The week ahead ( Snow predictions & general outlook)

Rebelbrowser

Seems like a good time to start a new thread. For better or for worse yesterday's event is now over. I have deliberately put a question mark in the title because I am all ears as to what the better informed on here think will happen......

In fairness, the amateur meteorologists on here did spectacularly well with their predictions for most of us yesterday - as did Evelyn Cusack!

darkman2

It's uncertain but right now id say Friday or Saturday night is the next chance for widespread snow again. But like I say it's uncertain. Id expect snow inland on Friday definately and on higher ground.




See what others think but it looks favourable to me for snow at low levels.

Very favourable in fact.






P.S there could be snow in midlland areas tonight for a time in the early hours of the morning.

Saganist

Friday is going to be SNOMAGEDDON...

200motels

Saganist wrote: »

Friday is going to be SNOMAGEDDON...

I don't think so, not down here, today it's so mild it feels like spring.

force eleven

Saganist wrote: »

Friday is going to be SNOMAGEDDON...

I doubt it, but I like your positivity.

For me I always see the snowman as half melted, as opposed to half frozen, if you know what I mean....

Vudgie

Saganist wrote: »

Friday is going to be SNOMAGEDDON...

Run for the hills!.....quite literally.

I doubt this will happen but if you wish hard enough...............

Saganist

force eleven wrote: »

I doubt it, but I like your positivity.

For me I always see the snowman as half melted, as opposed to half frozen, if you know what I mean....

I know what you mean, just have a feelin that this weekend is going to be an absolute whiteout... If you know what I mean..

thetonynator

Vudgie wrote: »

Run for the hills!.....quite literally.

I doubt this will happen but if you wish hard enough...............

If the hills are high enough you might get some wet sleet . . .otherwise it'll be just rain. I've had too many disappointments this winter to get my hopes up for snow this weekend. Every week that passes makes it more unlikely that we will get any sticking snow, and any suitable temperatures.

It would be nice, but it would also be nice to know if this winter was over and spring could start rolling in.

Redsunset

thetonynator wrote: »

If the hills are high enough you might get some wet sleet . . .otherwise it'll be just rain. I've had too many disappointments this winter to get my hopes up for snow this weekend. Every week that passes makes it more unlikely that we will get any sticking snow, and any suitable temperatures.

It would be nice, but it would also be nice to know if this winter was over and spring could start rolling in.

Yeah i think we get the message from your posts there in the 3 threads,no need to harp.:)

ninebeanrows

Just to let you know that Friday into Saturday is going to be snowmageddon.

Why? As i will be leaving the country:eek::o

snow ghost

Weathercheck wrote: »

Just to let you know that Friday into Saturday is going to be snowmageddon.

Why? As i will be leaving the country:eek::o

If you're wrong weathercheck - you won't be getting back in.

snow ghost

Then again if you're right you might not be able to get back in - either way pack a big suitcase.

ninebeanrows

snow ghost wrote: »

Then again if you're right you might not be able to get back in - either way pack a big suitcase.

Hey, i almost want to be wrong:D:D

I want the snowstorm to hit Friday 6am!

ninebeanrows

I must admit im quite confused right now.

Why are the showers moving South to North while the winds are from the North......


Appears to be a small low centre over Dublin.

Tiz a balmy 8 degrees here!

patneve2

Weathercheck wrote: »

I must admit im quite confused right now.

Why are the showers moving South to North while the winds are from the North......


Appears to be a small low centre over Dublin.

Yes, strange indeed. Have been having heaving showers all morning here in Dalkey!

Tom Cruises Left Nut

Weathercheck wrote: »

I must admit im quite confused right now.

Why are the showers moving South to North while the winds are from the North......


Appears to be a small low centre over Dublin.

Pure rotten rain in Dublin alright !!!

nacho libre

Roll on spring i've had enough of the cold now.

never!:pac: bring on some more sneachta- even if it doesn't stick. we have plenty of time for warmer weather from April onwards!

Danno

The UKMO chart that DM2 posted shows a front within the boundaries of sub 528dam air. The winds are brisk in off the Irish Sea meaning that convection will become embedded within the front.

If this situation continues to show on the charts at 24 to 36 hours out, I would be putting out a weather warning for serious snowfall in over the whole state. Worst affected areas would be S Louth, Meath, Dublin, Kildare, Laois, Carlow, E Tipperary, Wicklow and N Wexford.

pistolpetes11

Danno wrote: »

The UKMO chart that DM2 posted shows a front within the boundaries of sub 528dam air. The winds are brisk in off the Irish Sea meaning that convection will become embedded within the front.

If this situation continues to show on the charts at 24 to 36 hours out, I would be putting out a weather warning for serious snowfall in over the whole state. Worst affected areas would be S Louth, Meath, Dublin, Kildare, Laois, Carlow, E Tipperary, Wicklow and N Wexford.

Stop it with that dirty talk !:D:D:D:D

Actually no dont !

Redsunset

Indeed Danno,and thats why i wrote about friday possibly being the dark horse in MT's daily forecast thread.

Could be more friday night in saturday,however its all still very sketchy and perhaps more a northern half event.Worth keeping on eye on as conditions could become very favourable for some areas as regards a dumping of be it rain/snow however the cover of darkness would be a big plus.

A few more runs to study yet before the details become more clearer.

Promising to say the least.

darkman2

Saturday, if anything, looks even better then Friday but overall there could be continuos sleet and snow Friday night and Saturday over much of the country.

Depends on how much energy is left in that front.It is the tail end of it's trail.
Warm air meeting cold should pep it up goodo but the fly in the ointment is rising pressure from the northwest.

darkman2

Deleted User wrote: »

Depends on how much energy is left in that front.It is the tail end of it's trail.
Warm air meeting cold should pep it up goodo but the fly in the ointment is rising pressure from the northwest.

Looks pretty active on the precipitation charts. We are going to need a helping hand from heavy precipitation if there is to be the remotest chance of anything settling but I think most areas can expect to see snow falling at the very least.

Tom Cruises Left Nut

darkman2 wrote: »

Looks pretty active on the precipitation charts. We are going to need a helping hand from heavy precipitation if there is to be the remotest chance of anything settling but I think most areas can expect to see snow falling at the very least.

DM2, you have this uncanny ability to get me excited even when I think all hope is lost !!! :pac:

darkman2

Don't got stalking me or anything:P

Tom Cruises Left Nut

darkman2 wrote: »

Don't got stalking me or anything:P

LOL !!! :pac:

I don't have time for stalking... unless its stalking random flakes floating past lamposts

patneve2

higher ground could get some snow early tomorrow morning and nobody is talking about it!:eek:

pistolpetes11

tinners wrote: »

DM2, you have this uncanny ability to get me excited even when I think all hope is lost !!! :pac:

Here now !! after your blasphemy in another thread dont forget your bared from all wintry activities , no need to be getting excited now is there ?:p:pac::p

ninebeanrows

I have a terrible feeling there is actually going to be a large snow event, Friday into Saturday, the ingredients are there, cold air pushing south, heavy precip in situ.

Also a chance of something tonight in the southeast Midlands.

ninebeanrows

Some serious snow totals could be on the ground by midday Saturday :eek::(

pistolpetes11

Weathercheck wrote: »

I have a terrible feeling there is actually going to be a large snow event, Friday into Saturday, the ingredients are there, cold air pushing south, heavy precip in situ.

Also a chance of something tonight in the southeast Midlands.

Them charts also show a little teaser but if they deliver thats another issue all together .

I would love it , if something did come off .

ninebeanrows

So, when else during this winter has Dublin been 7c colder than London and having potential snowfall.

Yes Saturday morning while im in London :D:o

Tom Cruises Left Nut

pistolpetes11 wrote: »

Here now !! after your blasphemy in another thread dont forget your bared from all wintry activities , no need to be getting excited now is there ?:p:pac::p

Hey I'm big enough to backtrack entirely ! :pac:

See you at Toughers !!

darkman2

Weathercheck wrote: »

So, when else during this winter has Dublin been 7c colder than London and having potential snowfall.

Yes Saturday morning while im in London :D:o

lol! You should go away more often.:D

arctictree

Interesting charts for the next few days. Could be another snow event in there for lots of people.

Snow has mostly melted here from yesterday, there has been an awful messy thaw going on all day with temps here up to 8.9c. ATM its 6.1c

We've had about 5 or 6 snow events now this winter. In fact, since the middle of December, I think we've had more snow than rain!!

A

whiteandlight

Everytime I come into this forum I get excited about snow...

pistolpetes11

darkman2 wrote: »

lol! You should go away more often.:D

A big dirty -8 over Ireland , this has to be the one for us ! plenty of precip about also.



O be the mother of the Divine I am getting fierce excited

doccy

Weathercheck wrote: »

So, when else during this winter has Dublin been 7c colder than London and having potential snowfall.

Yes Saturday morning while im in London :D:o

Sounds like someone has got tickets for the rugby

thecretinhop

bugger, travelling to dublin Friday, early am on plane, back in west about 8pm, what are my chances or should i get train?? many thanks:)

Snowaddict

I agree that Friday through Saturday could well be interesting in terms of sleet/snowfall potential. However, the latest Guidance would seem to indicate the core of any precipitation being located from the midlands Northwards, so that's something to keep in mind. It's not a certainty by any means - but that's the way it's looking at the moment.

Going forward, it appears highly likely now that the vigirous depression that will skirt with the North/Northwestern part of the Iberian peninsula will pass to our Southeast and move across the southern UK - keeping us on the ''cold'' side of the depression.

What I find most interesting is that the signal for a pressure rise to the NNE/NE is now coming into sight at T+120 - T+144. The evolution could turn rather interesting towards Day 5/Day 6/Day 7 onwards with a Southerly/Southeasterly backing Easterly flow.

This may be a disappointment as per earlier this month with a relatively stable HP in place just to our North, but there is an outside chance of a final potent Easterly flow developing into early March.

If nothing else, I think the marked decrease in cyclonic Southwesterlies is a major achievement. There were signs of this change last winter but it has really come to the fore in the past few months & is something to watch closely as we head into March.

SA

InKonspikuou2

thecretinhop wrote: »

bugger, travelling to dublin Friday, early am on plane, back in west about 8pm, what are my chances or should i get train?? many thanks:)

Going by how unlucky Ireland has been with forecasts not panning out as hoped i reckon you could probably go west by hot air balloon and be grand.

thecretinhop

InKonspikuou2 wrote: »

Going by how unlucky Ireland has been with forecasts not panning out as hoped i reckon you could probably go west by hot air balloon and be grand.

Lol:) while drinking champagne!

Vudgie

Incredible rain all day in Dublin's CC all day today. Appears to have only stopped now...relatively mild now too. Surface water all but gone in the CC now indicating the high temps. All lined up for a frosty night now the wind has died down completely.

I have my doubts about this weekend and while I think there may be some isolated flurries I don't think we are going to get anything too significant. Yesterday was an optimum scenario and it let us down.

Gonzo

feels so mild now, mildest its felt since mid December. Most of Europe has warmed up too.

Redsunset

Vudgie wrote: »

Yesterday was an optimum scenario and it let us down.

That was never said.

Dublin was alway on the wrong side of marginal.

And the rest happened fairly much as thought.

I think you were expecting too much and not looking at the bigger picture

irish1967

On a percentage scale how lightly is this snow event ?

After yesterdays fiasco I really can't get my hopes up. Not a drip of snow and today has been the most boring weather day of this year.

Redsunset

irish1967 wrote: »

On a percentage scale how lightly is this snow event ?

After yesterdays fiasco I really can't get my hopes up. Not a drip of snow and today has been the most boring weather day of this year.

At the moment at a rough guess i'd say around 40% but the whole thing could evaporate with the next few runs so if trends holds well then the % will rise

lucy2010

lovely - I have to drive my parents to Portlaoise on Saturday for Mams birthday. Leaving Bray 1pm saturday - What sort of a drive is in store for me?? I have a stupid poxy eps thing in the car which means it just wont move past 20km once it detects snow/ice.

really dont need a drama with dad ( cranky OLD fart !) summoning me to pull over so he can drive ( MY CAR !!!) - Whatever about driving in it on my own but christ him beside me - slit my wrists be the better option !!

& I hate when WC says he has a terrible feeling..., Hes always bang on !!

Whats the chances of it not snowing ?????

Redsunset

I wouldn't worry too much,the potential will probably disappear.Check back tomorrow night

lucy2010

redsunset wrote: »

I wouldn't worry too much,the potential will probably disappear.Check back tomorrow night

lol:D