L'prof's losing log

L'prof

I like to gamble every now and again, but I don't like to put much thought into my selections. I just want to post my bets (not tips) here to keep track of my winners. Singles prices are taken from betfair and multiples from paddy powers, for now at least.

KPV Kokkola 2pts @ 2.12
Dynamo Dresden 2pts @ 1.82
SPVGG Unterhaching 2pts @ 2.06
Holstein Kiel 2pts @ 2.1
Offenbacher Kickers 2pts @ 2.42
Carl Zeiss Jena 2pts @ 1.81
FC Ingolstadt 2pts @ 1.34
Eintracht Braunschweig 2pts @ 1.55
Accum 1pt @ 74.45

Staked: 17pts | Returned: 21.04pts | Profit: 4.04pts | ROI: 23.8% | Strike Rate: 55.6%

x PyRo

Best of luck dude, You've jinxed it now so it'll be a winning log.

L'prof

x PyRo wrote: »

Best of luck dude, You've jinxed it now so it'll be a winning log.

That's the idea...shhhh

L'prof

Walsall 2pts @ 2.12
Southampton 2pts @ 1.32
Milwall 2pts @ 2.04
Leeds 2pts @ 1.25
Colchester 2pts @ 1.91
Brighton 2pts @ 1.85
Norwich 2pts @ 1.4
Bsk Borca 2pts @ 1.97

3 late goals to turn draws into wins if they can hold out!

Staked: 33pts | Returned: 42.02pts | Profit: 9.02pts | ROI: 27.3% | Strike Rate: 64.4%

L'prof

Hajduk Split 2pts @ 1.13
Cibalia Vinkovci 2pts @ 1.12
NK Zagreb 2pts @ 1.48
Nk Rijeka 2pts @ 2.12
Lech Poznan 2pts @ 1.20
GKS Katowice 2pts @ 1.81
Servette 2pts @ 1.84
Adanaspor 2pts @ 2.00
Korona Kielce 2pts @ 1.88
Anderlecht 2pts @ 1.42
Galatasaray 2pts @ 1.28
Widzew Lodz 2pts @ 1.34
Zulte Waregem 2pts @ 2.14

Staked: 59pts | Returned: 74.02pts | Profit: 15.02pts | ROI: 25.5% | Strike Rate: 70.0%

L'prof

Velez Sarsfield 2pts @ 1.47
Messi to score anytime & Barca to win 2pts @ 2.00
Getafe 2pts @ 1.86
Villareal 2pts @ 1.74
Monaco 2pts @ 2.02
Rennes 2pts @ 1.56
Tenerife 2pts @ 1.63
Sporting Gijon 2pts @ 1.78
Auxerre 2pts @ 1.41
Saint-Etienne 2pts @ 2.36

Staked: 79pts | Returned: 92.2pts | Profit: 13.2pts | ROI: 16.7% | Strike Rate: 65.0%

L'prof

Real Salt Lake 2pts @ 1.51
Newell's Old Boys 2pts @ 1.70
Palmeiras 2pts @ 1.67
Columbus 2pts @ 1.70
Guaratingueta 2pts @ 1.81
Dallas 2pts @ 1.92
Monterrey 2pts @ 1.80
Guadalajara 2pts @ 2.26
Betis 2pts @ 1.57

Staked: 97pts | Returned: 112.82pts | Profit: 15.82pts | ROI: 16.3% | Strike Rate: 65.3%

L'prof

Giresunspor 2pts @ 1.58
Orebro 2pts @ 1.9
Cambuur Leeuwarden 2pts @ 1.73
Excelsior Rotterdam 2pts @ 1.92
1860 Munchen 2pts @ 2.04
Gaziantep Bld Spor 2pts @ 1.84
Hacettepespor 2pts @ 2.02
Rangers 2pts @ 1.37
Dundee United 2pts @ 2.16
Willem II 2pts @ 1.46
FC Groningen 2pts @ 1.96
Heracles 2pts @ 1.87
Dundee United, 1860 Munchen & Hacettepespor 2pts @ 6.48
Rangers, FSV Frankfurt, Willem II 2pts @ 2.55
FC St Pauli 2pts @ 1.57
FSV Frankfurt 2pts @ 1.43
FC Kaiserslautern 2pts @ 1.62

Awful selections today!!! Shouldn't have bothered with those trebles either.

Staked: 131pts | Returned: 131.16pts | Profit: 0.16pts | ROI: 0.1% | Strike Rate: 56.1%

L'prof

AIK Stockholm 2pts @ 2.04
Chelsea (beat Liverpool, mythical bet) 2pts @ 1.53
Arsenal 2pts @ 1.22
Sliven 2pts @ 1.7
Albacete 2pts @ 2.42
Everton 2pts @ 1.30
CSKA Sofia 2pts @ 1.36
Lokomotiv Sofia 2pts @ 1.53
Villa 2pts @ 1.59
Astra Ploiesti 2pts @ 1.85

Pretty much back to square one now :rolleyes:

Staked: 151pts | Returned: 148.18pts | Profit: -2.82pts | ROI: -1.9% | Strike Rate: 56.6%

L'prof

Argentinos Juniors 2pts @ 2.14
Atletico-MG 2pts @ 1.81
Corinthians 2pts @ 1.68
Guimaraes 2pts @ 2.12
Eskisehirspor 2pts @ 1.96
Estudiantes 2pts @ 1.35
Internacional 2pts @ 2.22
Tigre 2pts @ 2.32

Staked: 167pts | Returned: 159.44pts | Profit: -7.56pts | ROI: -4.5% | Strike Rate: 54.8%

L'prof

Pumas UNAM 2pts @ 1.96
CSKA Moscow 2pts @ 1.45
Boca Juniors 2pts @ 1.6

Staked: 173pts | Returned: 166.26pts | Profit: -6.74pts | ROI: -3.9% | Strike Rate: 55.2%

Headshot

any reason you went for Boca ?

L'prof

Headshot wrote: »

any reason you went for Boca?

Although it didn't work out too well, before last night Boca had picked up over 58% of their home points while Huracan had picked up less than 30% of their away points.

L'prof

S Williams to win 10th game in 2nd set 2pts @ 1.30
S Williams to win 12th game in 2nd set 2pts @ 1.25
K Anderson to win 3rd game in 1st set 2pts @ 1.20
S Williams to win 1st game in 3rd set 2pts @ 1.22
Zenit St Petersburg 2pts @ 1.81
CFR Cluj 2pts @ 1.76
Helsingborgs 2pts @ 2.1
HJK Helsinki 2pts @ 1.46
C Wozniacki 2pts @ 1.28
Finland 2pts @ 1.27
N Almagro 2pts @ 1.42
Vikingur Reykjavik & Hercules 1pt @ 2.00
Rapid Bucuresti & Albinoleffe 1pt @ 1.81
Derry & St Pats 1pt @ 1.82
Norrkoping & Trabzonspor 1pt @ 2.39
O Patience to win 7th game in 1st set 2pts @ 1.16
K Anderson to win 5th game in 1st set 2pts @ 1.16
S Williams to win 3rd game in 3rd set 4pts @ 1.22
Hafnarfjordur & Atletico Lanus 1pt @ 3.00
Timisoara 2pts @ 1.34

Right, staying away from this live tennis betting, takes too much time and is very unreliable!

Staked: 210pts | Returned: 206.42pts | Profit: -3.58pts | ROI: -1.7% | Strike Rate: 58.9%

L'prof

After all that messing I'm actually up for the day...not much though! Must calculate the betfair commission on the betfair bets...I'll do that after my exams though.

Lanus 2pts @ 1.84
Godoy Cruz 2pts @ 2.06
Tampines Rovers, Suwon Samsung Bluewings & Mexico 1pt @ 3.01
Vancouver Canucks, Pittsburgh Penguins & Boston Bruins 1pt @ 4.43
Chicago Cubs, Boston Red Sox, New York Mets, New York Yankees & Tampa Bay Rays 1pt @ 10.55

Staked: 217pts | Returned: 217.23pts | Profit: 0.23pts | ROI: 0.1% | Strike Rate: 58.9%

L'prof

I clearly need to be less impulsive!!!

Al Shabab 2 pts @ 2.14
Al Karama 2 pts @ 1.73
GKS Belchatow 4 pts @ 1.89
Landskrona 2 pts @ 2.16
Lech Poznan 2 pts @ 2.04
Al Gharafa 2 pts @ 1.74
Gorica 2 pts @ 1.92
Slovan Bratislava 2 pts @ 1.87
Al Riffa 2 pts @ 1.96
Eint Frankfurt II & Levadia Tallinn 1 pt @ 3.08
Zaglebie Lubin 2 pts @ 2.12
Kazma SC 2 pts @ 1.76
Poli Iasi 2 pts @ 1.78
Hapoel Tel Aviv & Wisla Krakow 1 pt @ 1.93
Al-Rayyan, NK Koper & FC Vitebsk 1 pt @ 3.93
UT Arad, Belshina Bobruisk & Dnister Ovidiopol 1 pt @ 2.81
Sportul Studentesc & Genclerbirligi Youths 1 pt @ 2.81
Unirea Urziceni & Jagiellonia Bialystok 1pt @ 2.88
O Govortsova, I Andreev, A Radwanska, N Petrova & T Bellucci (live) 1pt @ 2.59
S Wawrinka, S Williams/V Williams, M Baghdatis, I Minar & A Ramos-Vinolas 1pt @ 2.16
F Verdasco, R Gasquet, J Isner, M Youzhny, C Wozniacki, S Querrey & R Federer 1pt @ 2.78
Hot Spark 0.5pts ew @ 11.00 (GP)
Search For The 0.5pts ew @ 4.00 (GP)

Staked: 254pts | Returned: 255.91pts | Profit: 1.91pts | ROI: 0.8% | Strike Rate: 55.6%

L'prof

Guarani Asuncion 2pts @ 1.83
Tampa Bay 2pts @ 1.78
Guadalajara 2pts @ 2.22
NY Mets 4pts @ 1.46
Philadelphia 4pts @ 1.57
Vancouver Canucks 2pts @ 1.81
Cleveland Cavaliers 4pts @ 1.3
Santo Andre 2pts @ 1.77
Sport Recife 4pts @ 1.57

L'prof

I'll update the above when I get a chance. For now, I think I'll try a staking plan based on my current bank and work from there.

Pohang Steelers & Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors (live) 0.65pts @ 1.8
Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors 1 - 1 & Pohang Steelers 1 - 0 (live) 0.65pts @ 1.42
Etoile (live) 0.65pts @ 1.44
Olympiacos Over 1.5 Goals 0.65pts @ 1.44
SV Wehen Wiesbaden II, Cerro Porteno & Olimpia Asuncion 0.65 pts @ 4.89
Fulham Both teams to score 2pts @ 1.94
Fulham Over 2.5 goals 2pts @ 2.38
Fulham Over 3.5 goals 2pts @ 4.4
Leicester 3 - 2 & Fulham 1 - 1 (live) 2pts @ 1.52
Evening Haze (GP) 0.32pts ew @ 11.00

L'prof

Sacrosanctus 1pt ew @ 13.00 (GP)

Staked: 289.89pts | Returned: 294.91pts | Commission: 5.35pts | Profit: -0.33pts | ROI: -0.1% | Strike Rate: 53.9%

L'prof

Only backed that horse after reading up on all this value betting and he seemed like good value when I backed him, hope others got on too!

L'prof

AIK Stockholm 2pts @ 1.66
Orebro 2pts @ 1.50
Unirea Urziceni 2pts @ 1.16
Orebro & Unirea Urziceni 2pts @ 1.75
Charlton Over 2.5 goals 2pts @ 1.32 (live)
Charlton 2pts @ 1.90
Keflavik 1-0 2pts @ 1.40 (live)
Hansa Rostock 2pts @ 1.80
Hansa Rostock & AIK Stockholm 2pts @ 3.00
Fc Timisoara 2pts @ 1.90
Fc Timisoara & Charlton 2pts @ 3.645
Charlton to qualify 2pts @ 1.76 (live)

Staked: 313.89pts | Returned: 316.29pts | Commission: 5.38pts | Profit: -2.98pts | ROI: -0.9% | Strike Rate: 53.0%

x PyRo

Well done with the horse. Great price dude.

L'prof

x PyRo wrote: »

Well done with the horse. Great price dude.

Cheers, just saw that he came in at 7/1!

L'prof

These are spread over the next couple of days.

Philadelphia Phillies & Los Angeles Lakers 2pts @ 2.82
Tampa Bay Rays & New York Yankees 2pts @ 2.215
Tampa Bay Rays & Florida Marlins 2pts @ 2.10

Staked: 319.89pts | Returned: 330.56pts | Commission: 5.38pts | Profit: 5.29pts | ROI: 1.7% | Strike Rate: 53.8%

L'prof

Both these horses look good value, so I'll be backing them ew.

Hayley Cropper 1pt ew @ 13.00 (GP)
Peppercorn Rent 1pt ew @ 15.00 (GP)

Staked: 323.89pts | Returned: 334.76pts | Commission: 5.38pts | Profit: 5.49pts | ROI: 1.7% | Strike Rate: 53.8%

L'prof

I moved the baseball bets from above since they're for tonight.

Turkey U17 & England U17 2pts @ 3.055
Millwall 2pts @ 1.72
Los Angeles Dodgers & St. Louis Cardinals 2pts @ 1.97
Millwall Over 2.5 goals 2pts @ 1.72
San Jose Sharks & Philadelphia Flyers 2pts @ 2.675
New York Yankees & Philadelphia Phillies 2pts @ 1.95

Staked: 335.89pts | Returned: 348.25pts | Commission: 5.38pts | Profit: 6.98pts | ROI: 2.1% | Strike Rate: 53.7%

L'prof

Balnagore 1pt ew @ 4.00 (GP)
Scotland U19 & Croatia U19 2pts @ 2.555
Dinamo Minsk & Skonto Riga 2pts @ 1.555
Barron Watlass 1 pt ew @ 6.00 (GP)
Goteborg & Kalmar 2pts @ 2.02
AC Horsens & FC Nurnberg II 2pts @ 2.60
Solis 1pt ew @ 8.50 (GP)
Fabregas to stay 2pts @ 3.8
Island Chief 1pt ew @ 13.00 (GP)
Elfsborg & Fehervar 2pts @ 2.495
Fk Zeljeznicar & Victoria Branesti 2pts @ 1.665
Croatia U21 & Chile Youth 2pts @ 1.93
MTK Hungaria & BATE Borisov 2pts @ 2.52
Paksi Se & Kaposvari Rakoczi 2pts @ 2.76
Helsingborg & Nyiregyhaza Spartacus 2pts @ 1.92
Crumlin & BK Hacken 2pts @ 2.675
AEK Athens & Debreceni VSC 2pts @ 2.76
Santos & Belgium 2pts @ 2.76

Staked: 371.89pts | Returned: 381.81pts | Commission: 5.38pts | Profit: 4.54pts | ROI: 1.2% | Strike Rate: 52.3%

L'prof

Heading on holidays, so I won't be doing any bets for a while. Just one last one before I'm done.

Inter Milan 8pts @ 2.25

L'prof

Just back from holidays there, Fabregas bet is still active.

L'prof wrote: »

Balnagore 1pt ew @ 4.00 (GP)
Scotland U19 & Croatia U19 2pts @ 2.555
Dinamo Minsk & Skonto Riga 2pts @ 1.555
Barron Watlass 1 pt ew @ 6.00 (GP)
Goteborg & Kalmar 2pts @ 2.02
AC Horsens & FC Nurnberg II 2pts @ 2.60
Santos & Belgium 2pts @ 2.76
Solis 1pt ew @ 8.50 (GP)
Fabregas to stay 2pts @ 3.8
Island Chief 1pt ew @ 13.00 (GP)
Elfsborg & Fehervar 2pts @ 2.495
Fk Zeljeznicar & Victoria Branesti 2pts @ 1.665
Croatia U21 & Chile Youth 2pts @ 1.93
MTK Hungaria & BATE Borisov 2pts @ 2.52
Paksi Se & Kaposvari Rakoczi 2pts @ 2.76
Helsingborg & Nyiregyhaza Spartacus 2pts @ 1.92
Crumlin & BK Hacken 2pts @ 2.675
AEK Athens & Debreceni VSC 2pts @ 2.76

L'prof wrote: »

Inter Milan 8pts @ 2.25

San Francisco Giants & San Diego Padres 2pts @ 2.525
Colorado Rockies & Atlanta Braves 2pts @ 2.61
Tampa Bay Rays & Milwaukee Brewers 2pts @ 2.92
Jose Galvez & Deportivo Quito 2pts @ 2.675
Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors & Qingdao Zhongneng 2pts @ 3.055
Changsha Jinde & Kashiwa Reysol 2pts @ 2.335
Dalian Shide & Consadole Sapporo 2pts @ 3.34
San Jose & Real Salt Lake 2pts @ 2.59
Colorado Rapids & Houston 2pts @ 2.675
America MG & Venezuela 2pts @ 2.76
Cincinnati Reds & Detroit Tigers 2pts @ 2.78
Florida Marlins & Boston Red Sox 2pts @ 3.255

Staked: 401.89pts | Returned: 426.79pts | Commission: 5.38pts | Profit: 19.52pts | ROI: 4.9% | Strike Rate: 51.7%

L'prof

Swiss Dream 1pt ew @ 2.87 (GP)
Cap Alright 1pt ew @ 7.50 (GP)
Bunce 1pt ew @ 2.87 (GP)
Tora Petcha 1pt ew @ 13.00 (GP)
Fabregas to stay 2pts @ 3.8
Space Cowboy 1pt ew @ 4.33 (GP)
Double Bank 1pt ew @ 34.00 (GP)
Navajo Nation 1pt ew @ 10.00 (GP)
Tri Nations 1pt ew @ 2.87 (GP)
Bernard 1pt ew @ 15.00 (GP)
Classic Clover 1pt ew @ 6.50 (GP)
Bridget The Fidget 1pt ew @ 41.00 (GP)
Sirens 1pt ew @ 26.00 (GP)
Mega Watt 1pt ew @ 3.75 (GP)
Quipe Me Posted 1pt ew @ 13.00 (GP)
Tom Folan 1pt ew @ 26.00 (GP)
Mexico & Switzerland U21 2pts @ 2.045
FC Honka & Fredericia 2pts @ 2.145
Paarl Harbour 1pt ew @ 101.00 (GP)
Ceo 1pt ew @ 101.00 (GP)
Tap Dancer 1pt ew @ 101.00 (GP)
Maclaine 1pt ew @ 67.00 (GP)
Lydia Listen 1pt ew @ 51.00 (GP)
England -1 8pts @ 1.66

L'prof

L'prof wrote: »

Swiss Dream 1pt ew @ 2.87 (GP)
Quipe Me Posted 1pt ew @ 13.00 (GP)
Cap Alright 1pt ew @ 7.50 (GP)
Bunce 1pt ew @ 2.87 (GP)
Tora Petcha 1pt ew @ 13.00 (GP)
Fabregas to stay 2pts @ 3.8
Paarl Harbour 1pt ew @ 101.00 (GP)
Ceo 1pt ew @ 101.00 (GP)
Tap Dancer 1pt ew @ 101.00 (GP)
Maclaine 1pt ew @ 67.00 (GP)
Lydia Listen 1pt ew @ 51.00 (GP)
England -1 8pts @ 1.66
Space Cowboy 1pt ew @ 4.33 (GP)
Double Bank 1pt ew @ 34.00 (GP)
Navajo Nation 1pt ew @ 10.00 (GP)
Tri Nations 1pt ew @ 2.87 (GP)
Bernard 1pt ew @ 15.00 (GP)
Classic Clover 1pt ew @ 6.50 (GP)
Bridget The Fidget 1pt ew @ 41.00 (GP)
Sirens 1pt ew @ 26.00 (GP)
Mega Watt 1pt ew @ 3.75 (GP)
Tom Folan 1pt ew @ 26.00 (GP)
Mexico & Switzerland U21 2pts @ 2.045
FC Honka & Fredericia 2pts @ 2.145

Staked: 455.89pts | Returned: 458.02pts | Commission: 5.38pts | Profit: -3.25pts | ROI: -0.7% | Strike Rate: 48.5%

L'prof

Fabregas bet still stands. I think I'll start taking this log more seriously from now on.

Excello 2pts ew @ 10.0, 2.68
Fluminense 9.79pts @ 1.444
Red Fantasy 2pts @ 1.4
Sharp Sovereign 2pts @ 2.54
N Djokovic (live) 5pts @ 1.14
Albania & Lyngby 5pts @ 1.376
Luc Jordan 2pts @ 4.7
Gold Post 2pts @ 1.82

Staked: 485.68pts | Returned: 500.32pts | Commission: 6.49pts | Profit: 8.15pts | ROI: 1.7% | Strike Rate: 48.3%

L'prof

I think it'll be a tight game after looking at the lineups, everyone else should lump on a large victory for Spain because of my thinking I probably should have done the first half bet, but I didn't have much time to think about it.

Fabregas to stay 2pts @ 3.8
South Korea +1.0 1st half 4pts @ 1.90
South Korea +1.0 2nd half 4pts @ 2.20
South Korea +2.0 4pts @ 1.72
Mexico Under 1.5 Goals (live) 6.69pts @ 3.00 I'm expecting a goal straight away now!
Germany -1.0 (live) 5pts @ 1.83
Mexico 2-0 (live) 5pts @ 1.30

L'prof

Castlebury 2pts ew @ 8.50
Youmzain 2pts ew @ 9.00
Timepiece 2pts ew @ 9.00
Architrave 2pts @ 2.62