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Cheltenham! Lets Go

  • 09-03-2009 6:30pm
    #1
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,727 ✭✭✭


    here's my tip for the week.

    Well Chief 14/1
    Katchit 16/1
    Denman 6/1
    E/W Treble.


«1

Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,951 ✭✭✭✭Ace2007


    what does that return - say if the all are placed for a one euro stake(what would the total stake be - €6???)


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,100 ✭✭✭Browney7


    Katchit hasn't ran at all well but I'm a big believer in horses for courses and he won the triumph hurdle 2 years ago and the champion hurdle last year and 16/1 is too big for a former winner. I might go with Brave Inca if the rain comes though.

    Denman is worth a small each way I think aswell. They wouldn't be running him if they thought he was fecked.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 504 ✭✭✭biscuits1981


    the bet of the week is kasbah bliss and voy por ustedes double get on it and if ur greddy like me back cousin vinny single to win the first


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,056 ✭✭✭applehunter


    Nozebleed wrote: »
    here's my tip for the week.

    Well Chief 14/1
    Katchit 16/1
    Denman 6/1
    E/W Treble.

    Ill be very surprised if any of those place tbh.

    All out of form.

    Well chief hasnt run since April 2007
    Katchit has shot his bolt since last year.
    Denman is gone.


  • Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 12,808 Mod ✭✭✭✭Keano


    I am very cagey about Denman and what is going on there!! Would I lay him no, would I back him no - not touching that.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,848 ✭✭✭soundsham


    1.30 m. flips 10/1 €10 e/w p.p.
    2.10 p. t. plasterer 10/1 €10 e/w hills
    2.40 hot weld 40/1 €5 e/w boyles
    3.20 c. halo & katchit €10 e/w hills
    4.00 l'ami 2/1 €20 boyles boyles NAP;)
    4.40either c.legacy/o rebel/amber brook €5 e/w

    2.40 & 4.40 ARE 2 RACES NOT TO REALLY BET ON THEY'RE SO WIDE OPEN BOOKIES RACES


    long shot of the week

    mahogany blaze in ch. chase on wed
    66/1 €5 e/w boyles:eek:
    20/1 €10 e/w without m. minded hills:eek:


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,727 ✭✭✭Nozebleed


    €2.50 E/W bet will bring in around €125...not bad value...i know these three horses aint been talked about but...they're all winning horses which have made plenty of money...proven credentials...and to be honest these horses are trained secifically for this race meeting.

    denman will go close.providing he doesn't drop dead.
    katchit is a tiny little horse so im hoping the ground is on the softer side.
    well chief...he would'nt be there if he didnt have a chance.
    worth a punt in my opinion.
    5/10 E/W

    good luck lads


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,056 ✭✭✭applehunter


    Nozebleed wrote: »
    €2.50 E/W bet will bring in around €125...not bad value...i know these three horses aint been talked about but...they're all winning horses which have made plenty of money...proven credentials...and to be honest these horses are trained secifically for this race meeting.

    denman will go close.providing he doesn't drop dead.
    katchit is a tiny little horse so im hoping the ground is on the softer side.
    well chief...he would'nt be there if he didnt have a chance.
    worth a punt in my opinion.
    5/10 E/W

    good luck lads

    Id love to see Well Chief put it up to MM.

    Denman should not be in the race IMO. Stupid by Nicholls


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,727 ✭✭✭Nozebleed


    Denman should not be in the race IMO. Stupid by Nicholls[/QUOTE]



    I don't know...my firends da had a heart attack a coupla weeks back..he was rushed into hospital had emergency surgery,the lot...since he''s been out he said he never felt better,felt amazing in fact..said it was like getting rid of a 20 year flu..so i reckon on that basis i think deman is gona romp home winning by 3-5l.....hopefully!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,100 ✭✭✭Browney7


    Id love to see Well Chief put it up to MM.

    Denman should not be in the race IMO. Stupid by Nicholls

    Nicholls isn't champion trainer for nothing. He wouldn't be running him if he thought Denman wasn't up to it. He is a proven jumper and a proven stayer and I think Denman has a real chance. He has obviously been given the once over by the Top vets aswell


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,056 ✭✭✭applehunter


    He's only human.

    What about Kauto at Aintree last year.

    No need for him to race there after the Gold Cup:mad:!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 857 ✭✭✭thedini


    The goal is to make €1,300 at Cheltenham by laying the favorite @ €50 per race(26 races). Usually, I don't advocate betting except to level stakes. However, for the purpose of this, I will spread any loss over the next 3 races. ie. fav. wins @ 6/1 the loss of €300 will be spread over the next 3 races €300/3 + €50 so the stake will be €150. Obviously staking €50 per race will not suit everybody but any stake can be used(€4 min).

    I imagine that there will be many highs and lows (ultimately highs hopefully) such is the beauty of Cheltenham.

    Lay1 Cousin Vinny €50 @ 4.3


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 289 ✭✭Kinda32


    25c Heinz for Today's racing

    1.30 Kempes 10/1
    2.05 Calgary Bay 6/1
    2.40 Star de Mohaison 10/1
    3.20 Katchit 14/1
    4.00 L'ami 9/4
    4.40 Quevega 5/2

    Also a 10 euro double on L'ami and Quevega (both 5/2, done at weekend)


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 24 fredzeppelin


    Got these tips today. Anyone got any opinions/comments on them.

    1:30pm - Copper Bleu 18-1


    2:05pm - Golden Silver 16-1


    3:20pm - Punjabi 25-1



    ALL EACH WAY BETS.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 222 ✭✭Trankton


    IN the 4pm Cross COuntry...each way on Jaspers Dream at 50-1, came second to L'Ami in its last race and has a 21lbs pull today which is massive and gives it a very good chance of at least a place.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 452 ✭✭Welsh Wizard


    Snap tie in the 15.20.. was 4 lengths behind Binocular..

    @ 50/1.. Might be a good e/w bet..


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,579 ✭✭✭jimi_t


    Lump on Cousin Vinnie, e/w on Michael Flips

    Reasonable bit on L'ami

    e/w Follow the plan

    Combination forecast on Quevega/United


    BOL to everyone


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 6,478 ✭✭✭Bubs101


    jimi_t wrote: »
    Lump on Cousin Vinnie, e/w on Michael Flips

    Reasonable bit on L'ami

    e/w Follow the plan

    Combination forecast on Quevega/United


    BOL to everyone

    If these don't come through you're banned for life Jimmy


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,951 ✭✭✭✭Ace2007


    last year something like 2 out of 25 favourites won - lay the favourites = profit
    but here are my tips...


    1.30 Cousin Vinny will not win this - best e/w bet is Gloucester @ 100/1

    2.05 Forpadydeplasterer e/w @ 9/1

    2.40 Golden Flight e/w @ 20/1

    3.20 Katchit e/w @ 14/1

    4.00 Heads Onthe Ground e/w @ 14/1

    4.40 Megans Joy e/w @ 28/1


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 857 ✭✭✭thedini


    Lay 2, 2.05 Tatenan € 50@ 5.4

    Cum.Profit/loss €50


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 857 ✭✭✭thedini


    Lay 3, 2.40 Wichita Lineman € 50 @ 6.4

    Cum P/L €100


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,255 ✭✭✭shano_88


    any ew tips for the 3.20?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 857 ✭✭✭thedini


    Lay 4, 3.20 Binocular €173 @2.68

    Cum P/L (€220)


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 24 fredzeppelin


    Does anyone know how many places celtic bookmakers are paying out on?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 857 ✭✭✭thedini


    Lay 5, 4.00 L'Ami, €173 @2.94

    Cum P/L (€47)


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 732 ✭✭✭Famous45


    3:20pm - Punjabi 25-1

    I hope you had a wager :eek:


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 857 ✭✭✭thedini


    get in there!!

    Lay 6, 4.40, Quevega €173 @ 3.50

    Cum P/L €126


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 257 ✭✭63587614


    Nice boy, following your laying project here. Say it should work out for you. Thing is it takes a lot balls because of the risk involved. I presume u are doing this on betfair, your acc must be packed. I mean to place 173 eur lay bet you must have the outlay in your bank. The odds multiplied by stake as you know.

    Good luck, i'm watching out for it.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 857 ✭✭✭thedini


    63587614 wrote: »
    Nice boy, following your laying project here. Say it should work out for you. Thing is it takes a lot balls because of the risk involved. I presume u are doing this on betfair, your acc must be packed. I mean to place 173 eur lay bet you must have the outlay in your bank. The odds multiplied by stake as you know.

    Good luck, i'm watching out for it.
    Thanks, going according to plan so far-famous last words....


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 857 ✭✭✭thedini


    Lol, smashing run:confused:
    end of day total (€307)


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,848 ✭✭✭soundsham


    soundsham wrote: »
    1.30 m. flips 10/1 €10 e/w p.p.
    2.10 p. t. plasterer 10/1 €10 e/w hills
    2.40 hot weld 40/1 €5 e/w boyles
    3.20 c. halo & katchit €10 e/w hills
    4.00 l'ami 2/1 €20 boyles boyles NAP;)
    4.40either c.legacy/o rebel/amber brook €5 e/w

    2.40 & 4.40 ARE 2 RACES NOT TO REALLY BET ON THEY'RE SO WIDE OPEN BOOKIES RACES


    long shot of the week

    mahogany blaze in ch. chase on wed
    66/1 €5 e/w boyles:eek:
    20/1 €10 e/w without m. minded hills:eek:[/quote]

    +€63 from tues and l'ami not winning was a hobble of the highest order
    today wed
    1.30 9 de sivola €10 ew boyles 4 places 14/1
    2.05 m.d'hag €20 win 3/1
    2.40 €10 ew on massini and kilyglen 12s and 14s
    3.20 see above
    4.00 larkwing €10 ew 33/1 5 places boyles
    4.40 mr thriller €10 ew 14/1
    5.15 sicilian secret €20 win nap;)


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 857 ✭✭✭thedini


    Lay 7 1.30 Cant Buy Time €252 @ 5.4

    Cum P/L (€307)


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,129 ✭✭✭NabyLadistheman


    Correct me if Im mistakin but if one of your Lays wins will all your wins be for nothing?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 857 ✭✭✭thedini


    Correct me if Im mistakin but if one of your Lays wins will all your wins be for nothing?
    no, 2 won yesterday(:(), I am increasing the stake to recover the loss over the next 3 races.

    Lay 8 2.05 Mikael de Dhageunet €252 @ 3.85

    Cum P/L (€55)


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 857 ✭✭✭thedini


    I need this one or else will have to re-evaluate, spreading over 3 races was probably over optimistic. I won't be laying Masterminded, will just enjoy the race class animal.

    Lay 9 2.40 Cooldine €575 @ 3.65

    Cum P/L (€773)


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  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Masterminded could save you, probably the greatest dead cert ever ! Down at the first.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,129 ✭✭✭NabyLadistheman


    Looks like your re-evaluation must be takin place after the last teo catastrophes!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 857 ✭✭✭thedini


    Looks like your re-evaluation must be takin place after the last teo catastrophes!
    ye of little faith, changing it though.

    Lay 10 The Polomoche €500 @7.0

    Cum P/L (€2297)


  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    thedini wrote: »
    ye of little faith, changing it though.

    Lay 10 The Polomoche €500 @7.0

    Cum P/L (€2297)

    The Polomoche to romp it so !


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,785 ✭✭✭Dubliner28


    Not a great day yesterday for me . A few wins today but low stake means not much returns
    Lucky 63 @ 0.25
    Cooldine and Masterminded wins (pennys returned)
    Have 2 more the Polmoche and Rite of Passage hopfully will pump it up


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 857 ✭✭✭thedini


    Lay 11 Alexander Severus €500 @4.10

    Cum P/L (€1797)


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 857 ✭✭✭thedini


    Lay 12 5.15 Rite of Passage €500 @ 4.2

    Cum P/L (€1297)


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 257 ✭✭63587614


    Thedini where are you pulling the capital from. Good luck with it boy. I was with you up to 500 loss. But now it's madness. If you lose this one you have to pay out roughly 1500e.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 857 ✭✭✭thedini


    63587614 wrote: »
    Thedini where are you pulling the capital from. Good luck with it boy. I was with you up to 500 loss. But now it's madness. If you lose this one you have to pay out roughly 1500e.

    don't worry about the capital;), nice enough recovery towards the end.


  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    thedini wrote: »
    don't worry about the capital;), nice enough recovery towards the end.

    3 favourites in a row was a bit odd for cheltenham.

    Would be suprised if that amount won tomorrow.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 535 ✭✭✭jellybaby21


    my oh had a 50c lucky 31 yesterday
    1:30 Go Native 12/1
    2:05 forpaddytheplasterer 9/1
    2:40 Wichita Lineman 6/1 (10c rule 4)
    4:00 Garde Champetre 7/2
    4:40 Chomba Womba 15/2

    Pity about the last one was running on for 30k!!!!
    Got €3390 off it!!!
    Alright for €15.50 stake :D:D


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 857 ✭✭✭thedini


    Lay 13, 1.30 Kia Haha €300 @ 8.4

    Cum P/L (€797)


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 857 ✭✭✭thedini


    Lay 14 2.05 Ballydub €300 @ 8.6

    Cum P/L (€497)


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 857 ✭✭✭thedini


    I am not laying Voy por, Kasbah Bliss as I am backing them.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 857 ✭✭✭thedini


    Lay 15, 4.00 ping Pong Sivola €200 @ 8.6

    Cum P/l ( €197)


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