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Will it snow this Christmas 2009?

  • 23-11-2009 8:43pm
    #1
    Closed Accounts Posts: 29


    Any Meteorology folks out there have a stab at this one?


«1

Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,675 ✭✭✭ronnie3585


    Yes.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 664 ✭✭✭Flyer1


    No chance


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,186 ✭✭✭Kippure


    Yes it will be a white christmas in ireland, in dublin.... I,m putting money on it. ;)


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 873 ✭✭✭InKonspikuou2


    Yeah of course. Won't be in Ireland though.


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 7,146 Mod ✭✭✭✭pistolpetes11


    And if anyone has the Lotto numbers on them too that would be great;)


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,015 ✭✭✭✭Mc Love


    Dont think so


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,904 ✭✭✭cian1500ww


    I hope so but I don't think so


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 361 ✭✭homersimpson


    Yes I think so this year :D:D


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 361 ✭✭Cokeistan


    nt a hope.....probly major flooding though :D


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 324 ✭✭octo


    Statistically, just going on past climate records, your chances of a report of 'snow lying' at 9am in Dublin Airport any day around that time of year are around 30/1. I see the bookies give 7/1 or thereabouts, so I wouldn't back it.


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 47 lockie83


    Massive NO this year!


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,186 ✭✭✭Kippure


    Yeeeee of little Faith :rolleyes:


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,574 ✭✭✭Pangea


    octo wrote: »
    Statistically, just going on past climate records, your chances of a report of 'snow lying' at 9am in Dublin Airport any day around that time of year are around 30/1. I see the bookies give 7/1 or thereabouts, so I wouldn't back it.
    Feck this "snow lying" malarky and airports
    , A white christmas involves real thick snow, Like 95 a good few inches. Sadly they are few and far between.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 252 ✭✭danni2


    Well let's look back at the past 10 years, we had a white christmas 1999, 5 years later a white christmas 2004 and now 5 years have past so I wouldn't say no to a white christmas in 2009:D


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,605 ✭✭✭Fizman


    It'll snow, fo sho!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 332 ✭✭howlinwolf


    hey guys.......i no its a few weeks off yet but was just wondering(hoping) if the weather over the christmas period is showing any signs of snow:). or are we in for another mild xmas day........even a hard frost would be nice for our snow starved country........ all forecast models welcome even the ones that change every day:).......


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,039 ✭✭✭force eleven


    First indications about won't be available for another few days as most forecasting models go up to 2 weeks from each day so actually it'll be another week before you get the first tentative indicators. I've seen a few longer range forecasts going for a big cool down later in December but the historical odds strongly favour a green Christmas.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 245 ✭✭Artfu1Dodger


    The truth is we will not know untill 4 or 5 days before. This is because the models are highly unreliable outside this timeframe.


  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Just to get you in the mood:

    http://webecoist.com/2009/12/01/frozen-rainbows-10-eerie-examples-of-cool-colored-snow/

    I also recommend checking out "the snowman" on youtube hehehehehe

    oh and of course:
    world-record-snowman


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 270 ✭✭Elmo5


    Netweather.tv have a % chance of snow on christmas day. Checked it last week and it was 15%, just checked again now and it's 25%!


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,299 ✭✭✭pauldry


    the period before xmas may see snow but xmas day itself may come at the end of this cold spell


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,398 ✭✭✭dfbemt


    danni2 wrote: »
    Well let's look back at the past 10 years, we had a white christmas 1999, 5 years later a white christmas 2004 and now 5 years have past so I wouldn't say no to a white christmas in 2009:D

    So based on your scientific calculation it'll snow for sure ;)


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 252 ✭✭danni2


    dfbemt wrote: »
    So based on your scientific calculation it'll snow for sure ;)
    Well if this 5 year pattern continues then yes it will snow for sure:)


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 47 hiwayman




  • Closed Accounts Posts: 54 ✭✭Eoinsheehy


    hiwayman wrote: »




    Yey cause ACCU are the ones I trust they're nearly always right.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,068 ✭✭✭Iancar29


    I HAD TAT FEELIN TAT IT IS GONNA SNOW THIS CHRISTMAS,

    So.............I WENT A PUT A BET DOWN IN THE BOOKIES!

    GOT A 7-2 BEt for ONE SNOWFLAKE TO BE SEEN AT DUBLIN AIRPORT!

    COME ON THE SNOW!!!!!! :D:D:D


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,693 ✭✭✭Redsunset


    Iancar29 wrote: »
    I HAD TAT FEELIN TAT IT IS GONNA SNOW THIS CHRISTMAS,

    So.............I WENT A PUT A BET DOWN IN THE BOOKIES!

    GOT A 7-2 BEt for ONE SNOWFLAKE TO BE SEEN AT DUBLIN AIRPORT!

    COME ON THE SNOW!!!!!! :D:D:D

    One snowflake????????

    That can't be right,i thought you had to bet on 1mm


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,788 ✭✭✭Joe Public


    redsunset wrote: »
    One snowflake????????

    That can't be right,i thought you had to bet on 1mm


    That bets sounds a bit unlikely ok, it usually has to 1mm snow reported by the Met. Who is going to be able to verify a snowflake?
    PaddyPower.com is giving the same odds of 7/2 for snow in Dublin on Xmas day with verification of 1mm from Met eireann at Dublin Airport.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 361 ✭✭homersimpson


    Rtavn3724.png


    Rtavn3721.png

    gfs-0-372.png?18

    gfs-1-372.png?18

    gfs-2-372.png?18


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,068 ✭✭✭Iancar29


    I GOT A 7-2 BET IN THE BOOKIES FOR SNOW ON CHRISTMAS DAY!

    Just had a feelin that it will snow ! :D


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,271 ✭✭✭.243


    Iancar29 wrote: »
    I GOT A 7-2 BET IN THE BOOKIES FOR SNOW ON CHRISTMAS DAY!

    Just had a feelin that it will snow ! :D

    i got caught out a few years ago when there was a sprinkling,went to the bookies to be told it has to be an inch of snow at the weather station at dublin airport for a pay out


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,391 ✭✭✭5500


    PaddyPower says
    Settled using official Weather station data from main International Airports of each city. 1mm of snowfall must be recorded as falling between 00:00 and 23:59 on Dec 25th 2009. PP decision is final in settlement of this market.

    What dya reckon is it worth a punt?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,913 ✭✭✭Danno




  • Subscribers Posts: 8,322 ✭✭✭Scubadevils


    Danno wrote: »

    Hmmm... predict a white Christmas just under two weeks before the day, get some media attention, great opportunity to talk about his new book :pac:


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 29 JulietLima




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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 190 ✭✭redalicat


    Hmmm, good point. But I still hope he's right! :)


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 81,220 ✭✭✭✭biko


    howlinwolf wrote: »
    hey guys.......i no its a few weeks off yet but was just wondering(hoping) if the weather over the christmas period is showing any signs of snow:). or are we in for another mild xmas day........even a hard frost would be nice for our snow starved country........ all forecast models welcome even the ones that change every day:).......
    Depends where you are, certain areas in the north are more likely to see snow than the rest of the country.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,895 ✭✭✭matchthis


    Iancar29 wrote: »
    I HAD TAT FEELIN TAT IT IS GONNA SNOW THIS CHRISTMAS,

    So.............I WENT A PUT A BET DOWN IN THE BOOKIES!

    GOT A 7-2 BEt for ONE SNOWFLAKE TO BE SEEN AT DUBLIN AIRPORT!

    COME ON THE SNOW!!!!!! :D:D:D

    Merchant of Venice anyone? Two snoflakes or more, you loose :D


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 260 ✭✭patneve


    matchthis wrote: »
    Merchant of Venice anyone? Two snoflakes or more, you loose :D

    glad we're talking about snowflakes and not pounds of flesh:)


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,574 ✭✭✭Pangea


    Any charts floating around for xmas day?


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,380 ✭✭✭✭nacho libre


    h850t850eu.png?dopvhost=charts.netweather.tv&doppl=307db5727b5628147b062844aac3230f7b0628bc&dopsig=4093e7053e618dfe617691c2055c5aa8


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,574 ✭✭✭Pangea


    h850t850eu.png?dopvhost=charts.netweather.tv&doppl=307db5727b5628147b062844aac3230f7b0628bc&dopsig=4093e7053e618dfe617691c2055c5aa8
    Thanks
    So can some explain what that means?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,380 ✭✭✭✭nacho libre


    repost your post nacho i tried to quote u and deleted by mistake:eek:

    sorry!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,780 ✭✭✭✭ninebeanrows


    well it may change between now and then, but I think those atmosphere temps of -5 would make it marginal for any precipitation to fall as snow at lower levels.

    Not in this situation with a inbuilt low level cold, infact anything below -2/-3c would be condusive to snow next week depending on dews etc.

    But next week 850hpas become slightly less relevent once below -2/-3c


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,380 ✭✭✭✭nacho libre


    well it may change between now and then, but I think those atmosphere temps of -5 would make it marginal for any precipitation to fall as snow at lower levels.

    Not in this situation with a inbuilt low level cold, infact anything below -2/-3c would be condusive to snow next week depending on dews etc.

    But next week 850hpas become slightly less relevent once below -2/-3c

    it seems i'm learning all the time on this forum. i thought a temperature of -5 at that height in atmosphere would make it marginal regardless of other circumstances.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 750 ✭✭✭rovers2001


    With the cold spell expected to continue whats the chances of a white christmas this year? The bookies have apparantly slashed their odds so if anything it will be interesting.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,380 ✭✭✭✭nacho libre


    according to mt cranium not great. his forecasts have been spot on all year so i can't see him being wrong this time. still there maybe some white stuff leftover from previous days given the weather is set to be cold right up until thursday


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,604 ✭✭✭200motels


    An interesting chart.

    [URL="javascript: viewimage(1);"]ukprec.png[/URL]


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,380 ✭✭✭✭nacho libre


    are you suggesting the mild weather will be in before Christmas day?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,604 ✭✭✭200motels


    are you suggesting the mild weather will be in before Christmas day?
    No most of that could be wintry, but as you know yourself these charts should be taken with a pinch of salt, like the one below.


    [URL="javascript: viewimage(1);"]uksnowrisk.png[/URL]


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