Win 2% of me for free....Boards Running Man contest

doke · 11-10-2008 1:55pm #1

Taking a leaf out of Yuletired's book, I'm holding a contest to win 2% of me in my next major (500+ buyin) tournament, which depending on what state I get back from Korea in could either be the PP Winter Festival, a GUKPT event, the BrucePoker launch or the Fitz winter festival.

To have a chance of winning, all you have to do is guess how far I'll get, in kilometres, in the World 24 Hour Championships next weekend in Seoul. Nearest guess to the actual distance wins. In the event of a tie, person who posted first wins. In the event of a discrepancy between the distance I'm officially credited with and the distance I actually run (as there was last year), official distance counts for contest.

To allow you to make an educated guess, here's some pointers:

I've only run one of these before, last year's World Championships, when I covered a distance of 203.4 kilometres. I was badly injured for the last 6 hours and reduced to a slowish walk: but for that I would have made 220 or so.

World record is around 300 kilometres, Irish record 228.

Physiological testing (VO2max etc.) suggests my genetic limit is about 220 kilometres. Presumably at my peak, which I'm a bit past now (and one year more than last year).

Course looks tougher than last year (more sharp turns for one thing) and climate and pollution in Seoul may present more problems.

Injuries are very common in these events and it's not unusual for people to have to stop after 60, 80, 100 or whatever kms. Most of the course is concrete which makes injury even more likely.

I appear to be going into the race injury free, but I do have a cold which I'm hoping will have cleared by then, but past experience suggests reduced performance for about 2 weeks after a cold.

Course is in 920 metres loops. If I do drop out, it'll probably be after a certain number of laps, so there's a higher probability that distance will be an integer multiplied by .92.

I don't appear to be in quite as good shape as I was last year, and I am a year older.

I'm not on EPO or any other stimulant so there will be no chemically induced improvements.

OK, start guessing. Guesses must be in before I fly out on Tuesday morning because I may not have Web access over there.

LuckyLloyd · 11-10-2008 1:58pm

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bohsman · 11-10-2008 1:59pm

175km, best of luck, the blog on the last one was a fascinating read.

cooker3 · 11-10-2008 2:01pm

131
Good luck!

Macspower · 11-10-2008 2:02pm

best of luck with this dara.. sound tough....

I always said you run good!!!

but I go for 150 km considering the conditions...

TommyGunne · 11-10-2008 2:03pm

207km. And gl.

KevIRL · 11-10-2008 2:04pm

187

Best of luck with this Dara. I look forward to reading your blog about it afterwards.

Is there a site online where we can follow the event?

RoadSweeper · 11-10-2008 2:04pm

188 km, best of luck, sounds intresting

RoadSweeper · 11-10-2008 2:05pm

FFS Kev, change it

doke · 11-10-2008 2:12pm

KevIRL wrote: »

187

Best of luck with this Dara. I look forward to reading your blog about it afterwards.

Is there a site online where we can follow the event?

The official site is http://www.iau.org.tw/

Last year, they weren't great with their updates though, and friends at home told me they googled on the day and found an American site that had more frequent updates.

If all else fails, my club site http://www.rahenyshamrock.com/ will probably put updates sent to them in running from the Irish support team.

connie147 · 11-10-2008 2:15pm

Best of luck with this Dara!

I'll guess you'll do 194 km's.

Connie

SuperHans · 11-10-2008 2:16pm

228.16 km. Genetic limits are b*llox. Look at Ethan Hawke in Gattaca.

smcb · 11-10-2008 2:21pm

165...good luck

blackbeard · 11-10-2008 2:21pm

best of luck dara
guess is 197.

rekoJ · 11-10-2008 2:27pm

Ì think you may have set yourself a target of 200 laps (loops) for this so I will go with 184km, the very best of luck with this Dara, I hope you get back from this injury free.

Brian.

p.s if I dont win this, Can I buy 2% of you in the GJP Deepstack (you seem to love these long distance tests)

Lplate · 11-10-2008 2:27pm

Best of luck with this Dara. My guess is 184.92km.
My thinking was exactly the same as rekoj who got there seconds before me! I've edited to add a lap!!

rag2gar · 11-10-2008 2:35pm

208, good luck

White Knight · 11-10-2008 2:39pm

216, good luck

dK1NG · 11-10-2008 2:43pm

204.25

Best of lcuk with this, your blog never ceases to amaze me. I dont know how you manage to show such dedication to your training!

Pabloh · 11-10-2008 3:08pm

~Best of Luck Dara.

I guess 191.5k

Googe · 11-10-2008 3:10pm

189.7 good luck

ElectraBlue · 11-10-2008 3:16pm

Good luck Dara!

I've every faith in you completing the full course... my best guess is 212.21 km mind yourself now!

Tough Johnnson! · 11-10-2008 3:34pm

211.1km good luck!

Duff Man Jr. · 11-10-2008 3:35pm

230.4
I think you'll get close to the Irish record and that'll drive you on for the last bit, gl.

The Improver · 11-10-2008 4:00pm

178km & gl

The_Chopper · 11-10-2008 4:03pm

2190km (you'll probably need to buy a motorbike of some kind though

)

pokerkingsni · 11-10-2008 4:23pm

181.

Best of Luck.

tonc76 · 11-10-2008 4:31pm

Best of luck

179.4

Get In There · 11-10-2008 4:34pm

198

Conbro · 11-10-2008 4:45pm

Holy **** how the hell do people run this far/ for so long. Given the tough conditions and the fact that ur degenerative gambling condition must have had an adverse effect on your athletics career over the last 12 months;), Im going to guess 130k. Wish you the very best of luck, hope you return in one piece

RichieLawlor · 11-10-2008 4:49pm

ill go for 7 Km, im hoping you pas a casino and/or Illicit house of ill repute in the first lap, that way you can only hold out for so long before you cave in.

HiCloy · 11-10-2008 5:07pm

161, best of luck!

califano · 11-10-2008 5:11pm

164.6 km's is my guess. Good luck in Korea. Bring as much of your own packaged food as possible as i forsee a lot of people going down with the runs eating locally made food. I can just see it.