EUROVISION betting

eldrickwoods

The first semi takes place on the 25th (tuesday), the second on the 27th (thursday) and the final on Saturday (saturday). Ireland and Niamh Kavangh are best priced 28/1 with VC Bet. In reality Niamh Kavanagh would do well to make it to the final so i'll not be betting on that one.

Azerbaijan are, quite unbelieveably, 6/4 favourites in the antepost book. I'm not too well versed in the politics of Eurovision voting. Maybe it is their turn to win. I've heard the song and i'm not convinced.

Latest Eurovision betting odds can be found here.

In recent years the smart money always comes late and there's a steamer who goes from high odds to being among the favs in the betting. I'm opening this thread in the hope that one of you might have a clue as to who that will be this time around.

In sadder news: Terry Wogan is being replaced by Graham Norton on the Beeb coverage.

Verance

eldrickwoods wrote: »

In reality Niamh Kavanagh would do well to make it to the final so i'll not be betting on that one.

Agree, which is why 11/4 for Ireland not to qualify is too big, I've had a nibble...

Mezcita

Where did you get that price Verance?

Kod-box

Azerbaijan will be odds on when the thing airs...their 13/8 now, lump on imo, theyve topped all the online polls for best song etc, should walk it.

Headshot

2/1 on pp for ireland not to qualify

just a question

in the these rounds who votes ?

Verance

Mezcita wrote: »

Where did you get that price Verance?

Bet365, 9/4 with Boyles, and around 3/1 on Betfair.

Headshot wrote: »

2/1 on pp for ireland not to qualify

just a question

in the these rounds who votes ?

Every country, I believe. It's 50% from televoters and 50% an 'expert' panel...

Mezcita

A sad day indeed when I find myself listening to Eurovision songs for research purposes....

That Irish song is pants.

Headshot

Verance wrote: »

Bet365, 9/4 with Boyles, and around 3/1 on Betfair.


Every country, I believe. It's 50% from televoters and 50% an 'expert' panel...

cheers Verance

im all over this bet

Mezcita wrote: »

That Irish song is pants.

link ?

Verance

Headshot wrote: »

cheers Verance

im all over this bet

Well if ya like that, for betfair users - Ireland can be layed at 6/4 to finish in top ten IN THE FINAL, bet's a winner if they don't make it! It's never been as profitable to be unpatriotic

(Hopefully)

Mezcita

Irish song:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=boJuTFLAyek

Azerbaijan. I totally would.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tIx_vrhq1lU

Azerbaijan are best price 2.6 on Betfair. However you can get 2.75 on little known bookie paf.com. €50 max though. Solid book before anyone wets themselves about betting with a different company than Paddy Power.

dxhound2005

I predict Azerbaijan and Armenia will not give each other any votes. I wonder could you get a bookie who isn't clued into the political situation to give odds on that.

http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/8205907.stm

Greece and Cyprus are are guaranteed to give each other 12 points (or whatever the top mark is), happens every year so I doubt if you could get odds on that. If memory serves another two countries who do the same are Romania and Moldova.

ninebeanrows

Mezcita wrote: »

Irish song:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=boJuTFLAyek

Azerbaijan. I totally would.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tIx_vrhq1lU

Azerbaijan are best price 2.6 on Betfair. However you can get 2.75 on little known bookie paf.com. €50 max though. Solid book before anyone wets themselves about betting with a different company than Paddy Power.

I like azerbaijan

Luap

I'm putting 50 on Azerbaijan and 20 on ireland not to qualify :P.

coughlan08

just after finishing my days study and seen this tread.
what a laugh,,,god we would do anything for a few pennies.:D

im not sad enough to go listening to all the songs but im still getting on the following sence ye all seem to be:)


Eurovision Song Contest
Ireland for Eurovision
2010-05-25 20:00:00
Ireland to Qualify
Ireland not to qualify for Eurovision final 2010
2-1

€35 returns €105

best of luck lads

ninebeanrows

coughlan08 wrote: »

just after finishing my days study and seen this tread.
what a laugh,,,god we would do anything for a few pennies.:D

im not sad enough to go listening to all the songs but im still getting on the following sence ye all seem to be:)


Eurovision Song Contest
Ireland for Eurovision
2010-05-25 20:00:00
Ireland to Qualify
Ireland not to qualify for Eurovision final 2010
2-1

€35 returns €105

best of luck lads

I wouldnt back against us to be honest, its not a bad eurovision song and 10/17 go through.

Many songs will be shocking.

Luap

If anyones thinking on betting on the Eurovision, there a preview on RTE2 at 8:30.

JONJO THE MISER

Drip Drop is the entry from Azerbyjan, marty says they have a good chance of winning and i agree with him, very good song despite the tittle:pac:.

Juwwi

l found this post on the betfair forum the guy seems to know his stuff.
in a earlier post he said that in his opinion azerbaijan should be 7/1 and isreal were no hopers.

ok allez, now is the time to step in and bet.

the contest has 2 semi finals(tuesday and thursday) and the final next saturday.

the market to get your punting teeth stuck into is semi final 1 on tuesday night. this is regarded as a very weak semi final. in a sea of mediocrity there is one absolute stand out performer and that is greece...now it is more of a war chant than a song, it is presented in a dramatic way and by far and away the most memorable entry in semi final 1.

3 years ago the finnish monsters lordi came from nowhere to win outright due to a dramatic and memorable performance, should greece get a good late draw in final( the order will not be known until 11pm on Thursday night), then their current outright price of 66/1 could be manna from heaven.

priced between 3/1 and 4/1 with 1/4 1,2,3 generally available, greece are certain to finish in the 3 in semi final 1 and in my book i would make them around 4/7 to win, the lack of neighbours voting in this semi final is a minor negative, however greece will absorb votes from all juries and that will be enough to get them across the line.

by the way VC are offering 1/10 on greece qualifying for the final, the easiest 10% interest you are going to get on your money in all of 2010.

so have a good wedge on greece at 7/2, 4/1 to win semi final 1, put them in each way doubles/trebles with any each way steal horses in the next few days and build yourself a nice multiplier.............also a few bucks each way on greece at 66/1 for the outright 1/4 1234 will give you a good trading position at least come next saturday night.

eldrickwoods

Great response lads. That's waht i was hoping for.

had a flutter on Greece to win and also on Ireland not to qualify.

Bit worried about the anti-Greek feeling in the EU at the minute mind you. don't reckon the Germans will be giving them too much.

now the worst annual televised event suddenly becomes watchable.

Pishogue

I'm thinking the opposite i.e. the folks will be sympathetic to Greece - lump on I say, fill your boots on Greece.

Juwwi

greece coming on in a few minutes they are number 13

Headshot

ugh i forgot that ireland bet

SantryRed

Headshot wrote: »

ugh i forgot that ireland bet

They aren't on until Thursday night.

Juwwi

Headshot wrote: »

ugh i forgot that ireland bet

lreland are 13/5 in boyles not to qualify about the same as betfair

greece were'nt great

Mezcita

Goodness. Singer for Iceland is bigger than the Eyjafjallajokull.

Not so sure about Greece. But then again its the Eurovision so you never know.

supremenovice

I think all you unpatriotic heads could be in for a shock.
Ireland are due a decent result after a dismal few years and now that half the voting is done by a panel of adults instead of all kids texting on their mobiles, we could sneak a Top 5 finish.

coughlan08

coughlan08 wrote: »

just after finishing my days study and seen this tread.
what a laugh,,,god we would do anything for a few pennies.:D

im not sad enough to go listening to all the songs but im still getting on the following sence ye all seem to be:)


Eurovision Song Contest
Ireland for Eurovision
2010-05-25 20:00:00
Ireland to Qualify
Ireland not to qualify for Eurovision final 2010
2-1

€35 returns €105

best of luck lads

im kinda regretting the bet now,ireland prob will and should qualify,
only time will tell.

Verance

coughlan08 wrote: »

im kinda regretting the bet now,ireland prob will and should qualify,
only time will tell.

Why, nothing has changed??

coughlan08

i just listened to her interview and she seems very confident and relaxed.
and the previous poster is kinda right,ireland are due a performance.
whats being holding ireland back in recent years is the voting and now that they have fixed that there will only be "quality" songs going through rather than that ****e that hasbeing before....

skeleton_boy

http://www.attheraces.com/article.aspx?hlid=509073

That guy apparently tipped the last 3 winners. He's tipping Israel atm and reckons Ireland will "breeze" into the final

Verance

skeleton_boy wrote: »

http://www.attheraces.com/article.aspx?hlid=509073

That guy apparently tipped the last 3 winners. He's tipping Israel atm and reckons Ireland will "breeze" into the final

Hmmm, does he only make one selection, or a few?

coughlan08

skeleton_boy wrote: »

http://www.attheraces.com/article.aspx?hlid=509073

That guy apparently tipped the last 3 winners. He's tipping Israel atm and reckons Ireland will "breeze" into the final

point proven,:o

if i get onto live help will they cancel the bet for me???

finlma

While all the music is ear bleeding rubbish I made a killing a few years ago by lumping on Lordi from Finland a few days before the event. Only time I ever bet on a non-sporting event and I don't think I'd ever go near it again.

Good luck to all

skeleton_boy

Verance wrote: »

Hmmm, does he only make one selection, or a few?

He's posting his final selection tomorrow when the draw for the final is made.

eldrickwoods

that attheraces article is pretty thorough alright.

damn it. my Greece bet isn't looking too good by the sounds of it :-)

may be time to jump ship and get on Israel.

coughlan08

fair play NIAMH,,its a very good song and should easily walk to the final.
dont mind losing my 35 to ya,,,ya better win it now though:p

Speak Now

10 out of 17 to qualify.

11 are odds on on betfair.

ireland is outsider of odds on shots at 1.8 and drifting alarmingly....from 1.25

Does someone know??????????

Very little in lay column

Speak Now

Well Played Niamh, layers were wrong.

skeleton_boy

Marty blows a fuse and we're in.

coughlan08

coughlan08 wrote: »

fair play NIAMH,,its a very good song and should easily walk to the final.
dont mind losing my 35 to ya,,,ya better win it now though:p

i knew it fair play,

lost my 35 though:o

Speak Now

Sweden backed as low as 1.06 :eek:

Lmao_Man

lads i betted on azerbaijan to win tonight,did they win ?

they were in the top 10,but who came 1st ?

PP still says "pending"

rorymagory

I backed somebody to win the semifinal on paddypower there.
Can someone explain what the feck i was betting on! I didn't see no winner announced.
Ireland were 15 to win tonight and 19 to win on saturday.
It can't surely mean that if ireland win outright on saturday i get my odds of 15?
Have I made a little blunder?:eek:

Lmao_Man

rory - Im the same,someone please tell me whats going on

Who did you bet on ? does it still say pending ? does for me.

Juwwi

rorymagory wrote: »

I backed somebody to win the semifinal on paddypower there.
Can someone explain what the feck i was betting on! I didn't see no winner announced.
Ireland were 15 to win tonight and 19 to win on saturday.
It can't surely mean that if ireland win outright on saturday i get my odds of 15?
Have I made a little blunder?:eek:

the semi final winners are'nt announced untill after the final on saturday night.

Gillington

robbie1977 wrote: »

the semi final winners are'nt announced untill after the final on saturday night.

Thats a bit weird

coughlan08

Gillington wrote: »

Thats a bit weird

well its not really,
it would affect the odds that the country has of winning dramatically,
i.e the gamblers would know who the countrys are voting for, and sence the songs dont change for the final they could just lump on the winners of the semi final.;)

Kod-box

Its nothing to do with the gamblers though, people wont be swayed in their voting if they know one country did better in the semi's than another country...i think they may even say who won the semi's before the final begins...i.e heres ireland who finished 3rd in the semi finals etc...i could be wrong though.

nuttlys

i've gone absolutely banana's on this - I'd back Niamh to get through to the final and have now lumped it ALL back on her to take it down with a sneaky E/W to try and gain something back if she does well but not well enough.

Bets were (most recent first):
2010 Outright Winner - Ireland E/W @ 14/1 €36.00E/W
2010 Outright Winner - Ireland Win @ 14/1 €65.00
2010 Outright Winner - Ireland Win @ 20/1 €30.00
Ireland for Eurovision - Ireland Win @ 14/1 €15.00

Total Stake €186 :eek:
Potential Returns (Win) €2532

Biggest bet I've ever laid outside poker. But between the judges coming back in this year and having a redhead back on stage... i dunno....

coughlan08

Kod-box wrote: »

i think they may even say who won the semi's before the final begins...

if you think they are going to say it before the finals why not just say it now,there is plenty of time to vote after the song??

Kod-box

I dunno why i just think thats the way its done, maybe ask live help on PP and they will know the craic.