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Ruby walsh over 30 days

  • 21-02-2010 12:20AM
    #1
    Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 4,210 ✭✭✭


    Just ruby walsh tips, going to back blindly and take earliest price i can get on betfair,night before race,
    EACH PT 100.00,,,,,,No ew bets all to win,

    Golan Guy (IRE) 8.8 on exchange ,, 1pt win , betfair says my profit 780.00
    14:10 Naas

    Take It Easee (IRE) 5.2 on exchange 1pt win , my profit ,,,,,420.00
    14:40 Naas

    Morning Supreme (IRE) 3.05..1pt win..........my profit 205.00
    15:45 Naas

    Scotsirish (IRE) 3.15,,,1pts win,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,my profit 215.00
    16:15 Naas


    i'll give it 30 days.


«1

Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,979 ✭✭✭Vurnon San Benito


    Man, you must have money to burn.!

    Take it easy on the auld betting.!
    This is like your third thread now and I don't think any of them are in profit.

    Just looking out for you mate! :)


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 4,210 ✭✭✭argosy2006


    Doocey wrote: »
    Man, you must have money to burn.!

    Take it easy on the auld betting.!
    This is like your third thread now and I don't think any of them are in profit.

    Just looking out for you mate! :)
    this one just for fun, i wont back them, ,
    i dont confirm the bets above, i just place the 100 bet,, getting the actual profit from each bet so i dont add it up wrong myself, then cancel it,
    just so i know what my profit is.or would have been..so no one can dispute results,


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,979 ✭✭✭Vurnon San Benito


    argosy2006 wrote: »
    this one just for fun, i wont back them, ,
    i dont confirm the bets above, i just place the 100 bet,, getting the actual profit from each bet so i dont add it up wrong myself, then cancel it,
    just so i know what my profit is.or would have been..so no one can dispute results,

    Ah right, fair enough. (Y)


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 4,210 ✭✭✭argosy2006


    then again i probably will back them , 2 euro to win,, with strike rate so good and prices good it might pay off,


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 4,210 ✭✭✭argosy2006


    Doocey wrote: »
    Ah right, fair enough. (Y)


    Bet Status: The following bets were successfully matched

    Current Odds bets

    there u happy now, lol
    have them all backed


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 951 ✭✭✭Verance


    You should probably include commission when calculating profit?

    All the best with it.


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 4,210 ✭✭✭argosy2006


    Verance wrote: »
    You should probably include commission when calculating profit?

    All the best with it.

    yea.. that i didnt think of... i'll do that,
    no rides for ruby today either,, tomorrow,,,,,


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,055 ✭✭✭j@utis


    I would suggest you to read "Winning Horse Racing Formulae" by David Duncan. He says this very early into his book: backing all jockey rides is a fail.

    also RP provides 5 years data with return for level stake:
    http://www.racingpost.com/horses/jockey_home.sd?jockey_id=12612

    there's not much hope in this betting strategy. but it might work for a short period of time. good luck anyways.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,838 ✭✭✭Nulty


    Also,

    Why 100, what the point? why not 10, why not 1000?

    It seems to me that you just give yourself extra characters to type.

    make it 1 so its easier to follow. 100 is just making it unnecessarily complicated.

    :confused:


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 4,210 ✭✭✭argosy2006


    Nulty wrote: »
    Also,

    Why 100, what the point? why not 10, why not 1000?

    It seems to me that you just give yourself extra characters to type.

    make it 1 so its easier to follow. 100 is just making it unnecessarily complicated.

    :confused:
    YEA your right, fair enough, 1 per pt.....


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  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 4,210 ✭✭✭argosy2006


    j@utis wrote: »
    I would suggest you to read "Winning Horse Racing Formulae" by David Duncan. He says this very early into his book: backing all jockey rides is a fail.

    also RP provides 5 years data with return for level stake:
    http://www.racingpost.com/horses/jockey_home.sd?jockey_id=12612

    there's not much hope in this betting strategy. but it might work for a short period of time. good luck anyways.

    Was betfair around when David duncan wrote that book? i have no idea i,m really asking,,,,...
    below is rubys pts at 1 per stake over last 13 season,all at sp..all the minus's would be over turned with betfair early prices,and all the plus's would be way over double with betfair.... -16.19 there can be a 21 pt difference over just 25 rides..he would be up every year at berfair prices and backing blindly...and he doesnt have 1000 rides a year,some tipsters give 4 tips per day, 4x7 days a week=28x 52 weeks in year =1456 tips..
    ruby only had 311 rides in his busiest season, that was in 2004-2005 season,,, thats less than a ride a day, and not many bets in a year to have, 2007-2008 season he was up +49.96 pts and had only 229 rides that year,
    last 13 seasons pts total VVV
    -16.19
    -37.10
    +49.96
    -84.24
    +19.71
    - 5.90
    -29.00
    +28.22
    +79.50
    +44.50
    +3.00
    -11 .00
    +22.00


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 4,210 ✭✭✭argosy2006


    Ruby rides for feb 22

    Sanctuaire (FR) won betfair price 2.24,,, profit 124.000 at 100 stake
    15:20 Taunton
    Royal Collonges (FR) lLOST betfair price 15.. profit 1400.00 at 100 stake
    16:20 Taunton


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 4,210 ✭✭✭argosy2006


    DAY ONE RESULTS
    PTS + 0.24


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 4,210 ✭✭✭argosy2006


    Hellyhunter (IRE) PRICE 3.15 won
    14:00 Fairyhouse
    Golan Guy (IRE) PRICE 12.00
    14:30 Fairyhouse
    Askmeroe (IRE) PRICE 6.00 3rd
    15:05 Fairyhouse
    The Corby Glenn (IRE) PRICE 6.8 won
    15:35 Fairyhouse
    Clear Gold (IRE) PRICE 3.05 2ND, SHAME
    16:10 Fairyhouse
    i'LL Check for better prices in morning,


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 4,210 ✭✭✭argosy2006


    DAY TWO RESULTS
    PTS + 0.24

    WON..BF price 3.15..profit 2.15 pts
    UP,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,minus 1pt
    3RD,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,minus 1pt
    WON,BF price 6.8.....profit 5.8 pts
    2ND,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,minus 1pt

    Profit for day 4.95

    Over all profit 5.19pts/ @million per point =:P


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 4,210 ✭✭✭argosy2006


    Siberian Tiger (IRE) price 2.75
    13:25 Thurles
    Quadrillon (FR) price 7.4
    13:55 Thurles
    Hoochie Mama (IRE) price 6.6
    15:30 Thurles
    Seems betfair exchange prices are better in morning than night before,so i'll add prices tomorrow morning,

    ALL ABOVE LOST


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 4,210 ✭✭✭argosy2006


    DAY THREE RESULTS
    PTS -3 PTS TODAY



    Profit for day 0

    Over all profit PLUS 2.19pts/

    Cru (IRE) won 10.48 BF
    14:15 Thurles
    Dooneys Gate (IRE) FELL
    14:45 Thurles
    Kempes (IRE) WON 6.40 BF
    15:20 Thurles
    Compelled (IRE) LOST
    17:00 Thurles
    Summer Seeds (IRE) LOST
    17:30 Thurles
    I'LL PUT BETFAIR PRICES UP TOMORROW


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 4,210 ✭✭✭argosy2006


    DAY FOUR RESULTS
    LOST 3 PTS TODAY
    GAINED 14.88 PTS
    14.88 -3 = 11.88



    Profit for day 11.88 PTS

    Over all profit PLUS 14.07pts/


    BETS FOR FEB 27TH,,some of below not worth backing,can see lots of points been lost, personally i'd be happy with a haul of 14.07 pts for this month, but anyway GAME ON!

    River D'or (FR)
    13:30 Kempton

    Escort'men (FR) won 29-1 bf sp
    14:00 Kempton

    The Nightingale (FR) won 1.72 bf
    14:30 Kempton

    Fistral Beach (IRE)
    15:05 Kempton

    Toubab (FR)
    15:40 Kempton

    Oracle des Mottes (FR)
    16:10 Kempton

    Ballagio (IRE)
    16:45 Kempton

    REST LOST ,,
    PROFIT FOR TODAY 23.72 PTS


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 4,210 ✭✭✭argosy2006


    DAY FIVE RESULTS
    LOST 5 PTS TODAY
    GAINED 23.72 PTS



    Profit for day 23.72 PTS

    Over all profit PLUS 37.79pts/
    :pac:


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 4,210 ✭✭✭argosy2006


    RUBY'S ON FIRE,,, WILL LOSE A LOT OF POINT ON THESE THOUGH


    King Of The Refs (IRE) 2nd
    13:10 Leopardstown

    Beau Michael (GB) 3rd
    13:40 Leopardstown

    Tarkari (IRE) won bf 3.83
    14:15 Leopardstown

    Cadspeed (FR) won 2.43 bf
    14:45 Leopardstown

    Arbor Supreme (IRE) 2nd just beaten at 15-1 bf
    15:15 Leopardstown

    Citizen Vic (IRE)won 1.98 bf
    15:50 Leopardstown

    Snowy Morning (IRE) 3rd
    16:20 Leopardstown

    GAINED 1.24 PROFIT ON ABOVE


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,055 ✭✭✭j@utis


    Fistral Beach (IRE) won 1.72 bf - rider unseated. what kind of bet was that?
    15:05 Kempton


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 4,210 ✭✭✭argosy2006


    j@utis wrote: »
    Fistral Beach (IRE) won 1.72 bf - rider unseated. what kind of bet was that?
    15:05 Kempton

    HI,, YOUR RIGHT, typo... nightingale won at 1.72 bf,,horse above it on list,,,

    thanks for pointing it out,
    ruby in a purple patch at moment, i know its not the norm, or we all would be backing him, its good though


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 951 ✭✭✭Verance


    Ruby Walsh
    Vital Stats Win % To £1 Level Stake
    Last 14 Days (UK) 33.33% £13.25
    Current Season (UK) 31.15% -£3.91

    Absolutely shocked to see these figures, thought he usually makes a massive loss to level stakes!


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 4,210 ✭✭✭argosy2006


    Verance wrote: »
    Ruby Walsh
    Vital Stats Win % To £1 Level Stake
    Last 14 Days (UK) 33.33% £13.25
    Current Season (UK) 31.15% -£3.91

    Absolutely shocked to see these figures, thought he usually makes a massive loss to level stakes!

    yea another 3 winners today,,, ,,i wonder has he ever had a losing season with bf prices to level stakes,,
    ie escortman yesterday 16-1 sp... bf sp 29-1.. 12 point difference,,


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 4,210 ✭✭✭argosy2006


    DAY SIX RESULTS
    LOST 4 PTS TODAY
    GAINED 5.24 PTS



    Profit for day 1.24 PTS

    Over all profit PLUS 39.03pts betfair/
    pacman.gif

    No rides for ruby tomorrow .


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 4,210 ✭✭✭argosy2006


    Earth Planet (IRE)
    14:20 Taunton

    Pistolet Noir (FR)
    15:50 Taunton

    King's Legacy (IRE)
    16:50 Taunton


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 4,210 ✭✭✭argosy2006


    Earth Planet (IRE) LOST
    14:20 Taunton

    Pistolet Noir (FR) LOST
    15:50 Taunton

    King's Legacy (IRE) WON bf 2.78
    16:50 Taunton


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 4,210 ✭✭✭argosy2006


    DAY 8 RESULTS
    LOST 2 PTS TODAY
    GAINED 1.78 PTS



    Profit for day minus 0.22 PTS

    Over all profit PLUS 38.81pts betfair/
    pacman.gif
    rides for 6th mar
    Pasco (SWI) LOST
    15:10 Newbury

    Marc Aurele (IRE) LOST
    15:45 Newbury

    Aiteen Thirtythree (IRE) LOST
    16:20 Newbury

    Rock On Ruby (IRE) WON 5.40 BF
    17:30 Newbury


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 4,210 ✭✭✭argosy2006


    DAY 9 RESULTS
    LOST 3 PTS TODAY
    GAINED 4.40 PTS



    Profit for day PLUS 1.40 PTS

    Over all profit PLUS 40.21pts betfair/:pac: we got over the 40 pt mark

    tips for mar 7

    Montan (FR)
    15:30 Naas

    Equus Maximus (IRE)
    16:00 Naas

    Angus House (IRE)
    16:30 Naas

    Topofdemornintou (IRE)
    17:00 Naas


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  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 4,210 ✭✭✭argosy2006


    DAY 10 RESULTS
    LOST 4PTS TODAY
    GAINED 0 PTS



    Profit for day PLUS 0 PTS

    Over all profit PLUS 36.21pts betfair/pacman.gif

    tips for mar 9

    Montan (FR)
    15:30 Naas

    Equus Maximus (IRE)
    16:00 Naas

    Angus House (IRE)
    16:30 Naas

    Topofdemornintou (IRE)
    17:00 Naas


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