturday 28th of August

Draw HT Fav FT
Draw/Arsenal @ 9/2?
Draw/Fulham @ 5/1 with Hills
Draw/Chelsea @ 4/1 with Ladbrokes
Draw/Tottenham @ 7/2 with Ladbrokes
Draw/Wolverhampton @ 19/4 with VC
Draw/Manchester United @ 4/1 with BP

Bank -9.5 points
Strike rate 3/26
ROI -36.54%

Fav HT Outsider FT
Arsenal/Blackburn @ 125/1?
Fulham/Blackpool @ 33/1 with VC
Chelsea/Stoke @ 250/1 with PP
Tottenham/Wigan @ 100/1 with VC/PP
Wolverhampton/Newcastle United @ 40/1 with VC
Manchester United/West Ham @ 175/1 with PP

Bank -26 points
Strike rate 0/26
ROI -100%

Outsider HT Fav FT
Blackburn/Arsenal @ 33/1?
Blackpool/Fulham @ 33/1 with VC
Stoke/Chelsea @ 33/1 with Ladbrokes
Wigan/Tottenham @ 28/1 with Ladbrokes
Newcastle United/Wolverhampton @ 33/1 with VC
West Ham/Manchester United @ 33/1 with Ladbrokes

Bank -26 points
Strike rate 0/26
ROI -100%

Collie D

All three logs still in the red after 26 games with not a single hit in the second and third logs although thought either Blackpool or Newcastle or both were going to put me in profit in one.

Sunday 29th of August

Draw HT Fav FT
Draw/Bolton @ 4/1 with Boyles/VC/PP/BP
Draw/Liverpool @ 4/1 with Boyles
Draw/Manchester City @ 7/2 with VC/PP/BP/Ladbrokes
Draw/Aston Villa @ 5/1 with VC/PP/Hills

Bank -7.5 points
Strike rate 4/30
ROI -25%

Fav HT Outsider FT
Bolton/Birmingham @ 50/1 with VC
Liverpool/West Bromwich @ 125/1 with PP
Manchester City/Sunderland @ 50/1 with VC
Aston Villa/Everton @ 33/1 with VC

Bank -30 points
Strike rate 0/30
ROI -100%

Outsider FT Fav HT
Birmingham/Bolton @ 33/1 with VC
West Bromwich/Liverpool @ 28/1 with VC/Ladbrokes/Hills
Sunderland/Manchester City @ 28/1 with VC
Everton/Aston Villa @ 40/1 with VC

Bank -30 points
Strike rate 0/30
ROI -100%

Collie D

Draw HT/Fav FT markets slowly creeping back towards level par. Hopefully hit profit next week. Other two markets still fruitless but a single win in either one should make a big difference given the odds. For the first time I'll actually be having a real punt on two of the selections below. Two single bets on Arsenal and Chelsea in the Draw HT/Fav FT market. Just realised I totted up bank wrong after Liverpool's win over West Brom. I'm actually a point worse off than previously stated.

Saturday 11th of September

Draw HT Fav FT
Draw/Manchester United @ 15/4 with Hills
Draw/Arsenal @ 7/2 with Boyles/Ladbrokes
Draw/Fulham @ 7/2 with Boyles/PP/BP/Ladbrokes
Draw/Manchester City @ 7/2 with Ladbrokes
Draw/Newcastle United @ 7/2 with Ladbrokes
Draw/Tottenham @ 4/1 with Boyles/VC/PP/Hills
Draw/Chelsea @ 7/2 with Ladbrokes/Hills
Draw/Wigan @ 9/2 with Boyles/VC/PP/BP/Hills

P/L -12 points
Strike rate 5/38
ROI -31.58%

Fav HT Outsider FT
Manchester United/Everton @ 50/1 with VC
Arsenal/Bolton @ 100/1 with VC/PP
Fulham/Wolverhampton @ 66/1 with VC
Manchester City/Blackburn @ 100/1 with VC
Newcastle United/Blackpool @ 66/1 with VC
Tottenham/West Bromwich @ 40/1 with VC
Chelsea/West Ham @ 100/1 with VC
Wigan/Sunderland @ 40/1 with VC

P/L -38 points
Strike rate 0/38
ROI -100%

Outsider FT Fav HT
Everton/Manchester United @ 28/1 with VC
Bolton/Arsenal @ 28/1 with Ladbrokes
Wolverhampton/Fulham @ 33/1 with VC
Blackburn/Manchester City @ 28/1 with Ladbrokes
Blackpool/Newcastle United @ 25/1 with BP/Ladbrokes
West Bromwich/Tottenham @ 28/1 with VC
West Ham/Chelsea @ 28/1 with Ladbrokes
Sunderland/Wigan @ 33/1 with VC

P/L -4 points
Strike rate 1/38
ROI -10.53%

Collie D

Sunday 12th of September

Draw HT Fav FT
Draw/Liverpool @ 9/2 with PP

P/L -13 points
Strike Rate 5/39
ROI -33.33%

Fav HT Outsider FT
Liverpool/Birmingham @ 50/1 with VC

P/L -39 points
Strike rate 0/39
ROI -100%

Outsider HT Fav FT
Birmingham/Liverpool @ 33/1 with VC

P/L -5 points
Strike rate 1/39
ROI -12.82%

Collie D

Monday 13th of September

Draw HT Fav FT
Draw/Stoke @ 5/1 with Hills

P/L -14 points
Strike rate 5/40
ROI -35%

Fav HT Outsider FT
Stoke/Aston Villa @ 40/1 with VC

P/L -40 points
Strike rate 0/40
ROI -100%

Outsider HT Fav FT
Aston Villa/Stoke @ 40/1 with VC

P/L +35 points
Strike rate 2/40
ROI +87.5%

Collie D

Took 40 games but finally got one of the logs into profit. Let's see if we can do the same with the other two from now on.

Saturday 18th of September

Draw HT Fav FT
Draw/Stoke @ 18/5 with Hills
Draw/Aston Villa @ 16/5 with Hills
Draw/Blackburn @ 4/1 with Boyles
Draw/Everton @ 7/2 with PP/Ladbrokes
Draw/Tottenham @ 7/2 with Ladbrokes
Draw/West Bromwich @ 9/2 with Boyles
Draw/Arsenal @ 7/2 with PP/Ladbrokes

P/L -21 points or -44.68%
Strike rate 5/47 or 10.64%

Fav HT Outsider FT
Stoke/West Ham @ 50/1 with VC
Aston Villa/Bolton @ 50/1 with VC
Blackburn/Fulham @ 50/1 with VC
Everton/Newcastle United @ 66/1 with VC
Tottenham/Wolverhampton @ 80/1 with VC
West Bromwich/Birmingham @ 40/1 with VC
Arsenal/Sunderland @ 50/1 with VC

P/L -47 points or -100%
Strike rate 0/47 or 0%

Outsider HT Fav FT
West Ham/Stoke @ 33/1 with VC
Bolton/Aston Villa @ 25/1 with VC/BP
Fulham/Blackburn @ 33/1 with VC
Newcastle United/Everton @ 25/1 with VC/BP/Ladbrokes
Wolverhampton/Tottenham @ 28/1 with Ladbrokes
Birmingham/West Bromwich @ 33/1 with VC
Sunderland/Arsenal @ 25/1 with VC/BP/Ladbrokes

P/L +96 points or +204.26%
Strike rate 4/47 or 8.51%

Collie D

Outsider HT Fav FT well into profit now and covering losses on other two logs.

Sunday 19th of September

Draw HT Fav FT
Draw/Manchester United @ 7/2 with PP/Ladbrokes
Draw/Manchester City @ 7/2 with PP/Ladbrokes
Draw/Chelsea @ 9/2 with Ladbrokes

P/L -24 points or -48%
Strike rate 5/50 or 10%

Fav HT Outsider FT
Manchester United/Liverpool @ 66/1 with VC
Manchester City/Wigan @ 66/1 with VC
Chelsea/Blackpool @ 225/1 with PP

P/L -50 points or -100%
Strike rate 0/50 or 0%

Outsider HT Fav FT
Liverpool/Manchester United @ 28/1 with VC
Wigan/Manchester City @ 28/1 with VC
Blackpool/Chelsea @ 40/1 with Ladbrokes

P/L +93 points or +186%
Strike rate 4/50 or 8%

Collie D

Saturday 25th of September

Draw HT Fav FT
Draw/Chelsea @ 9/2 with PP
Draw/Arsenal @ 4/1 with Boyles
Draw/Birmingham @ 7/2 with PP/BP/Ladbrokes
Draw/Blackburn @ 19/4 with VC
Draw/Everton @ 11/2 with Hills
Draw/Liverpool @ 7/2 with Ladbrokes
Draw/Tottenham @ 17/4 with VC

P/L -31 points or -54.39%
Strike rate 5/57 or 8.77%

Fav HT Outsider FT
Chelsea/Manchester City @ 40/1 with VC
Arsenal/West Bromwich @ 100/1 with VC
Birmingham/Wigan @ 50/1 with VC
Blackburn/Blackpool @ 33/1 with VC
Everton/Fulham @ 40/1 with VC
Liverpool/Sunderland @ 100/1 with VC
Tottenham/West Ham @ 40/1 with VC

P/L -57 points or -100%
Strike rate 0/57 or 0%

Outsider HT Fav FT
Manchester City/Chelsea @ 28/1 with VC
West Bromwich/Arsenal @ 33/1 with Ladbrokes
Wigan/Birmingham @ 28/1 with VC
Blackpool/Blackburn @ 28/1 with VC
Fulham/Everton @ 40/1 with VC
Sunderland/Liverpool @ 28/1 with VC/Ladbrokes
West Ham/Tottenham @ 28/1 with VC

P/L +86 points or +150.88%
Strike rate 4/57 or 7.02%

Collie D

Not even a sniff of a win yesterday. The draw half time bet looks like a black hole of cash even at this early stage. The fav ht outsider ft still hasn't hit but at those prices it would only take one or two to get into profit. Outsider ht fav ft is still healthily in profit with enough in reserve to get me through next eight weeks if I don't get another win.

Sunday 26th of September

Draw HT Fav FT
Draw/Manchester United @ 7/2 with Ladbrokes
Draw/Aston Villa @ 5/1 with VC/PP/BP/Hills
Draw/Newcastle United @ 18/5 with VC/Hills

P/L -34 points or -56.67%
Strike rate 5/60 or 8.33%

Fav HT Outsider FT
Manchester United/Bolton @ 80/1 with VC
Aston Villa/Wolverhampton @ 40/1 with VC
Newcastle United/Stoke @ 50/1 with VC

P/L -9 points or -15%
Strike rate 1/60 or 1.67%

Outsider HT Fav FT
Bolton/Manchester United with VC/BP/Ladbrokes
Wolverhampton/Aston Villa @ 40/1 with VC
Stoke/Newcastle United @ 28/1 with VC

P/L +83 points or +138.33%
Strike rate 4/60 or 6.67%

Collie D

Off the mark in the outsider win market last Sunday but still in the red.

Saturday 2nd of October

Draw HT Fav FT
Draw/Wigan @ 9/2 with Boyles/PP/Hills
Draw/Everton @ 9/2 with Boyles/VC/PP/BP/Hills
Draw/Stoke @ 9/2 with Boyles/BP/Hills
Draw/Manchester United @ 7/2 with PP/Ladbrokes
Draw/Tottenham @ 15/4 with Hills
Draw/West Bromwich @ 9/2 with BP
Draw/West Ham @ 5/1 with Hills

P/L -19.75 points or -29.48%
Strike rate 9/67 or 13.43%

Fav HT Outsider FT
Wigan/Wolverhampton @ 35/1 with PP
Everton/Birmingham @ 33/1 with PP/Hills
Stoke/Blackburn @ 35/1 with PP
Manchester United/Sunderland @ 50/1 with PP
Tottenham/Aston Villa @ 35/1 with PP
West Bromwich/Bolton @ 33/1 with VC/BP
West Ham/Fulham @ 35/1 with PP

P/L-16 points or -23.88%
Strike rate 1/67 or 1.49%

Outsider HT Fav FT
Wolverhampton/Wigan @ 33/1 with VC
Birmingham/Everton @ 33/1 with VC
Blackburn/Stoke @ 33/1 with VC
Sunderland/Manchester United @ 28/1 with VC
Aston Villa/Tottenham @ with VC/BP/Ladbrokes
Bolton/West Bromwich @ 28/1 with VC
Fulham/West Ham @ 33/1 with VC

P/L +76 points or +113.43%
Strike rate 4/67 or 5.97%

Overall
P/L +40.25 points or +20.02%
Strike rate 14/67 or 20.9%

Collie D

Good day yesterday in the draw HT markets. Can it continue and maybe get closer to positive figures?

Sunday 3rd of October

Draw HT Fav FT
Draw/Manchester City @ 7/2 with Ladbrokes
Draw/Liverpool @ 7/2 with Ladbrokes
Draw/Chelsea @ 7/2 with PP/Ladbrokes

P/L -18.25 points or -26.07%
Strike rate 10/70 or 14.29%

Fav HT Outsider FT
Manchester City/Newcastle United @ 75/1 with PP
Liverpool/Blackpool @ 80/1 with PP
Chelsea/Arsenal @ 45/1 with PP

P/L -19 points or -27.14%
Strike rate 1/70 or 1.43%

Outsider HT Fav FT
Newcastle United/Manchester City @ 28/1 with Ladbrokes
Blackpool/Liverpool @ 28/1 wih Ladbrokes
Arsenal/Chelsea @ 25/1 with VC/BP/Ladbrokes

P/L +73 points or +104.29%
Strike rate 4/70 or 5.71%

Overall
P/L +35.75 points or +17.02%
Strike rate 15/70 or 21.43%

Collie D

Saturday 16th of October

Draw HT Fav FT
Draw/Arsenal @ 7/2 with Ladbrokes
Draw/Bolton @ 4/1 with Boyles/VC/PP/BP
Draw/Tottenham @ 5/1 with PP/BP
Draw/Manchester United @ 7/2 with Ladbrokes
Draw/Newcastle United @ 7/2 with VC/PP/BP/Ladbrokes
Draw/Wolverhampton @ 9/2 with Boyles/BP
Draw/Chelsea @ 7/2 with Boyles/VC/PP/Ladbrokes

P/L -14.75 points or -19.16%
Strike rate 12/77 or 15.58%

Fav HT Outsider FT
Arsenal/Birmingham @ 80/1 with PP
Bolton/Stoke @ 40/1 with BP
Tottenham/Fulham @ 30/1 with PP
Manchester United/West Bromwich @ 90/1 with PP
Newcastle United/Wigan @ 45/1 with PP
Wolverhampton/West Ham @ 35/1 with PP
Chelsea/Aston Villa @ 40/1 with PP

P/L -26 points or -33.77%
Strike rate 1/77 or 1.3%

Outsider HT Fav FT
Birmingham/Arsenal @ 28/1 with Ladbrokes
Stoke/Bolton @ 25/1 with VC/PP/BP
Fulham/Tottenham @ 28/1 with VC
West Bromwich/Manchester United @ 28/1 with Ladbrokes
Wigan/Newcastle United @ 25/1 with BP/Ladbrokes
West Ham/Wolverhampton @ 28/1 with VC
Aston Villa/Chelsea @ 25/1 with BP/Ladbrokes

P/L +66 points or +85.71%
Strike rate 4/77 or 5.19%

Overall
P/L +25.25 points or +10.93%
Strike rate 17/77 or 22.08%

Collie D

Sunday 17th of October

Draw HT Fav FT
Draw/Everton @ 5/1 with Hills
Draw/Manchester City @ 7/2 with BP/Ladbrokes

P/L -12.25 points or -15.51%
Strike rate 13/79 or 16.46%

Fav HT Outsider FT
Everton/Liverpool @ 33/1 with BP
Manchester City/Blackpool @ 40/1 with BP

P/L -28 points or -35.44%
Strike rate 1/79 or 1.27%

Outsider HT Fav FT
Liverpool/Everton @ 30/1 with Hills
Blackpool/Manchester City @ 25/1 with BP/Ladbrokes

P/L +64 points or +81.01%
Strike rate 4/79 or 5.06%

Overall
P/L +23.75 points or +10.02%
Strike rate 18/79 or 22.78%

Collie D

Late home from work so kind of cheating by guessing at prices.

Monday 18th of October

Draw HT Fav FT
Draw/Blackburn @ 9/2?

P/L -13.25 points or -16.56%
Strike rate 13/80 or 16.25%

Fav HT Outsider FT
Blackburn/Sunderland @ 40/1?

P/L -29 points or -36.25%
Strike rate 1/80 or 1.25%

Outsider HT Fav FT
Sunderland/Blackburn @ 28/1?

P/L +63 points or +78.75%
Strike rate 4/80 or 5%

Overall
P/L +20.75 points or +8.65%
Strike rate 18/80 or 22.5%

Collie D

Saturday 23rd of October

Draw HT Fav FT
Draw/Tottenham @ 9/2 with Hills
Draw/Birmingham @ 9/2 with Hills
Draw/Chelsea @ 7/2 with Boyles/BP/Ladbrokes/Hills
Draw/Sunderland @ 9/2 with Boyles/PP/BP/Hills
Draw/West Bromwich @ 9/2 with Hills
Draw/Wigan @ 9/2 with Boyles/PP/BP/Hills
Draw/West Ham @ 9/2 with Boyles/PP/Hills

P/L -20.25 points or -23.28%
Strike rate 13/87 or 14.94%

Fav HT Outsider FT
Totenham/Everton @ 35/1 with PP
Birmingham/Blackpool @ 35/1 with PP
Chelsea/Wolverhampton @ 175/1 with PP
Sunderland/Aston Villa @ 35/1 with PP
West Bromwich/Fulham @ 40/1 with PP
Wigan/Bolton @ 33/1 with PP
West Ham/Newcastle United @ 30/1 with PP

P/L -36 points or -41.38%
Strike rate 1/87 or 1.15%

Outsider HT Fav FT
Everton/Tottenham @ 28/1 with BP/Hills
Blackpool/Birmingham @ 25/1 with Hills
Wolverhampton/Chelsea @ 33/1 with Ladbrokes
Aston Villa/Sunderland @ 28/1 with VC/Hills
Fulham/West Bromwich @ 28/1 with Hills
Bolton/Wigan @ 28/1 with VC/Hills
Newcastle United/West Ham @ 28/1 with Hills

P/L +56 points or +64.37%
Strike rate 4/87 or 4.6%

Overall
P/L -0.25 points or -0.1%
Strike rate 18/87 or 20.69%

Collie D

Bad day on Saturday with not one bet coming in. Still just the one log in profit but overall the challenge is now in the red so somehing needs to click today. Slightly disappointing as the draw ht market was slowly creeping towards the black for the first time. Anyway, on we go.

Sunday 24th of October

Draw HT Fav FT
Draw/Manchester United @ 7/2 with PP/Ladbrokes
Draw/Liverpool @ 7/2 with Ladbrokes
Draw/Manchester City @ 5/1 with Hills

P/L -18.75 points or -20.83%
Strike rate 14/90 or 15.56%

Fav HT Outsider FT
Manchester United/Stoke @ 50/1 with PP
Liverpool/Blackburn @ 60/1 with PP
Manchester City/Arsenal @ 33/1 with BP

P/L -39 points or -43.33%
Strike rate 1/90 or 1.11%

Outsider HT Fav FT
Stoke/Manchester United @ 25/1 with BP/Ladbrokes
Blackburn/Liverpool @ 25/1 with VC/BP/Hills
Arsenal/Manchester City @ 28/1 with Hills

P/L +53 points or +58.89%
Strike rate 4/90 or 4.44%

Overall
P/L -4.75 points or -1.76%
Strike rate 19/90 or 21.11%

Collie D

Saturday 30th October

Draw HT Fav FT
Draw/Arsenal @ 4/1 with Boyles
Draw/Chelsea @ 7/2 with Ladbrokes
Draw/Everton @ 7/2 with Ladbrokes
Draw/Fulham @ 7/2 with VC/PP/BP/Ladbrokes
Draw/Manchester City @ 7/2 with PP/Ladbrokes/Hills
Draw/Manchester United @ 7/2 with PP/Ladbrokes

P/L -10.75 points or -11.2%
Strike rate 17/96 or 17.71%

Fav HT Outsider HT
Arsenal/West Ham @ 150/1 with PP
Chelsea/Blackburn @ 70/1 with PP
Everton/Stoke @ 66/1 with PP/BP
Fulham/Wigan @ 45/1 with PP
Manchester City/Wolverhampton @ 50/1 with PP
Manchester United/Tottenham @ 45/1 with PP

P/L -45 points or -46.88%
Strike rate 1/96 or 1.04%

Outsider HT Fav FT
West Ham/Arsenal @ 33/1 with Ladbrokes
Blackburn/Chelsea @ 28/1 with BP
Stoke/Everton @ 25/1 with VC/BP/Hills
Wigan/Fulham @ 25/1 with VC/BP/Ladbrokes/Hills
Wolverhampton/Manchester City @ 25/1 with VC/BP/Ladbrokes/Hills
Tottenham/Manchester United @ 25/1 with BP/Ladbrokes

P/L +47 points or +48.96%
Strike rate 4/96 or 4.17%

Overall
P/L -8.75 points or -3.04%
Strike rate 22/96 or 22.92%

Collie D

Just over a quarter of the way through the season and still only the outsider ht fav ft log in the black and no hits on that in a while. Profitable day on draw ht fav ft yesterday but overall have slipped further into the red.

Sunday 31st of October

Draw HT Fav FT
Draw/Aston Villa @ 18/5 with Hills
Draw/Newcastle United @ 9/2 with Boyles/Hills
Draw/Liverpool @ 9/2 with Boyles/PP/BP

Fav HT Outsider FT
Aston Villa/Birmingham @ 50/1 with BP
Newcastle United/Sunderland @ 35/1 with PP
Liverpool/Bolton @ 35/1 with PP

Outsider HT Fav FT
Birmingham/Aston Villa @ 28/1 with Hills
Sunderland/Newcastle United @ 28/1 with Hills
Bolton/Liverpool @ 25/1 with VC/PP/Ladbrokes/Hills

Collie D

Collie D wrote: »

Sunday 31st of October

Draw HT Fav FT
Draw/Aston Villa @ 18/5 with Hills
Draw/Newcastle United @ 9/2 with Boyles/Hills
Draw/Liverpool @ 9/2 with Boyles/PP/BP

Fav HT Outsider FT
Aston Villa/Birmingham @ 50/1 with BP
Newcastle United/Sunderland @ 35/1 with PP
Liverpool/Bolton @ 35/1 with PP

Outsider HT Fav FT
Birmingham/Aston Villa @ 28/1 with Hills
Sunderland/Newcastle United @ 28/1 with Hills
Bolton/Liverpool @ 25/1 with VC/PP/Ladbrokes/Hills

Couldn't get on to include the Blackpool v West Brom game last night but as none of the three systems came up in that game I'll just include them as three losing bets to keep the log alive.

Draw HT Fav FT
P/L -9.25 points or -9.25%
Strike rate 18/100 or 18%

Fav HT Outsider FT
P/L -49 points or -49%
Strike rate 1/100 or 1%

Outsider HT Fav FT
P/L +43 points or +43%
Strike rate 4/100 or 4%

Overall
P/L -15.25 points or -5.08%
Strike rate 23/100 or 23%

Collie D

Saturday 6th of November

Draw HT Fav FT
Draw/Tottenham @ 5/1 with Hills
Draw/Birmingham @ 15/4 with Hills
Draw/Blackburn @ 4/1 with BP
Draw/Everton @ 15/4 with Hills
Draw/Fulham @ 9/2 with Boyles/BP
Draw/Manchester United @ 7/2 with Ladbrokes
Draw/Sunderland @ 4/1 with Boyles/PP/BP/Hills

P/L -11.25 points or -10.51%
Strike rate 19/107 or 17.76%

Fav HT Outsider FT
Tottenham/Bolton @ 33/1 with BP
Birmingham/West Ham @ 45/1 with PP
Blackburn/Wigan @ 50/1 with PP
Everton/Blackpool @ 40/1 with PP
Fulham/Aston Villa @ 45/1 with Hills
Manchester United/Woverhampton @ 125/1 with PP
Sunderland/Stoke @ 45/1 with PP

P/L -56 points or -52.34%
Strike rate 1/107 or 0.93%

Outsider HT Fav FT
Bolton/Tottenham @ 28/1 with Hills
West Ham/Birmingham @ 28/1 with VC/Hills
Wigan/Blackburn @ 25/1 with VC/BP/Hills
Blackpool/Everton @ 25/1 with BP/Hills
Aston Villa/Fulham @ 28/1 with VC
Wolverhampton/Manchester United @ 28/1 with Ladbrokes
Stoke/Sunderland @ 28/1 with VC/Hills

P/L +36 points or 33.64%
Strike rate 4/107 or 3.74%

Overall
P/L -31.25 points or -9.74%
Strike rate 24/107 or 22.43%

Collie D

Sunday 7th of October

Draw HT Fav FT
Draw/Arsenal @ 7/2 with Hills
Draw/Manchester City @ 5/1 with Hills
Draw/Chelsea @ 9/2 with Hills

P/L -14.25 points or -12.95%
Strike rate 19/110 or 17.27%

Fav HT Outsider FT
Arsenal/Newcastle United @ 80/1 with PP/BP
Manchester City/West Bromwich @ 33/1 with BP
Chelsea/Liverpool @ 35/1 with PP

P/L -59 points or -53.64%
Strike rate 1/110 or 0.91%

Outsider HT Fav FT
Newcastle United/Arsenal @ 25/1 with Ladbrokes
West Bromwich/Manchester City @ 28/1 with Hills
Liverpool/Chelsea @ 28/1 with Hills

P/L +33 points or +30%
Strike rate 4/110 or 3.64%

Overall
P/L-40.25 points or -12.2%
Strike rate 24/110 or 21.82%

Collie D

Tuesday 9th of November

Draw HT Fav FT
Draw/Stoke @ 4/1 with Boyles/PP/BP
Draw/Tottenham @ 7/2 with Ladbrokes

P/L -16.25 points or -14.51%
Strike rate 19/112 or 16.96%

Fav HT Outsider FT
Stoke/Birmingham @ 40/1 with PP/Hills
Tottenham/Sunderland @ 60/1 with PP

P/L -61 points or -54.46%
Strike rate 1/112 or 0.89%

Outsider HT Fav FT
Birmingham/Stoke @ 28/1 with VC/Hills
Sunderland/Tottenham @ 28/1 with Ladbrokes

P/L +31 points or +27.68%
Strike rate 4/112 or 3.57%

Overall
P/L -46.25 points or -13.76%
Strike rate 24/112 or 21.43%

Collie D

Wednesday 10th of November

Draw HT Fav FT
Draw/Aston Villa @ 7/2 with Ladbrokes
Draw/Chelsea @ 18/5 with Hills
Draw/Newcastle United @ 4/1 with BP
Draw/West Ham @ 9/2 with Boyles/PP
Draw/Liverpool @ 7/2 with PP/BP/Ladbrokes
Draw/Everton @ 7/2 with Ladbrokes
Draw/Manchester United @ 5/1 with Boyles/PP/BP/Ladbrokes/Hills
Draw/Arsenal @ 7/2 with PP/Ladbrokes

P/L -19.75 or -16.46%
Strike rate 20/120 or 16.67%

Fav HT Outsider FT
Aston Villa/Blackpool @ 60/1 with PP
Chelsea/Fulham @ 125/1 with PP
Newcastle United/Blackburn @ 45/1 with PP/Hills
West Ham/West Bromwich @ 33/1 with BP
Liverpool/Wigan @ 50/1 with PP/Hills
Everton/Bolton @ 55/1 with PP
Manchester United/Manchester City @ 30/1 with PP
Arsenal/Wolverhampton @ 50/1 with PP

P/L -69 points or -57.5%
Strike rate 1/120 or 0.83%

Outsider HT Fav FT
Blackpool/Aston Villa @ 25/1 with BP/Ladbrokes
Fulham/Chelsea @ 33/1 with Ladbrokes
Blackburn/Newcastle United @ 22/1 with Boyles/VC/PP/BP/Ladbrokes
West Bromwich/West Ham @ 25/1 with VC
Wigan/Liverpool @ 25/1 with VC/BP
Bolton/Everton @ 25/1 with BP/Hills
Manchester City/Manchester United @ 28/1 with VC/Hills
Wolverhampton/Arsenal @ 28/1 with BP

P/L +23 points or +19.17%
Strike rate 4/120 or 3.33%

Overall
P/L -65.75 points or -18.26%
Strike rate 25/120 or 20.83%

Collie D

Saturday 13th of November

Draw HT Fav FT
Draw/Manchester United @ 7/2 with PP/BP/Ladbrokes
Draw/Manchester City @ 7/2 with Ladbrokes
Draw/Newcastle United @ 4/1 with PP/Hills
Draw/Tottenham @ 7/2 with Ladbrokes/Hills
Draw/West Ham @ 4/1 with VC/PP/Hills
Draw/Wigan @ 5/1 with PP/Hills
Draw/Wolverhampton @ 9/2 with Boyles/PP/Hills
Draw/Liverpool @ 4/1 with Boyles/PP/Hills

P/L -21.75 points or -16.99%
Strike rate 21/128 or 16.41%

Fav HT Outsider FT
Manchester United/Aston Villa @ 55/1 with PP
Manchester City/Birmingham @ 80/1 with PP
Newcastle United/Fulham @ 40/1 with PP
Tottenham/Blackburn @ 55/1 with PP
West Ham/Blackpool @ 33/1 with VC/PP/BP/Hills
Wigan/West Bromwich @ 28/1 with VC/Hills
Wolverhampton/Bolton @ 33/1 with PP
Liverpool/Stoke @ 40/1 with PP/BP

P/L -77 points or -60.16%
Strike rate 1/128 or 0.78%

Outsider HT Fav FT
Aston Villa/Manchester United @ 25/1 with VC//BP/Ladbrokes/Hills
Birmingham/Manchester City @ 28/1 with Ladbrokes
Fulham/Newcastle United @ 25/1 with VC/BP/Ladbrokes/Hills
Blackburn/Tottenham @ 25/1 with Ladbrokes
Blackpool/West Ham @ 25/1 with BP/Ladbrokes
West Bromwich/Wigan @ 28/1 with Hills
Bolton/Wolverhampton @ 28/1 with Hills
Stoke/Liverpool @ 28/1 with VC/Hills

P/L +15 points or +11.72%
Strike rate 4/128 or 3.13%

Overall
P/L -83.75 points or -21.81%
Strike rate 26/128 or 20.31%

Collie D

Over a third of the way through the season and last couple of weeks have been nothing short of dire to be honest. Will be surprised if I can manage to get the overall figure into balck but wil plug on out of curiosity. Still just the Outsider HT Fav FT market in profit but that's expected to go red soon.

Sunday 14th of November

Draw HT Fav FT
Draw/Arsenal @ 5/1 with Hills
Draw/Chelsea @ 18/5 with Hills

P/L -23.75 points or -18.27%
Strike rate 21/130 or 16.15%

Fav HT Outsider FT
Arsenal/Everton @ 33/1 with BP
Chelsea/Sunderland @ 125/1 with PP

P/L -79 points or -60.77%
Strike rate 1/130 or 0.77%

Outsider HT Fav FT
Everton/Arsenal @ 28/1 with Hills
Sunderland/Chelsea @ 28/1 with Ladbrokes/Hills

P/L +13 points or +10%
Strike rate 4/130 or 3.08%

Overall
P/L -89.75 points or -23.01%
Strike rate 26/130 or 20%

Collie D

Saturday 20th of November

Draw HT Fav FT
Draw/Arsenal @ 4/1 with BP
Draw/Chelsea @ 9/2 with Hills
Draw/Blackpool @ 5/1 with PP
Draw/Bolton @ 4/1 with Boyles/VC/PP/BP/Hills
Draw/Manchester United @ 7/2 with Boyles/Ladbrokes
Draw/West Bromwich @ 9/2 with Boyles/Hills
Draw/Liverpool @ 9/2 with Hills

P/L -30.75 points or -22.45%
Strike rate 21/137 or 15.33%

Fav HT Outsider FT
Arsenal/Tottenham @ 40/1 with PP/BP
Chelsea/Birmingham @ 66/1 with BP
Blackpool/Wolverhampton @ 25/1 with VC/PP/Ladbrokes/Hills
Bolton/Newcastle United @ 35/1 with PP
Manchester United/Wigan @ 125/1 with PP
West Bromwich/Stoke @ 35/1 with PP
Liverpool/West Ham @ 70/1 with PP

P/L -45 points or -32.85%
Strike rate 2/137 or 1.46%

Outsider HT Fav FT
Tottenham/Arsenal @ 25/1 with Ladbrokes
Birmingham/Chelsea @ 33/1 with Hills
Wolverhampton/Blackpool @ 25/1 with Ladbrokes
Newcastle United/Bolton @ 25/1 with VC/Hills
Wigan/Manchester United @ 28/1 with Ladbrokes/Hills
Stoke/West Bromwich @ 28/1 with Hills
West Ham/Liverpool @ 33/1 with Hills

P/L +6 points or +4.38%
Strike rate 4/137 or 2.92%

Overall
P/L -69.75 points or -16.97%
Strike rate 27/137 or 19.71%

Collie D

Sunday 21st of November

Draw HT Fav FT
Draw/Blackburn @ 9/2 with Boyles/PP/PP/Hills
Draw/Manchester City @ 5/1 with Hills

P/L -32.75 points or -23.56%
Strike rate 21/139 or 15.11%

Fav HT Outsider FT
Blackburn/Aston Villa @ 33/1 with VC/BP/Hills
Manchester City/Fulham @ 35/1 with PP/Hills

P/L -47 points or -33.81%
Strike rate 2/139 or 1.44%

Outsider HT Fav FT
Aston Villa/Blackburn @ 28/1 with VC/Hills
Fulham/Manchester City @ 28/1 with VC/Hills

P/L +4 points or +2.88%
Strike rate 4/139 or 2.88%

Overall
-75.75 points or -18.17%
Strike rate 27/139 or 19.42%

Collie D

Getting the Monday game in early as I probably won;t be online tomorrow.

Monday 22nd of November

Draw HT Fav FT
Draw/Sunderland @ 5/1 with PP/Hills

Fav HT Outsider FT
Sunderland/Everton @ VC/PP/Hills

Outsider HT Fav FT
Everton/Sunderland @ 33/1 with PP

Collie D

Haven't been online all week but as the only result that would have come in for the log was Wolves drawing at ht and winning yesterday I am taking an educated guess at a 5/1 win and the rest losers to keep p&l up to date.

Draw HT Fav FT
P/L -35.75 points or -24.16%
Strike rate 22/148 or 14.86%

Fav HT Outsider FT
P/L -56 points or -37.84%
Strike rate 2/148 or 1.35%

Outsider HT Fav FT
P/L -5 points or -3.34%
Strike rate 4/148 or 2.7%

Sunday 28th of November

Draw HT Fav FT
Draw/Chelsea @ 7/2 with PP/BP/Ladbrokes
Draw/Tottenham @ 9/2 with BP

P/L -37.75 points or -25.17%
Strike rate 22/150 or 14.67%

Fav HT Outsider FT
Chelsea/Newcastle United @ 50/1 with BP
Tottenham/Liverpool @ 35/1 with PP

P/L -58 points or -38.67%
Strike rate 2/150 or 1.33%

Outsider HT Fav FT
Newcastle United/Chelsea @ 25/1 with BP/Ladbrokes
Liverpool/Tottenham @ 25/1 with VC/Ladbrokes/Hills

P/L +19 points or -12.67%
Strike rate 5/150 or 3.33%

Overall
P/L -76.75 points or -17.06%
Strike rate 29/150 or 19.33%