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Heavy rainfall Monday and early Tuesday Dec 14/15th for south coast counties

  • 14-12-2015 4:24am
    #1
    Registered Users Posts: 14,267 ✭✭✭✭


    Get ready for a two-pronged assault on the south coast with pulses of heavy rainfall expected around 0900h and 2100h, some breaks may develop between them, and totals will be 30-50 mms with potential for 70 mm over higher parts of west Cork and south Kerry.

    This rainfall will spread further north but amounts will generally be reduced to about 20-35 mm which would make it a borderline level one event away from the south coast.

    Strong onshore south winds will force very high tides in estuaries and this will interact with the river levels to produce a higher flood risk.


Comments

  • Registered Users Posts: 14,267 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Short-range model guidance is quite varied which is perhaps why no official warning at this time, Hirlam has the lowest accumulations of all. But some other models show 10-15 mm next three hours. Looks that way on radar now (mid-Cork and southeast Kerry to be the focus, drainage from there the flood concern). Similar evolution for phase two later. Also another round on Tuesday, once again similar pattern. 20 mm with that.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 85 ✭✭Log9


    It's very heavy in Cork City at the moment. Any sign of any dry weather ?


  • Registered Users Posts: 6,315 ✭✭✭sunbabe08


    holy smokes that some heavy rain on the radar over cork city right now. its pelting


  • Registered Users Posts: 39,350 ✭✭✭✭Itssoeasy


    Trains between cork and cobh and midelton are suspended due to flooding.


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,237 ✭✭✭✭leahyl


    Rain was pretty bad on my way to work this morning, a lot of surface water in the city.


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  • Registered Users Posts: 142 ✭✭The12thMan


    back road past cork airport flooded.


  • Registered Users Posts: 18,069 ✭✭✭✭JCX BXC


    Another thread? Ah here I can't keep up anymore!

    Can we be notified of new threads in the main winter thread?


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,217 ✭✭✭dexter647


    Very heavy rain here at the moment in south Laois...Depressing weather


  • Registered Users Posts: 6,013 ✭✭✭Elmer Blooker


    Not looking good - heavy rain in east Galway which of course will end up in the Shannon via the River Suck.


  • Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    Though the rain is heavy in places, the front this morning is continually moving northward, so it isn't persistent rain over an area for an extended period of time.

    Another band of rain will push into the southwest this evening though and then tomorrow morning more rain pushing into the south, and it looks like it might be a little heavier than this morning.


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  • Registered Users Posts: 14,267 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Downgraded to level one for the time being, feeling that the earlier level two was justified by the reports in the thread (smaller amounts of rain in general are now required to do the work of standard rainfall criteria, so we should probably err on the side of flooding results more than rainfall in the gauge so to speak).

    Just a generally moist pattern for a few more days now, river levels are unlikely to drop very much even during a few hours of dry conditions. What's needed is a complete pattern change and a few weeks of below normal precip. This is sometimes known as March-April.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 4,816 ✭✭✭Baggy Trousers


    Downgraded to level one for the time being, feeling that the earlier level two was justified by the reports in the thread (smaller amounts of rain in general are now required to do the work of standard rainfall criteria, so we should probably err on the side of flooding results more than rainfall in the gauge so to speak).

    Just a generally moist pattern for a few more days now, river levels are unlikely to drop very much even during a few hours of dry conditions. What's needed is a complete pattern change and a few weeks of below normal precip. This is sometimes known as March-April.

    What I wonder about is if we had a second storm similar to Desmond while the ground is saturated and the rivers/lakes at peak levels i.e. back-to-back prolonged rain storms. It might not happen this year but it has to be a possibility given the climate change effects in the Gulf of Mexico.


  • Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    Rainfall Warning for Cork, Kerry and Waterford

    Rainfall totals of between 25 and 30mm overnight and during Tuesday

    Issued:
    Monday 14 December 2015 20:00
    Valid:
    Monday 14 December 2015 20:00 to Tuesday 15 December 2015 22:00


  • Registered Users Posts: 5,068 ✭✭✭Iancar29


    Certainly seems to be another heavy batch on the way. Check out the latest sat imagery showing the 2 nice vortices swirling away.
    http://en.sat24.com/en


  • Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    ECM showing heavy rain pushing into the south tomorrow morning.

    G3FMRBp.jpg


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 4,434 ✭✭✭northgirl


    Just got very heavy in Cork now.


  • Registered Users Posts: 6,786 ✭✭✭Cork Lass


    Still raining heavily here in Cork. Winds are strong too .........just for a change.


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,267 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Rainfall warning now set to continue for Cork, Kerry and Waterford (20-30 mm) with agreement from Met E.


  • Registered Users Posts: 408 ✭✭RoisinD


    Very heavy here in NW Clare. Seems that band is moving further up than what was forecast.
    We had extensive flooding here on Sat with many roads impassable and extensive flooding in areas which had not been known to flood in the past.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 4,434 ✭✭✭northgirl


    Torrential, driving rain here in Cork now for the last 30 minutes or so.


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  • Registered Users Posts: 2,876 ✭✭✭JanuarySnowstor


    It's no less than stormy in cork right now


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,876 ✭✭✭JanuarySnowstor


    Scarily wild in cork now.
    Looking at the radar part 2 about to hit


  • Registered Users Posts: 18,069 ✭✭✭✭JCX BXC


    Looks very heavy in cork at 8pm according to the Met Eireann rainfall radar, ironically just as the warning expires.


  • Registered Users Posts: 583 ✭✭✭aisling86


    Wild is an understatement here in Macroom! Didn't expect it to be this bad!!


  • Registered Users Posts: 95 ✭✭Aimsir


    some very heavy showers in cork in last 20 mins


  • Registered Users Posts: 28,403 ✭✭✭✭vicwatson


    Looking at rain radar looks like it'll get messy all across the south


  • Registered Users Posts: 39,350 ✭✭✭✭Itssoeasy


    Carnacalla wrote: »
    Looks very heavy in cork at 8pm according to the Met Eireann rainfall radar, ironically just as the warning expires.

    Met Eireann were spot on. It's been chucking it down since just before eight. Nasty out there.


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,501 ✭✭✭thomasm


    Very heavy wind and rain in Waterford for last hour


  • Registered Users Posts: 6,827 ✭✭✭pauldry


    Just checked metcheck after ages of non looking

    their website seems a lot better

    this radar is nice

    http://www.metcheck.com/UK/radar.asp


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  • Registered Users Posts: 32,634 ✭✭✭✭Graces7


    aisling86 wrote: »
    Wild is an understatement here in Macroom! Didn't expect it to be this bad!!

    I was trading ir rather attempting to at the Macroom Fair Day.... no gazebo and soaked to the skin and all my stock.. I did not expect it to be this bad either!


This discussion has been closed.
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