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USA and Israel: Lovers tiff or Divorce?

  • 18-03-2010 6:24am
    #1
    Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 13,018 ✭✭✭✭


    If you have been following the news lately it appears that Israel and the US relationship is at a 35 year low, apparently.

    I suppose this started when Obama took office as he has been fairly cooler than most other presidents in terms of "looking after" Israel. We had his speech in Cairo last year as well where he told both sides to "Cop the Fcuk on!"

    However the straw the broke the camel’s back was a few days ago when Joe Biden was on an official mission to kick start the negotiations for peace talks in Jerusalem when on the same day it was reported that plans for 1,600 new Israeli homes in east Jerusalem have been approved. This was the ultimate kick in the balls for Biden, Obama and American foreign policy in the middle east. Not to mention a waste of Biden’s time in travelling over there. Apparently this was a "coincidence". We all know it’s not.

    Anyway a war of words has now ensued with officials on both sides saying everything is OK only to have some other official to state the exact opposite.
    http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/middle_east/8568692.stm
    Now Obama himself has come out on Fox news of all places to deny that there are serious problems between the two nations.
    This after the Brother in-Law of Netanyahu said the Obama is anti-smectic.
    http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/middle_east/8573760.stm

    However, the person whom has cast the biggest salvo is non other than Gen. Petraeus himself.
    http://middleeast.about.com/b/2010/03/14/petraeus-israels-intransigence-could-cost-american-lives.htm
    So is this the beginning of the end for the special bond between these two countries, or a total cock up in PR by the state of Israel in trying to piss off its biggest ally where a "dressing down" will occur behind closed doors and normal service will continue.

    My opinion?

    "Who the f*** does he think he is? Who's the f***ing superpower here?"

    Read more: http://mideast.blogs.time.com/2009/05/15/obama-bibi-showdown/#ixzz0iVQQDZcE


«1

Comments

  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 13,018 ✭✭✭✭jank


    By the way I do not want this thread to descend into the usual Israel Palestine crap that’s always here. I want the scope of this thread to be about USA and Israel only. Maybe we can get a good discussion going for once!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,749 ✭✭✭✭wes


    I think it too early to tell one way or the other. I reckon we will find out soon enough however.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,696 ✭✭✭Jonny7


    The simple way for the US to deal with Israel is just to support them, regardless of what they do, most conservatives subscribe to this.

    Obama and administration will certainly not gain any homegrown popularity for this new tack, politically the right will rip him for it.

    Its a lose, lose situation for Obama unfortunately.. but morally good, and also a decent test of whether Israel can be reined in a bit or will just continue to act like a little punk


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,518 ✭✭✭OS119


    Jonny7 wrote: »

    Obama and administration will certainly not gain any homegrown popularity for this new tack, politically the right will rip him for it.

    thats not entirely true - though i understand that thats what it looks like.

    a significant part of the US right - not the neo-cons and not the religous right - have had a fundamental problem with Israel for a very long time: they see - as Clinton did - a small, client state, not only interfering with US policy in the region, but attempting (succeeding) in subjourning the US domestic political process for their own ends.

    and, understandably, that rather offends them.

    the big change, for me, lies in the shift of view within the US military - particularly a senior officer so respected by the republicans as Gen. Petreaus - that they are now saying that the US is being fundamentally weakened, not by it relationship with Israel per se, but by the subservient nature of that relationship is likely to cause a massive change of view, over time, within the US body politic.

    the Israel lobby is currently the most powerful political lobby in the US, however, but i think its unlikely that they could match the political power of the US military 'lobby', and for them, any attempt to combat the power of that lobby is fraught with the danger of being labelled 'un-American'.

    they do, after all, work in the interests of a foreign power.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,374 ✭✭✭✭nacho libre


    wes wrote: »
    I think it too early to tell one way or the other. I reckon we will find out soon enough however.

    Well it seems Hillary Clinton has already begun the damage limitation exercise. I certainly don't expect America to cut aid to Israel anytime soon. These two countries may spat among themselves from time to time but ultimately they have a co-dependant relationship so it's unlikely a serious rift will ever develop that cannot be resolved.


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  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 34,567 ✭✭✭✭Biggins


    Could be political gamesmanship.
    With America been "seen" to be more split away from Israel. Maybe the Americans are hoping that as Israel is seen further away, the Palestinians will come closer in political terms - with an eventual successful outcome.

    The Americans know (or should do!) that these problems won't be solved over night so they have to think long term.
    Obama might be trying a new tactic!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,020 ✭✭✭BlaasForRafa


    With Israel being one of the biggest customers for the latest fighter in development, the Joint Strike Fighter, I doubt that the administration will push Israel too far. Netanyahu should ask Dassault for a demonstration of the Rafale, that would put the wind up Lockheed pretty sharpish.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 3,672 ✭✭✭anymore


    OS119 wrote: »
    thats not entirely true - though i understand that thats what it looks like.

    a significant part of the US right - not the neo-cons and not the religous right - have had a fundamental problem with Israel for a very long time: they see - as Clinton did - a small, client state, not only interfering with US policy in the region, but attempting (succeeding) in subjourning the US domestic political process for their own ends.

    and, understandably, that rather offends them.

    the big change, for me, lies in the shift of view within the US military - particularly a senior officer so respected by the republicans as Gen. Petreaus - that they are now saying that the US is being fundamentally weakened, not by it relationship with Israel per se, but by the subservient nature of that relationship is likely to cause a massive change of view, over time, within the US body politic.

    the Israel lobby is currently the most powerful political lobby in the US, however, but i think its unlikely that they could match the political power of the US military 'lobby', and for them, any attempt to combat the power of that lobby is fraught with the danger of being labelled 'un-American'.

    they do, after all, work in the interests of a foreign power.

    The Israeli lobby did not organise for the Bin Laden family to be flown out of the US the day after 9/11 ! The only civil air flight allowed that day. If the Saudi lobby were interested in settlements, I think the issue would have been solved by now, dont you ?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,932 ✭✭✭The Saint


    With Israel being one of the biggest customers for the latest fighter in development, the Joint Strike Fighter, I doubt that the administration will push Israel too far. Netanyahu should ask Dassault for a demonstration of the Rafale, that would put the wind up Lockheed pretty sharpish.

    Irrelivant. The US gives Israel approximately $3 Billion in military aid per year. Around 75% of this aid must be spent on US military equipment. Israel intends to buy over 100 F-35A fighters at an estimated cost of over $5 billion to replace their F-16s over time (all details from Wiki).

    This is more of an indirect subsidy by the US to Lockheed. It would seem that Israel isn't really in a position to swan around making threats to US arms manufacturers or the US administration. If Israel fcuks the US around they could reduce military aid or force them to spend 100% of aid on US equipment like is the case with all other countries that recieve US military aid.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,932 ✭✭✭The Saint


    anymore wrote: »
    The Israeli lobby did not organise for the Bin Laden family to be flown out of the US the day after 9/11 ! The only civil air flight allowed that day. If the Saudi lobby were interested in settlements, I think the issue would have been solved by now, dont you ?
    The interests between the US, Saudi and Israel are very different. Saudi is not going to push the US on Israel. It is not in their interests. Their interests lie in economic and commercial ties to the US and US security umbrella over the country and regime. Having said that, Saudi Arabia has put forward the most compehensive peace proposal in resolving the Arab-Israeli issue in the form of the 2002 Arab Peace Initiative.


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 3,672 ✭✭✭anymore


    The Saint wrote: »
    The interests between the US, Saudi and Israel are very different. Saudi is not going to push the US on Israel. It is not in their interests. Their interests lie in economic and commercial ties to the US and US security umbrella over the country and regime. Having said that, Saudi Arabia has put forward the most compehensive peace proposal in resolving the Arab-Israeli issue in the form of the 2002 Arab Peace Initiative.
    Probaly the most sensible comment we will see on this thread.
    The reality is that the whole Israel/Palestine issue is second division stuff.
    Those in the arab world who have the leverage to use , choose not to.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,518 ✭✭✭OS119


    With Israel being one of the biggest customers for the latest fighter in development, the Joint Strike Fighter, I doubt that the administration will push Israel too far. Netanyahu should ask Dassault for a demonstration of the Rafale, that would put the wind up Lockheed pretty sharpish.

    sorry, thats simply not true.

    the Israelis are on the list of potential buyers for JSF, but they aint calling the shots. the Israelis were expelled by the US from the original JSF program because they supplied the Chinese (for cash) huge quantities of information on an F-16 dirivative aircraft - that aircraft was subsequently cancelled, and the Chinese have a new fighter (the J-10) in operation that looks suspiciously like an F-16.

    the US is absolutey not sure if it will sell the standard capability JSF to the Israelis, not just because they can't be trusted not to sell the systems to the highest bidder, but because the US has concerns that putting JSF in the IAF will make the IAF even more prevailent, and therefore make Israeli politicians even less likely to compromise - giving the US even greater headaches.

    the biggest foriegn operator of JSF will be the UK at between 120 and 150 airframes. even with the current $3bn US defence subsidy the Israeli's would be unlikely to buy more than 50 airframes (at about $100million a pop). that puts them in the same league as Australia, the Netherlands, Norway etc...


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 3,892 ✭✭✭spank_inferno


    Those posts about the JSF are very interesting.
    Perhaps the f-22 raptor falls into that situation aswell.

    At the end of the day, from what I've read Israel are quite keen to get access to these new planes. In time it may be a sufficient carrott to keep them sweet.

    Perhaps this is all just an Israeli test on obama?
    A 'push the new guy & see what happens' kinda move?

    If that was the case a firm standing obama will probably bring israel back to the table (hopefully to the benefit of all)


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,798 ✭✭✭Mr. Incognito


    Israel is a darling of the Republican party- they will frustrate Obama's administration and wait for a republican president and then it's business as usual.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,518 ✭✭✭OS119


    Israel is a darling of the Republican party- they will frustrate Obama's administration and wait for a republican president and then it's business as usual.

    no, Israel is the darling of part of the Republican party, the part of the Republican party that's pretty unpopular both within the Republican party itself, and within the US body politic.

    lots of Republicans - and Democrats - don't like the way Israel acts within the relationship it has with the US. that doesn't mean the relationship will end, rather that the master/servant or patron/client balance is going - amid much howling from the Israel lobby - to be reasserted.

    Israel needs the US, the US doesn't need Israel - and both know it, though Israel may try to claim otherwise.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 46,938 ✭✭✭✭Nodin


    Israel is a darling of the Republican party- they will frustrate Obama's administration and wait for a republican president and then it's business as usual.

    I suspect you're probably right.


  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 16,639 Mod ✭✭✭✭Manic Moran


    I suppose this started when Obama took office as he has been fairly cooler than most other presidents in terms of "looking after" Israel.

    Interestingly, he's been 'cooler' to all foreign leaders. Was reading a piece in a newspaper about a week ago, one of the White House spokesmen was asked which world leaders that Obama has developed a rapport and friendship with. That led to an awkward silence, even Obama's relationship with the Prime Minister of Her Majesty's United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland, traditionally one of the US's closest partners, is such that it couldn't be called personally friendly. The reporter couldn't think of a previous President/UKPM relationship that was as distant as the current one. Eventually the White House staffer proposed Medvedev.

    NTM


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,932 ✭✭✭The Saint


    This just keeps getting better and better.
    New East Jerusalem homes approved hours before Netanyahu-Obama meet

    The Jerusalem municipality has given final approval to a group of settlers construct 20 apartments in a controversial hotel in East Jerusalem, Haaretz learned on Tuesday.

    The announcement comes as Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu was in Washington smoothing over ties with the United States over the latest settlement-related tensions, and hours before the premier was to meet with President Barack Obama in Washington.

    Full Story


    EDIT:
    It also seems that Netanyahu already told the US to get stuffed on this last july as well.
    JERUSALEM — Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu rejected Sunday an American call to hold off on a planned Jewish housing development in East Jerusalem, saying Israel’s sovereignty over the disputed city could not be challenged.
    http://www.nytimes.com/2009/07/20/world/middleeast/20mideast.html?_r=1&fta=y

    I wonder will this be picked up by the international, and in particular the US, media. The reaction could be interesting if it is.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,184 ✭✭✭paulaa


    The Saint wrote: »
    This just keeps getting better and better.

    EDIT:
    It also seems that Netanyahu already told the US to get stuffed on this last july as well.



    I wonder will this be picked up by the international, and in particular the US, media. The reaction could be interesting if it is.

    If I didn't know better I would almost think Bibi was working for Hamas !! He is a gift to Israel's enemies.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,236 ✭✭✭Dannyboy83


    OS119 wrote: »
    sorry, thats simply not true.

    the Israelis are on the list of potential buyers for JSF, but they aint calling the shots. the Israelis were expelled by the US from the original JSF program because they supplied the Chinese (for cash) huge quantities of information on an F-16 dirivative aircraft - that aircraft was subsequently cancelled, and the Chinese have a new fighter (the J-10) in operation that looks suspiciously like an F-16.

    the US is absolutey not sure if it will sell the standard capability JSF to the Israelis, not just because they can't be trusted not to sell the systems to the highest bidder, but because the US has concerns that putting JSF in the IAF will make the IAF even more prevailent, and therefore make Israeli politicians even less likely to compromise - giving the US even greater headaches.

    the biggest foriegn operator of JSF will be the UK at between 120 and 150 airframes. even with the current $3bn US defence subsidy the Israeli's would be unlikely to buy more than 50 airframes (at about $100million a pop). that puts them in the same league as Australia, the Netherlands, Norway etc...

    Nothing to add but just thought you might be interested in this link:
    http://www.strategypage.com/dls/default.asp

    It has a lot of commentary similar to your above post which doesn't seem to get reported in mainstream media


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,321 ✭✭✭IrishTonyO


    how many more insults, are the US going to take? They should withdraw their military aid to Israel immediately.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,749 ✭✭✭✭wes


    IrishTonyO wrote: »
    how many more insults, are the US going to take? They should withdraw their military aid to Israel immediately.

    Yeah just read about the latest insult on the Al Jazeera web page:
    New building clouds Israel-US talks

    I don't think anyone is going to buy the it was an accident excuse this time, as its the 2nd time they have done this. I am very surprised that the Israeli government are deliberately insulting the US government like this, what do they hope to achieve exactly?!? I can only see this annoying more Americans.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,518 ✭✭✭OS119


    wes wrote: »

    I don't think anyone is going to buy the it was an accident excuse this time, as its the 2nd time they have done this. I am very surprised that the Israeli government are deliberately insulting the US government like this, what do they hope to achieve exactly?!? I can only see this annoying more Americans.

    certain parts of the Israeli body politic genuinely believe that both they are the only issue in the world, and the the US exists soley to support them.

    those parts, and i'd suggest that they definately live at the Likud/AIPAC end of the spectrum, believe that a US president can be broken to the will of that axis of thought by dint of what they believe to be the huge, unwavering support for Israel/Likud within the US body politic.

    personally i think they are wrong, and that not only are most US politicians more interested in US security than they are in Israels, but they - almost whatever their view on Israel - actively dislike the Israelis for the way they publicly piss on US policy, and actively try to sway US domestic political opinion to their point of view.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 3,672 ✭✭✭anymore


    IrishTonyO wrote: »
    how many more insults, are the US going to take? They should withdraw their military aid to Israel immediately.

    Israel is the only country in the world with which the US really does have a special relationship. When it counts, the US knows it can rely on Israel. What other Middle eastern country can it rely on ?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,932 ✭✭✭The Saint


    anymore wrote: »
    Israel is the only country in the world with which the US really does have a special relationship. When it counts, the US knows it can rely on Israel. What other Middle eastern country can it rely on ?
    What important things does Israel provide the US in a geo-strategic sense?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,925 ✭✭✭aidan24326


    ...but ultimately they have a co-dependant relationship so it's unlikely a serious rift will ever develop that cannot be resolved.

    Co-dependent? Hardly. Israel need the US alright, but it's difficult to see why the US would be dependent on Israel.

    IrishTonyO wrote: »
    how many more insults, are the US going to take? They should withdraw their military aid to Israel immediately.

    Israel are doing a good job of insulting other countries too. The Brits can hardly be too pleased about all those Mossad agents using forged British passports. It's amazing that the Israelis treat close allies with such contempt.

    anymore wrote: »
    Israel is the only country in the world with which the US really does have a special relationship. When it counts, the US knows it can rely on Israel. What other Middle eastern country can it rely on ?

    Rely on them for what? Israel may be of some benefit as a strategic military base* but other than that I can't see what else the US gets out of it.

    *And the US has a heavy military presence in that region anyway, so Israel may not even be that important, I don't really know.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,829 ✭✭✭KerranJast


    The Palestine issue aside, its now time for the US to reassert itself as top dog in the relationship. As its stands Israel is making Obama and the US look weak which is dangerous.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,518 ✭✭✭OS119


    anymore wrote: »
    Israel is the only country in the world with which the US really does have a special relationship. When it counts, the US knows it can rely on Israel. What other Middle eastern country can it rely on ?

    can you provide two examples?

    the US has never used Israel as a base for its numerous operations in the middle east. the US has a significant (and rather less troublesome) intelligence relationship with Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, Turkey, Egypt, the UAE and even Yemen. the US is able to gather Signals and Electronic Intelligence from UK territory in Cyprus, Gibraltar and Deigo Garcia.

    Israel provides nothing that those other countries don't provide.

    as a comparrison, the US's other 'close ally' gives almost all its intelligence take to the US, shares its Submarine-based Nuclear deterrent, is the only level 1 partner in the JSF project, sent 45,000 troops for the Invasion of Iraq, 10,000 troops to the most high-intensity conflict since Korea - and doesn't sell US defence technology to the Chinese.

    so exactly what was it that Israel does for the US the US can't live without?


  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 16,639 Mod ✭✭✭✭Manic Moran


    The US does buy a lot of Israeli military gear. I'll wager more goodies than they buy off anyone else, though I've not looked at the dollar value.

    NTM


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,932 ✭✭✭The Saint


    The US does buy a lot of Israeli military gear. I'll wager more goodies than they buy off anyone else, though I've not looked at the dollar value.

    NTM

    Couldn't the US buy this equipment on the open market? Israel is also a hell of a lot more dependent on the US military since it doesn't produce any of its own military aircraft with the exception of drones.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,829 ✭✭✭KerranJast


    The Saint wrote: »
    Couldn't the US buy this equipment on the open market? Israel is also a hell of a lot more dependent on the US military since it doesn't produce any of its own military aircraft with the exception of drones.
    I'm sure Americans would love for stuff like that to be produced at home. More jobs and tax income.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,374 ✭✭✭✭nacho libre


    aidan24326 wrote: »
    Co-dependent? Hardly. Israel need the US alright, but it's difficult to see why the US would be dependent on Israel.

    .

    America and Israel need each other. if this wasn't the case America would not go out of its way to excuse the conduct of Israel, which would lead to other countries being denounced for similar conduct.

    This is why Nethanyu knows he can go ahead with the latest settlement building in East Jerusalem and America will just have to accept it. while it may not be a military co- dependency, there definitely is a political co-dependency there. you only have to read about the warm reception Nethanyu recieved by the vast majority of the us congress to get a further reminder of this.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 3,672 ✭✭✭anymore


    OS119 wrote: »
    can you provide two examples?

    the US has never used Israel as a base for its numerous operations in the middle east. the US has a significant (and rather less troublesome) intelligence relationship with Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, Turkey, Egypt, the UAE and even Yemen. the US is able to gather Signals and Electronic Intelligence from UK territory in Cyprus, Gibraltar and Deigo Garcia.

    Israel provides nothing that those other countries don't provide.

    as a comparrison, the US's other 'close ally' gives almost all its intelligence take to the US, shares its Submarine-based Nuclear deterrent, is the only level 1 partner in the JSF project, sent 45,000 troops for the Invasion of Iraq, 10,000 troops to the most high-intensity conflict since Korea - and doesn't sell US defence technology to the Chinese.

    so exactly what was it that Israel does for the US the US can't live without?
    The Us has almost as a matter of routine used the Israelis through the years for carrying operations on its behalf. I suppose the most spectacular and highly visible was the bombing of Saddam's nuclear facility in the seenties , wasnt it ?
    But the whole point of using Israel to further US interests is for it to be secret. Only the very naive are not aware of this. At this point even many arab states are glad to see Israel act abuffer against rogue states like Iran.
    Look at how everyone suddenly got on side over Gadaffi - now he is everyones favourite Arab ! Loyalty is predicated only on usefulness.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,321 ✭✭✭IrishTonyO


    anymore wrote: »
    The Us has almost as a matter of routine used the Israelis through the years for carrying operations on its behalf. I suppose the most spectacular and highly visible was the bombing of Saddam's nuclear facility in the seenties , wasnt it ?
    But the whole point of using Israel to further US interests is for it to be secret. Only the very naive are not aware of this. At this point even many arab states are glad to see Israel act abuffer against rogue states like Iran.
    Look at how everyone suddenly got on side over Gadaffi - now he is everyones favourite Arab ! Loyalty is predicated only on usefulness.

    Any proof that the US has used Israel for operations? Or is it just your belief?


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 3,672 ✭✭✭anymore


    IrishTonyO wrote: »
    Any proof that the US has used Israel for operations? Or is it just your belief?

    Do you mean to say that you dont look up the CIA website which lists the deails of all its secret operations ? :eek:


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  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 16,639 Mod ✭✭✭✭Manic Moran


    The Saint wrote: »
    Couldn't the US buy this equipment on the open market? Israel is also a hell of a lot more dependent on the US military since it doesn't produce any of its own military aircraft with the exception of drones.

    The high-end Israeli stuff tends to be world leaders in its field. For example, they've got two forms of Active Protection Systems in service on their vehicles now whilst Raytheon is still trying to feck about with their own version. Their optics are first class, even the Irish have bought them. Their equipment overall is cutting edge, and very good. But even at that, some of the low-end materials are still bought from Israel: For example, Israel is the only non-US source of small-arms ammunition for the US Army. Even the standard US Army issue field dressing in the first aid kit on every soldier is Israeli (And a damned sight better than the American one I used to wear).

    Israel is not dependent on the US for its aircraft. It's just a hell of a lot easier/cheaper for them to get their aircraft from the US. Look at the Lavi/J-10 (Chinese fighter) as a capability case in point. Israel Air Industries is one of Israel's greatest single exports companies, and does a roaring business in avionics, mainly rebuilds (See, for example, the work they've done with the Turkish and Indian Air Forces), and the Phalcon AWACS system is, yet again, one of the best out there. However, ever since they built the Daggers (Mirage V variant) in the 1960s, the Israelis have been technically capable of building airframes. (Israeli-built Neshers were used by the Argentinians to attack a few British ships in the Falklands.) They can also build the avionics, and they certainly can build the weapons to hang off them (Americans buy them too).

    Taken to the extreme, this is a photo of a US Navy F-21. Built in Israel as the IAI Kfir, leased to the US.

    800px-DN-ST-89-01919.JPEG

    They -can- build fighters. They choose not to.

    To be honest, I can't think of a single piece of military hardware other than helicopters which the Israelis are not in a position to be self-sufficient in. From radios through tank ammunition, the Israelis can do it.
    I'm sure Americans would love for stuff like that to be produced at home. More jobs and tax income.

    By law they must be. For example, Beretta (Italian) have a factory to produce the M9 in Pennsylvania. FN (Belgium) makes the M-240 in Connecticut, I do believe. Eurocopter have a facility in one of the Carolinas, I think it is, to produce the UH-72. And so on.

    But the companies themselves are still European.

    NTM


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 46,938 ✭✭✭✭Nodin


    ....but, if licences and such were withdrawn, it would make life more difficult for them....


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,932 ✭✭✭The Saint


    The high-end Israeli stuff tends to be world leaders in its field. For example, they've got two forms of Active Protection Systems in service on their vehicles now whilst Raytheon is still trying to feck about with their own version. Their optics are first class, even the Irish have bought them. Their equipment overall is cutting edge, and very good. But even at that, some of the low-end materials are still bought from Israel: For example, Israel is the only non-US source of small-arms ammunition for the US Army. Even the standard US Army issue field dressing in the first aid kit on every soldier is Israeli (And a damned sight better than the American one I used to wear).

    Israel is not dependent on the US for its aircraft. It's just a hell of a lot easier/cheaper for them to get their aircraft from the US. Look at the Lavi/J-10 (Chinese fighter) as a capability case in point. Israel Air Industries is one of Israel's greatest single exports companies, and does a roaring business in avionics, mainly rebuilds (See, for example, the work they've done with the Turkish and Indian Air Forces), and the Phalcon AWACS system is, yet again, one of the best out there. However, ever since they built the Daggers (Mirage V variant) in the 1960s, the Israelis have been technically capable of building airframes. (Israeli-built Neshers were used by the Argentinians to attack a few British ships in the Falklands.) They can also build the avionics, and they certainly can build the weapons to hang off them (Americans buy them too).

    Taken to the extreme, this is a photo of a US Navy F-21. Built in Israel as the IAI Kfir, leased to the US.


    They -can- build fighters. They choose not to.

    To be honest, I can't think of a single piece of military hardware other than helicopters which the Israelis are not in a position to be self-sufficient in. From radios through tank ammunition, the Israelis can do it.



    By law they must be. For example, Beretta (Italian) have a factory to produce the M9 in Pennsylvania. FN (Belgium) makes the M-240 in Connecticut, I do believe. Eurocopter have a facility in one of the Carolinas, I think it is, to produce the UH-72. And so on.

    But the companies themselves are still European.

    NTM
    Thanks for the detailed response. I still don't understand why the US could not buy this stuff on the open market. Is there a special agreement for the transfer of technology between the US and Israel?

    I'd imagine that part of the reason the Israel buys US planes is due to the conditions of the $3 Billion in military aid stipulating that they have to spend 75% of this money on US equipment.

    Also, surely if Israel was forced to build its own aircraft then it would be highly restrictive on its overall budget. I'd imagine the R&D done to produce such advanced fighters such as the F-35 would be prohibitively expensive for Israel. While I'm sure they have the capability and know-how to do it, I'm not sure whether they have the funds and the resources.

    Furthermore, surely buying equipment from states other than the US would be a lot more expensive given the lack of military aid provision from these states as opposed to the US.

    I could be wrong on all of this as it's not my area of expertise but they seem like logical impediments. I'll defer to your greater knowledge on this.


    *EDIT*
    I have just had a quick look around at the planes that you have cited.

    The Lavi/J-10's development was 40% funded by the US. When the US withdrew its funding the project was cancelled and didn't get past the prototype stage. The aircraft never saw operational duty.

    The Nesher was designed in France using Israeli avionics. However, surely the R&D phase of any aircraft is the most expensive aspect of building one therefore building on from scratch would be prohibitively expensive as was the case with the Lavi/J-10.

    While Israel can retrofit and improve existing aircraft it seems that it is not financially capable of designing and building its own. This is probably why they focus and excell in specialising on the high tech aspects of the avionics in retrofitting existing foreign aircraft.


  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 16,639 Mod ✭✭✭✭Manic Moran


    The Saint wrote: »
    Thanks for the detailed response. I still don't understand why the US could not buy this stuff on the open market. Is there a special agreement for the transfer of technology between the US and Israel?

    You can't buy something on the open market from someone else if nobody else builds the stuff to the same quality. For example, there are only two countries which make in-service active protection systems. (They basically intercept RPGs and missiles). Russia and Israel. The Israeli version is better. The Americans haven't gotten theirs to work yet. If there was a mandate tomorrow to fit US vehicles with the systems, where else are they going to go? Get the inferior Russian system? And it's not just technological capability: Israeli operational requirements over the years have developed into a set of technologies that no other country even thought to invent. Want a non-lethal tank main gun round? Go to the Israel Military Industries catalogue.
    Also, surely if Israel was forced to build its own aircraft then it would be highly restrictive on its overall budget. I'd imagine the R&D done to produce such advanced fighters such as the F-35 would be prohibitively expensive for Israel. While I'm sure they have the capability and know-how to do it, I'm not sure whether they have the funds and the resources.

    Which is the main reason that the Lavi project was cancelled after a few prototypes were built and IAI went into the avionics refurbishing business. Why spend all that money when you don't have to? Aircraft have a very long service life, and can be easily refurbished. But the expensive bit about an airplane tends to be the avionics and the engine. I don't know the state of Israeli turbine manufacturing capabilities, but the electronics they have down to a 't'. They just don't need to bother with the tooling and flight testing expenses. It's not a prohibitive expense, just one that doesn't rate very highly on the budget priority.
    Furthermore, surely buying equipment from states other than the US would be a lot more expensive given the lack of military aid provision from these states as opposed to the US.

    Probably, but again it's an issue of 'want' vs 'need'. After the 1967 war the Israelis decided that a policy of self-sufficiency for equipment was a strategic necessity. As long as they can get acceptable equipment from the US for cheap (which they often modify to suit Israeli requirements anyway), why not continue to get it? Especially consumables such as bombs which aren't all that expensive to develop but cost money to build. If it dries up, then fine, they'll just build their own instead. Case in point, the Israeli Navy. For quite some time, the Israeli naval vessels were built in France and Germany. Building and developing warships isn't likely to be much cheaper than building and devloping aircraft. The current Israeli fleet are either built in Israel or in the case of the three most recent corvettes, built in the US to an Israeli design.
    but they seem like logical impediments. I'll defer to your greater knowledge on this.

    Deterrents, more than impediments, really.

    NTM


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,518 ✭✭✭OS119


    MM, so they build great kit - you and i have both used that kit, better than the stuff our own countries produce - but that doesn't mean the US should be the puppet to Israels hand.

    the US Army uses the British L119AI light gun, but i don't see a $3bn subsidy to the UK, or US politicians having to profess their loyalty to the UK in order to get elected.


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  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 16,639 Mod ✭✭✭✭Manic Moran


    That's a different problem.

    I was addressing the 'reliance' issue, not the larger overall political sphere. Israel is not as dependant on the US for military technology as people often believe, and there's a much larger transfer of technology and hardware going the Israel-to-the-US direction than people realise. How that fits into the larger geopolitical sphere is an area I am less qualified to state.

    NTM


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,518 ✭✭✭OS119


    but if the Israelis didn't have the $3bn annual subsidy, and the generally favourable terms they get when purchacing US systems, its pretty unlikey they would have the R&D budget to produce the exceptional 'add-ons' that the US and other countries buy from them.

    if the US gave the UK 25% of its defence budget i'm pretty sure we could develop some hyper-gucci 'add-ons' that would make it into the US armoury!

    as it is, the US - and every other country that has to pay for its own defence budget - has to spread its finite resources over the entire spectrum of military capability, rather than concentrate on particular areas. Israel gets a US platform for free, uprates it using the money it didn't have to use to buy that platform, then sells the upgrade to the US and somehow pretends that its doing the US a favour and that its militarily independent of the US - madness!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,932 ✭✭✭The Saint


    MM, I wrote a big long reply to your post but boards clapped out and I lost it. Anyway, it is really a side issue to the topic and I'm too lazy to write it up again. :D

    Anyway, more on topic. It seems that the meeting between Bibi and Obama wasn't the most warm.
    A Hazing in Stages

    Yedioth Ahronoth (p. 4) by Orly Azulai -- A black limousine bearing the Israeli and American flags pulled up outside the entrance to the White House on Tuesday. Binyamin Netanyahu emerged from it, smiling and energetic. President Barack Obama cleared an hour of his time for him. Netanyahu knew that this was a golden opportunity for him to repair his relations with the president of the United States. He had no intention of missing this opportunity. But what he found waiting for him from the moment he entered the Oval Office was an ongoing humiliation.

    The meeting, which was supposed to be a friendly conclusion of the crisis that erupted between the two countries over the construction in Jerusalem, only heralded the renewed conflict that continued to rage in the hours that followed.

    Ambush in the Oval Office

    Shortly before Netanyahu reached the White House, he learned that approval had been given for the construction of 20 housing units in the heart of the Arab neighborhood of Sheikh Jarrah in Jerusalem. The fragile trust, which had only just begun to form between the two sides, was shattered. Representatives of the administration said that they felt that “Netanyahu spat in our faces once again.” While the meeting was not canceled, staff members at the White House spared no effort to humiliate the prime minister: photographers were not permitted to take a picture of him with Obama at the beginning of the meeting, as is the norm. While a White House photographer did document the two men together, none of those pictures had been released as of last night.

    When Netanyahu entered the Oval Office at 5:34 (12:34 AM Israel time), he walked into an ambush. Netanyahu did not take into account that he was facing a president who was stronger and more self-confident than in the past: just a few hours before that meeting, Obama celebrated an historic victory after he had his health care reform passed.

    Obama immediately demanded to know which goodwill gestures Netanyahu was prepared to make towards the Palestinians in advance of the proximity talks. He was not satisfied with the answers Netanyahu gave him. Obama clarified that it was incumbent upon the parties to discuss in the course of those proximity talks all the core issues of the conflict—first and foremost the future borders. A source in the White House said that Netanyahu agreed that the parties would raise general ideas about resolving the conflict at the proximity talks. Netanyahu suggested that the details be addressed only after direct negotiations were resumed. The president spoke about practical steps. The prime minister pulled in the direction of theoretical steps. No agreement was visible on the horizon.

    Obama Goes to Eat

    The construction in Jerusalem also impinged upon the atmosphere in the meeting. Obama demanded clarifications about the construction authorization in Sheikh Jarrah. When Netanyahu was asked about that in the course of his meetings with Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and Members of Congress, he pulled out a folded piece of paper from his pocket that contained a flow chart describing the construction approval process in Jerusalem. “It was awful,” said one Member of Congress who met with the prime minister. “Netanyahu looked excessively concerned and upset. He waved around those pages, eager to persuade us that because of the complicated approval process for issuing construction permits in Jerusalem—one could never know in advance when a decision would be published on the issue.”

    At 7:03, an hour and a half into the meeting, Obama rose from his seat. “I’m going to the residential wing,” he said, “to have dinner with Michelle and the girls,” President Obama has taken pains not to give up on spending quality time with his family since entering the White House. That said, had the meeting been held in a friendly atmosphere, Obama would probably have made an exception and would have continued to sit with Netanyahu—and perhaps would have dined with him as well. The president suggested that Netanyahu stay in the White House and consult with his aides, so that if he changed his mind he could inform the president right away. “I’m still around,” said Obama. “Let me know if there is anything new.”

    While Obama was in the residential wing on the third floor, Netanyahu and his aides closeted themselves in the Roosevelt Room on the first floor. Defense Minister Ehud Barak, who had just finished a meeting with National Security Adviser James Jones, joined the meeting. At 8:20 the two leaders met for a second one-on-one meeting, which lasted 25 minutes. “The president asked Netanyahu to make confidence-building measures in advance of the proximity talks,” said a high-ranking administration source. “There were agreements and disagreements. The talks will continue.”

    Talks on the Secure Line

    The White House provided Netanyahu with a telephone line, as is the norm. But it seems that Netanyahu did not trust that his hosts would not listen in on his conversations. Upon the conclusion of his second meeting with the president, the prime minister and defense minister left for the Israeli embassy in Washington. Only there, using the secure line in Ambassador Michael Oren’s office, did Netanyahu feel it was safe to speak.

    Yitzhak Molcho, Ron Dermer and Nir Hefetz stayed at the White House. They tried to secure an agreement about a joint statement, but met with failure. The White House responded with resounding silence. Contrary to the norm in meetings between leaders, no statement about this meeting was issued to the media.

    The conflict with Obama forced Netanyahu to change his plans. He canceled his meetings at the last moment and, after a fitful night’s sleep, he left his hotel at 9:00 in the morning and returned to the embassy in order to formulate answers that would be deemed satisfactory by Obama.

    At the same time, the White House and State Department issued statements saying that the administration was awaiting clarifications from Israel. Last night (Israel time) Netanyahu postponed his return to Israel, and met with George Mitchell in an attempt to end the crisis.


  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 16,639 Mod ✭✭✭✭Manic Moran


    OS119 wrote: »
    but if the Israelis didn't have the $3bn annual subsidy, and the generally favourable terms they get when purchacing US systems, its pretty unlikey they would have the R&D budget to produce the exceptional 'add-ons' that the US and other countries buy from them.

    if the US gave the UK 25% of its defence budget i'm pretty sure we could develop some hyper-gucci 'add-ons' that would make it into the US armoury!

    You're making the mistake of presuming that if they suddenly had a $3bn budget shortfall that military R&D would be cut. They have a thriving export industry, which both brings in foreign cash and also helps with foreign relations. Why would they not continue to support this industry with their own money if they need to? The nation's military security is considered very important in Israel and they will spend the cash on it if it needs to be spent. Something would probably be cut from the budget, but I strongly doubt it would be military R&D. Not least, I don't think that the opinion of the Israeli populace is quite the same as it is in Ireland or the UK where the question of cutting defence spending or government subsidies for the disadvantaged almost invariably results in Defence being cut.
    Israel gets a US platform for free, uprates it using the money it didn't have to use to buy that platform, then sells the upgrade to the US and somehow pretends that its doing the US a favour and that its militarily independent of the US - madness!

    Interestingly, most of the equipment that the Israelis sell to the US are stand-alone equipment and not upgrades, such as missiles, RPVs, and so on. For example, the only US designed component of the F-21 was the J79 engine. The US tends to home-contract its upgrades. Their avionics refurbishing industry tends to be geared towards second-tier military powers who can't afford a brand spanking new F-15, but would be quite happy getting as capable a radar and new air/ground munitions incorporation into their F-4s or MiG-21s which still have a few years' or airframe life left in them. Same with many of the ground upgrades: See the $600m contract for the Sabra tank that IMI is upgrading for Turkey: They use an Israeli-designed fire control system, Israeli-made gun, and Israeli-made ammunition on an American M60 tank from the 1970s. It uses technology developed by Israel for the Merkava tank.

    If Rafael sells the Trophy APS to the US military as some want it to do, it wouldn't be a case of the Israelis taking an American technology, upgrading it, and giving it back to the Americans, it would be a case of the Israelis taking Israeli technology, and fitting it to an American vehicle giving it a capability that the Americans don't have.

    NTM


  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 16,639 Mod ✭✭✭✭Manic Moran


    OS119 wrote: »
    but if the Israelis didn't have the $3bn annual subsidy, and the generally favourable terms they get when purchacing US systems, its pretty unlikey they would have the R&D budget to produce the exceptional 'add-ons' that the US and other countries buy from them.

    if the US gave the UK 25% of its defence budget i'm pretty sure we could develop some hyper-gucci 'add-ons' that would make it into the US armoury!

    You're making the mistake of presuming that if they suddenly had a $3bn budget shortfall that military R&D would be cut. They have a thriving export industry, which both brings in foreign cash and also helps with foreign relations. Why would they not continue to support this industry with their own money if they need to? The nation's military security is considered very important in Israel and they will spend the cash on it if it needs to be spent. Something would probably be cut from the budget, but I strongly doubt it would be military R&D. Not least, I don't think that the opinion of the Israeli populace is quite the same as it is in Ireland or the UK where the question of cutting defence spending or government subsidies for the disadvantaged almost invariably results in Defence being cut.
    Israel gets a US platform for free, uprates it using the money it didn't have to use to buy that platform, then sells the upgrade to the US and somehow pretends that its doing the US a favour and that its militarily independent of the US - madness!

    Interestingly, most of the equipment that the Israelis sell to the US are stand-alone equipment and not upgrades, such as missiles, RPVs, and so on. For example, the only US designed component of the F-21 was the (Licensed) J79 engine. The US tends to home-contract its upgrades. Their avionics refurbishing industry tends to be geared towards second-tier military powers who can't afford a brand spanking new F-15, but would be quite happy getting as capable a radar and new air/ground munitions incorporation into their F-4s or MiG-21s which still have a few years' or airframe life left in them. Same with many of the ground upgrades: See the $600m contract for the Sabra tank that IMI is upgrading for Turkey: They use an Israeli-designed fire control system, Israeli-made gun, and Israeli-made ammunition on an American M60 tank from the 1970s. It uses technology developed by Israel for the Merkava tank.

    If Rafael sells the Trophy APS to the US military as some in the US want it to do, it wouldn't be a case of the Israelis taking an American technology, upgrading it, and giving it back to the Americans, it would be a case of the Israelis taking Israeli technology, and fitting it to an American vehicle giving it a capability that the Americans don't have.

    NTM


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 13,018 ✭✭✭✭jank


    The Saint wrote: »
    MM, I wrote a big long reply to your post but boards clapped out and I lost it. Anyway, it is really a side issue to the topic and I'm too lazy to write it up again. :D

    Anyway, more on topic. It seems that the meeting between Bibi and Obama wasn't the most warm.


    Thanks for that. What was the source?

    If what you posted is true then Israel seem to be falling over themselves to sort this out but by steering such a hard course of these new homes any back down on it will feel like giving ground.

    What could the US do make Israel think twice about these plans. There are mentions of the millitary grants but anything concreate? Like selling more arms to Turkey and Syria?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 538 ✭✭✭Irlandese


    anymore wrote: »
    Do you mean to say that you dont look up the CIA website which lists the deails of all its secret operations ? :eek:
    Most diplomats will tell you that the formerly much vaunted capacity of the Israelis as secret agents went the same way as the formerly much-vaunted reputation of the SAS. Both are seen as great on self-promotion, for domestic consumption, but have been shown to be well below presummed par on operational levels in a number of high-profile disasters in recent years.
    And, no, anymore, I wasn't there personally.........


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 538 ✭✭✭Irlandese


    jank wrote: »
    Thanks for that. What was the source?

    If what you posted is true then Israel seem to be falling over themselves to sort this out but by steering such a hard course of these new homes any back down on it will feel like giving ground.

    What could the US do make Israel think twice about these plans. There are mentions of the millitary grants but anything concreate? Like selling more arms to Turkey and Syria?
    I read the jerusalem post, online, to get a feel for domestic israeli re-actions.
    With Republicans and democrats in congress well into the zionist feeding troughs, the main threat Obama can muster relates to the Iran question. Personally, I think a nuclear Iran would help preserve peace in the region, with a trigger-happy Israel stock-piling hundreds of nuclear weapons in their Golan Heights complex. At least if Iran has a limited response capacity, the hawks in the Israeli government have reason to play it cautiously.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,518 ✭✭✭OS119


    Irlandese wrote: »
    ...with a trigger-happy Israel...

    sorry mate, have the challenge you on the idea that Israel is trigger happy with its nuclear weapons.

    Israel had air-dropped tactical nuclear weapons - probably 15 or so in the 15 to 50kt range - at the start of the 1973 Yom Kippur war, that war came pretty close on day one to cutting Israel in half, its armoured units were being swept back, its vaunted Air force was being massacred in the Egyptian SAM belts and was proving unable to carry out its role as the Army 'flying artillery' - in effect its war plan was on its arse and it was surrounded by enemies with no prospect of relief from outside.

    yet it didn't employ its nuclear arsenal, the one capability which none of the Arab states matched, and which - had it been used - would have provided its conventional forces the breathing space they needed to reverse the Syrian and Egyptian advances.

    not exactly trigger happy...


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 538 ✭✭✭Irlandese


    OS119 wrote: »
    sorry mate, have the challenge you on the idea that Israel is trigger happy with its nuclear weapons.

    Israel had air-dropped tactical nuclear weapons - probably 15 or so in the 15 to 50kt range - at the start of the 1973 Yom Kippur war, that war came pretty close on day one to cutting Israel in half, its armoured units were being swept back, its vaunted Air force was being massacred in the Egyptian SAM belts and was proving unable to carry out its role as the Army 'flying artillery' - in effect its war plan was on its arse and it was surrounded by enemies with no prospect of relief from outside.

    yet it didn't employ its nuclear arsenal, the one capability which none of the Arab states matched, and which - had it been used - would have provided its conventional forces the breathing space they needed to reverse the Syrian and Egyptian advances.

    not exactly trigger happy...
    No worries friend. They did in fact use the threat of their nuclear arsenal to force the US to intervene militarily on their behalf by supplying massive airlifts of tactical non-nuclear, state-of-the-art missiles, tanks, planes etc. etc and provide continuous overflights by spy planes etc to give Israel field commanders clear intell on opposing forces. A winipedia quote below is understated:
    "On 8 October, Golda Meir authorized the assembly of thirteen 20-kiloton-of-TNT (84 TJ) tactical atomic weapons for Jericho missiles at Hirbat Zachariah, and F-4 aircraft at Tel Nof, both nuclear-capable. These were prepared for use against Syrian and Egyptian targets,[137] if needed, but the preparation was done in an easily detectable way, likely as a signal to the United States.[138] Kissinger learned of the nuclear alert on the morning of October 9. That day, President Nixon ordered the commencement of Operation Nickel Grass, an American airlift to replace all of Israel's material losses.[139] Anecdotal evidence suggests that Kissinger told Sadat that the reason for the U.S. airlift was that the Israelis were close to "going nuclear."[137]

    In rightly referring to Israel as a bloodthirsty, trigger-happy gang of war-mongers, I was referring more to the Israeli happy propensity to use genocide and terrorism as a political tool. I cite from 1948 to 2010. The Deir Yassin terror campaign of 1948 was designed to terrorise hundreds of thousands of palestinians to flee their homes in Palestine to escape death by marauding Israeli terror gangs like the "Stern Gang" and other irregular zionist killers working under official Israeli control. The mass masacres of Sabra and Shatilah by Israeli mercenaries with CIA observers and Sharon himself taking pot shots at children with his pistol, while Israeli soldiers bundled thousands of women, children and elderly palestinians into houses, threw in hand-grenades and then bulldozed them flat while the people were still alive, over three days, was a powerful message to the civilised world re their true nature.
    No, friend, you may be right. The term "trigger-happy" may indeed be too tame. Let me change it for "blood-thirsty and inhuman" as well as "trigger and bulldozer-happy"


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