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Aces High Reveal!

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  • 21-04-2020 7:13pm
    #1
    Reberetta
    Registered Users Posts: 2,293 ✭✭✭


    Kick-off tomorrow (Wednesday) sometime!

    25 questions and your job is to give an ace for every question.

    An ace is a correct answer which no one else gives. Only aces score, so if you don't give an ace-if one other person gives the same answer or 25 people give the same answer-you score nothing. That's right-ZERO.

    A reminder of the questions...

    NAME:

    1. One of the 13 novels in the Lemony Snicket A Series Of Unfortunate Events series.
    2. One of the 18 opponents who were unable to defeat The Undertaker in a match during 'The Streak' at Wrestlemania.
    3. One of the 20 football clubs in the English Premier League season 2019-20.
    4. One of the 12 signs of the Zodiac (the western 'horoscope' ones, not Chinese animal version).
    5. A play written either fully or partly, and attributed, by general consensus, to William Shakespeare.
    6. One of the 32 Irish county capitals.
    7. One of the 27 James Bond movies.
    8. A Beatles A-side single to reach No. 1 in the UK official charts.
    9. One of the 26 songs to appear on the original release of Pink Floyd's The Wall studio album.
    10. A Wimbledon tennis tournament player, male or female, who played in the singles final from beginning of year 2000 to end of year 2019.
    11. A country to reach the final of the African Cup Of Nations football tournament (current name of country required).
    12. One of the 15 movies Quentin Tarantino has a credit on as writer, story originator and/or director, according to wiki.
    13. One of the 13 Inspector Morse novels written by Colin Dexter.
    14. An Iain Banks novel written under any name (no collections or novellas etc.).
    15. A current US State capital.
    16. A current capital city of a country that is a member of the 27 state European Union.
    17. A character that appears in more than one episode of the first season of The Simpsons, according to wiki.
    18. An English language feature length film directed by Alfred Hitchcock (no silent movies, French language, shorts etc.)
    19. One of the 12 disciples/apostles of Jesus Christ, according to the gospels of Luke & Matthew.
    20. A major Greek or Roman God or Goddess i.e. the 13 gods and goddesses most commonly considered to be one of the 12 Olympians or their Roman equivalent.
    21. An onscreen speaking character who appears in more than 10 episodes of Seinfeld.
    22. A song released by Kurt Cobain's Nirvana as a retail or promo single.
    23. A regular poster on Forum Games and/or Other Forum Games (at least 500 posts in these forums combined-or not combined. Not including Werewolf or D&D).
    24. A letter of the English alphabet.
    25. A studio album by Iron Maiden (no compilations etc.).


    Players:

    bolgbui41
    M.T. Cranium
    ShaneU
    Electric Nitwit
    wrestlemaniac
    lassykk
    Three More Big Sleeps
    Zaph
    Sheridan81
    bubblypop
    s1ippy
    Siobh73
    Homer J. Fong
    Ted_YNWA
    Necro
    sKeith
    sullivlo
    Sawduck
    Gru
    Also Starring LeVar Burton
    cee jay
    Hello 2D Person Below
    Kolido
    Barney92
    davetherave
    the purple tin
    Irish Aris
    Collie D
    Green&Red
    Eefggfedccdeed
    Spook ie
    quickbeam
    aaronjennings
    Midnight_EG
    Strawberry Milkshake


    See you tomorrow sometime for reveal!


«13456

Comments

  • Options
    #2
    sullivlo
    Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 9,994 Mod ✭✭✭✭sullivlo


    Awh yeeeeah. First.


  • Options
    #3
    quickbeam
    Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators Posts: 16,287 Mod ✭✭✭✭quickbeam


    That's very confident of you Sully! Before the first answer is even revealed :)


  • Options
    #4
    Green&Red
    Registered Users Posts: 11,387 ✭✭✭✭Green&Red


    Checks to see if I entered

    Yes I did


    Wonder what I guessed


  • Options
    #5
    Ted_YNWA
    Registered Users Posts: 71,799 ✭✭✭✭Ted_YNWA


    I could check my sent PM's, but where is the fun in that.


  • Options
    #6
    Midnight_EG
    Registered Users Posts: 9,699 ✭✭✭Midnight_EG


    I'm absolutely certain that I don't remember a single answer I sent to you


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    #7
    Electric Nitwit
    Registered Users Posts: 10,705 ✭✭✭✭Electric Nitwit


    I decided this game needed a sheep assassin!
    I've gone for the most obvious answer I could think of each time and will laugh at anyone I catch and take out :pac:

    Of course, that does mean I'm taking myself out too...

    s6DfE2j.gif


  • Options
    #8
    quickbeam
    Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators Posts: 16,287 Mod ✭✭✭✭quickbeam


    With so many entries, I think Aces will be realllly hard to come by.


  • Options
    #9
    M.T. Cranium
    Registered Users Posts: 14,339 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    It's interesting as to strategy, do you choose a very well known example thinking everyone will pass it over as too obvious, or do you look for the one that is least known (to you at least) or one that is longer so takes more effort to type out?

    No guaranteed aces either, I was thinking about probability of this number of people all choosing different state capitals, in theory everyone could have done so. Or nobody could have. My guess is that aces will come from that category, Shakespearean plays, and Irish county seats, just because there are more of them than most of the categories. A large number of selections will expand the probability of unique choices. If we had been asked to name any year from 1 AD to 2020, your chance of hitting the same one as a randomly selected other entrant would be 1/2,020. The chances that you would select a different year than 34 other people remains fairly high, in math terms, it is (2019 x 2018 x 2017 ... x 1986) / 2020^34 which works out to about 90%.

    (in these examples, ^34 means "to the 34th power") ... you'll see that the terms being multiplied start from 2019/2020 and work down to 1986/2020 as your last opponent misses out on duplicating your choice or any other choice already made, so this is a test of both your getting an ace and everyone else getting one)

    Did you know that the number of people required to reach the 50-50 probability that two will share a birthday is only 24? Many would imagine it would be 182 or some such number. The math on that is the same as my example above, (365 x 364 x 363 x ... 342) / 366^24. And that works out close to 0.50.

    The chances of 35 people managing an ace with ten choices is quite low. If we assume the choices are really random (like songs by somebody you are not familiar with) then for an ace to occur, the lucky person has to dodge the 1/10 chance that 34 other people will choose that selection. For that to happen, each has to take the 9/10 chance of not selecting your choice. Then you multiply 9/10 by itself 34 times. The result of that is the same as .81 to the 17th power, or .6561 to the 8th power times 0.81, or getting more approximate, .4 to the 4th power times 0.81, which is .0256 x 0.81 or about .021, one chance in 49 that you'll have an ace there. That doesn't rule out that a second person could have a different ace.


  • Options
    #10
    the purple tin
    Registered Users Posts: 10,943 ✭✭✭✭the purple tin


    M.T. Cranium wrote: »
    It's interesting as to strategy, do you choose a very well known example thinking everyone will pass it over as too obvious, or do you look for the one that is least known (to you at least) or one that is longer so takes more effort to type out?

    .


    That was my cunning plan ;)
    The fatal flaw is that if even one other player used it as well it falls flat :(


  • Options
    #11
    quickbeam
    Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators Posts: 16,287 Mod ✭✭✭✭quickbeam


    As I am usually hopeless at any form of Sheep / Peehs / Heeps no matter what strategy I choose, I put my answers for this in the hands of the gods. For each answer, I found all possible answers and used a random generator to pick the one to enter. That sometimes gave me an obvious answer, but maybe everyone else were avoiding those, and sometimes gave me an obscure answer that maybe nobody else would pick.

    Wooden spoon, here I come!


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    #12
    Electric Nitwit
    Registered Users Posts: 10,705 ✭✭✭✭Electric Nitwit


    the purple tin wrote: »
    That was my cunning plan ;)
    The fatal flaw is that if even one other player used it as well it falls flat :(
    Electric Nitwit wrote: »
    I decided this game needed a sheep assassin!
    I've gone for the most obvious answer I could think of each time and will laugh at anyone I catch and take out :pac:

    Of course, that does mean I'm taking myself out too...

    s6DfE2j.gif

    ;)


  • Options
    #13
    Reberetta
    Registered Users Posts: 2,293 ✭✭✭Reberetta


    M.T. Cranium wrote: »
    It's interesting as to strategy, do you choose a very well known example thinking everyone will pass it over as too obvious, or do you look for the one that is least known (to you at least) or one that is longer so takes more effort to type out?

    No guaranteed aces either, I was thinking about probability of this number of people all choosing different state capitals, in theory everyone could have done so. Or nobody could have. My guess is that aces will come from that category, Shakespearean plays, and Irish county seats, just because there are more of them than most of the categories. A large number of selections will expand the probability of unique choices. If we had been asked to name any year from 1 AD to 2020, your chance of hitting the same one as a randomly selected other entrant would be 1/2,020. The chances that you would select a different year than 34 other people remains fairly high, in math terms, it is (2019 x 2018 x 2017 ... x 1986) / 2020^34 which works out to about 90%.

    (in these examples, ^34 means "to the 34th power") ... you'll see that the terms being multiplied start from 2019/2020 and work down to 1986/2020 as your last opponent misses out on duplicating your choice or any other choice already made, so this is a test of both your getting an ace and everyone else getting one)

    Did you know that the number of people required to reach the 50-50 probability that two will share a birthday is only 24? Many would imagine it would be 182 or some such number. The math on that is the same as my example above, (365 x 364 x 363 x ... 342) / 366^24. And that works out close to 0.50.

    The chances of 35 people managing an ace with ten choices is quite low. If we assume the choices are really random (like songs by somebody you are not familiar with) then for an ace to occur, the lucky person has to dodge the 1/10 chance that 34 other people will choose that selection. For that to happen, each has to take the 9/10 chance of not selecting your choice. Then you multiply 9/10 by itself 34 times. The result of that is the same as .81 to the 17th power, or .6561 to the 8th power times 0.81, or getting more approximate, .4 to the 4th power times 0.81, which is .0256 x 0.81 or about .021, one chance in 49 that you'll have an ace there. That doesn't rule out that a second person could have a different ace.


    Wow.

    Just wow.:D


  • Options
    #14
    Siobh73
    Registered Users Posts: 343 ✭✭Siobh73


    "or one that is longer so takes more effort to type out?"
    I started out on this strategy then got fed up of it myself, am I the only one?? Some hope!


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    #15
    Ted_YNWA
    Registered Users Posts: 71,799 ✭✭✭✭Ted_YNWA


    Nope, these games cause you to second & triple guess what to do.


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    #16
    Reberetta
    Registered Users Posts: 2,293 ✭✭✭Reberetta


    Great movie, great books.

    carrey-1.jpg?w968h681


  • Options
    #17
    Reberetta
    Registered Users Posts: 2,293 ✭✭✭Reberetta


    Let me know if you spot any mistakes.


  • Options
    #18
    Reberetta
    Registered Users Posts: 2,293 ✭✭✭Reberetta


    1. One of the 13 novels in the Lemony Snicket A Series Of Unfortunate Events series.

    THE ERSATZ ELEVATOR
    6
    Irish Aris
    Collie D
    Barney92
    lassykk
    Three More Big Sleeps
    Sheridan81

    THE MISERABLE MILL
    4
    Spook ie
    Ted_YNWA
    Necro
    Sawduck

    THE BAD BEGINNING
    4
    Electric Nitwit
    bolgbui41
    s1ippy
    the purple tin

    THE REPTILE ROOM
    4
    cee jay
    wrestlemaniac
    quickbeam
    Gru

    THE VILE VILLAGE
    3
    Homer J. Fong
    Also Starring LeVar Burton
    sKeith

    THE HOSTILE HOSPITAL
    3
    davetherave
    sullivlo
    Zaph

    THE WIDE WINDOW
    3
    Eefggfedccdeed
    M.T. Cranium
    Hello 2D Person Below

    THE SLIPPERY SLOPE
    3
    Green&Red
    ShaneU
    aaronjennings

    THE AUSTERE ACADEMY
    2
    Midnight_EG
    Strawberry Milkshake

    THE CARNIVOROUS CARNIVAL
    2
    Siobh73
    Kolido

    THE END
    bubblypop


    Not chosen: The Grim Grotto, The Penultimate Peril.


  • Options
    #19
    Reberetta
    Registered Users Posts: 2,293 ✭✭✭Reberetta


    Leaderboard.

    Name
    Score
    Bubblypop
    1

    I love this game. :D


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    #20
    quickbeam
    Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators Posts: 16,287 Mod ✭✭✭✭quickbeam


    Damn you, randomator!!!


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    #21
    Reberetta
    Registered Users Posts: 2,293 ✭✭✭Reberetta


    I read all those books. Excellent, but I wasn't thrilled with the denouement. I'm not sure I fully understood the ending.


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    #22
    Reberetta
    Registered Users Posts: 2,293 ✭✭✭Reberetta


    Better than Harry Potter.


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    #23
    Reberetta
    Registered Users Posts: 2,293 ✭✭✭Reberetta


    FVlt-s2Z1_ebXOMs0UYfGG4dEVnvwiAUC9baV7Dm_Xxn7HgYnP3dzSdAmXG27omYoMRO-cQtmP5QLRR1YSeiE8oZXVzJ8uYYhU9UJ2enm5J3i-yMnecn-YmH


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    #24
    M.T. Cranium
    Registered Users Posts: 14,339 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    I'm liking my chances with M as the capital of Michigan. /jk


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    #25
    Reberetta
    Registered Users Posts: 2,293 ✭✭✭Reberetta


    2. One of the 18 opponents who were unable to defeat The Undertaker in a match during 'The Streak' at Wrestlemania.

    MARK HENRY
    5
    s1ippy
    M.T. Cranium
    Strawberry Milkshake
    sullivlo
    Necro

    TRIPLE H
    4
    Electric Nitwit
    the purple tin
    Ted_YNWA
    sKeith

    RANDY ORTON
    4
    Siobh73
    Homer J. Fong
    Barney92
    Spook ie

    BIG BOSS MAN
    4
    bubblypop
    wrestlemaniac
    lassykk
    quickbeam

    SHAWN MICHAELS
    3
    Kolido
    cee jay
    Hello 2D Person Below

    KANE
    3
    Irish Aris
    Three More Big Sleeps
    Sheridan81

    CM PUNK
    2
    aaronjennings
    Sawduck

    RIC FLAIR
    2
    Eefggfedccdeed
    Midnight_EG

    BATISTA
    2
    Zaph
    Green&Red

    KING KONG BUNDY
    Also Starring LeVar Burton

    EDGE
    Gru

    A-TRAIN
    Collie D

    DIESEL
    davetherave

    JAKE 'THE SNAKE' ROBERTS
    bolgbui41

    BIG SHOW
    ShaneU


    Not chosen: Jimmy Snuka, Giant Gonzalez, Sycho Sid


    We now have seven players on 1 point!


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    #26
    Reberetta
    Registered Users Posts: 2,293 ✭✭✭Reberetta


    1 point each:

    bubblypop
    Also Starring LeVar Burton
    Gru
    Collie D
    davetherave
    bolgbui41
    ShaneU


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    #27
    Also Starring LeVar Burton
    Registered Users Posts: 18,503 ✭✭✭✭Also Starring LeVar Burton


    The scores are low, but the stakes have never been higher...

    giphy.gif


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    #28
    Reberetta
    Registered Users Posts: 2,293 ✭✭✭Reberetta


    3. Where did Ian Wright begin his professional career?

    3. One of the 20 football clubs in the English Premier League season 2019-20.

    CRYSTAL PALACE
    8
    aaronjennings
    Strawberry Milkshake
    quickbeam
    Sheridan81
    Collie D
    ShaneU
    Sawduck
    bubblypop

    ARSENAL
    3
    Barney92
    Irish Aris
    Necro

    CHELSEA
    3
    Kolido
    Ted_YNWA
    Eefggfedccdeed

    LIVERPOOL
    3
    Electric Nitwit
    cee jay
    Hello 2D Person Below

    BRIGHTON
    3
    M.T. Cranium
    Homer J. Fong
    Gru

    MAN CITY
    2
    the purple tin
    sKeith

    BOURNEMOUTH
    2
    bolgbui41
    Green&Red

    WOLVES
    2
    Siobh73
    Spook ie

    BURNLEY
    2
    lassykk
    Also Starring LeVar Burton

    WATFORD
    2
    wrestlemaniac
    Zaph

    SOUTHAMPTON
    davetherave

    NEWCASTLE
    Midnight_EG

    ASTON VILLA
    sullivlo

    SPURS
    s1ippy

    NORWICH
    Three More Big Sleeps


    Not chosen: Man Utd, Leicester City, Everton, Sheff Utd, West Ham


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    #29
    Reberetta
    Registered Users Posts: 2,293 ✭✭✭Reberetta


    2 points:

    davethrave

    1 point:

    bubblypop
    Also Starring LeVar Burton
    Gru
    Collie D
    bolgbui41
    Midnight_EG
    sullivlo
    s1ippy
    Three More Big Sleeps
    ShaneU


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    #30
    Zaph
    Registered Users, Subscribers Posts: 47,280 ✭✭✭✭Zaph


    Is there a prize for getting all zeroes? Asking for a friend.


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    #31
    Reberetta
    Registered Users Posts: 2,293 ✭✭✭Reberetta


    4. One of the 12 signs of the Zodiac (the western 'horoscope' ones, not Chinese animal version).


    LEO
    7
    bolgbui41
    Electric Nitwit
    Three More Big Sleeps
    Ted_YNWA
    bubblypop
    Zaph
    the purple tin

    PISCES
    6
    aaronjennings
    quickbeam
    Spook ie
    Siobh73
    Also Starring LeVar Burton
    Necro

    TAURUS
    4
    Kolido
    Midnight_EG
    s1ippy
    sullivlo

    CANCER
    4
    M.T. Cranium
    Eefggfedccdeed
    lassykk
    Collie D

    ARIES
    3
    davetherave
    Hello 2D Person Below
    Irish Aris

    LIBRA
    3
    Gru
    wrestlemaniac
    Sheridan81

    CAPRICORN
    2
    Barney92
    Strawberry Milkshake

    VIRGO
    2
    ShaneU
    Sawduck

    GEMINI
    sKeith

    SAGITTARIUS
    cee jay

    AQUARIUS
    Green&Red

    SCORPIO
    Homer J. Fong


    All options chosen.


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