Betting against Dunphys advice

adamski8

Seems like good logic to me!
He has been saying all before the world cup that he would tip austrailia to do really well :rolleyes:
His latest blog on betfair 10th june:

• South Africa v Mexico: Back the Draw
• Uruguay v France: Back the Draw
• Lay Germany against Australia
• England to beat USA 1-0, but potential banana skin

He got two of those right

A nice one from the 8th of june was
"Serbia and Australia to qualify ahead of Germany"

From now on im going to bet €2 (pretty small amount but hopefully it will build up) against anything dunphy predicts in his blog.

Anyone else gonna do the same?

Anyone remember i think it was on newstalk where he gave his tips for the weeks soccer and guaranteed profit at the end of the season, think it just got dropped after he lost so much! (maybe im wrong)

ninebeanrows

Or betting with Liam Brady?

Sending off in German game was good call with nutter of a ref.

brianthebard

technically he got two and a half right if you count the banana skin that green slipped on. I still wouldn't believe anything he says though.

adamski8

from http://betting.betfair.ie/betfair-eamon-dunphy/betfair-with-dunphy-world-cup-betting-tips-14-june-140610.html
Brazil should make easy work of North Korea
Eamon will be going for Spain Uruguay double this week
South Korea could give Argentina a shock
Eamon doesn't think Mexico will hurt France

>So ill bet on under 2.5 goals in the brazil match as from dunphys reckoning it should be 4 or 5 goal against north korea (he's not saying what he's betting on so ill assume)
>I'll bet on the draw for both Spain v Swiz and Uruguay v SA
>I'll bet on Mexico to beat France

€8 bet

brianthebard wrote: »

technically he got two and a half right if you count the banana skin that green slipped on. I still wouldn't believe anything he says though.

no im not counting that anyway :P eamo likes to squirm outta things

Playoff_Beard

great idea i say.

adamski8

adamski8 wrote: »

from http://betting.betfair.ie/betfair-eamon-dunphy/betfair-with-dunphy-world-cup-betting-tips-14-june-140610.html
Brazil should make easy work of North Korea
Eamon will be going for Spain Uruguay double this week
South Korea could give Argentina a shock
Eamon doesn't think Mexico will hurt France

>So ill bet on under 2.5 goals in the brazil match as from dunphys reckoning it should be 4 or 5 goal against north korea (he's not saying what he's betting on so ill assume)
>I'll bet on the draw for both Spain v Swiz and Uruguay v SA
>I'll bet on Mexico to beat France

€8 bet


no im not counting that anyway :P eamo likes to squirm outta things

So dunphy got all his tips wrong!
I made some money on the mexico win (forgot to bet on argentina for some reason)
While dunphy didnt get it right with spain, either did i though.

So dunphy has 0/4 tips right so far and thats pretty shocking seeing as he is going for the short odds!!!!

ValueSeeker

Dunphy is doing alright according to this

Certainly a lot better than I am.

Collie D

adamski8 wrote: »

Seems like good logic to me!
He has been saying all before the world cup that he would tip austrailia to do really well :rolleyes:
His latest blog on betfair 10th june:

• South Africa v Mexico: Back the Draw
• Uruguay v France: Back the Draw
• Lay Germany against Australia
• England to beat USA 1-0, but potential banana skin

He got two of those right

A nice one from the 8th of june was
"Serbia and Australia to qualify ahead of Germany"

From now on im going to bet €2 (pretty small amount but hopefully it will build up) against anything dunphy predicts in his blog.

Anyone else gonna do the same?

Anyone remember i think it was on newstalk where he gave his tips for the weeks soccer and guaranteed profit at the end of the season, think it just got dropped after he lost so much! (maybe im wrong)

Kinf of agree Dunphy's not great but from the examples you gave he'd be up about 2.5 units to level stakes. Correct scores are are always hard to predict so can give him benefit of doubt there. The only one he got horribly wrong was Germany

Zuko123

Dunphys world cup blog is a bit suspect to say the least,he got 2 draws correct on the 1st weekend alright but then claimed "we got the double at 10-1"
You see this is wrong when tipsters claim this,he just gave 4 different tips and 2 came up, to me that is just 4 singles. If you tip 10 bets and 3 come up you cant then claim, "hurrah i tipped a treble,im brilliant"!!!
and he is not weighting his tips,is it 1 unit on each? what about the lays,do you lay 1 unit,lay to lose 1 unit or what?
And it is hard to make out what is an official tip or just an opinion.
Just seems a bit dodgy to me anyway

el diablo

When I've access Betfair for the last few days I seem to be getting the UK site and Andy Gray's World Cup Zone rather than Dunphy's. Anyone else?

adamski8

ValueSeeker wrote: »

Dunphy is doing alright according to this

Certainly a lot better than I am.

wtf? how can they claim that!!!!!!

gleep

Switch from English UK to English Ireland in drop down box!

adamski8

ah i see http://www.betfairfootball.com/cgi-bin/mt/mt-search.cgi?blog_id=128&tag=Eamon%20Dunphy&limit=20 he had 100% record in group A

He had bet on the first round of matches to be a draw and then he bet on Uruguay to beat SA with forlan first scorer which fair enough he won 3 bets!!!! that = 100%
He has also bet on france to win the group which wont happen and he bet on france to beat mexico which lost. Also he bet on mexico to qualify.
so from group A he will have won 4/6 bets on group A (if mexico do).
His bets on the other groups arent as great.

el diablo

gleep wrote: »

Switch from English UK to English Ireland in drop down box!

It's not giving me those options in my drop down menu. Oh well, it doesn't really matter.

el diablo

And he totally wrote off Germany (v Australia) based on Australia's performance against Ireland in a friendly last year. Might be best to lay his tips.

adamski8

el diablo wrote: »

It's not giving me those options in my drop down menu. Oh well, it doesn't really matter.

why dont you just follow the links in this thread?

el diablo

adamski8 wrote: »

why dont you just follow the links in this thread?

What links would they be?

adamski8

el diablo wrote: »

What links would they be?

the ones on this thread! try this one http://betting.betfair.ie/betfair-eamon-dunphy/

SuperInfinity

"Anyone tipping Argentina to win the World Cup is living in dreamland"

lol... :rolleyes:

I wonder how long before they just start deleting his earlier blog posts before they become ridiculously embarrassing and borderline libellous.

el diablo

adamski8 wrote: »

the ones on this thread! try this one http://betting.betfair.ie/betfair-eamon-dunphy/

I mean the Betfair site and not the blog. but thanks anyway.

SuperInfinity

This thread keeps making me laugh, nicely done. :cool:

Alan Hansen

Bet against Eamonn and with me. Remember the 4 golden words of football analysis.

Pace, movement and desire.

x PyRo

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5P7CgKvhpoo

You're some man Alan.

yeah..im on for this..seeing as his other two tips this week have been draws, im firing e3 on spain to draw..

Alan Hansen

x PyRo wrote: »

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5P7CgKvhpoo

You're some man Alan.

A special moment for football analysis.

adamski8

Deleted User wrote: »

yeah..im on for this..seeing as his other two tips this week have been draws, im firing e3 on spain to draw..

where did he say he was betting on spain?

adamski8

from:http://betting.betfair.ie/betfair-eamon-dunphy/dunphys-tips/betfair-with-dunphy-video-blog-22-june-220610.html

Eamon's big bet over the last round of Group stage matches is a 4 point Treble and he's gone with:
- Uruguay v Mexico: Draw
- Denmark v Japan: Draw
- Spain to beat Chile

I'm laying all of those at €2 each then. I'll be very surprised if this one comes off for dunphy

from http://betting.betfair.ie/football/eamon-dunphy-mexico-v-uruguay-france-v-south-africa-220610.html

Uruguay v Mexico
Back the draw at 1.86
Back a 0-0 draw at 3.6

France v South Africa
Bets
I wouldn't discourage you from having a bet, but for me it's impossible to call.

Priceless!
I'll also lay the 0-0 so

adamski8

Thanks dunphy, he fell at the first hurdle!
I also had a bet on Uruguay to win myself so that was a great match for me.

Playoff_Beard

"Back a 0-0 draw at 3.6"

Aftertiming maybe but i think this is a pretty awful bet. Considering Argintina was almost certainly awaiting for whoever came second in this group, there was no reason for Uruguay to settle for a draw.

SuperInfinity

My bet on Slovenia started looking bad today when Dunphy started talking about how England might slip up... ah well. :rolleyes:

If Dunphy has a strong suit, it's predictions about England as the competition goes on. However he also hates Germany again: "people always say you can never write off the Germans, well this year you can definitely say without a shadow of a doubt that you can write off the Germans".

adamski8

so dunphy got lost his treble (getting 2/3 wrong!)

from http://www.betfairfootball.com/world-cup/uruguay-v-south-korea-suarez-to-score-again/

Dunphy's tips: Back Uruguay to qualify at 1.5. Back under 2.5 goals at 1.56. Back Suarez to be the first goalscorer at 7.0.

I didnt see this in time to bet against them. he did get 2/3 right here

from http://betting.betfair.ie/betfair-eamon-dunphy/dunphys-tips/betfair-with-dunphy-world-cup-2010-24-june-250610.html

5 point double on: England v Germany (Draw) and Spain to beat Chile

He already bet on spain chile in the treble i mentioned above earlier in the week so ill be laying the england germany draw. personally i dont think it will be a draw

adamski8

dunphy got the england result wrong to get back to hie losing ways!

from:http://betting.betfair.ie/betfair-eamon-dunphy/dunphys-tips/betfair-with-dunphy-world-cup-2010-28-june-280610.html

Eamon's Bets:
Holland 2 - 0 Slovakia (3 points)
Spain 1 - 0 Portugal (3 points)
Fabiano to score first for Brazil (4 points)
Paraguay v Japan to draw in 90mins (5 points)

I missed the holland bet (but dunphy would have lost this anyway, tbh though he wasnt far off this one)
I also missed the brazil chile game so i couldnt lay the fabiano first goal (dunphy lost again)
Laying €2 against the other 2

wb

He called the draw good in fairness with a 5pt bet:

Eamon's Bets:
Holland 2 - 0 Slovakia (3 points)
Spain 1 - 0 Portugal (3 points)
Fabiano to score first for Brazil (4 points)
Paraguay v Japan to draw in 90mins (5 points)

He has the Spain bet up now but it's still in play (65mins as I write).

coughlan08

wb wrote: »

He called the draw good in fairness with a 5pt bet:

Eamon's Bets:
Holland 2 - 0 Slovakia (3 points)
Spain 1 - 0 Portugal (3 points)
Fabiano to score first for Brazil (4 points)
Paraguay v Japan to draw in 90mins (5 points)

He has the Spain bet up now but it's still in play (65mins as I write).

overall hes well up now,
note to op,your betting against a pro,he knows his betting inside out.his experience and knowledge of the sport cannot be forgotten. i have a lot of respect for him,top man,..:p

Verance

coughlan08 wrote: »

overall hes well up now,
note to op,your betting against a pro,he knows his betting inside out.his experience and knowledge of the sport cannot be forgotten. i have a lot of respect for him,top man,..:p

He's a very poor gambler, what are you on about?

Kod-box

He's an ass, but entertaing to see him contradict himself week in week out.

"you cant write off the germans, but i will, they wont be winning this world cup"

2 weeks later

"England could learn a thing or two from the Germans on how to play the game properly"

Verance

Not to mention the way he manages to lay off his losing bets for a nice profit

coughlan08

points taken but i have a lot of respect for him.
gas man,met him once and was sound,
by saying "hes a poor gambler",you might aswell say your worse cause hes made more off the sport than any of us
cant say anything bad,
i know, i suck him off..

Kod-box

He's not known for his gambling, he's a journalist first and foremost and thats where he makes a living.

SuperInfinity

Kod-box wrote: »

He's an ass, but entertaing to see him contradict himself week in week out.

"you cant write off the germans, but i will, they wont be winning this world cup"

2 weeks later

"England could learn a thing or two from the Germans on how to play the game properly"

That's not a contradiction, I would in fact tend to agree with him apart from giving Germany an outside chance of winning it. Can a person not say England could learn a thing or two from a team without saying they have a chance to win the world cup?

England could learn a thing or two from them, they definitely won't win the world cup.... no contradiction there for me.

Also he said "They say you can't write off the germans", otherwise that looks like it's a contradiction.

x PyRo

The man is a genius full stop, I wouldn't back against any of his advice. He's a bit crazy but he knows his stuff.

Kod-box

SuperInfinity wrote: »

That's not a contradiction, I would in fact tend to agree with him apart from giving Germany an outside chance of winning it. Can a person not say England could learn a thing or two from a team without saying they have a chance to win the world cup?

England could learn a thing or two from them, they definitely won't win the world cup.... no contradiction there for me.

Also he said "They say you can't write off the germans", otherwise that looks like it's a contradiction.

ok well he said the Germans weren't good enough to get out of their group, then a few weeks later he's saying teams could learn from them, that in my book is a contradiction.

El Horseboxo

I think he's just one of those fellas that people love to hate and pick out the stupid things he says. We all talk shíte. Only difference is the amount of viewers he has to pick up on it. Yeah he's been wrong on a few occasions but i've also seen him call a few games as they panned out. Anyways he's entertaining to say the least so i've no problems with him.

Kod-box

ah yeah, RTE wouldnt be the same without the him thats for sure.

Verance

El Horseboxo wrote: »

I think he's just one of those fellas that people love to hate and pick out the stupid things he says. We all talk shíte. Only difference is the amount of viewers he has to pick up on it. Yeah he's been wrong on a few occasions but i've also seen him call a few games as they panned out. Anyways he's entertaining to say the least so i've no problems with him.

On that note, ''a treble of England to beat Algeria, Spain to beat Honduras and Italy to beat New Zealand, I think that's 5 star punting material'' 5 star!

You'd have to love him as a pundit though, RTE wouldn't be the same without him.

SirDelboy18

He has absolutely no credibility imo.

coughlan08

Verance wrote: »

, RTE wouldn't be the same without him.

they sure wouldnt.;)

SuperInfinity

The funniest thing of all though was how he said Roma were "a cut above" Manchester United and would easily beat them in the 2006/07 champions league quarter final. As you might know Manchester United won.... 7-1. :rolleyes:

He was also all wrong about Ronaldo, not just giving out about his diving... that came later. They were saying Ronaldo was an extremely overhyped player when he came to Manchester United first, they were saying he was useless and had no chance of ever becoming a great player. Then he started knocking goals in left right and centre and doing incredible things, so their story switched to he can only do it against the poor teams, and not against the great teams in europe. :rolleyes:

x PyRo

SuperInfinity wrote: »

The funniest thing of all though was how he said Roma were "a cut above" Manchester United and would easily beat them in the 2006/07 champions league quarter final. As you might know Manchester United won.... 7-1. :rolleyes:

He was also all wrong about Ronaldo, not just giving out about his diving... that came later. They were saying Ronaldo was an extremely overhyped player when he came to Manchester United first, they were saying he was useless and had no chance of ever becoming a great player. Then he started knocking goals in left right and centre and doing incredible things, so their story switched to he can only do it against the poor teams, and not against the great teams in europe. :rolleyes:

WOW! Somebody got something wrong ?. Shock, Horror!

myflipflops

The main reason to back against him at the moment is that he is paying paid to 'tip' up bets on every single game. Not when he thinks there's a big price available or whatever, he has to offer selction of every match. This makes it virtually impossible to win.

x PyRo wrote: »

The man is a genius full stop, I wouldn't back against any of his advice. He's a bit crazy but he knows his stuff.

He's a great pundit in terms of entertainment and actually putting across as opinion. He's a massively losing lifetime punter though.

x PyRo

myflipflops wrote: »

He's a massively losing lifetime punter though.

Just out of interest, How do you know this ?.