The Silent Assassin's Betting Blog

SilentAssassin

Hi all,

I've recently found myself with a lot of spare time on my hands. A friend of mine in a similar spot has started blogging. He's doing movies but I figured I'd do something sports related as I'm a bit of a fanatic.

I've had decent success over the last 10 years or so with sports betting (particularly football). Although, I've never kept track, I definitely win more than I lose. So, I've decided to put my head on the block for the coming 2009/10 season and write a sports betting blog.

Each week I'll be giving 3 tips (and my reasons for choosing each) for the coming weekend: one banker (with odds of at least evens), one cheeky punt and a long term bet.

Now, this is my first ever blog. I haven't done any creative writing since the Leaving Cert nearly a decade ago. But, I'd be grateful to hear any feedback (positive or negative) on my writing style and/or the quality of my tips. I'll be updating the blog every Thursday and hopefully be doing a 'post-mortem' on the weekend's bets early each week.

Here's the link to my new blog:

http://thesilentassassinsbetting.blogspot.com/

abouttobebanned

Good luck mate.

SilentAssassin

abouttobebanned wrote: »

Good luck mate.

Cheers

dsmythy

I'd eradicate terms like 'banker' from your blog vocabulary.

soundsham

dsmythy wrote: »

I'd eradicate terms like 'banker' from your blog vocabulary.

+1
how long you banged up for:P

ghosttown

Interesting, nicely written, will follow it and see how you do ! Good luck.:)

SilentAssassin

dsmythy wrote: »

I'd eradicate terms like 'banker' from your blog vocabulary.

Duly noted. Although, looking at betting columns in newspapers, etc. isn't this a fairly common term?

soundsham wrote: »

+1
how long you banged up for:P

These mobile broadband cards come in dead handy in The Joy...just kidding! :pac:

ghosttown wrote: »

Interesting, nicely written, will follow it and see how you do ! Good luck.:)

Thanks ghosttown. Appreciate the support!

premierstone

Very well thought out and explained, looks impressive, will follow with interest best of luck!

Raskolnikov

The word "banker" definitely does not belong in the lexicon of sports gambling! Put up a spread sheet of your bets too. If you're successful, it'll only help credibility.

Looks good otherwise though.

thedini

SilentAssassin wrote: »

Duly noted. Although, looking at betting columns in newspapers, etc. isn't this a fairly common term?

That's the problem, it's way overused and as such has lost all meaning. This is besides the fact that the word should have no place in sports betting.

GL with the blog.

SilentAssassin

premierstone wrote: »

Very well thought out and explained, looks impressive, will follow with interest best of luck!

Cheers. Let's just hope the tips work out well

Raskolnikov wrote: »

The word "banker" definitely does not belong in the lexicon of sports gambling! Put up a spread sheet of your bets too. If you're successful, it'll only help credibility.

Looks good otherwise though.

thedini wrote: »

That's the problem, it's way overused and as such has lost all meaning. This is besides the fact that the word should have no place in sports betting.

GL with the blog.

Thanks.

What word would you guys suggest using instead of banker? Would Nap be a better word to use? All suggestions welcome.

I'll definitely be keeping track of the bets. The goal with the 'banker bet' (as it's called now) will be to get at least two out of every three right. With odds of at least evens that should give a nice return. I haven't set goals for the other two bets yet, but I'll defintely be looking for them to return a profit.

SilentAssassin

Coventry actually kicked off at 5/2 with Boylesports (2/1 when blog written).

Good start to the afternoon... Coventry and Notts County 1-0 up after 12 minutes. Fingers crossed!

SilentAssassin

Nerve wracking stuff....

Macc 0-3 Notts County
Barnsley 0-1 Coventry

10 mins to go, come on!

SilentAssassin

Job done! 100% start to both weekend bets:

Maccs 0-4 Notts County (Evs)
Barnsley 0-2 Coventry (5/2)

AARRRGH

Well done.

SilentAssassin

AARRRGH wrote: »

Well done.

Cheers

dsmythy

Nice start. Both opposed teams didn't even score.

Seillejet

It helps that your punts have come off, but really cool blog. Great style of informative without the bs imo style of writing. Most def added to my favs.

SilentAssassin

Seillejet wrote: »

It helps that your punts have come off, but really cool blog. Great style of informative without the bs imo style of writing. Most def added to my favs.

dsmythy wrote: »

Nice start. Both opposed teams didn't even score.

Thanks. It's only one week, but it was great to get off to a good start!

AARRRGH

Yeah, I'm always on for quality analysis to help with my decision making, so I'll be checking it out every week too.

I also use:

Bethelp.net
Bettingzone.co.uk
Mark Lawrenson on BBC.co.uk

wb

Best of luck buddy - fair play for putting your thoughts down and out in public for scrutiny. Not as easy as people think! Well done.

SilentAssassin

AARRRGH wrote: »

Yeah, I'm always on for quality analysis to help with my decision making, so I'll be checking it out every week too.

I also use:

Bethelp.net
Bettingzone.co.uk
Mark Lawrenson on BBC.co.uk

The more (followers) the merrier! I'll definitely take a peek at those betting sites when doing my tips for next week. I've followed Lawrenson's tips for a number of years (more out of interest than using it in my betting thought process). He does fairly well most weeks but there's one or two teams that he notoriously gets wrong. I remember seeing a fans feature on Sky once about Fulham. Their fans always pray that Lawro has them down to lose, because when he does they usually win (and vice versa).

wb wrote: »

Best of luck buddy - fair play for putting your thoughts down and out in public for scrutiny. Not as easy as people think! Well done.

Thanks for your support. You're right, it's definitely not easy but I'll give it my best!

SilentAssassin

Blog updated:

http://thesilentassassinsbetting.blogspot.com/

millpool

Just seen this, brilliant idea! Will follow with interest.

fifth

Any last minute post for tonights football?

p.s: bookmarked!

SilentAssassin

millpool wrote: »

Just seen this, brilliant idea! Will follow with interest.

Thanks

funkyflea wrote: »

Any last minute post for tonights football?

p.s: bookmarked!

Just seen your post. I toyed with the idea of backing burnley (+1) or (+2) based on their great performances against the big guns in the cup last year but I chickened out. Wish I had now..they're 1-0 up approaching half-time. Just starting my write-ups for the weekend now. Will have them up tomorrow.

bonzos

dsmythy wrote: »

I'd eradicate terms like 'banker' from your blog vocabulary.

your name is not sean fitz by any chan:Dce?

SilentAssassin

Blog updated with tips for this week:

http://thesilentassassinsbetting.blogspot.com/

ErinGoBrath

SilentAssassin wrote: »

Blog updated with tips for this week:

http://thesilentassassinsbetting.blogspot.com/

I'm liking this blog, bigtime! Keep it up!

Scoobydooo

Really well written previews, Great work keep it up !

Boxfresh

Well written yeah, but it's the results that count. It's only early days yet

fifth

Nice updates again!

Lampard to score in 90 mins and chelsea to win @ 12/5 looks like a decent bet to me though..

ErinGoBrath

Boxfresh wrote: »

Well written yeah, but it's the results that count. It's only early days yet

Ah come on, no need to be so negative, he couldn't have got off to a better start and he's clearly put a lot of thought/time into his selections.

Given the positive support you got for your tips log this seems a little spiteful.

Boxfresh

sorry if i came across as negative. fair play to him it does look good and he clearly puts alot of work into it i won't knock him for that. i'll be following with interest from now on

AARRRGH

What I particularly like about the blog is that it suggests bets I would never think of. For example, the "CHELTENHAM TOWN (home) @ 11/10 (Paddy Power) to beat Bradford City" bet. I would never have considered looking at the league 2 games.

So, thanks Silent Assassin!

SilentAssassin

ErinGoBrath wrote: »

I'm liking this blog, bigtime! Keep it up!

Scoobydooo wrote: »

Really well written previews, Great work keep it up !

funkyflea wrote: »

Nice updates again!

Lampard to score in 90 mins and chelsea to win @ 12/5 looks like a decent bet to me though..

Thanks guys!

Boxfresh wrote: »

Well written yeah, but it's the results that count. It's only early days yet

You're right and I made the very same point in the blog on Monday:

So the first week is over and it’s one out of one for both the weekend bets. Although it was great to make a good start, even if I’d lost, it’s making a profit over the course of a season that counts. I won’t be getting too carried away as there WILL be variance – who’d have predicted Aston Villa’s home defeat to Wigan or Hull City coming within minutes of taking a coupon-busting point away to Chelsea?

AARRRGH wrote: »

What I particularly like about the blog is that it suggests bets I would never think of. For example, the "CHELTENHAM TOWN (home) @ 11/10 (Paddy Power) to beat Bradford City" bet. I would never have considered looking at the league 2 games.

So, thanks Silent Assassin!

No problem AARRRGH. I do like to mix it up a little. I often do well with tips for the Scottish Premier League (the non-Old Firm teams, as that's where the value is) but there was so much upheaval in that league during the summer (five out of the twelve clubs changed their manager) that I'm going to leave it for a few weeks until things settle down there.

Boxfresh

I might put €100 on Cheltenham Town tomorrow, which would be a larger than usual bet for me to do. But you give such a good reason to back them, I'm seriously thinking about it.

fifth

Accum for tomorrow

Coca Cola League 2 Matches Bury v Grimsby
22-08-2009 15:00
Win-Draw-Win
Bury @ 8/13

Coca Cola League 2 Matches Cheltenham v Bradford
22-08-2009 15:00
Win-Draw-Win
Cheltenham @ 11/10

Premier League Matches Wigan Athletic v Man Utd
22-08-2009 15:00
Win-Draw-Win
Man Utd @ 8/15

Premier League Matches Man City v Wolves
22-08-2009 15:00
Win-Draw-Win
Man City @ 1/3

Premier League Matches Arsenal v Portsmouth
22-08-2009 15:00
Win-Draw-Win
Arsenal @ 1/5

pays bout 7/1

Man U might be dodge..

T-b0n3

Went with your selections so heres hoping

Enjoying the blog. Keep it up.

SilentAssassin

Boxfresh wrote: »

I might put €100 on Cheltenham Town tomorrow, which would be a larger than usual bet for me to do. But you give such a good reason to back them, I'm seriously thinking about it.

Cheltenham certainly do look a great bet. But, in a week when Burnley have beaten Man United it just shows you anything can happen in football. Don't go losing the shirt off your back

funkyflea wrote: »

Accum for tomorrow

Coca Cola League 2 Matches Bury v Grimsby
22-08-2009 15:00
Win-Draw-Win
Bury @ 8/13

Coca Cola League 2 Matches Cheltenham v Bradford
22-08-2009 15:00
Win-Draw-Win
Cheltenham @ 11/10

Premier League Matches Wigan Athletic v Man Utd
22-08-2009 15:00
Win-Draw-Win
Man Utd @ 8/15

Premier League Matches Man City v Wolves
22-08-2009 15:00
Win-Draw-Win
Man City @ 1/3

Premier League Matches Arsenal v Portsmouth
22-08-2009 15:00
Win-Draw-Win
Arsenal @ 1/5

pays bout 7/1

Man U might be dodge..

Best of luck. Hope it comes off for ya!

T-b0n3 wrote: »

Went with your selections so heres hoping

Enjoying the blog. Keep it up.

Thanks. Here's hoping they come off again this week!

T-b0n3

Cheltenham 1 - 1 Bradford L

After 4 mins! :eek:

T-b0n3

****! Make that 3 -2 to Bradford now! Goal Frenzy going on over there!

EDIT// And were back level.

SilentAssassin

T-b0n3 wrote: »

****! Make that 3 -2 to Bradford now! Goal Frenzy going on over there!

EDIT// And were back level.

This game is not good for the heart. FIVE goals in the first TWENTY mins. 3-3 at half-time. Bradford hadn't even scored a goal before this game. Crazy stuff!

T-b0n3

SilentAssassin wrote: »

This game is not good for the heart. FIVE goals in the first TWENTY mins. 3-3 at half-time. Bradford hadn't even scored a goal before this game. Crazy stuff!

Its 4 -3 Bradford now unfortunately! Come on Chel!

SilentAssassin

Cheltenham 4 - 5 Bradford

Well what can you say about that? A team that hasn't scored a goal all season goes away to an unbeaten team and scores FIVE! I would have gone for Cheltenham all day in this match. Every possible indicator pointed to a Cheltenham win. That's football I guess!

fifth

Never betting again!

scruff321

true, you made a fair case for it,i stuck it in an accum myself, but to be honest the lower league teams tend to lack consistancy and i would very rarely bet on them normally same with loi.

T-b0n3

This was just one of those freak games no one could have predicted. The right call was always a Cheltenham win. Nothing you can do about the final result. Unluck, and keep up the good work.

dugger

picked 10 homes to-day 9 up chelt let me for 2,000. will never put them in a docket again

SilentAssassin

funkyflea wrote: »

Never betting again!

I feel your pain :mad:

scruff321 wrote: »

true, you made a fair case for it,i stuck it in an accum myself, but to be honest the lower league teams tend to lack consistancy and i would very rarely bet on them normally same with loi.

I'm also very picky when it comes to the lower league games. However, I don't think there was a better bet in English football today (at odds of evens or better anyway) than Cheltenham. Just one of those things - United lost to Burnley on Wednesday but win 5-0 today. Huddersfield scored SEVEN goals during the week but lost 1-0 today.

T-b0n3 wrote: »

This was just one of those freak games no one could have predicted. The right call was always a Cheltenham win. Nothing you can do about the final result. Unluck, and keep up the good work.

Cheers. I still can't believe it. Just hope Lampard can salvage the weekend tomorrow!

dugger wrote: »

picked 10 homes to-day 9 up chelt let me for 2,000. will never put them in a docket again

Ouch! Fair play on getting nine right though - that's pretty incredible! But not much consolation to you now I'm sure

Boxfresh

Boxfresh wrote: »

I might put €100 on Cheltenham Town tomorrow, which would be a larger than usual bet for me to do. But you give such a good reason to back them, I'm seriously thinking about it.

Luckily I only put 20 on them. Unlucky though. They scored 4 goals but just wasn't enough.