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Did Israel Use a 'Nuke' On Hizbollah?

  • 29-10-2006 12:15am
    #1
    Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 25,234 ✭✭✭✭


    Fascinating !

    From

    http://news.independent.co.uk/world/fisk/article1935945.ece
    There are two possible reasons for the contamination. "The first is that the weapon was some novel small experimental nuclear fission device or other experimental weapon (eg, a thermobaric weapon) based on the high temperature of a uranium oxidation flash (made in Israel or an American black weapon SB) ... The second is that the weapon was a bunker-busting conventional uranium penetrator weapon employing enriched uranium rather than depleted uranium." A photograph of the explosion of the first bomb shows large clouds of black smoke that might result from burning uranium.( an American bunker buster SB)

    and also from that article.
    At worst it's some sort of experimental weapon with an enriched uranium component (not depleted SB) the purpose of which we don't yet know. At best - if you can say that - it shows a remarkably cavalier attitude to the use of nuclear waste products."


    one could even wonder if Hizbullah started the war (they did) to provoke Israel into revealing this weapon program if the weapon was a home grown quasi nuke. Uranium is the best penetrating weapon known and thats the metal not the atomic bomb as such or an enriched uranium device of ANY sort.

    If a quasi nuke was actually deployed then Israel have caused a right mess in my opinion. They have lowered the global threshold for nuclear weapon deployment. DU as used in anti armour weapons is simply an ulta heavy metal to penetrate metal, its not explosive as in fission and atomic .

    Internationally we have gone 61 years since the last known military nuclear weapon usage, I had kinda hoped we could manage another 61 at least.

    Less of this :(


«1

Comments

  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 16,813 Mod ✭✭✭✭Manic Moran


    Either explanation rather stretches the definition of 'nuke', doesn't it?

    Article doesn't go into motive: What would have been the benefits of using such weapons in that case? At least cluster munitions and WP have pretty obvious benefits.

    NTM


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,691 ✭✭✭RedPlanet


    Either explanation rather stretches the definition of 'nuke', doesn't it?

    Article doesn't go into motive: What would have been the benefits of using such weapons in that case? At least cluster munitions and WP have pretty obvious benefits.

    NTM

    Well that's really a question ye should put to the Israelis.
    It would appear that using such weapons are merely no big deal to them.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,205 ✭✭✭✭hmmm


    [Edited] Stop trolling !!!! Next one I see earns you a ban !!!!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,864 ✭✭✭uberpixie


    Either explanation rather stretches the definition of 'nuke', doesn't it?

    Article doesn't go into motive: What would have been the benefits of using such weapons in that case? At least cluster munitions and WP have pretty obvious benefits.

    NTM

    The article does offer a motive: that the weapons were being tested "in the field".

    Maybe the IDF though they knew the location of an underground bunker or two.

    Maybe they wanted to give people cancer.

    Maybe they had some new kit lying around that they wanted to test out.


    You may also note at the the end of the article:

    "Many Lebanese, however, long ago concluded that the latest Lebanon war was a weapons testing ground for the Americans and Iranians, who respectively supply Israel and Hizbollah with munitions. Just as Israel used hitherto-unproven US missiles in its attacks, so the Iranians were able to test-fire a rocket which hit an Israeli corvette off the Lebanese coast, killing four Israeli sailors and almost sinking the vessel after it suffered a 15-hour on-board fire."

    I think the testing out theory is the most likely.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,264 ✭✭✭✭Hobbes


    I recall similar stories in relation to Afganistan as regards to "showing off/testing" new weapons around the time of the war. Blog-o-sphere had conspiracy chatter that a nuke was used in Afganistan around that time because an earthquake happened and the US had stopped anyone from accessing satillite info.

    didn't see anything further on it, probably usual tinfoilery.


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  • Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Technology & Internet Moderators Posts: 94,296 Mod ✭✭✭✭Capt'n Midnight


    Asked by The Independent if the Israeli army had been using uranium-based munitions in Lebanon this summer, Mark Regev, the Israeli Foreign Ministry spokesman, said: "Israel does not use any weaponry which is not authorised by international law or international conventions."
    The use of white phosphorous stretches legality to the limit. As did the use of plastic fragments that the USA used in Iraq because they are invisible to x-rays and you can be damn sure it wasn't hypoallergenic . (probably used in lebanon since the Isrealias use US munitions in their MRLS rocket launchers)

    depleted uranium is used a lot for amour piercing rounds so not supprising if its found (also used as counterbalances on aircraft a 747 has about 1/2 tonne of the stuff) it's waste so not very valuable compared to enhanced uranium. But for radiation it's the radioactive isotopes you want and simply using more depleted U will give you the similar radioactivity to enriched uranium (but not exaclty the same due to different isotope ratios)


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,443 ✭✭✭✭bonkey


    FTFA wrote:
    There are two possible reasons for the contamination

    There are far more than two possible reasons for the contamination.

    Deliberate pollution of samples, or the contamination being there prior to the attacks, for example, are both possible reasons.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 340 ✭✭Frederico


    The only true measure of a weapon is to test it on the battlefield, think about Nagasaki. I garuntee that just about every fancy new weapon in the US arsenal has been tested in Iraq.

    I mean America rushed over some bunker busters to Israel during the conflict, I wouldn't be surprised if they are just newly developed.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 11,909 ✭✭✭✭Wertz


    The use of either depleted or enriched uranium in conventional rounds is akin to state-sponsored "dirty bombs" (and thusly terrorism IMO), especially in rounds the size/caibre that a bunker buster type weapon would utilise.
    Such rounds aerosolise during the process of impact and actual work of cracking the armour, leaving a dirty zone of very heavy dust that is toxic and carcinogenic and is not easily cleaned up...
    Although I think anything else Israel did is by far overshadowed by the heavy use of out-dated, US-manafactured cluster bombs they dropped in the closing days of the conflict...


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 26,458 ✭✭✭✭gandalf


    Well personally I would view the use of cluster bombs to be a punishment for the Lebanese before they wound up their trial run for a bigger operation.

    I read yesterdays article in the independent and I tend to agree that they were testing a new munition with an eye on a possible future strike on Iran.


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 11,909 ✭✭✭✭Wertz


    Personally I'd see it as indiscriminately mining, from a remote location, swathes of territory, that doesn't belong to you, with the dual intentions of leaving that territory uninhabitable and picking off random civilians for years to come...
    Some punishment and far from justifiable IMO...


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 22,479 ✭✭✭✭philologos


    if it was nuking surely there would have been thousands more dead like in Hiroshima. I also don't think Israel would have the balls to use a nuke as the international community would sideline them instead of giving them aid and support as the EU and the US did for them when Hamas came into power, but magically didnt do when Yisrael Beiteinu (a party which says it would use facism over democracy if Jewish and Zionist values werent being incorporated into the government)


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 25,234 ✭✭✭✭Sponge Bob


    Jakkass wrote:
    if it was nuking surely there would have been thousands more dead like in Hiroshima.
    no, there are different nukes.
    I also don't think Israel would have the balls to use a nuke
    Have they redefined what is an 'acceptable' nuke by deploying one that did not reach critical mass which is required for a nuclear explosion.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 22,479 ✭✭✭✭philologos


    its breaking war legislation anyway... although its not like they haven't broken the Geneva Convention before in this conflict. (Article 3 and Phosphorous bombs for example)


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 78,647 ✭✭✭✭Victor


    Jakkass wrote:
    if it was nuking surely there would have been thousands more dead like in Hiroshima.
    Hiroshima - refugee centre. South Lebanon - mostly vacant.


  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 16,813 Mod ✭✭✭✭Manic Moran


    Jakkass wrote:
    its breaking war legislation anyway... although its not like they haven't broken the Geneva Convention before in this conflict. (Article 3 and Phosphorous bombs for example)

    See the WP/Fallujah thread for the legal status of Phosphorous.

    NTM


  • Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Technology & Internet Moderators Posts: 94,296 Mod ✭✭✭✭Capt'n Midnight


    Hobbes wrote:
    Blog-o-sphere had conspiracy chatter that a nuke was used in Afganistan around that time because an earthquake happened and the US had stopped anyone from accessing satillite info.
    Not to mention that most very large explosions produce mushroom clouds.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,379 ✭✭✭toiletduck


    Sponge Bob wrote:
    no, there are different nukes.

    as said before, you're really pushing the definition of "nukes"


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 340 ✭✭Frederico


    The uranium tipped rounds (standard) that the US use, can these be 'picked up' by radiation detecting equipment?

    Prehaps the Israelis used a very uranium heavy bunker buster and this is being picked up..


  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 16,813 Mod ✭✭✭✭Manic Moran


    The uranium tipped rounds (standard) that the US use,

    And the French, British, Israelis, Chinese, Russians, and anyone else that may have bought the ammo...
    can these be 'picked up' by radiation detecting equipment?

    Yes and no.

    DU is an Alpha emitter. It's pretty harmless (Your skin or clothes will stop alphas), and I'm assuming that can they can be detected. However, this also means that Geiger counters won't pick it up, as the Alpha particles won't get through the casing of the equipment, so it depends on what gadgets they're using to detect it.*

    Another forum linked to the possibility of a DIME bomb, but that uses dense, non-radioactive metals as well. (It's a pretty clever idea, stops bomb fragments from flying too far). So far nobody's publicly come up with a reason that enriched Uranium would be particularly beneficial and worth the expense compared to other dense metals.

    I'm filing this report under 'Interesting thesis' for now. Not discounting it out of hand, but so far I've not seen anything that can give it much credence either.

    NTM

    * The usual "I am not a nuclear physicist" caveat applies.


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 340 ✭✭Frederico


    And the French, British, Israelis, Chinese, Russians, and anyone else that may have bought the ammo...



    Yes and no.

    DU is an Alpha emitter. It's pretty harmless (Your skin or clothes will stop alphas), and I'm assuming that can they can be detected. However, this also means that Geiger counters won't pick it up, as the Alpha particles won't get through the casing of the equipment, so it depends on what gadgets they're using to detect it.*

    Another forum linked to the possibility of a DIME bomb, but that uses dense, non-radioactive metals as well. (It's a pretty clever idea, stops bomb fragments from flying too far). So far nobody's publicly come up with a reason that enriched Uranium would be particularly beneficial and worth the expense compared to other dense metals.

    I'm filing this report under 'Interesting thesis' for now. Not discounting it out of hand, but so far I've not seen anything that can give it much credence either.

    NTM

    * The usual "I am not a nuclear physicist" caveat applies.

    I don't think it is harmless, something there on the BBC today disputing that, sorry don't have link.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 276 ✭✭FYI


    Manic wrote:
    DU is an Alpha emitter. It's pretty harmless

    shurely not


  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 16,813 Mod ✭✭✭✭Manic Moran


    I rephrase.

    Alpha emissions are pretty harmless. If you go and breathe in/ingest vapourised DU, you will end up with heavy metal poisoning and all the associated issues that result. It's why you want to stay clear of destroyed tanks that might have been hit with DU rounds.

    NTM


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 11,909 ✭✭✭✭Wertz


    Further, if you go and ingest or absorb alpha emitters, especially heavy metals like uranium, you run the double edged sword of both HIGHLY damaging particles ripping through the surrounding tissue causing cell and chromosomic damage AND the poisoning characteristics of normal heavy metal exposure.
    Several unusual cancers have been linked to DU exposure in warzones, but controversially decried by military interests.

    As for the reason to use DU instead of other dense and hard metals? Simple...economics and cost of production V effectiveness....DU is a more or less useless byproduct of nuclear fisson reactors....it's the worst form of recycling you can get IMO...


  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 16,813 Mod ✭✭✭✭Manic Moran


    This is certainly true for armour. In ammunition, however, DU has a self-sharpening effect which has not yet been replicated by other metals. Tungsten is a more dense metal (and is used by non-DU ammo producers) but less effective because it just blunts when it hits armour. They have been trying to create a tungsten alloy which keeps DU's self-sharpening characteristics, but they haven't had any success yet. Nothing yet has been proven more capable at killing tanks, economically or otherwise.

    NTM


  • Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Technology & Internet Moderators Posts: 94,296 Mod ✭✭✭✭Capt'n Midnight


    And the French, British, Israelis, Chinese, Russians, and anyone else that may have bought the ammo.
    well anyone with a reactor will have loads of the stuff to get rid of.

    http://home.clara.net/heureka/gaia/du.htm
    In a novel method of waste disposal, depleted uranium is being given away free to arms manufacturers for use in armour and munitions.
    ...
    On hitting a tank, or armoured vehicle, the force of impact causes the DU to vaporise, an aerosol of uranium dioxide and uranium trioxide is formed. The vehicle and the surrounding area becomes contaminated with radioactive depleted uranium dust.
    ...
    Depleted uranium when alloyed with titanium forms a dense hard penetrator. The two together are pyrophoric, on impact they combust releasing an aerosol of fine uranium particles. 60% of the particles are less than 5 micron in diameter, 10 microns is a respirable size.
    Most of the it forms uranium dioxide, but some forms uranium Trioxide, hexavalent uranium compounds being more toxic. Yes it is a heavy metal and just like lead or cadmium it is toxic. Also it's a fire hazard. So radiation is not the only concern.

    http://www.ratical.org/radiation/dhap/dhap99f.html
    The uranium compound used for ordnance is DU-metal. When it burns it forms uranium dioxide or less likely, uranium trioxide. Particles of these compounds smaller than 2.5 microns are usually deposited deep in the lungs and pulmonary lymph nodes where they can remain for years. According to research done in the UK by the NRPB, the ceramic uranium formed when uranium ignites through friction, as happened in the Gulf War. In this form, it is twice as slow to move from the lungs to the blood than would be the non-ceramic uranium dioxide. Of the portion of inhaled uranium oxide which passes through the gastro-intestinal tract, only 0.2% is normally absorbed through the intestinal wall. This may be an even smaller portion for ceramic uranium. This fraction of the inhaled compound can, of course, do damage to the GI tract as it passes through because it emits damaging alpha particles with statistical regularity. The residence time of the insoluble uranium compounds in the GI tract (the biological half life) is estimated in years.[ibid.]

    The chemical action of all isotopic mixtures of uranium (depleted, natural and enriched) is identical. Current evidence from animal studies suggests that the chemical toxicity is largely due to its chemical damage to kidney tubular cells, leading to nephritis.

    The differences in toxicity based on the solubility of the uranium compound (regardless of which uranium isotope is incorporated in the compound) are more striking: water soluble salts are primarily renal and systemic chemical toxicants; insoluble chemical compounds are primarily lung chemical toxicants and systemic radiological hazards. Once uranium dioxide enters the blood, hexavalent uranium is formed, which is also a systemic chemical toxicant.


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 25,234 ✭✭✭✭Sponge Bob


    Had it been a DU weapon I would not have started the thread. Go read the original article again
    Dr Busby's initial report states that there are two possible reasons for the contamination. "

    The first is that the weapon was some novel small experimental nuclear fission device or other experimental weapon (eg, a thermobaric weapon) based on the high temperature of a uranium oxidation flash ...

    The second is that the weapon was a bunker-busting conventional uranium penetrator weapon employing enriched uranium rather than depleted uranium."

    A photograph of the explosion of the first bomb shows large clouds of black smoke that might result from burning uranium.

    A DU weapon is not a nuclear weapon because the all the nucular goodness is gone out of it and you are simply left with an ultra heavy metal and a few alpha particles. While there is an argument for banning it worldwide the Israelis are hardly the worlds leading DU user and do not deserve to be singled out for using DU .

    The question remains, did they use enriched uranium and did they , in effect, militarily deploy a nuclear device for the first time since Nagasaki ......albeit one that did not reach critical mass .


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 24,609 ✭✭✭✭arybvtcw0eolkf


    Victor wrote:
    Hiroshima - refugee centre. South Lebanon - mostly vacant.


    You've been there?.


  • Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Technology & Internet Moderators Posts: 94,296 Mod ✭✭✭✭Capt'n Midnight


    Sponge Bob wrote:
    Had it been a DU weapon I would not have started the thread. Go read the original article again
    ..
    The question remains, did they use enriched uranium and did they , in effect, militarily deploy a nuclear device for the first time since Nagasaki ......albeit one that did not reach critical mass .
    I just don't get it.
    If it did not reach critical mass then there would be no explosion, a bit like the "tickling the dragons tail" experiment that killed Louis Slotin http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Louis_Slotin Look at the picture, anything less than critical mass is relatively safe to handle.

    Enriched uranium is very valuable, so much so that any device with it should also have a lot of DU to dilute it. small atomic bombs are very inefficient, in a bunker buster most of the uranium would not be fissioned and probably still be in/near what's left of the bunker. If the bomb did not fission then it's easy to recover the material even from a conventional explosion.

    the previous post was also about the other toxicity of the dust and metal, remember at one time it was suggested (in a SF story) that you could just disperse plutonium dust instead of making a bomb as the kill rate would be similar and a lot lower tech.


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  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 16,813 Mod ✭✭✭✭Manic Moran


    Sponge Bob wrote:
    Had it been a DU weapon I would not have started the thread. Go read the original article again

    The question remains, did they use enriched uranium and did they , in effect, militarily deploy a nuclear device for the first time since Nagasaki ......albeit one that did not reach critical mass .

    The problem is that so far nobody has managed to come up with a convincing argument as to why EU would be used in those situations. It seems that in both suggested possibilities, DU would have been as effective, and they wouldn't be 'wasting' nuclear fuel: They can use the EU for their reactors, and then put the DU into munitions. Why bypass the fuel bit? The stuff is expensive enough.

    NTM


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 78,647 ✭✭✭✭Victor


    And the French, British, Israelis, Chinese, Russians, and anyone else that may have bought the ammo........
    .... and Iran.

    It takes quite a few cycles through the centrefuges to get uranium enriched to the level desired (low enriched for reactors, high enriched for bombs). Is it possible that someone simply used less-depleted uranium?


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 25,234 ✭✭✭✭Sponge Bob


    The problem is that so far nobody has managed to come up with a convincing argument as to why EU would be used in those situations.
    This is very true.

    There is no known rationale , that is convincing, for using EU instead of DU save if there was the intention to create an area denial as well as penetrate and destroy .

    Such a weapon would be a hybrid dirty bomb and bunker buster ....if it were to exist.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 11,909 ✭✭✭✭Wertz


    No-one has suggested a low-yield fission device that failed to go off properly, perhaps a trial run for a such a device that fizzled due to a poorly shaped compression charge or some other design fault...


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 25,234 ✭✭✭✭Sponge Bob


    fission bombs and dirty bombs are not the same thing. Read the article again :( Victor is probably the most correct .


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 11,909 ✭✭✭✭Wertz


    I know the difference between a radiological device and a fission bomb :rolleyes:

    To put my point across better, scenario:

    the US/Israel/whoever decide to try their luck at low yield fissile bombs again and what better place to road test them than S. Leb.
    To make most fissile material, become fissionable, you usually need to compact that material to reach critical mass, especially in smaller devices,...this is done in most cases by use of a shaped compression charge that crushes the material in the warhead so that fission may start.
    Now if you happen to design the thing badly or make a balls up in the manafacture, it's possible that the material doesn't reach critical mass or that it reaches it for too short a period (an event called fizzling) and either the heat of the initial reaction or the blast from the compression charge blows up the warhead and spreads the uranium, in a manner like we seem to have here...


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  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 16,813 Mod ✭✭✭✭Manic Moran


    First question: Would the Israelis really use a nuke in such proximity to their own border unless there were a really, really good reason? (Like half the Syrian Army bearing down on them or something).

    Second: A failed bomb would not spread vapourised radioactive debris all over the place, it would leave a fairly sizeable (and detectable) lump or two of fissile material sitting in a crater. There'd be absolutely no doubt about it.

    NTM


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 11 kokui


    jesus is a jew isnt he


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 11,909 ✭✭✭✭Wertz


    Hey, I'm hypothesising....so we're back to why anyone would seemingly use enriched (or not fully depleted) uranium in an armour piercing round.

    My vote from my first post is for the added radioactive contamination over and above DU. (ie a serendipitous dirty bomb)


    Or here's one for the conspiracy forum; Iran sends some of it's first batches fresh from the centrifuges to hizbollah and tells them to scatter it at a high profile target's crater and and thus blame the Israelis for dropping dirty bombs to try and demonise them in the eyes of the west.


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 25,234 ✭✭✭✭Sponge Bob


    Wertz wrote:
    My vote from my first post is for the added radioactive contamination over and above DU. (ie a serendipitous dirty bomb)
    and if in a bunker buster its mainly an underground dirty bomb with no crap blowing back south into Israel.
    Or here's one for the conspiracy forum; Iran sends some of it's first batches fresh from the centrifuges to hizbollah and tells them to scatter it at a high profile target's crater and and thus blame the Israelis for dropping dirty bombs to try and demonise them in the eyes of the west.
    Highly plausible as a plan to demonise Israel except that every known enrichment process leaves some sort of 'signature' or isotope mix that could clearly identify the source ( ie the plant or even the reactor that produced) the EU and of course the Israelis don't allow inspection of their enrichment and reprocessing facilities so that 'signature' is unknown too much like the Iranian one .

    Therefore Israel could allow an inspection to 'prove' it was not theirs as could Iran.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 3,354 ✭✭✭secret_squirrel


    I think without more information the jury is still out on this one....

    A few alternative possibilities spring to mind, apart from the 'Iranian uranium set up'

    The article doesnt mention the total amount of Uranium found at the sites. This could be crucial in determining how the Uranium arrived there. Some possibilities (not all plausable but worth mentioning)

    There was also no indication of how refined it was.

    1. Naturally occuring deposits. (There has been at least 1 case of a naturally occuring 'Nuclear Reator')

    2. Hezbollah Nuke, Radiological, or Dirty Bomb factories. The amount of uranium needed to cause a population long term health rises is fairly small. From a point of view of experimentation it almost makes more sense for Hezbillah to try something with Uranium rather the the Iraeli's who already have the Bomb.

    3. Sloppily sold on Partially depleted Uranium. How stringent are the checks made on DU supplied for shells? Is it possible to get DU thats too depleted for usefulness in a reactor but still has enough radioactivity to send the detectors they are using wild.

    Its worth noting that if the U is from a failed sub-critical tactical nuke then simple soil analysis should show trace amounts of the the other exotic metals used in Nuclear bombs such as Beryillium or Lithium.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 78,647 ✭✭✭✭Victor


    Has there been any updates on this? [Edit] Lots of articles out there, Lebanon has made a complaint to the UN. No clarity.
    kokui wrote:
    jesus is a jew isnt he
    Maybe "was" a Jew. But hardly relevant. Care to add?
    2. ..... The amount of uranium needed to cause a population long term health rises is fairly small.
    As I understand it the statisticians, radiologists and public health people say cancers are directly proportionate to global radiation dose, i.e 2kg of uranium in the wild will kill nigh on exactly twice what 1kg will.
    Its worth noting that if the U is from a failed sub-critical tactical nuke then simple soil analysis should show trace amounts of the the other exotic metals used in Nuclear bombs such as Beryillium or Lithium.
    There will even be trace elements within the Uranium, thereby identifying the source of the Uranium. Not perfectly, but you can make a really good guess (sometimes down to which mine, lab and year).

    What if Hizbollah had a nuke in a bunker and the Israelis bombed the bunker? (detonation is highly unlikely because it needs to be timed perfectly, but the Uranium will be spread about)
    Sponge Bob wrote:
    Victor is probably the most correct
    But note, I didn't say for definite which sides centrefuges. ;)

    Interesting map here: http://www.samidoun.org/?q=node/325


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 340 ✭✭Frederico


    This getting more and more interesting..

    It appears they did use something..


    http://globalresearch.ca/index.php?context=viewArticle&code=20061111&articleId=3813


  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 16,813 Mod ✭✭✭✭Manic Moran


    That article fails in one rather large area: It still does not put forward any sort of proposition as to why EU should be used in a non-nuclear buster-bunker. Nobody has. All it claims is that there was a source of uranium at that bunker. It could be provided by the weapon, it could have been from something that was already inside the bunker, or it could have been placed there afterwards. Without any indication of purpose, it's an interesting puzzle, but hardly conclusive.

    NTM


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 3,354 ✭✭✭secret_squirrel


    Frederico wrote:
    It appears they did use something..

    It appears nothing of the sort. Most of that article is speculation - with the inbuild assumption that it was the Iraeli's.

    The only 'facts' in that article are the location and the radioation doseage.

    Plus the chief 'witness' needs to be a bit more credible than someone who believes there is a secret magical nuclear process thats been kept hidden for 20 years.

    Typical internet bullshít.

    If you are going to post stuff like that either comment on it intelligently or dont bother and let the people who read it decide for themselves.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,691 ✭✭✭RedPlanet


    Being the case that Israel has nukes and Hezbollah doesn't; and the fact that no credible sources have even suggested Hezbolla has radioactive material, and that this comes from an area that sees combat, it would be rational to suspect that Israel is the source of the radiation.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 340 ✭✭Frederico


    It appears nothing of the sort. Most of that article is speculation - with the inbuild assumption that it was the Iraeli's.

    The only 'facts' in that article are the location and the radioation doseage.

    Plus the chief 'witness' needs to be a bit more credible than someone who believes there is a secret magical nuclear process thats been kept hidden for 20 years.

    Typical internet bullshít.

    If you are going to post stuff like that either comment on it intelligently or dont bother and let the people who read it decide for themselves.

    Excuse me? Its a thousand times more 'credible' than the sheer rubbish I read every single day on 'respected' news sites.

    The Senate voted to continue research into deep earth penetrating bombs.. 'bunkerbusters'.. thats the Senate in America, who rushed munitions to their close ally Israel during the war. Hezbollah were very 'dug in'. Sorry what was your theory again on a Hezbollah dirty bomb factory and radiation pixies?


  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 16,813 Mod ✭✭✭✭Manic Moran


    The Senate voted to continue research into deep earth penetrating bombs.. 'bunkerbusters'

    The US has put lots of research into the military use of psychics, that doesn't mean a whole hell of a lot when it comes to real-world battlefield applicability. (though admittedly, the Yugoslav army did try using them against the Americans in the 1990s)

    The very same fundamental problem continues to exist: Nobody has as yet put forward a rational theory as to why the Israelis would use such a material in preference to DU for such a weapon.

    Not least, you also have the issue of the amount of positive samples. If it's such a great bunker-buster, why did they only use it on one bunker? If it was part of an exploding munition, why isn't the uranium found spread out, as opposed to showing up in all of two sample sites out of ten?

    A theory on its own is fine, but without anything to back it up, it has no more credence than any other idea. Yes, I think that in this case, Israeli culpability is just as likely or unlikely as the other two possibilities.

    NTM


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 340 ✭✭Frederico


    The US has put lots of research into the military use of psychics, that doesn't mean a whole hell of a lot when it comes to real-world battlefield applicability. (though admittedly, the Yugoslav army did try using them against the Americans in the 1990s)

    The very same fundamental problem continues to exist: Nobody has as yet put forward a rational theory as to why the Israelis would use such a material in preference to DU for such a weapon.

    Not least, you also have the issue of the amount of positive samples. If it's such a great bunker-buster, why did they only use it on one bunker? If it was part of an exploding munition, why isn't the uranium found spread out, as opposed to showing up in all of two sample sites out of ten?

    A theory on its own is fine, but without anything to back it up, it has no more credence than any other idea. Yes, I think that in this case, Israeli culpability is just as likely or unlikely as the other two possibilities.

    NTM

    You are right, the evidence is flimsy.

    Whatever about the internet and knowledge-sharing, there are still weapons in development by various militaries around the world that we have little or no clue about.

    I can't remember the name of the bomb but it was used once in the gulf, it scatters midair projectiles which suspend from parachutes and shoot down copper darts on armored vehicles, as far as I know that was only used once in combat. I think most militaries regardless agree that the battlefield test is the only true test of a weapon.

    I am pretty sure that if they are picking up radioactivity in Lebanon it is most likely the result of a new type of bunker buster used by the Israeli's. It will probably leak out in dribs and drabs over the next few months/years anyway.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,594 ✭✭✭✭nacho libre


    Frederico wrote:
    Excuse me? Its a thousand times more 'credible' than the sheer rubbish I read every single day on 'respected' news sites.

    The Senate voted to continue research into deep earth penetrating bombs.. 'bunkerbusters'.. thats the Senate in America, who rushed munitions to their close ally Israel during the war. Hezbollah were very 'dug in'. Sorry what was your theory again on a Hezbollah dirty bomb factory and radiation pixies?

    You fool don't you know anything coming from a left-wing source on the internet is not credible where as it if it comes from a right-wing source it's more likely to be credible.


  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 16,813 Mod ✭✭✭✭Manic Moran


    Frederico wrote:
    I can't remember the name of the bomb but it was used once in the gulf, it scatters midair projectiles which suspend from parachutes and shoot down copper darts on armored vehicles, as far as I know that was only used once in combat.

    CBU-97/105. The concept (speaking as a tanker) is rather scary, but I'm not sure I see the relevance to this thread. The system is best used against concentrations of armoured vehicles, which is something the Iraqis generally did not present as a target. Hence it wasn't used much. It had been available for use in the Kosovo campaign, but the same lack of a suitable target resulted in its non-use.
    I am pretty sure that if they are picking up radioactivity in Lebanon it is most likely the result of a new type of bunker buster used by the Israeli's. It will probably leak out in dribs and drabs over the next few months/years anyway.

    Well, you can be sure without anything to back it up. I'm going to wait until something more definitive shows up. (Remind me never to be on trial when you're a juror). Until that happens, I maintain that the preponderance of logic does not indicate any benefit to Israel for the use of EU which was detected in such a manner on a single Hezbullah bunker.

    NTM


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