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Strong winds Sunday evening/night, Oct 5/6th

  • 04-10-2014 12:01pm
    #1
    Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    The latest run of the GFS is out, and is showing a period of strong southerly winds crossing the country Sunday evening and overnight into the early hours of Monday.

    The model is showing inland gusts up to around 90 km/h widely with 100-110 km/h gusts in places. These are not particularly strong winds for coastal regions, but strong for inland areas and if the model were to verify, would be enough to bring down some trees and tree limbs in places at this time of year.

    Gusts :

    4ZJYbn5.gif

    The model is showing inland mean winds reaching gale force in places.

    j0HAf1i.png

    06Z EURO4 shows strong gales to storm force winds on southern and eastern coasts though not quite as strong inland as on the GFS.

    jXaRZuV.gif
    bzjdwi7.gif

    So not very severe, but the first windy spell of the autumn/winter with a chance of some strong inland winds, so worth keeping an eye on.

    Keep in mind it could turn out to just be a wet and windy night and not as strong as the models are showing.


«134567

Comments

  • Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    Within range of the 2km version of the GFS through the WRF NMM.

    Still showing gusts up to around 50 knots inland, higher on southwest, south and east coasts.

    tJuipbp.gif


  • Registered Users Posts: 7,089 ✭✭✭pad199207


    Ok stop everything!

    Gerry Murphy just said "Extreme Weather" on the nine o clock forecast


  • Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    12Z EURO4 is showing sustained winds of 85-90 km/h along the east coast at 3am Monday morning.

    3rJ1atF.gif


  • Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    Well now it's official.
    STATUS ORANGE

    Wind Warning for Dublin, Louth, Wexford, Wicklow, Meath, Donegal, Galway, Mayo, Cork, Kerry and Waterford

    Southeast winds between 50 and 70 km/h on Sunday evening and night, with gusts up to 100 to 120 km/h, highest values in coastal areas.
    Issued:
    Saturday 04 October 2014 21:00
    Valid:
    Sunday 05 October 2014 18:00 to Monday 06 October 2014 06:00


    STATUS YELLOW

    Rainfall Warning for The whole country

    25-40mm of rain is expected during Sunday evening and night, leading to widespread excess surface water.
    Issued:
    Saturday 04 October 2014 20:00
    Valid:
    Sunday 05 October 2014 18:00 to Monday 06 October 2014 06:00


  • Registered Users Posts: 635 ✭✭✭Video


    looks like normal service has resumed


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  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Computer Games Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 8,449 CMod ✭✭✭✭Sierra Oscar


    There are a coupler of elections going on around the country, looks like this could be enough to weak havoc with elections posters? They are taken place in Roscommon / Leitrim and Dublin.


  • Registered Users Posts: 20,322 ✭✭✭✭Rikand


    looks like this could be enough to weak havoc with elections posters? They are taken place in Roscommon / Leitrim

    We can only hope so...


  • Registered Users Posts: 6,315 ✭✭✭sunbabe08


    i'm heading to dublin in the morning. should be fun


  • Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    Wind warning added for more counties.

    x34lPJg.jpg


  • Registered Users Posts: 15,286 ✭✭✭✭Supercell


    Autumn is well and truly upon us, exciting stuff!

    Have a weather station?, why not join the Ireland Weather Network - http://irelandweather.eu/



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  • Registered Users Posts: 5,564 ✭✭✭Pangea


    There are a coupler of elections going on around the country, looks like this could be enough to weak havoc with elections posters? They are taken place in Roscommon / Leitrim and Dublin.

    I seen one yesterday in Donegal (from the last election that is) :eek:
    Hopefully the wind will take it down for the lazy politician that put it up!


  • Registered Users Posts: 97 ✭✭Lucy B


    Why are these storms always at night? Seriously. Is there actually a reason why I wonder or just pure coincidence?


  • Registered Users Posts: 12,778 ✭✭✭✭ninebeanrows


    As it is the first high wind event of the season will definitely be noticeable.

    With tree's mostly in full leaf these 100k gusts could cause damage.

    And wind lined up nicely for exposed Dublin coasts.

    Dl harbour could get a 60kt gust. Quite a shock to the system.


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 3,288 ✭✭✭mickmackey1


    Lucy B wrote: »
    Why are these storms always at night? Seriously. Is there actually a reason why I wonder or just pure coincidence?

    The Feb 12th storm was slap bang in the middle of the day.


  • Registered Users Posts: 402 ✭✭cyclops999




  • Registered Users Posts: 189 ✭✭royalflush2003


    What time roughly to hit south dublin to north wicklow area anyone " buller" ?


  • Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    Storm force 10 forecast for Fastnet, Irish Sea, Malin and Rockall.


  • Registered Users Posts: 635 ✭✭✭Video


    that's dangerous with the trees at this time of year....


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,237 ✭✭✭✭leahyl


    Worst winds will be where? Hoping for a good storm in Cork :-D


  • Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    leahyl wrote: »
    Worst winds will be where? Hoping for a good storm in Cork :-D

    South and East coasts.


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  • Registered Users Posts: 6,315 ✭✭✭sunbabe08


    Have to get the train back to cork from Dublin, should be fun


  • Registered Users Posts: 3,516 ✭✭✭irish1967


    Aha ! Did someone say storm :) Greets from Donegal Town... Must be that time of year again !:)


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 4,434 ✭✭✭northgirl


    Wind and rain have arrived in Cork city..


  • Registered Users Posts: 3,516 ✭✭✭irish1967


    I'll have a Live Cam running pointing out to Donegal Bay from Donegal Town for most of this winter.
    http://www.ustream.tv/channel/donegalbaywaterbus/theater


  • Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    northgirl wrote: »
    Wind and rain have arrived in Cork city..

    Strongest winds there should be around 10-11pm tonight.


  • Registered Users Posts: 635 ✭✭✭Video


    i reckon between 9pm to 1am for here, still showing gusts of up to 120 on the west coast about 10pm to 12 the it will start to push more towards the east.


  • Registered Users Posts: 23,691 ✭✭✭✭Larbre34


    No easy transition back from a benign summer so. I guess all of this energy was stored up for us in the North Atlantic.

    I would expect serious disruption in Dublin in the morning. Most species of trees are still fully laden and have not been stressed since early spring so plenty of road blockages on rural and suburban roads likely. New building sites have not had their hoardings and cranes tested by high winds so debris may be widespread. Not to mention gulleys will quickly block with leaf fall and heavy rain so surface flooding will be widespread.

    On friday evening, ten moderate accidents caused 60-90 minute delays on most routes around Dublin. I would add at least 90 minutes to a driving commute in Dublin tomorrow AM, and urge caution on leafy backroads.


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,423 ✭✭✭V_Moth


    F9 gusts reported from Belmullet and at Roches Point in last hour.


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,764 ✭✭✭Bsal


    Dublin airport forecast is :eek: potential for very strong winds between 1am and 4am

    TAF EIDW 051100Z 0512/0612 18014KT 9999 FEW020 BKN045
    BECMG 0515/0517 18017G28KT
    BECMG 0520/0523 16027G46KT 5000 -RA BKN015
    TEMPO 0522/0604 3000 RA BKN006
    TEMPO 0600/0603 16038G58KT
    PROB30
    TEMPO 0601/0603 2000 +RA
    BECMG 0603/0605 24015KT 9999 NSW SCT020 BKN040


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  • Registered Users Posts: 12,778 ✭✭✭✭ninebeanrows


    Looks like worst of wins into eastern coasts around 3am.

    Potential for sustained 40/45kt winds along coast perhaps 50kt in most exposed parts.

    14100603_2_0506.gif


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