Advertisement
If you have a new account but are having problems posting or verifying your account, please email us on [email protected] for help. Thanks :)
Hello all! Please ensure that you are posting a new thread or question in the appropriate forum. The Feedback forum is overwhelmed with questions that are having to be moved elsewhere. If you need help to verify your account contact [email protected]

Looking Wintry from November 18th

  • 14-11-2013 6:46pm
    #1
    Registered Users Posts: 2,876 ✭✭✭JanuarySnowstor


    Well folks, tonights models suggest here we go again:D

    Next week firming up to be very cold and frosty with every chance of some of the white stuff

    Remarkable that height rises to our North look like happening yet again this Winter!!


«1

Comments

  • Registered Users Posts: 1,003 ✭✭✭Lucreto


    Back on the good ol rollercoaster for another Winter.

    Going up :pac:


    Do we really need a thread at this stage? So far it will be frost not a slight risk of extreme event.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 88,978 ✭✭✭✭mike65


    3 fecking degrees - feck off!


  • Registered Users Posts: 9,580 ✭✭✭Birdnuts


    If your a snow bunny tonights ECM is pure bunny porn. If it came off it would have the makings of a December 2010 type event!!


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,876 ✭✭✭JanuarySnowstor


    06Z firms up on a very cold blast next week
    Things look drier than last night but still a remarkable change from what we have had with severe frosts lingering through the day
    Easterly's in November and nobody on here!!
    My word how we are spolit of late, this isn't far off another epic!!

    Also worth keeping in mind that deep cold air getting into the ground so early will really help the rest of Winter
    For example in 2010 the ground was quite often freezing up with a temp of 3 or 4C.


  • Registered Users Posts: 143 ✭✭starskey77


    how long cold spell lasting


  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users Posts: 6,827 ✭✭✭pauldry


    2 days

    No very cold for two days windchill wise with sleet

    Then frosty and 5c for about 5 days

    High is trying to settle north of Ireland meaning easterlies

    Wheres deep easterly gone anyways


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,876 ✭✭✭JanuarySnowstor


    The 12z gfs is not good tonight with the high pressure much closer to us. Still cold and frosty.
    Let's hope its just a wobble


  • Moderators, Motoring & Transport Moderators Posts: 6,520 Mod ✭✭✭✭Irish Steve


    Sky news is splashing the Daily Express warnings of up to 6" of snow in parts of the UK next week.

    We all know that paper never refuses Ink, especially where the Express and bad weather are concerned, but there has to be some credibility in these reports, and Sky are certainly starting to ramp the "cold" word in just about every forecast.

    Maybe I need to get my local weather station up again so that I can see exactly what's happening, rather than relying on external sources. I reckon that MT's forecast is going to see an upsurge in readership in the next few days. it's one of the few accurate sources that are readily available.

    Could be interesting!

    Shore, if it was easy, everybody would be doin it.😁



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,528 ✭✭✭gaius c


    Just realised that it was getting to that time of year again…for frequenting the weather forum on boards and joining the hordes looking for some snow affirmation!


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 226 ✭✭Frank Garrett


    gaius c wrote: »
    Just realised that it was getting to that time of year again…for frequenting the weather forum on boards and joining the hordes looking for some snow affirmation!

    Ah, yes, the hordes who visit the weather forum once a year searching for white gold.

    C.U.N.T.S. as I like to call them: chaps unanimously navigating threads seasonally.


  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users Posts: 384 ✭✭torres9kop


    Ah, yes, the hordes who visit the weather forum once a year searching for white gold.

    C.U.N.T.S. as I like to call them: chaps unanimously navigating threads seasonally.

    Lol. Very good. Im a C.U.N.T so 😀


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,257 ✭✭✭Tindie


    So anyone know what weather going to be like next weekend?

    I know the cold snap is going last about 2-3 days in the week but heard it's could be back by next weekend only for centrel and southern and central England.

    25th nov would be perfect for it to snow, that Xmas tree going up


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 16,668 Mod ✭✭✭✭Gonzo


    next weekend looks similar to today with slightly lower temperatures. The cold next week is much downgraded for all parts including the UK


  • Registered Users Posts: 836 ✭✭✭derekon


    Gonzo wrote: »
    next weekend looks similar to today with slightly lower temperatures. The cold next week is much downgraded for all parts including the UK

    In full agreement with you there Gonzo - winter does not officially commence until 15 days time. So I think the fact that the raging Atlantic will be cut off for a few days next week is certainly not a negative for those wishing for a blocked winter with snow. We have plenty of time folks - the starting bell has not even been rung yet :)

    D


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 3,548 ✭✭✭Harps


    Gonzo wrote: »
    next weekend looks similar to today with slightly lower temperatures. The cold next week is much downgraded for all parts including the UK

    Highs today in Ireland are around 12C with lows tonight around 5C. For the next week, high look like being as low as 4-6C in places with a hard frost every night. While there has been a downgrade in the severity of cold its still much the same forecast with a cool down and the first real taste of wintry weather


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 88,978 ✭✭✭✭mike65


    High pressure ahoy! Looks like settling like a chilly rug over Ireland/Britain for a while.


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 16,668 Mod ✭✭✭✭Gonzo


    since the early 80s there are only 2 instances of measureable snow that I can remember before the build-up to Christmas so even in the good old days, measureable snow before christmas is a rare event in Ireland, 2010 being obviously the one incident that sticks out since Ive been born. I have plenty of memories tho of the first measureable snow events starting right after Christmas day, often between St.Stephens day and New Years day! i really wouldnt be worrying about next week's downgrade, this winter seems to be a slow developer anyway right across the board even into western Russia there has been very little action as of yet.


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,876 ✭✭✭JanuarySnowstor


    I would agree on historical stuff Gonzo, in my memory 2010 was the exception going back over 30 years
    If we do get a cold Winter this year (and imo the signs are that we will) scientists will have to sit up and take note as it will undoubtedly be a new trend.
    As ever time will tell but looking good

    Next week looking much drier than it did a few days ago but still some decent night frosts around. Still time for upgrades and I expect models to back track a bit now to what was originally being projected earlier in the week

    Tuesday morning is woth keeping an eye on, a bit of the white stuff looks possible for the North & West
    & Cork :-)


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 88,978 ✭✭✭✭mike65


    I would agree on historical stuff Gonzo, in my memory 2010 was the exception going back over 30 years
    If we do get a cold Winter this year (and imo the signs are that we will) scientists will have to sit up and take note as it will undoubtedly be a new trend.
    As ever time will tell but looking good

    Next week looking much drier than it did a few days ago but still some decent night frosts around. Still time for upgrades and I expect models to back track a bit now to what was originally being projected earlier in the week

    Tuesday morning is woth keeping an eye on, a bit of the white stuff looks possible for the North & West
    & Cork :-)

    How on earth did you extrapolate that?


  • Registered Users Posts: 6,235 ✭✭✭Oneiric 3


    the signs are that we will

    What signs though? Surely those signals (whatever they may be) show up in some form or other every year at this time of year and throughout each winter? :)

    New Moon



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    Yes, apart from 2010 you have to go back a long way to find significant snowfall events in Ireland that happened before Christmas. I can only find two :

    19-20 Nov 1807.
    15-25 Dec 1909.


  • Registered Users Posts: 836 ✭✭✭derekon


    Yes, apart from 2010 you have to go back a long way to find significant snowfall events in Ireland that happened before Christmas. I can only find two :

    19-20 Nov 1807.
    15-25 Dec 1909.

    So every 100 years so ? :) - 1807, 1909, 2010

    D


  • Registered Users Posts: 6,013 ✭✭✭Elmer Blooker


    the mean temp at the Phoenix Park in December 1878 was -0.1c , I presume there was a long period of lying snow that month to record a mean that low, it must have been very similar to Dec '10 ?


  • Registered Users Posts: 12,778 ✭✭✭✭ninebeanrows


    Quite the difference between the UKM and GFS!!

    Did not expect to see this on the UKM after viewing the GFS!

    UW120-21.GIF?16-17


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,876 ✭✭✭JanuarySnowstor


    Yeah the ukmo is back where it was a couple of days ago. We have seen many a time where the models pick up a cold spell drop it and then pick it up again closer to the time.
    If the ukmo were even close to the mark it would be ectraordinary for so early in winter

    Eyes down for the ecm


  • Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    derekon wrote: »
    So every 100 years so ? :) - 1807, 1909, 2010

    D

    It shows are rare they are. Once you get from late Dec into Jan then that all changes.


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,876 ✭✭✭JanuarySnowstor


    Tuesday morning looks very interesting as a spell of sleet and snow mover down over Western areas. Elevation should mean a bit of the white stuff lying about first thing.......
    Overall remaining cold or very cold through out next week with frost slow to clear.
    Where we go after that is anyones guess, as ever more runs needed


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,296 ✭✭✭Geomy


    I heard it was snowing in Athlone last night.
    Anywhere else ?


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,359 ✭✭✭stampydmonkey


    Geomy wrote: »
    I heard it was snowing in Athlone last night.
    Anywhere else ?

    Apparently galway city too for a very short whie


  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users Posts: 967 ✭✭✭J Cheever Loophole


    Geomy wrote: »
    I heard it was snowing in Athlone last night.
    Anywhere else ?

    Couple of centimetres of snow covering the ground in Armagh City this morning.


Advertisement