Nervous wait

turbobaby

Hi all,

I placed a few ante post bets on the football around christmas using a bit of cash I won, with the aim of winning 50k on each bet.

All but one of these have not worked out: stakes ranged from €150 to €300 and were three, four or five-fold accumulators.

Some of the bets that didnt work out had for example Leeds and Bournemouth to win their leagues, Ibrahimovic to be top goalscorer in Spain, Marseille/Shaktar to win the Europa league etc.

BUT one accumulator is pretty close to coming in with one weekend to go!

It was as follows:

€178 on: Stevenage to win the conference @ 7.5, Sheffield Wednesday to be relegated @ 5.0 and Nicky Maynard to be Top Goalscorer in the Championship @ 7.5. Total odds: 281.0

Stevenage have already won the conference.
Sheffield Wednesday have a relegation "all or nothing" match with Palace on Sunday - anything but a win and they will go down.
Nicky Maynard is one goal behind Peter Whittingham in the top goalscorers chart with one game to play - away to Blackpool on the final day. Cardiff play Derby who have nothing to play for and are cr£p!

I'm not really sure, why I'm posting this, just needed to tell someone as I didnt want to say anything to friends or family...

Realisticly my best hope is to only win €25k as I can only see Maynard scoring a max of one goal which would tie him with Whittingham and that part of the bet being a dead heat.

I hope the people of boards can will on Maynard and Crystal Palace on Sunday for me!!

SRFC

Id lay a good bit off on betfair for a few grand to guarantee profit

x in the city

turbobaby wrote: »

Hi all,

I placed a few ante post bets on the football around christmas using a bit of cash I won, with the aim of winning 50k on each bet.

All but one of these have not worked out: stakes ranged from €150 to €300 and were three, four or five-fold accumulators.

Some of the bets that didnt work out had for example Leeds and Bournemouth to win their leagues, Ibrahimovic to be top goalscorer in Spain, Marseille/Shaktar to win the Europa league etc.

BUT one accumulator is pretty close to coming in with one weekend to go!

It was as follows:

€178 on: Stevenage to win the conference @ 7.5, Sheffield Wednesday to be relegated @ 5.0 and Nicky Maynard to be Top Goalscorer in the Championship @ 7.5. Total odds: 281.0

Stevenage have already won the conference.
Sheffield Wednesday have a relegation "all or nothing" match with Palace on Sunday - anything but a win and they will go down.
Nicky Maynard is one goal behind Peter Whittingham in the top goalscorers chart with one game to play - away to Blackpool on the final day. Cardiff play Derby who have nothing to play for and are cr£p!

I'm not really sure, why I'm posting this, just needed to tell someone as I didnt want to say anything to friends or family...

Realisticly my best hope is to only win €25k as I can only see Maynard scoring a max of one goal which would tie him with Whittingham and that part of the bet being a dead heat.

I hope the people of boards can will on Maynard and Crystal Palace on Sunday for me!!

its an accu, you have 2 outstanding bets waiting...?

how can you be guranteed 25k..

I think s.wed can beat palace at home, full crowd of 40,000 or so and all that.

turbobaby

x in the city wrote: »

its an accu, you have 2 outstanding bets waiting...?

how can you be guranteed 25k..

I think s.wed can beat palace at home, full crowd of 40,000 or so and all that.

I never said guaranteed! I dont think I'll win anything to be honest as I cant see Maynard outscoring Whittingham. Wednesday will go down I think though...

Odds from 280 ish to about 10/1 isnt too bad, so I'm just hoping it come through for me. Will not lose sleep over it as I knew it was and still is a long shot...

Not gonna lay anything on Betfair as I've not got sufficient cash to lay to secure a profit...

ErinGoBrath

x in the city wrote: »

how can you be guranteed 25k..

He didn't say he was guaranteed 25k. He's assuming his best case scenario is Maynard getting joint top goalscorer hence halfing the goalscorer odds to 3.75.

What price is Maynard on Betfair op? I'd definitely consider covering your stake with a lay.

I really hope it works out for you. A fantastic gamble there.

turbobaby

ErinGoBrath wrote: »

He didn't say he was guaranteed 25k. He's assuming his best case scenario is Maynard getting joint top goalscorer hence halfing the goalscorer odds to 3.75.

What price is Maynard on Betfair op? I'd definitely consider covering your stake with a lay.

I really hope it works out for you. A fantastic gamble there.

Thanks EGB - Maynard is 11/2 on Betfair, which would mean putting down a big wad of cash to lay him. i.e €5k to win less than a grand... I'd also have to lay Wednesday too. I'm just going to let it ride as expectations are low, but hopes are high!! Maynard has been banging them in this last month or so and Wednesday are rubbish at home.

ErinGoBrath

As Wednesday are not a cert I'd avoid the lay too. Otherwise I'd be laying all the way to the bank!

Hope Maynard grabs a brace and lands you the full 50k!

In_tuition

Whittingham has scored more goals away from than he has at home

Blackpool have only conceded 4 goals in their last 7 home matches.

In Bristol City's last 10 away matches they only netted 5 goals.

Looks tough for you mate but wish you all the best with it. Anything can happen. Fingers crossed

Nulty

Best of luck

turbobaby

Cheers for the good karma lads!

Looks like Whittingham wont play on Sunday - Cardiff are "allowed" rest players as Derby have nothing to play for.

http://www.walesonline.co.uk/footballnation/cardiff-city-fc/2010/04/28/cardiff-city-ready-to-rest-players-ahead-of-play-offs-91466-26330295/

I know Betfair dont include playoff games in the betting, but this shower I have bet with probably do - in that case I fear the bet would defo be a no no.

Hoping Blackpool crack under the pressure!

awhir

best of luck .

In_tuition

turbobaby wrote: »

I know Betfair dont include playoff games in the betting, but this shower I have bet with probably do - in that case I fear the bet would defo be a no no.

No betting firm will include the play-offs.

Top goalscorer markets are settled at the end of the regular season and not including the play-offs.

turbobaby

Thanks man...

ErinGoBrath

turbobaby wrote: »

I know Betfair dont include playoff games in the betting, but this shower I have bet with probably do - in that case I fear the bet would defo be a no no.

I seriously doubt they do count the playoffs. Surely it's similar to the extra time scenario with the anytime goalscorer market? As is it doen't count

EDIT: Agh beaten to it!

alan4cult

Best of luck OP.

Think about it like this. If someone were to offer to buy your accumulator off you, then how much would you sell it to them for?

applesoccer

Best of luck with the bet I am guessing you will be glued to the tv for the weekend

newballsplease

screenshot of the bet?

aflib

best of luck mate but i can see wed winning at home

Kod-box

Good luck man, hope maynard does the business for ya.

turbobaby

thanks to you all for the kind words. I'll be glued to sky sports centre on sunday watching the results coming in. I have a screen shot just in case the bookies don't pay out...

aubreym

why not have a look at the games on the day & if maynard scores in the first 20-30 minutes, lay sheff weds & if both bets still the same at that time, let it ride?

could prob lay maynard & wed for 200 each to cover your initial stake?

nice1franko

If I were you I'd be looking to lock in some profit at this stage; at least enough to cover your bets so far this year (sounds like you do some big accums).

Don't forget, if your cash flow won't allow you lay a significant amount then you can always just back e.g. back Peter Whittingham for top goal scorer, back sheffield wed ftw and draw etc.

either way, fingers crossed for ya fella.

Vurnon San Benito

Great bet if it comes off man. Best of luck.
As a Championship follower I really cannot see Blackpool conceding two goals at Bloomfield Road but stranger things have happened.

Perfect scenario for both of us, Maynard hattrick in a 4-3 win to Blackpool. Meaning 'Pool make the play-offs.

Best of luck

x in the city

Doocey wrote: »

Great bet if it comes off man. Best of luck.
As a Championship follower I really cannot see Blackpool conceding two goals at Bloomfield Road but stranger things have happened.

Perfect scenario for both of us, Maynard hattrick in a 4-3 win to Blackpool. Meaning 'Pool make the play-offs.

Best of luck

you should do a accumulator, on the scorer and wed to stay up

either way you win that way...? no

ErinGoBrath

x in the city wrote: »

you should do a accumulator, on the scorer and wed to stay up

either way you win that way...? no

If he doesn't score and wed stay up then what?

larsson7

LET IT RIDE!!!!!!!!!!
GL

x PyRo

It will win, I've one of those feelings.

turbobaby

x PyRo wrote: »

It will win, I've one of those feelings.

Hahah I bloody hope so!

Just checked and Sky are showing the Blackpool v Bristol C game live on Sunday!

That will be torture...

I am not laying anything... except maybe an egg if it works out.

Juwwi

if ur goalscorer scores u would be mad if u didnt have a few grand in an account to back sheff wed imo.

sheff wed are around 11/8 so if they were drawing at half time they would prob be about 7/4 or 15/8.

3 grand at 15/8 if ur player gets a goal would be a smart move.

larsson7

There's some other striker on same goals as in 1 behind the top scorer, Andy Carroll is 3 behind top scorer hatrick for him aint out of the question, then Whitingham if playing could always score
No way of laying it off unless you want get messy

Gillington

Sorry to hijack the thread,not so much a Nervous wait as the OP's but PP account was dry,got a free fiver for the casino which I played through the fiver and transferred the winnings(!?) to the sports book and placed this 10 team Acca

Birmingham @ 8/15
Win-Draw-Win
Birmingham v Burnley Pending €4.69
Arles @ 8/11
Win-Draw-Win
Arles v Nantes Pending
Rapid Vienna @ 1/6
Win-Draw-Win
Rapid Vienna v KSV Superfund Pending
Shelbourne @ 2/7
Win-Draw-Win
Shelbourne v Mervue United Pending
Bohemians @ 3/10
Win-Draw-Win
Bohemians v UCD Pending
Liverpool @ 8/13
Win-Draw-Win
Liverpool v Atletico Madrid Win
Barcelona @ 2/5
Win-Draw-Win
Barcelona v Inter Milan Win
Bodo Glimt @ 2/5
Win-Draw-Win
Bodo Glimt v Nybergsund Win
BATE Borisov @ 1/7
Win-Draw-Win
BATE Borisov v Partizan Minsk Win
Bunyodkor @ 1/6
Win-Draw-Win
Bunyodkor v Al Wahda Win

4.69 returns 101 something iirc.Pretty confident on Shels,Bohs,Rapid vienna and Birmingham.Arles are my only worry,thing is they're playing at the same time as the other games tonight so cant even wait til their results.If they all win tonight I'll prob do a double chance on Burnley tomorrow to get some profit.Anything else I can do,do you's reckon? its only 4 quid that wasnt even mine so not gonna mind losin it but obviously I wouldnt mind a few quid! Just let it ride!?

I can post screenshot if you like,wanted to post this today instead of tomorrow in case the non-believers reared their heads!

ErinGoBrath

Gillington wrote: »

Just let it ride!?

Yip. If you try going to lock in profit with that many games pending you'll end up losing a heap.

You've a good bit to go but best of luck!

turbobaby

Here's the print screen...



Uploaded with ImageShack.us

Gillington

Gillington wrote: »

Sorry to hijack the thread,not so much a Nervous wait as the OP's but PP account was dry,got a free fiver for the casino which I played through the fiver and transferred the winnings(!?) to the sports book and placed this 10 team Acca

Birmingham @ 8/15
Win-Draw-Win
Birmingham v Burnley Pending €4.69
Arles @ 8/11
Win-Draw-Win
Arles v Nantes Pending
Rapid Vienna @ 1/6
Win-Draw-Win
Rapid Vienna v KSV Superfund Pending
Shelbourne @ 2/7
Win-Draw-Win
Shelbourne v Mervue United Pending
Bohemians @ 3/10
Win-Draw-Win
Bohemians v UCD Pending
Liverpool @ 8/13
Win-Draw-Win
Liverpool v Atletico Madrid Win
Barcelona @ 2/5
Win-Draw-Win
Barcelona v Inter Milan Win
Bodo Glimt @ 2/5
Win-Draw-Win
Bodo Glimt v Nybergsund Win
BATE Borisov @ 1/7
Win-Draw-Win
BATE Borisov v Partizan Minsk Win
Bunyodkor @ 1/6
Win-Draw-Win
Bunyodkor v Al Wahda Win

4.69 returns 101 something iirc.Pretty confident on Shels,Bohs,Rapid vienna and Birmingham.Arles are my only worry,thing is they're playing at the same time as the other games tonight so cant even wait til their results.If they all win tonight I'll prob do a double chance on Burnley tomorrow to get some profit.Anything else I can do,do you's reckon? its only 4 quid that wasnt even mine so not gonna mind losin it but obviously I wouldnt mind a few quid! Just let it ride!?

I can post screenshot if you like,wanted to post this today instead of tomorrow in case the non-believers reared their heads!

Boh-flippin-emians

turbobaby

peter whittingham not even on the bench. Good start to today!

Vurnon San Benito

Bets of luck man

turbobaby

MAYNARD!!!!

Vurnon San Benito

GET THE **** INNNNNNNNNN!!!!!!!!!!!!

Juwwi

good god he scored.

have u any money 2 back wednesday set up in an account

good luck man lm nervous myself and lve nothing on it

turbobaby

GOAL FOR PALACE.

nuts86

just came across this thread..... OMFG..... best of luck with it, il be rooting for palace and maynard for the next few hours...

Juwwi

palace have scored 1-0 to palace holy god

sillysasauge

haha come on palace and Maynard!! she wed over 5/1 to win on betfair at the moment

turbobaby

Obviously worried about Wednesday winning but Gary Hooper for Scunthorpe is a danger. He can still level or beat Maynard. Currently stand to win EUR 25k - holy fcuk!

turbobaby

Goal for Wednesday...

sillysasauge

turbobaby wrote: »

Goal for Wednesday...

Still in a better position than at the start of the day though, come on Palace you smucks!

L'prof

turbobaby wrote: »

Goal for Wednesday...

Still ok at the moment! Never realised Palace will go down if they lose!!!

ErinGoBrath

This could be turning into the best thread ever.

Go wan the Palace!

turbobaby

ErinGoBrath wrote: »

This could be turning into the best thread ever.

Go wan the Palace!

Cheers lads... Painful to watch. The Sheffield Wednesday crowd are going mad for it!

ErinGoBrath

If you had 9600k to lay you could lock in 9k profit either way :eek:

turbobaby

ErinGoBrath wrote: »

If you had 9600k to lay you could lock in 9k profit either way :eek:

Hahah thanks bud - i'm afraid i dont have that kind of money and my credit card limit is 400 euro!

Palace game will finish five minutes after every other game cos of the long injury time in the 1st half.