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Bottom of the handicap log

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  • 24-01-2010 1:02pm
    #1
    mike65
    Closed Accounts Posts: 88,978 ✭✭✭✭


    This is for NH racing, just a little aspect of racing that I want to follow for a while, prompted by the win by The Sawyer off bottom weight yesterday.

    There will be some judgement brough to this, not all picks will be absolute bottom weight but all with be at or near bottom, price/form/potential will be a guide as well. An example is Market Rasen 3.10 where the bottom two are seperated by 7 points but just 3 pounds. The talent/form gap is such that I'm picking the much shorter priced slightly heavier horse.

    Todays picks

    Market Rasen

    2.10 Laughing Game 11.00 win
    3.10 Extra Smooth 6.00 unplaced PU
    3.45 Amir Pasha 4.00 unplaced
    4.15 Oscar Trial 11.00 placed

    Towcester

    2.20 Mad Professor 21.00 unplaced PU
    2.50 Kercabellec 8.50 unplaced
    4.25 Heezagrey 6.50 unplaced

    Leopardstown

    2.15 (ignoring this as apart from two horses the field is very closely matched on weights)
    3.50 Meadows Thyne 15.00 unplaced

    Limerick

    2.55 Tara Valley 13.00 unplaced PU
    4.30 Caola Mann 13.00 win

    If betting e/w total stake 2 euro returns are as follows
    Return 21 euro


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    #2
    mike65
    Closed Accounts Posts: 88,978 ✭✭✭✭mike65


    Monday Jan 25th

    Fontwell
    2.10 Over The Flow 8.50 placed
    3.20 Go Amwell 21.00 unplaced
    3.55 Brushford 13.00 win

    Lingfield Park
    1.25 The Hardy Boy 11.00 unplaced
    2.35 One Cornetto 7.00 win
    3.45 Alfadora (out of the handicap by 2lbs) 15.00 unplaced PU
    4.20 Coeur Brule 11.00 placed

    Newcastle
    2.25 Prince Tam 26.00 unplaced (actually 3rd of 7 which is decent all things considered)
    3.35 Ocarina 8.00 placed
    4.10 High Stand Lad 11.00 placed

    I'll update with the prices tomorrow (which may cause a few to be reappraised)

    Return 31.13


  • Options
    #3
    mike65
    Closed Accounts Posts: 88,978 ✭✭✭✭mike65


    Tuesday January 26th

    Sedgefield
    2.30 Seeking Straight 15.00 unplaced
    3.00 Troodos Jet 7.50 placed
    3.30 Nightboat to Cairo 8.00 placed

    Leicester
    2.10 Just Playfull 8.00 unplaced
    3.40 Freedom Flying 3.50 unplaced
    4.10 Coast Of Malabar 17.00 unplaced

    Loss 6.62 euro


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    #4
    mike65
    Closed Accounts Posts: 88,978 ✭✭✭✭mike65


    Wednesday Jan 27th

    Navan
    3.15 Lady In The Mist 7.50 unplaced

    Musselburgh
    2.10 Instant Shot 2.50 unplaced
    2.40 Kind Heart 7.00 2nd
    3.10 Wotchalike 12.00 unplaced
    3.40 Yankee Holiday 11.00 unplaced

    Huntingdon
    2.20 Local Present 15.00 3rd
    2.50 Waarid 13.00 unplaced
    3.50 Ultimate Limit 3.50 2nd
    4.20 Vivarini 4.00 win

    Return 0.85c

    Note - Bets on any horse that is less than 4.00 will be 2 euro win bet so Ultimate Limit at 3.5 was a 2 euro loss despite placing.


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    #5
    mike65
    Closed Accounts Posts: 88,978 ✭✭✭✭mike65


    Thursday Jan 28th

    Ffos Las
    3.40 Lord Crewe 5.00 3rd
    4.10 Qualypso D'Allier 8.00 unplaced Unseated rider

    Thurles
    2.50 Mon Champion 9.00 unplaced Fell

    Warwick
    1.45 Ya I Know 6.50 unplaced
    2.20 Glimmer Of Light 17.00 unplaced
    3.30 Tarateeno 4.50 win
    4.00 Marsh Court 11.00 unplaced

    Loss 4.38 euro


  • Options
    #6
    mike65
    Closed Accounts Posts: 88,978 ✭✭✭✭mike65


    Friday Jan 29th

    Chepstow
    2.55 The Hudnalls 7.00 3rd
    3.30 Power Pack Jack 9.00 2nd
    4.05 Merry Music 10.00 unplaced

    Doncaster
    1.20 Giant Star 21.00 unplaced
    2.30 Pantalaimon 9.00 unplaced
    3.05 Blue Nymph 10.00 win
    3.40 De Boitron 5.50 3rd

    Newbury
    2.40 Alfie Spinner 6.00 win
    3.50 Freeze Up 11.00 3rd

    Returns 36.62


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    #7
    mike65
    Closed Accounts Posts: 88,978 ✭✭✭✭mike65


    Saturday Jan 30th

    Cheltenham

    1.30 Plein Pouvoir 5.50 unplaced
    2.05 Nycteos 8.00 (First choice Fit to Drive n/r) unplaced PU
    4.20 Aather 5.00 placed

    Uttoxeter

    1.55 Alfloramoor 5.00 unplaced Fell
    3.00 Alderley Rover 7.00 unplaced
    3.35 Pelo Du Bief 3.50 win
    4.10 Macchiato 9.00 unplaced PU

    Loss 1 euro

    End of week one total return of 82.59 euro, net profit of 32.59 euro. Interesting first week, a few decent priced winners that clearly the market didn't rate. Some disapointments on Saturday (not to mention the cancelled cards) the conditions underfoot appeared to have played a significant part though.


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    #8
    mike65
    Closed Accounts Posts: 88,978 ✭✭✭✭mike65


    Something I forgot to consider is PP faller insurance which applies to certain races. so I could have got my stake back on a couple of races in the last week.

    Sunday Jan 31st

    Punchestown
    2.00 Tiernan's Terror 5.00 3rd
    2.30 Rock Diplomat 11.00 unplaced unseated rider
    3.30 Leading Diamonds 4.00 unplaced

    Limerick
    3.10 Crimson Heather 17.00 unplaced
    4.40 Caola Mann 4.33 unplaced

    Plumpton
    2.15 Rileyev 5.5 unplaced
    3.15 Lord Appellare 5.00 unplaced Pulled up
    4.15 The Hardy Boy 4.50 win

    Loss 5.62 euro


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    #9
    mike65
    Closed Accounts Posts: 88,978 ✭✭✭✭mike65


    Monday Feb 1st

    No NH racing today, so for interest I'm going to apply the same to the a/w card at

    Wolverhamtpon
    2.05 Commander Wish 5.50 unplaced
    2.40 Misterisland 15.00 unplaced
    3.50 The Great Husk 6.00 2nd
    4.50 Smalljohn 7.00 win
    5.50 Bushy Dell 5.50 (Starburst n/r) unplaced

    returns 5.75 euro


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    #10
    mike65
    Closed Accounts Posts: 88,978 ✭✭✭✭mike65


    I'm going to keep the all-weather handicaps going as they might be worth following.

    Tuesday Feb 2nd

    Taunton
    1.40 French Ties 3.50 2nd
    4.10 Mister Wiseman 7.00 unplaced

    Southwell A/W
    1.30 Mymateeric 34.00 unplaced
    2.30 Quiet Mountain 5.00 unplaced
    3.30 Gentle Guru 6.50 unplaced
    4.30 Wedding Dream 5.00 unplaced

    Loss 12.00 euro


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    #11
    mike65
    Closed Accounts Posts: 88,978 ✭✭✭✭mike65


    Wednesday Feb 3rd

    Exeter
    1.55 Woodlark Island 7.00 unplaced
    2.30 Gouranga 11.00 unplaced
    3.05 Newbay Bob 5.50 win
    3.40 Go Johnny Go 8.00 unplaced

    Down Royal
    1.35 Blackson Zulu 21.00 unplaced
    2.45 Imperial Shabra 12.00 unplaced
    3.50 Chill Out 21.00 unplaced

    loss of 4.38 euro


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    #12
    mike65
    Closed Accounts Posts: 88,978 ✭✭✭✭mike65


    Please may we get a full compliment of NH cards for Thursday January 4th

    Clonmel
    3.15 Belass Boy 26.00 unplaced unseated rider

    Towcester
    2.10 Mr Ironman 6.50 unplaced
    2.40 Nous Voila 10.00 unplaced
    3.10 Woodlands Genpower 4.50 3nd

    Wincanton
    2.50 Franchoek (3 horse race) 5.00 unplaced
    3.20 Hellfire Club 8.00 3rd
    3.50 Treasulier 5.50 unplaced

    loss 5.38 euro


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    #13
    mike65
    Closed Accounts Posts: 88,978 ✭✭✭✭mike65


    More thin pickings tomorrow

    Friday Feb 5th

    Bangor-on-dee
    2.25 Noun De La Thinte 2.10 2nd
    3.35 Rothres 6.50 unplaced
    4.45 Leac An Scail 12.00 unplaced

    Catterick Bridge
    2.10 I'm Your Man 11.00 2nd
    2.45 Young Buddy 8.00 unplaced by a nose

    loss 5.50 euro


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    #14
    mike65
    Closed Accounts Posts: 88,978 ✭✭✭✭mike65


    Saturday Feb 6th

    Doncaster
    1.55 Catch Bob 29.00 unplaced
    3.25 Lorient Express 21.00 unplaced and Leo's Lucky Star 8.00 unplaced UR
    4.00 Stagecoach Diamond 21.00 unplaced and Garleton 21.00 unplaced

    Wetherby
    1.15 Vecchio Senso 17.00 win
    2.20 Flake 9.00 unplaced
    3.20 Terenzium 6.00 unplaced

    Sandown Park
    3.10 Several leading contenders all at foot of weights due to Lough Dergs presence -
    Erzen 4.50 placed
    Beshabar 7.00 placed
    Strategic Approach 8.50 unplaced

    3.40 Lorum Leader 13.00 unplaced
    4.15 Russian Flag 4.50 win

    Naas
    3.15 The Dew at Night 5.50 placed
    3.45 Rosiel 21.00 (nothing at the foot of handicap has any appeal) unplaced

    Returns 34.88 euro
    A bad week ends with a net loss of 7.24 euro


  • Options
    #15
    mike65
    Closed Accounts Posts: 88,978 ✭✭✭✭mike65


    From Sunday I'm going to change the presentation of returns, with returns including and excluding stake both shown.

    Sunday Feb 7th

    Leopardstown
    1.35 Glenanelucy 13.00 unplaced
    3.10 Fistoulig 7.00 unplaced

    Fontwell Park
    2.50 Kappelhoff 6.50 3rd
    3.20 Henry Hook 4.00 unplaced
    3.50 One Step Closer 21.00 unplaced PU
    4.20 English Jim 10.00 unplaced 4th

    Musselburgh
    2.00 Harry The Hawk 7.00 unplaced
    3.30 Grandad Bill 9.00 unplaced 4th

    loss 11.00 euro


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    #16
    mike65
    Closed Accounts Posts: 88,978 ✭✭✭✭mike65


    Monday Feb 8th

    Lingfield NH
    1.50 Quartz Du Montceau 4.50 unplaced
    3.20 Gunnasayso 7.50 unplaced
    3.50 Turbo Shandy 8.50 3rd
    4.20 Coda Agency 6.50 unplaced

    Southwell NH
    2.10 Ray Mond 5.50 win
    2.40 Our Hero 5.50 unplaced
    4.10 Knar Mardy 9.00 unplaced

    returns of 0.50 euro


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    #17
    mike65
    Closed Accounts Posts: 88,978 ✭✭✭✭mike65


    Tuesday 9th Feb

    Fairyhouse
    3.25 Nothing remotely appealling low in the weights
    4.25 Mont Tresor 10.00 unplaced Fell

    Market Rasen
    3.00 Laughing Game 7.00 unplaced
    3.30 Feeling Peckish 13.00 unplaced

    Sedgefield
    2.10 Pendragon 3.75 unplaced PU
    3.40 Do It For Dalkey 2.75 3rd (looser at price)
    4.10 More Like It 3.50 unplaced PU

    Shocking shocking shocking.

    loss 12.00 euro


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    #18
    mike65
    Closed Accounts Posts: 88,978 ✭✭✭✭mike65


    Wednesday Feb 10th

    Fairyhouse
    3.20 Nothing in the bottom half of handicap
    3.50 Carlowsantana 6.00 2nd
    4.20 Sharekan 8.00 win

    Ludlow
    3.00 Thehonourablelady 9.00 unplaced
    4.00 Milton Des Bieffes 5.00 unplaced

    returns 6 euro/net profit 2 euro


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    #19
    mike65
    Closed Accounts Posts: 88,978 ✭✭✭✭mike65


    Huntingdon
    1.40 Opus Cafe 11.00 unplaced
    2.10 Cesium 4.00 unplaced
    2.40 Pelo Du Bief 5.00 unplaced
    3.40 Cash For Honours 10.00 n/r

    Loss 6 euro


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    #20
    mike65
    Closed Accounts Posts: 88,978 ✭✭✭✭mike65


    Kempton Park
    1.25 Beat The Rap 17.00 unplaced
    3.10 French Leave 17.00 unplaced
    4.20 Nicto De Beauchene 6.50 win

    Bangor-on-dee
    2.10 Salontyre 3.50 win
    3.55 Ya I Know 8.50 win

    return of 23.26 euro/profit 17.26


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    #21
    mike65
    Closed Accounts Posts: 88,978 ✭✭✭✭mike65


    Saturday 14th Feb
    Aye
    2.40 Craiglands 5.50 unplaced
    3.15 Something Silver 6.00 2nd
    3.50 Jane Doe 26.00 n/r
    4.25 Storm Surge 7.00 unplaced
    4.55 Bamby 3.50 3rd

    Gowran Park
    2.05 Dannys Vic 9.00 unplaced
    3.45 Borolee 5.50 unplaced

    Newbury
    2.00 Merigo 26.00 (might run Warwick) or Woolfall Treasure 15.00 3rd
    3.05 Get Me Out Of Here (Half the field are low in the weights thanks to Blue Bajan) 8.00 win

    Warwick
    2.50 Radmores Revenge 21.00 unplaced
    3.20 Victorias Groom 5.50 unplaced
    4.30 Home She Goes 5.00 unplaced

    return 1.50 euro

    Loss of 4.50 for the week


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    #22
    mike65
    Closed Accounts Posts: 88,978 ✭✭✭✭mike65


    Sunday 14th Febuary

    Hereford
    1.50 Canni Thinkaar 4.33 win
    2.20 Just Playfull 6.00 unplaced
    4.00 Hobb's Dream 5.50 unplaced
    4.30 Star Galaxy 8.00 win
    5.00 Midnight Spirit 13.00 unplaced

    Exeter
    2.30 Highest Start 3.25 3rd
    4.10 Bertie May 5.50 win

    Navan
    2.45 Rating Queen 8.00 unplaced

    returns 14.53 euro


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    #23
    mike65
    Closed Accounts Posts: 88,978 ✭✭✭✭mike65


    Monday Feburary 15th

    Catterick Bridge
    2.50 Royal Flynn 13.00 unplaced
    3.50 Wheyaye 15.00 unplaced
    4.20 Carrietau 8.00 unplaced fell

    Plumpton
    2.30 Sophisticated Lady 7.00 3rd
    3.30 Corker 6.50 unplaced

    loss 7 euro


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    #24
    mike65
    Closed Accounts Posts: 88,978 ✭✭✭✭mike65


    Tuesday Feb 16th

    Newcastle
    3.10 Native Coll 11.00 unplaced
    3.40 Devils Delight 3.75 3rd
    4.10 Sycho Fred 7.00 unplaced
    4.40 Oscar Trial 11.00 unplaced

    loss 8 euro


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    #25
    mike65
    Closed Accounts Posts: 88,978 ✭✭✭✭mike65


    Wednesday Feb 17th

    Leicester
    2.10 Briery Star 6.00 unplaced PU
    3.10 Plum Pudding 5.00 win
    3.40 Laharna 8.00 3rd
    4.40 Sir Punjabi 6.50 unplaced PU

    Punchestown
    4.25 Clifton Pier 10.00 unplaced

    Musselburgh
    2.20 Bale Oshea 6.50 unplaced
    3.20 Night Knight 12.00 unplaced
    3.50 Amanda Carter 3.75 unplaced
    4.20 Silver Dollars 3.00 win

    returns 3.75 euro


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    #26
    mike65
    Closed Accounts Posts: 88,978 ✭✭✭✭mike65


    Thursday Feb 18th

    Clonmel
    2.55 Spring Wine 7.50 unplaced
    3.25 Mon Champion (if it runs as a reserve) Didn't run

    Ffos Las
    3.10 Shaking Hands 7.00 unplaced
    3.45 Pearl (IRE) 6.50 unplaced

    Kelso
    2.10 Midnite Blews (IRE) 10.00 unplaced PU
    2.45 Doc Row 5.50 2nd
    3.55 Bene Lad 5.50 unplaced

    loss 7.50 euro


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    #27
    mike65
    Closed Accounts Posts: 88,978 ✭✭✭✭mike65


    Friday Feb 19th

    Fakenham
    1.35 Pairc Na Gcapall 8.50 unplaced Fell
    2.05 Etoile D'Or 3.50 3rd
    3:45 Quartz Dore 11.00 2nd

    Sandown
    2.45 Double Eagle 7.00 unplaced
    4.30 Mrs Fawlty 13.00 unplaced

    loss 4.50 euro


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    #28
    mike65
    Closed Accounts Posts: 88,978 ✭✭✭✭mike65


    Saturday Feb 20th

    Ascot
    2.45 Zabeel Palace 8.00 unplaced
    4.20 Lorient Express 4.50 unplaced

    Haydock
    3.35 Coe 7.50 unplaced
    4.10 Peters Star 11.00 unplaced
    4.45 Doctor Pat 3.50 unplaced

    Uttoxeter
    2.55 Midnight Diamond 7.00 unplaced
    3:30 Roseneath 7.00 unplaced PU
    4.05 Nomadic Warrior 8.00 3rd
    4.40 Miss Pross 10.00 unplaced
    5.10 Laughing Game 13.00 3rd

    Fairyhouse
    3.05 Dorset Square 4.50 win

    returns 1.30 euro


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