Storms Approach

ninebeanrows

2 Storms are set to approach over the coming 3 days as the Atlantic dominates our weather. During Sunday a very deep Storm system will come close to Western Ireland, the exact positioning of the LP is not at this stage confirmed but there will be gusts in excess of 80mph along Western and Southern coasts late tomorrow..

Keep up to date with the latest on the LP
http://meteocentre.com/analyse/map.php?hour=0&lang=en&map=AtlN

Then as we move towards Late Monday another swathe of potentially damaging winds will push across the country, Irish sea coasts look like they will be worst affected this time with a short spell of winds gusting to 70/75mph

ninebeanrows

Just want to bump this, i think the lack of attention re this storm is abit risky, there is potential for extremely damaging winds in the west.

After today it really was the calm before the storm..

latest fax chart is rather concerning tbh



That core of winds on the south of the LP to transfer across the west towards afternoon.. gusts to 85/90mph more than possible.

Heres a auto updating stream of sat pics

http://wind.met.fu-berlin.de/cgi-bin/meteosat.cgi?speed=12&count=16&intervall=30&refresh=10&playmode=Endlos

Storm is currently undergoing rapid intensification and moving ENE

Supercell

Every other year , I'd be excited about a storm like this one.

This winter its just, dammnit not another bloody one!!
Last one blew tiles off my roof and the one before then misaligned my sat dish.

Winter can bugger off now, had my full share of snow and windy storms, now can we have a bit of sun and thunderstorms please!!

Hope its not as bad as it currently looks, hopefully this thing tracks northwest and the east coast misses any easterly component to the winds.

957 is very low alright compared to most storms we've seen recently-I guess it depends on this things EXACT track which as WC alluded is slightly indeterminable at the moment as 60 to 80 miles one way or the other could be the difference between Gale 8 or storm 11.

ah Goddamnit - am I gonna have to re adjust my Satellite dish again?


When is it due to hit? I.e will I have time in the morning to tighten up the bolts on the dish? Will it be too windy to get up on a laddder early am?

jd

A few of are going cod fishing nerar Ennereilly tomorrow evening. Should be fun

Supercell

jd wrote:

A few of are going cod fishing nerar Ennereilly tomorrow evening. Should be fun

Hey jd, I've noticed that you post sometimes about sea conditions in the sea down south yet your profile says Dublin, what gives?

Are you a member of a crazy extreme sea adventure club at weekends?

Where do i sign up

jd

Longfield wrote:

Where do i sign up

Follow my sig..

Snowbie

jd wrote:

A few of are going cod fishing nerar Ennereilly tomorrow evening. Should be fun

Lets hope your not swimming with the cod off wickla tomorrow jd be rough out there mate in light of recent happenings

Quite vile here already.

So far 7.1mm rain with the wind gusting at ground level to 42mph from the south East.

TheNog

God dammit, I've re-erected the trampoline yesterday!!!!!!!!!

Trogdor

15mm of rain so far gusting 47mph from the south-east

Supercell

Pretty atrocious here too, wind really hammering the rain against the south facing windows.

littlebug

How bad is this gonna get this afternoon in the West guys? Is it a tree felling level storm? I'm trying to decide whether to go ahead with a planned trip this afternoon.
It doesn't look too bad here just now... windy and rainy yes but I wouldn't call it a storm. It was worse around 7- 9am.

ninebeanrows

Yes there is a brief lull now before the intense core of winds flirt with the western coast towards mid afternoon/ evening.

Westerly Gales will reach upto 80/85mph along the coast..

I can't make up your mind for you but its going to get much worse as the afternoon progresses;)

Although maybe the opposite in the east as winds veer SWest

Snowbie

littlebug wrote:

How bad is this gonna get this afternoon in the West guys? Is it a tree felling level storm? I'm trying to decide whether to go ahead with a planned trip this afternoon.
It doesn't look too bad here just now... windy and rainy yes but I wouldn't call it a storm. It was worse around 7- 9am.

The winds will pick up and become very strong and severe in gusts later on in the day,probably mid afternoon onwards.The winds will be stronger than this morning for sure where you are in the west.

Edit:Wc got there before me,he must have superior BB speed than me.:p

ninebeanrows

Heres a good indication of what things are like at present

http://meteocentre.com/analyse/map.php?hour=0&lang=en&map=AtlN&img=local%2Farchive%2Fatln

Snowbie

33mph highest so far with 8.9mm.
Expecting much higher gusts later.

littlebug

Thanks.

I'm in Mayo, supposedly driving to Clare early this afternoon and coming back this evening, sometime between 6 and 8.

Decisions decisions! I'm leaning towards staying put. I'd go if it was just me but I don't want any trees falling on my kiddies!

Wind has died down here a bit.
Now only gusting to 20 to 30mph and changing direction to South south west.

988.4mb falling fast.

Total rain so far 16.3mm

Snowbie

littlebug wrote:

Decisions decisions! I'm leaning towards staying put. I'd go if it was just me but I don't want any trees falling on my kiddies!

Tis why id stay put too.

Wind has veered SW and has increased a tad.Rain belting down again.

ninebeanrows

Latest Sat Imagery shows the core of extreme winds on the storms southern flank will start affecting western areas imminently.

Sea Area Forecasts forecasting Hurricane Force 12 winds out to sea.

Where the southern flank comes onshore expect a sharp increase in winds to 80/90mph

nacho libre

There was a gust of 80 mph here at 7 am this morning. That's the most intense winds i've experienced for quite some time. According to my barometer Pressure was down to 955 hecto pascals.

ninebeanrows

Winds have virtually went calm here, kind of eery..

Look west from now on for some extreme gusts

nacho libre

I don't think the winds will intensify again in the West this afternoon. As it was stormy here already from 5am- 9am. Could it be over quicker than they were saying?

Trogdor

Winds have died down here now with a max gust of 47mph and 25.1mm of rain. Got some reasonable footage of waves craching into Bray harbour and the flooded seafront. Waves were so powerful that they were throwing rocks onto the harbour with them! Will probably have some kind of video in the next few days

ninebeanrows

nacho libre wrote:

I don't think the winds will intensify again in the West this afternoon. As it was stormy here already from 5am- 9am. Could it be over quicker than they were saying?

No your recordings are wrong,

I don't know your exact location but theres now way unless a tornado passed over you weather station that your pressure could of went into the 950's

The LP itself has a depth of 957mb..

The core of strongest winds is along its southern flank and will flirt with the wester sea board.

The strong winds this morning were in association with the Front pushing east winds gusted to at max 60/70mph

Through the afternoon in the west winds will gust to 80/90mph.. although things will turn windier again countrywide too

The we have tomorrows storm to deal with, a busy 48hours ahead.

rc28

I am not exaggerating, it has gone completely calm here in meath and brightening up nicely too.

Snowbie

Weathercheck wrote:

No your recordings are wrong,

I don't know your exact location but theres now way unless a tornado passed over you weather station that your pressure could of went into the 950's

The LP itself has a depth of 957mb..

The core of strongest winds is along its southern flank and will flirt with the wester sea board.

The strong winds this morning were in association with the Front pushing east winds gusted to at max 60/70mph

Through the afternoon in the west winds will gust to 80/90mph.. although things will turn windier again countrywide too

The we have tomorrows storm to deal with, a busy 48hours ahead.

Pressure decrease with height WC and if nacho is on a mountain side he could record a pressure like that.Pressure is measured at sea level,which could be 10mb in the difference at a certain height 500foot or so.
Now unless he has read it right or wrong a barometer is a very accurate instrument.

peasant

If i didn't know about the coming storm, looking out of the window here (Sligo) right now, I'd say it was going to be a decent-ish afternoon.

The really strong winds from this morning have subsided, it stopped raining about an hour ago and there is actualy a broad band of clear blue sky moving in from the south/ssw right now.

It's still a bit "windy" but that's nothing new round here ...especially not with the winter we've had so far.

mike65

Sod all windy here today just lots of heavy rain which has now eased off and its brightening up a bit. Last night was v gusty apparently (I slept soundly).

Mike.

ninebeanrows

What a beauty of a storm system, an almost perfect structure

mike65

So looking at that we've got 4 hours of sun - then bang!

Mike.

Snowbie

Its a beauty alright also a big system.Look at the CBs on the north part of the centre wall.Seem to be intensifing along that part from your earlier snapshot WC

ninebeanrows

mike65 wrote:

So looking at that we've got 4 hours of sun - then bang!

Mike.

Nah won't be that bad away from Western Coasts because the system has a very tight gradient but over a small area..

So Waterford have probably seen the worst.

This system is heading straight north now.. but the bottom section will push near the western coast with its core of severe winds.

Waterford could be storm bound tomorrow though, with southern counties looking like seeing the worst of the winds with the next storm.

But Mayo and the west will have a hairy few hours soon.

mike65

Cheers

Mike.

ninebeanrows

Bellmullet beginning to see some more hefty wind speeds now

42 Gust 64

Thats Knots so gust to 70mph there at 2pm

peasant

Yepp ...it's starting to happen here now as well.
No way of measuring wind speeds, but telphone and electricity lines are starting to arc nicely between poles and when the gusts move in you can feel them coming in your eardrums.

Still dry and some specs of blue whizzing past.

ninebeanrows

Gust to 82mph in Bellmullet (132km/hr) at 3pm

ninebeanrows

Just a note wrt tomorrow,

It looks like a swathe of much more widespread severe winds than today will sweep across the country, today has been abit of a non event for the east and south due to the more than anticipated intensification of the LP, now estimated to be at around 952mb.

Tomorrow it would look likely that from around 4/5pm widespread gusts above 60mph inland are likely with some severe winds affecting southern and Irish sea coasts, some gusts to 80mph along eastern coasts likely.

ninebeanrows

Expecting a very active front to cross the country this evening..

Widespread gales, gusts to 60/70 even inland in association with the front.

Gusts around coast perhaps above 80mph in locations such as Rosslare, perhaps Cork and right up the eastern seaboard in association with the front.

Some isolated tornadoes possible with very very heavy rainfall..

ch750536

Had heavy snowfall here for about an hour last night, 7-8pm. Blizzard conditions, was lovely.

No snowment though.

fatherdougalmag

I don't think I've ever seen 100% coverage of rain (see attached):

Trogdor

Drving rain here now,6.1mm already. Getting very gusty here. 2 min average up to 50km/hr, never seen it that high here. It's not looking good from a flooding point of view here with the ground already staurated from yesterday and more heavy rainfall forecast along with a spring tide at half past midnight and low pressure, the river will be in full flow by then:(

ch750536

fatherdougalmag wrote:

I don't think I've ever seen 100% coverage of rain (see attached):

Awesome picture, will upload one of my 'Moat' if I get a break in the rain.

trogdor

trogdor wrote:

Drving rain here now,6.1mm already. Getting very gusty here. 2 min average up to 50km/hr, never seen it that high here. It's not looking good from a flooding point of view here with the ground already staurated from yesterday and more heavy rainfall forecast along with a spring tide at half past midnight and low pressure, the river will be in full flow by then:(

Howling down here too.
Got a time there a few minutes ago when nearly every gust was above 40mph
Just got a gust to 47mph as I type.

Snowbie

Not bad yet here around the sutton area atm.Was blowy at lunchtime and the rain has been patchy

ninebeanrows

Not bad here, Is it the Wicklow Mtn effect?

That will change.

I don't trust my rain collector in these conditions,it's not very accurate as its out in an open field and the rain is just blowing over the top of it at speed.

It's recorded 7.1mm so far anyway from whats dropped into it.

Weathercheck

Weathercheck wrote:

Not bad here, Is it the Wicklow Mtn effect?

Well Dub airport and Casement are reporting gusts of 40 and 50 knotts respectively and both are inland and more in the shadow of the wicklow mts/Dublin hills with a southerly than ye are so I doubt it.

Veering SW slightly here now

Max average 35.7mph at 506pm

mike65

I'm wet.

Mike.