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Simple Tournament Hand

  • 11-03-2007 01:23AM
    #1
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,696 ✭✭✭


    Large buy in tournament. VILLAIN of the hand is an aggressive player from scandanvia.

    Blinds: 2,000 - 4,000
    with running ante of 400

    Players remaining (from 480): 47
    Players to be paid: 45


    Hero, with 96,000 in chips, was on the button and all players passed to him. Holding A-K unsuited he raised to 16,000. The small blind passed and the Big Blind, with around 250,000 chips in the big blind, raised to 48,000.

    Allin, call or fold?


    (I didnt actually play this hand, just saw it posted and thought the advice given was interesting)


«1

Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 837 ✭✭✭kpnuts


    All In


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,083 ✭✭✭RoundTower


    all in. unless there's something silly you're not telling us like the average stack is 2 million or all the prizes are worth the same.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,836 ✭✭✭connie147


    Im all in here everytime.In fact I probably would have been all-in first to give him the decision.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,158 ✭✭✭BobSloane


    Don't think I could ever find a fold here. Its costing 10,000 a round and you have only 80k left behind.

    Although this is probably very wrong thinking I might just call feeling that the BB would go all-in on the flop no matter what came - and I would call that bet no matter what came. But if he's defending his blind with something shaky you're giving him the chance to hit and then knock you out with a hand that would maybe have folded had you pushed.

    All-in pre-flop is probably best.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 567 ✭✭✭Solksjaer


    Surely its ALL IN or fold, calling is not on...anyway who wants to be just placed?, go for the race at worst. AK has got to be played here otherwise the BB stack size owns you. Really depends though if you want to win or just get placed....Im shipping this here every time.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,696 ✭✭✭Hectorjelly


    Ok it was a stupid hand, i just thought some of the advice was really awful.

    In this situation, Nic should fold. It does not really matter what Johnny is holding here. If Nic re-raises all-in Johnny is going to call him anyway as he has already bet half of Nic's stack. If Nic just calls and misses the flop, he can't call a big bet from Johnny. Nic is not committed to the pot at this stage, while Johnny probably is. Johnny can well afford to call a re-raise and still have an above average chip stack.

    In Nic's case, he can fold and still have a playable stack of 20 times the big blind. He has just posted his big blind and will have a full round of the table before he is in that position again. With two players to go to get into the prize money, Nic can afford to wait until two are eliminated before committing all his chips. With the chip average at this stage a little over 100,000, his remaining stack of 80,000 is not in bad shape and he can find a better opportunity to play. Always remember that A-K is just a drawing hand and is always an underdog to any pocket pair.

    You should always, in a situation like this, stop the other players from trying to make a move on you. You did give him the opportunity and showed weakness! Move all-in next time and wish them good luck.

    Playing tight is good, but protecting yourself by being the aggressor is with this hand the correct play. Don't forget, if you are going to walk into a big hand, you are not stopping this from happening by losing all your chips slowly. Fight, fight and fight! You will win more than you expect on the long run.


    http://www.pokerineurope.com/pokerarticles/detail.php?articleid=976


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,895 ✭✭✭✭phantom_lord


    crazy. If he folds here his tournament is effectivey over, and shoving pf is just madness.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 325 ✭✭The Ace Face


    why is tournie life over if he folds? 80k left is plenty of ammo.....if johnny has 22 up its a race..if he loses then is tournie is defo over!

    me i'm allin.... but can see why u fold here too.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,479 ✭✭✭Lazare


    why is tournie life over if he folds? 80k left is plenty of ammo.....if johnny has 22 up its a race..if he loses then is tournie is defo over!

    me i'm allin.... but can see why u fold here too.

    IMO, you should never fold here.
    This is one of those perfect opportunities that don't often come up, you find a hand on the button, it's folded to you, and you've an ultra aggressive BB.
    Not pushing to the re-raise is horrendous.

    Mick Mc Closkey's advice is disgusting, the fact that Johnny Lodden is commited gives even more reason for the push. Marcel Luske's advice is also terrible.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,895 ✭✭✭✭phantom_lord


    why is tournie life over if he folds? 80k left is plenty of ammo.....if johnny has 22 up its a race..if he loses then is tournie is defo over!

    me i'm allin.... but can see why u fold here too.

    mr aggressive scady's range is huge facing a button raise here, folding is really bad!

    his tourny is pretty much over if he can't take down blinds by open raising ak on the button.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,327 ✭✭✭NeoSlicerZ


    Most definately shove.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,696 ✭✭✭Hectorjelly


    I just read andy wards blog, and he makes the really good point that this is a BUTTON raise! So its both more likely that lodden is totally bluffing, or is value raising a worse hand. Luskes isnt bad per se, its just insane


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 36,548 ✭✭✭✭LuckyLloyd


    This post has been deleted.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,479 ✭✭✭Lazare


    I just read andy wards blog, and he makes the really good point that this is a BUTTON raise! So its both more likely that lodden is totally bluffing, or is value raising a worse hand.

    LOL.
    I can't believe this was even debated. As your title suggests, 'Simple Tournament hand'


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,479 ✭✭✭Lazare


    LuckyLloyd wrote:


    The only explanation I can think of for that advice is the reality that, as professionals - they value highly the importance of cashing as opposed to gambling two outside the money and losing a buy - in - which would represent a significant negative in terms of time versus money earned / lost.


    .

    Maybe that is his mindset, if it is it's terrible. He should stick to cash.

    I've played with Mick before, and funnily enough he played pretty aggro that time.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 36,548 ✭✭✭✭LuckyLloyd


    This post has been deleted.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,083 ✭✭✭RoundTower


    I think Mick's a decent player but for all we know some teenage intern writes the advice and they pay Mick a few quid to put his picture at the top of it.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,696 ✭✭✭Hectorjelly


    I totally disagree with you lloyd, all his record speaks for is the fact that he plays a lot of tournaments.

    Ive got a few points here; firstly im not getting at Mick personally here, ive played with him a good bit and he seems fine, but anyone who plays the tournament circuit regularly will end up with a lot of cashes if they play tight and have a bit of common sense, it doesnt make them any good. What im about to say probably applys far more to others than mick, but there is a tendancy to give a huge amount of credit to people who do well in a few tournaments when its really not due at all. A lot of the time I would guess it has to do with politeness as well as a lack of proper anaylsis. But a lot of it is going to be counter productive, for both parties.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 474 ✭✭delanec8


    I totally disagree with you lloyd, all his record speaks for is the fact that he plays a lot of tournaments.

    Ive got a few points here; firstly im not getting at Mick personally here, ive played with him a good bit and he seems fine, but anyone who plays the tournament circuit regularly will end up with a lot of cashes if they play tight and have a bit of common sense, it doesnt make them any good. What im about to say probably applys far more to others than mick, but there is a tendancy to give a huge amount of credit to people who do well in a few tournaments when its really not due at all. A lot of the time I would guess it has to do with politeness as well as a lack of proper anaylsis. But a lot of it is going to be counter productive, for both parties.


    Victor Ramdin springs to mind. As does the ever popular expression "but how much did he lose?"


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 36,548 ✭✭✭✭LuckyLloyd


    This post has been deleted.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,696 ✭✭✭Hectorjelly


    riverboatking from 2+2 said he played with victor in the commerce recently and he was the worst NL player he had ever encountered. The Straight hand on HSP was easily one of the funniest hands ive ever seen!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,083 ✭✭✭RoundTower


    this is one of the great secrets of poker journalism.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,212 ✭✭✭MrPillowTalk


    I think both their advice is terrible, against Lodden this is all in every time.

    There are times I could find a fold in this spot btw, but the average stack would have to be less than 15 blinds and the raiser would have to have a range that excluded AJ AT and KQ.

    Lol more I think about it Loddens range is just huge here, I actually think Luskes advice is as bad as Micks I mean if you push all in here you never get called by a hand that isnt at least racing, whereas if you just standard raise both the blinds can think your stealing with a wide range and subsequently raise you with an equally wide range meaning a lot of the time you get all in here in great shape.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 421 ✭✭StraddleFor6


    If you've qualified online and have 30 quid to your name, a fold is probably best.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,394 ✭✭✭robinlacey


    its amazing how little some famous poker players know about some of the games they play,between this and the barry greenstein check raise all in with AQ against lindgren on HSP i've been shocked a few times this week with some of the stuff big name players don't seem to understand.

    this is obviously a great spot to get all in.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,696 ✭✭✭Hectorjelly


    When greenstein moved all in there I thought you could sense how uncomfortable he was, then afterwards he said "lol donkaments" clearly showing he realised it was pretty donkish!


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 481 ✭✭The C Kid


    Slightly off-topic but the blog this was originally posted on Andy Ward's is probably the best blog around for simple effective poker strategy. He always highlights interesting theories and strategy and is not afraid to speak his mind.

    I see he had a decent win in Tunica recently which was nice as he deserved a big win for that blog alone.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,070 ✭✭✭Ollieboy


    I think the point Mick is making here is the importance of cashing. This is his job week in and out, so he places a lot of importances on cashing. After playing with him in two large buy-in events he allowed everyone to outplay him on the bubble, because he cant take the risks of been wrong. He's a excellant player and gets himself into these cashing positions a lot, but its also the reason he does't win bigger events and grinds it out on the local tour circuit.

    To be honest, I think this is the live of 99% of poker pros on the tourney circuit, grinding it out to cash and than trying to make the final table and hope to cash big. Its horrible poker, but at the end of the week, they've got to go home and pay bills, as a lot of the other players are in full employment and make the most of there opportunity or there top level pro's only interested in winning.

    If I had followed Micks advice above I'm sure I would have made the final table of the first UK poker event, I had the exact same hand on the bubble against a aggressive player who had reraise me twice before when I raise from the button, this time I push and he had KK, I was crippled, he went on to finish 2nd and cash for 50k sterling with my monster stack...lol. But I was annoyed, but with the history of the player and the same situation again, I would find it hard to get away from it again, but I could have called his reraise and got away from it on the flop.

    Anyway, the hand describe above I would be pushing, as I'm always play to win, making the money is important, but at the early level of prize money isn't going to change my life.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,696 ✭✭✭Hectorjelly


    The C Kid wrote:
    Slightly off-topic but the blog this was originally posted on Andy Ward's is probably the best blog around for simple effective poker strategy. He always highlights interesting theories and strategy and is not afraid to speak his mind.

    I see he had a decent win in Tunica recently which was nice as he deserved a big win for that blog alone.

    yeah im a big fan of his blog


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 585 ✭✭✭a147pro


    I think both their advice is terrible, against Lodden this is all in every time.

    There are times I could find a fold in this spot btw, but the average stack would have to be less than 15 blinds and the raiser would have to have a range that excluded AJ AT and KQ.

    Lol more I think about it Loddens range is just huge here, I actually think Luskes advice is as bad as Micks I mean if you push all in here you never get called by a hand that isnt at least racing, whereas if you just standard raise both the blinds can think your stealing with a wide range and subsequently raise you with an equally wide range meaning a lot of the time you get all in here in great shape.

    Is it really that bad (Luske's)? I see your reasoning but if you just standard raise and they play back at you I presume you push? Therefore you're in as good or bad a position as you were if you open pushed. Actually worse because a lot of players won't call an open push with a low racing hand there, whereas once they reraise you they're committed.

    I go for the open push, content myself with the blinds, take the coin flips or worse as they come, and hope for a lesser ace call.

    A lot depends on whether you feel you can get off AK in this situation. It is live I suppose and if you know the player you might be able to get away from it if you feel they've KK AA. Online you rarely get away from this hand.

    And like Straddlefor, if bottom pay out is as high as 1st prize in the tournies I usually play, fold is a real possibility.


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