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Bottom of the handicap log

mike65

This is for NH racing, just a little aspect of racing that I want to follow for a while, prompted by the win by The Sawyer off bottom weight yesterday.

There will be some judgement brough to this, not all picks will be absolute bottom weight but all with be at or near bottom, price/form/potential will be a guide as well. An example is Market Rasen 3.10 where the bottom two are seperated by 7 points but just 3 pounds. The talent/form gap is such that I'm picking the much shorter priced slightly heavier horse.

Todays picks

Market Rasen

2.10 Laughing Game 11.00 win
3.10 Extra Smooth 6.00 unplaced PU
3.45 Amir Pasha 4.00 unplaced
4.15 Oscar Trial 11.00 placed

Towcester

2.20 Mad Professor 21.00 unplaced PU
2.50 Kercabellec 8.50 unplaced
4.25 Heezagrey 6.50 unplaced

Leopardstown

2.15 (ignoring this as apart from two horses the field is very closely matched on weights)
3.50 Meadows Thyne 15.00 unplaced

Limerick

2.55 Tara Valley 13.00 unplaced PU
4.30 Caola Mann 13.00 win

If betting e/w total stake 2 euro returns are as follows
Return 21 euro

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mike65

Monday Jan 25th

Fontwell
2.10 Over The Flow 8.50 placed
3.20 Go Amwell 21.00 unplaced
3.55 Brushford 13.00 win

Lingfield Park
1.25 The Hardy Boy 11.00 unplaced
2.35 One Cornetto 7.00 win
3.45 Alfadora (out of the handicap by 2lbs) 15.00 unplaced PU
4.20 Coeur Brule 11.00 placed

Newcastle
2.25 Prince Tam 26.00 unplaced (actually 3rd of 7 which is decent all things considered)
3.35 Ocarina 8.00 placed
4.10 High Stand Lad 11.00 placed

I'll update with the prices tomorrow (which may cause a few to be reappraised)

Return 31.13

mike65

Tuesday January 26th

Sedgefield
2.30 Seeking Straight 15.00 unplaced
3.00 Troodos Jet 7.50 placed
3.30 Nightboat to Cairo 8.00 placed

Leicester
2.10 Just Playfull 8.00 unplaced
3.40 Freedom Flying 3.50 unplaced
4.10 Coast Of Malabar 17.00 unplaced

Loss 6.62 euro

mike65

Wednesday Jan 27th

Navan
3.15 Lady In The Mist 7.50 unplaced

Musselburgh
2.10 Instant Shot 2.50 unplaced
2.40 Kind Heart 7.00 2nd
3.10 Wotchalike 12.00 unplaced
3.40 Yankee Holiday 11.00 unplaced

Huntingdon
2.20 Local Present 15.00 3rd
2.50 Waarid 13.00 unplaced
3.50 Ultimate Limit 3.50 2nd
4.20 Vivarini 4.00 win

Return 0.85c

Note - Bets on any horse that is less than 4.00 will be 2 euro win bet so Ultimate Limit at 3.5 was a 2 euro loss despite placing.

mike65

Thursday Jan 28th

Ffos Las
3.40 Lord Crewe 5.00 3rd
4.10 Qualypso D'Allier 8.00 unplaced Unseated rider

Thurles
2.50 Mon Champion 9.00 unplaced Fell

Warwick
1.45 Ya I Know 6.50 unplaced
2.20 Glimmer Of Light 17.00 unplaced
3.30 Tarateeno 4.50 win
4.00 Marsh Court 11.00 unplaced

Loss 4.38 euro

mike65

Friday Jan 29th

Chepstow
2.55 The Hudnalls 7.00 3rd
3.30 Power Pack Jack 9.00 2nd
4.05 Merry Music 10.00 unplaced

Doncaster
1.20 Giant Star 21.00 unplaced
2.30 Pantalaimon 9.00 unplaced
3.05 Blue Nymph 10.00 win
3.40 De Boitron 5.50 3rd

Newbury
2.40 Alfie Spinner 6.00 win
3.50 Freeze Up 11.00 3rd

Returns 36.62

mike65

Saturday Jan 30th

Cheltenham

1.30 Plein Pouvoir 5.50 unplaced
2.05 Nycteos 8.00 (First choice Fit to Drive n/r) unplaced PU
4.20 Aather 5.00 placed

Uttoxeter

1.55 Alfloramoor 5.00 unplaced Fell
3.00 Alderley Rover 7.00 unplaced
3.35 Pelo Du Bief 3.50 win
4.10 Macchiato 9.00 unplaced PU

Loss 1 euro

End of week one total return of 82.59 euro, net profit of 32.59 euro. Interesting first week, a few decent priced winners that clearly the market didn't rate. Some disapointments on Saturday (not to mention the cancelled cards) the conditions underfoot appeared to have played a significant part though.

mike65

Something I forgot to consider is PP faller insurance which applies to certain races. so I could have got my stake back on a couple of races in the last week.

Sunday Jan 31st

Punchestown
2.00 Tiernan's Terror 5.00 3rd
2.30 Rock Diplomat 11.00 unplaced unseated rider
3.30 Leading Diamonds 4.00 unplaced

Limerick
3.10 Crimson Heather 17.00 unplaced
4.40 Caola Mann 4.33 unplaced

Plumpton
2.15 Rileyev 5.5 unplaced
3.15 Lord Appellare 5.00 unplaced Pulled up
4.15 The Hardy Boy 4.50 win

Loss 5.62 euro

mike65

Monday Feb 1st

No NH racing today, so for interest I'm going to apply the same to the a/w card at

Wolverhamtpon
2.05 Commander Wish 5.50 unplaced
2.40 Misterisland 15.00 unplaced
3.50 The Great Husk 6.00 2nd
4.50 Smalljohn 7.00 win
5.50 Bushy Dell 5.50 (Starburst n/r) unplaced

returns 5.75 euro

mike65

I'm going to keep the all-weather handicaps going as they might be worth following.

Tuesday Feb 2nd

Taunton
1.40 French Ties 3.50 2nd
4.10 Mister Wiseman 7.00 unplaced

Southwell A/W
1.30 Mymateeric 34.00 unplaced
2.30 Quiet Mountain 5.00 unplaced
3.30 Gentle Guru 6.50 unplaced
4.30 Wedding Dream 5.00 unplaced

Loss 12.00 euro

mike65

Wednesday Feb 3rd

Exeter
1.55 Woodlark Island 7.00 unplaced
2.30 Gouranga 11.00 unplaced
3.05 Newbay Bob 5.50 win
3.40 Go Johnny Go 8.00 unplaced

Down Royal
1.35 Blackson Zulu 21.00 unplaced
2.45 Imperial Shabra 12.00 unplaced
3.50 Chill Out 21.00 unplaced

loss of 4.38 euro

mike65

Please may we get a full compliment of NH cards for Thursday January 4th

Clonmel
3.15 Belass Boy 26.00 unplaced unseated rider

Towcester
2.10 Mr Ironman 6.50 unplaced
2.40 Nous Voila 10.00 unplaced
3.10 Woodlands Genpower 4.50 3nd

Wincanton
2.50 Franchoek (3 horse race) 5.00 unplaced
3.20 Hellfire Club 8.00 3rd
3.50 Treasulier 5.50 unplaced

loss 5.38 euro

mike65

More thin pickings tomorrow

Friday Feb 5th

Bangor-on-dee
2.25 Noun De La Thinte 2.10 2nd
3.35 Rothres 6.50 unplaced
4.45 Leac An Scail 12.00 unplaced

Catterick Bridge
2.10 I'm Your Man 11.00 2nd
2.45 Young Buddy 8.00 unplaced by a nose

loss 5.50 euro

mike65

Saturday Feb 6th

Doncaster
1.55 Catch Bob 29.00 unplaced
3.25 Lorient Express 21.00 unplaced and Leo's Lucky Star 8.00 unplaced UR
4.00 Stagecoach Diamond 21.00 unplaced and Garleton 21.00 unplaced

Wetherby
1.15 Vecchio Senso 17.00 win
2.20 Flake 9.00 unplaced
3.20 Terenzium 6.00 unplaced

Sandown Park
3.10 Several leading contenders all at foot of weights due to Lough Dergs presence -
Erzen 4.50 placed
Beshabar 7.00 placed
Strategic Approach 8.50 unplaced

3.40 Lorum Leader 13.00 unplaced
4.15 Russian Flag 4.50 win

Naas
3.15 The Dew at Night 5.50 placed
3.45 Rosiel 21.00 (nothing at the foot of handicap has any appeal) unplaced

Returns 34.88 euro

A bad week ends with a net loss of 7.24 euro

mike65

From Sunday I'm going to change the presentation of returns, with returns including and excluding stake both shown.

Sunday Feb 7th

Leopardstown
1.35 Glenanelucy 13.00 unplaced
3.10 Fistoulig 7.00 unplaced

Fontwell Park
2.50 Kappelhoff 6.50 3rd
3.20 Henry Hook 4.00 unplaced
3.50 One Step Closer 21.00 unplaced PU
4.20 English Jim 10.00 unplaced 4th

Musselburgh
2.00 Harry The Hawk 7.00 unplaced
3.30 Grandad Bill 9.00 unplaced 4th

loss 11.00 euro

mike65

Monday Feb 8th

Lingfield NH
1.50 Quartz Du Montceau 4.50 unplaced
3.20 Gunnasayso 7.50 unplaced
3.50 Turbo Shandy 8.50 3rd
4.20 Coda Agency 6.50 unplaced

Southwell NH
2.10 Ray Mond 5.50 win
2.40 Our Hero 5.50 unplaced
4.10 Knar Mardy 9.00 unplaced

returns of 0.50 euro

mike65

Tuesday 9th Feb

Fairyhouse
3.25 Nothing remotely appealling low in the weights
4.25 Mont Tresor 10.00 unplaced Fell

Market Rasen
3.00 Laughing Game 7.00 unplaced
3.30 Feeling Peckish 13.00 unplaced

Sedgefield
2.10 Pendragon 3.75 unplaced PU
3.40 Do It For Dalkey 2.75 3rd (looser at price)
4.10 More Like It 3.50 unplaced PU

Shocking shocking shocking.

loss 12.00 euro

mike65

Wednesday Feb 10th

Fairyhouse
3.20 Nothing in the bottom half of handicap
3.50 Carlowsantana 6.00 2nd
4.20 Sharekan 8.00 win

Ludlow
3.00 Thehonourablelady 9.00 unplaced
4.00 Milton Des Bieffes 5.00 unplaced

returns 6 euro/net profit 2 euro

mike65

Huntingdon
1.40 Opus Cafe 11.00 unplaced
2.10 Cesium 4.00 unplaced
2.40 Pelo Du Bief 5.00 unplaced
3.40 Cash For Honours 10.00 n/r

Loss 6 euro

mike65

Kempton Park
1.25 Beat The Rap 17.00 unplaced
3.10 French Leave 17.00 unplaced
4.20 Nicto De Beauchene 6.50 win

Bangor-on-dee
2.10 Salontyre 3.50 win
3.55 Ya I Know 8.50 win

return of 23.26 euro/profit 17.26

mike65

Saturday 14th Feb
Aye
2.40 Craiglands 5.50 unplaced
3.15 Something Silver 6.00 2nd
3.50 Jane Doe 26.00 n/r
4.25 Storm Surge 7.00 unplaced
4.55 Bamby 3.50 3rd

Gowran Park
2.05 Dannys Vic 9.00 unplaced
3.45 Borolee 5.50 unplaced

Newbury
2.00 Merigo 26.00 (might run Warwick) or Woolfall Treasure 15.00 3rd
3.05 Get Me Out Of Here (Half the field are low in the weights thanks to Blue Bajan) 8.00 win

Warwick
2.50 Radmores Revenge 21.00 unplaced
3.20 Victorias Groom 5.50 unplaced
4.30 Home She Goes 5.00 unplaced

return 1.50 euro

Loss of 4.50 for the week

mike65

Sunday 14th Febuary

Hereford
1.50 Canni Thinkaar 4.33 win
2.20 Just Playfull 6.00 unplaced
4.00 Hobb's Dream 5.50 unplaced
4.30 Star Galaxy 8.00 win
5.00 Midnight Spirit 13.00 unplaced

Exeter
2.30 Highest Start 3.25 3rd
4.10 Bertie May 5.50 win

Navan
2.45 Rating Queen 8.00 unplaced

returns 14.53 euro

mike65

Monday Feburary 15th

Catterick Bridge
2.50 Royal Flynn 13.00 unplaced
3.50 Wheyaye 15.00 unplaced
4.20 Carrietau 8.00 unplaced fell

Plumpton
2.30 Sophisticated Lady 7.00 3rd
3.30 Corker 6.50 unplaced

loss 7 euro

mike65

Tuesday Feb 16th

Newcastle
3.10 Native Coll 11.00 unplaced
3.40 Devils Delight 3.75 3rd
4.10 Sycho Fred 7.00 unplaced
4.40 Oscar Trial 11.00 unplaced

loss 8 euro

mike65

Wednesday Feb 17th

Leicester
2.10 Briery Star 6.00 unplaced PU
3.10 Plum Pudding 5.00 win
3.40 Laharna 8.00 3rd
4.40 Sir Punjabi 6.50 unplaced PU

Punchestown
4.25 Clifton Pier 10.00 unplaced

Musselburgh
2.20 Bale Oshea 6.50 unplaced
3.20 Night Knight 12.00 unplaced
3.50 Amanda Carter 3.75 unplaced
4.20 Silver Dollars 3.00 win

returns 3.75 euro

mike65

Thursday Feb 18th

Clonmel
2.55 Spring Wine 7.50 unplaced
3.25 Mon Champion (if it runs as a reserve) Didn't run

Ffos Las
3.10 Shaking Hands 7.00 unplaced
3.45 Pearl (IRE) 6.50 unplaced

Kelso
2.10 Midnite Blews (IRE) 10.00 unplaced PU
2.45 Doc Row 5.50 2nd
3.55 Bene Lad 5.50 unplaced

loss 7.50 euro

mike65

Friday Feb 19th

Fakenham
1.35 Pairc Na Gcapall 8.50 unplaced Fell
2.05 Etoile D'Or 3.50 3rd
3:45 Quartz Dore 11.00 2nd

Sandown
2.45 Double Eagle 7.00 unplaced
4.30 Mrs Fawlty 13.00 unplaced

loss 4.50 euro

mike65

Saturday Feb 20th

Ascot
2.45 Zabeel Palace 8.00 unplaced
4.20 Lorient Express 4.50 unplaced

Haydock
3.35 Coe 7.50 unplaced
4.10 Peters Star 11.00 unplaced
4.45 Doctor Pat 3.50 unplaced

Uttoxeter
2.55 Midnight Diamond 7.00 unplaced
3:30 Roseneath 7.00 unplaced PU
4.05 Nomadic Warrior 8.00 3rd
4.40 Miss Pross 10.00 unplaced
5.10 Laughing Game 13.00 3rd

Fairyhouse
3.05 Dorset Square 4.50 win

returns 1.30 euro